Molly Hemmeter
Analyst · Sidoti
Thanks, Greg. Consistent with our revised guidance in our release on December 8, 2015 for all of fiscal year 2016 we are projecting that revenues will increase 3% to 6%, operating income 25% to 35% and net income 10% to 20% compared to fiscal year 2015. The revised guidance for fiscal 2016 includes a record year at Lifecore and significant reduction in the projected increase in our Windset investment from our original guidance. Our guidance also includes the significant contingency for sourcing issues at Apio during the second half of fiscal year 2016. That being said, produce shortages have continued throughout December and into January which have exceeded our expectations for this time period. Therefore as El Nino rains have a larger impact on supply in California and Mexico than we have anticipated, or heavy rains in Florida persist, this contingency may not be sufficient and results could be further affected. We are currently estimating that more than half our annual net income will occur during our fiscal fourth quarter due to improve supply conditions during our fourth quarter versus that of our third quarter. We also have plans in place to recover some of the unplanned cost we are incurring through a list of cost reduction and productivity improvement initiative. Thus, we are reiterating our revised guidance. Regarding Windset, we are estimating that Windset's lower production volume during our fiscal second quarter will reduce the increase in the fair market value of our investment in our Windset to an increase of $1.2 million to $1.4 million in fiscal 2016, down from our original projection of approximately $4 million. Including the lower fair market value increase for this year than originally projected, by fiscal year end 2016 we have well have realized a 24% annual return since our original investment in Windset in February of 2011. Windset is still working on permitting issues with the County of Santa Barbara for a new type of greenhouse structure to be used for new crop Windset is not currently selling commercially. Concurrently in the event the approval from the County of Santa Barbara is further delayed, Windset is working with city of Santa Maria to obtain permit on owned city land to ensure commercial harvesting of a new crop begin in the fall of 2016. Our strategic initiative to develop new products and new customers expand capacity to meet anticipated demand and shift our product mix to higher margin products are working at the Lifecore and Apio. At Lifecore we have an expanding the accepted filling capacity and preparing for more HA business from existing and new customers. When completed in the summer of 2016, Lifecore will have sufficient accepting filling capacity to meet its growth plan for commercialized development opportunities that are consistent with its long term projection. Lifecore is having a record year after a down year last year. Compared to fiscal 2015, we now expect Lifecore revenues to increase approximately 25% in fiscal 2016 and operating income to increase 130% to 140%, up from prior guidance for revenue growth of 20% to 25% and operating income growth to more than double. And we now expect gross margin to return to historical levels of approximately 45%. We also expect double digit revenue and operating income growth from this business next year and for the foreseeable future. We are extremely excited about Lifecore's future prospect given the potential growth of our existing business partnership and the multitude of potential new business in its pipeline. At Apio our investments over the last three years in new product development to create highly nutritious salad kits made from super fit vegetables packed in our BreatheWay technology are paying off. Salad kits revenue increased 78% during the 12 months ended November 2015. Had we had adequate supply of produce during the first six months of fiscal year 2016, Apio's packaged fresh vegetable business would have realized the 20% increase in gross profit and gross margin would have increased to 250 basis points to 13.9% which is in line with our strategic focus at innovating on trend products for consumers. If you recall we have previously mentioned that we may be walking away from selected low margin business. Due to our inability to meet all demand in Apio during this time of severe produce shortage which is continued into December, we do expect to lose some of these customers during the second half of fiscal year 2016 due to our inability to service their need, which is reflected in our revised guidance. The loss of these customers will have an impact on revenues during the second half of fiscal year 2016, but should not have a material impact on net income in the second half. As we respond to short -term sourcing challenges at Apio, it is important to reaffirm Apio's long-term strategy for growth. Our overall plan at Apio is to understand consumer trends and to innovate and launch new products that are healthy, delicious and convenient and deliver value to consumers as well as to our customers. Approximately three years ago we launched the Sweet Kale Salad which has become the number one salad kit among club and retail stores throughout North America. Since that time we have about several new salad kits products to the product line. Combined our salad kits products are now generating $2.7 million to $3 million of revenue per week with margins considerably above our core vegetable product. Using the combination of 52 yields in data and internal estimate, we estimate that the North American market for salad kits still like club stores and retail stores is approximately $1.6 billion in retail dollar, which means the dollars that are received by the retailer. In a short three year time period, Apio salad kits have grown from 0% to 50% market share in North America, North American retail club stores. This market share is up 100 basis points since last quarter. In the retail channel for salad kits in the Canadian market Eat Smart salad kits have reached the number one market leadership position with a 38% market share over the last 52 weeks. In the US retail market, Apio salad kits have gained a 3% retail market share providing a large opportunity for future growth. We plan to continue to grow our market share in the salad kits category through innovation and new Eat Smart vegetable based salad kits that offer fresh, nutritious ingredient and unique never before offer combinations and flavors that make it easy and delicious for consumers to eat healthy. In addition, we are significantly increasing capacity for producing both Apio's core vegetable products and the n new salad kits products by more than tripling the size at our processing plant at Hanover, Pennsylvania. We expect the construction to be completed in early calendar year 2016 with new processing lines out and running shortly thereafter. In summary, our strategic initiative developing new products, expand capacity to meet anticipated demand and shift our product mix to higher value added products are working at both Lifecore and Apio. Over time these strategies will continue to deliver value to our customers and consumers and shareholders. Our continuing priorities are: Number one, investing in facility expansion and equipment, meet future anticipated demand at both Apio and Lifecore. Two, shifting our product mix to higher value added products at both Apio and Lifecore. Three, focusing on new BPO strategy and business development on researching the natural food product segment to identify areas where Landec can enter through new product development and/or strategic acquisitions or investment. Four, innovating the salad kits to broaden and strengthening our product line. Five, advancing our Lifecore programs with key customers and development partners. And finally number six, supporting Windset in its expansion plan to build new hydroponics controlled atmosphere structure using new growing methods for new crops. We are now open for questions.