Anthony Hsieh
Analyst · Piper Sandler. Kevin, your line is open.
Yes, it’s a great question. And again, I don’t want to monopolize getting through here, but, look, this is naturally – natural to me. I’ve been in this market for a long time. So let me just say that, we look at the purchase and refinance markets almost except for industries. So, when I – what my purchase to refi ratio is, I completely ignore that questions, because it’s completely two separate penetration the way I look at it. Purchase markets, we are one of the largest in-market loan officer platforms today and that is driven off of a brand and driven off the fact that it’s delivered through our proprietary technology. So, the consumers benefit from that, we see tremendous momentum in this business. We made the decision to be in this business back in 2012. When the world thought that we were not, by going back into what you want to perhaps call brick and mortar, but it’s not. Either in-market loan officers that are remote, that works and live in the communities that they serve. And we have tremendous momentum here with organic growth and we have some conversations with potential meaningful acquisition targets. In addition, we are one of the largest joint venture homebuilders – lenders in the country and we continue to have a healthy pipeline of other large institutions in the works. Or direct lending platform is a manufacturing plant and the way that I like the folks to understand is, this manufacturing plant, it is the hardest to build in mortgage lending. Arguably, there is only two at scale, ours and our number one competitor. The way to look at a direct lending operation is what type of raw materials you feed at the top of the funnel in order for the manufacturing change to make a final widget at the bottom. What that we thrown in second mortgages, personal loans, cash out refis, refinance of purchases, becomes an opportunity for the organization as we evaluate the different types of financial returns. Refinances will continue to be very, very attractive. As I stated earlier, even if we characterize refinances by 30% we are still looking at well over $1 trillion to $2 trillion of refinance opportunity. As we continue to go through this trend change, the next 2, 3, 4, 5, months, we’ll see pressure to margins, but as capacity is squeezed and pushed out of the industry, margins will return. You have to remember the industry is not here to sell $1 bill for $0.90. Margins will return it always does. But when, there is a change and there is overcapacity, that everyone starts to get aggressive because they don’t want to shed capacity. It happens every time. So, as we look at purchase and refis we look at both of them separately, because they are really different opportunities.