Molly Hemmeter
Analyst · Sidoti. Your question please
Thanks, Greg. Due to the worse than expected negative impact from this year’s El Nino, we’re now projecting net revenues for all of fiscal year 2016 will be down slightly compared to last year, primarily due to not having adequate supply of produce for most of the second and third quarters and the loss of some customer business. We expect net income excluding the GreenLine trademark impairment charge will be $0.33 to $0.37 per share. The revised net income guidance for fiscal 2016 includes one, the impact of excess costs due to produce shortages and loss of some customer business. Two a significant reduction in projected increase in our Windset investment from our original guidance. Three, the continued focus on innovations to develop high margin product at Apio, Lifecore and the growth of the salad kit. And four, a record year at Lifecore. Regarding Windset, we’re estimating that its expansion delay and Windset’s lower production volumes during the last few months of calendar 2015 will reduce the increase in the fair market value of our investment in Windset to an increase of $1.0 million in fiscal 2016, down from our original projection of approximately $4 million. Windset expansion plans are slowly progressing. Windset recently completed the construction of a four-acre test facility and a four-acre propagation facility on land that Windset owns in the City of Santa Maria using a new type of greenhouse structure that Windset intends to use for trials for new crops. Windset is in the permitting process for building these new type of greenhouse structures on a commercial scale adjacent to its Santa Maria facility on lands located in County of Santa Barbara. The County of Santa Barbara recently approved 20-foot tall hoop houses, which allows the permitting process for Windset to move forward, although the process will still take time. Windset is also in the permitting process with the City of Santa Maria to construct additional glass greenhouse facilities on lands in the City of Santa Maria. Windset still expects that it will begin commercially harvesting crops by the end of calendar 2016 from the new site expansions. During the last few months of calendar year 2015, El Nino affected production from Windset's Mexican grower partners. Lower than anticipated production volumes and higher costs associated with purchased product required to meet Windset's committed sales programs resulted in operating results lower than planned. Despite these delays in production issues Windset has continued to realize double-digit annual growth in revenues and net income. Notably, we project that as of fiscal year end 2016, we will have realized a 24% annual return since our original investment in Windset in February of 2011. Our strategic focus on the assessing consumer needs and innovating new products of high value, is working as we shift in our product mix to higher margin products both at Apio and Lifecore. We’re working diligently at both companies to develop new products and customers and to expand capacity to meet anticipated new demand. At Lifecore, gross margins increased to 49% during the third quarter from 42% in the third quarter last year. For the first nine months, gross margins increased to 45% from 34% last year due to favorable sales mix change to higher margin products and services. Lifecore is having a record year after a down year last year. Compared to fiscal year 2015, we continue to expect Lifecore revenues to increase approximately 25% in fiscal 2016. And operating income to increase 130% to 140%. We expect double-digit revenue and operating income growth from this business next year and for the foreseeable future. We are extremely excited about Lifecore's future prospects given the potential growth of our existing business partnerships and the multitude of potential new business in its pipeline. Also at Lifecore, we have been expanding the aseptic filling and formulation capacity and preparing for incremental business from existing and new customers. When completed during the second quarter of fiscal 2017, Lifecore will have sufficient aseptic filling capacity to meet its growth plans for commercialized development opportunities that are consistent with its long-term projections. At Apio, if you exclude the excess costs from produce shortages and the related higher cost of servicing our customers, which amounted to $6.6 million for the third quarter and $12.6 million for the first nine months of fiscal 2016. Our gross margin in our packaged fresh vegetable business would have been 10.2% for the quarter and 12.6% year-to-date. This compares to 8.4% and 10.3% for the same periods last year. Our investments at Apio over the last three years in new product development to create highly nutritious salad kits made from superfood vegetables packed in our BreatheWay technology are demonstration thus far the underlying success of our innovation strategy. Salad kits revenues increased 31% year-over-year for the nine months ended February 2016. And have delivered an average annual compounded growth rate of approximately 80% from $26 million in fiscal 2013 to an estimated $145 million to $150 million in fiscal year 2016. We continue to study consumer trends and innovate products with a goal of launching one new product on average per quarter. We launched the Southwest salad kits during our second fiscal quarter and recently launched the Asian sesame salad kit during our third fiscal quarter. Both salad kits are currently being offered in retails stores in U.S. and Canada. Our strategy to differentiate ourselves through innovation is working. As we see the continued growth of our salad business and shift in our product mix, that increases profitability overtime. To enable this growth, we’re increasing capacity for producing Apio's vegetable products by more than tripling the size of our processing plant in Hanover, Pennsylvania. We expect this construction to be completed in mid-April. A portion of Apio's historical business consists of commodity like items that carry a very high cost to serve, especially in times of severe weather challenges. Even after incurring these costs to service our customers to the best of our ability, some of our customers have chosen to labor diverse or diversify their sourcing strategy by moving away from a sole supplier relationship for certain produce items. The result of these changes is a greater shift in our product mix as we see the size of our lower margin business declining this fiscal year and next fiscal year, while our innovative higher margin product offerings continue to grow. As we respond to the short-term sourcing challenges at Apio, it is important to reaffirm Apio's long-term strategy for growth which is to focus on delivering innovative on-trend products that make it easy and convenient for consumers to eat healthy while delivering high quality products and service to our customers. Looking to fiscal 2017, on a preliminary basis, we expect double-digit revenue growth in Apio's Eat Smart salad kit and we expect Lifecore to continue to deliver double-digit revenue growth and operating income growth in fiscal 2017. We see further revenue decline in Apio's lower margin commodity like vegetable business. We also expect net income to increase substantially year-over-year, assuming that produce sourcing returns to more normal levels and as we continue to focus our sales effort on higher margin products. We will provide more specific annual guidance for fiscal 2017 when we report our fiscal our fiscal 2016 year-end results. In summary, our strategic initiatives to develop innovative products, expand capacity and meet anticipated demand and change our product mix to higher margin products is working at Apio and at Lifecore. Over time, these strategies will continue to deliver value to our customers, our consumers and shareholders. Our continuing priorities are shifting our product mix to high- margin products at both Apio and Lifecore; secondly, developing innovative new salad kits to broaden and strengthen our product lines. Number three, focusing our new VP of Strategy and Business Development on evaluating the natural food product segment to identify areas where Landec can enter their new product development or strategic acquisitions or investment. Four, advancing our Lifecore programs with key customers and development partners. Five, investing in facility expansion and equipment to meet future anticipated demand at both Apio and Lifecore. And finally, number six, supporting Windset and its expansion plans to build new hydroponic controlled atmosphere structures using new growing methods for new crops. We are now open to questions.