Tom Casey
Analyst · David Chiaverini with Wedbush Securities. Please proceed
Thanks, Scott, and hello, everyone. Today I will be talking about our financial results and will be referencing several slides from our presentation during our prepared remarks. So you may want to have that handy. So let’s get started. As Scott mentioned, we reported record results in the first quarter, with revenues increasing 10% sequentially and more than doubling every year to $290 million. Net income increased to $41 million, up 40% sequentially and nearly $90 million year-over-year. Our revenues and net income grew very strong during the quarter, as we had great execution across the business, driving strong in period results, while continuing to invest in the future. I will switch it to slide 11 to 13. You can see sequential revenue growth primarily reflected in the increase in both marketplace revenue and our returns to interest income. Marketplace revenue grew 6% to $180 million and loan origination grew 5%, with our growth investments from Q4 paying off and we continue to leverage benefits for our large member base, data and testing average. Recurring net interest income also contributed to grow $100 million in the quarter, a 20% increase reflecting both the growth in our health and investment portfolio, as well as an increase in mix of consumer loans that generates higher yield. HFI portfolio, excluding PPP loans, grew 23% sequentially in the midst of personal loans increased to 69% of HFI portfolio from 62% at the end of 2021. During the quarter, we retained 27% or $856 million of new consumer loan originations, which is 7 points or $212 million above the midpoint of the 15% to 25% range we shared with you previously. As we said in the past, we earned about 3 times more on loans retained compared to loans sold. So while retaining loans reduces our revenue and earrings in a given quarter, it is an excellent return on equity and provides a very attractive recurring stream of interest income. Importantly with our excess capital and strong earnings we now expect to retain approximately 20% to 25% of originations for the remainder of the year. Moreover, if we outperform in any given quarter like we did this quarter, we may choose to go above this targeted range given the attractive ROI on these loans. You will see on page 14 of our presentation that in Q1 our net interest margin increased to 8.6% to 8.3% in the prior quarter and 3.3% a year earlier, primarily reflecting a higher mix of consumer loans. Yields on unsecured consumer loans were down 44 basis points sequentially to 15.22%, reflecting our strategy to shift our overall mix to higher quality [inaudible] loans. In Q1 we also grew deposits 27% sequentially to $4 billion, which helps fund our growing consumer loan portfolio. This increased reflected growth primarily in high yield savings accounts, resulting in an increase in our overall average deposit cost to 42 basis points from 38 basis points in the prior quarter and with the borrowing curve projected rate to be up about 225 basis points, we expect rates of deposit to increase throughout the year. We also anticipate higher interest rates to impact our marketplace revenue as loan funding costs for investors will increase. As part of our growth plan, we have deliberately targeted investors with lower leverage and exposure to capital markets, which should mitigate the impact of rising rates on investor demand. The ongoing reassessment of balance sheet combined with short duration of a product should also allow us to reposition relatively quickly, although it could take a few quarters for our business to adjust the changing market conditions. With regard to credit quality, we remain key performance of our portfolio and I point you to page 15, which shows that 30-plus date liquidity rates on our total portfolio, including solid loans, remains low, delinquency rates on our retained HFI portfolio over the last year are below that of the total prime book and we expect them to increase in line with our expectations as the portfolio seasons over time. For the quarter, CECL provisions for retail loans was $52.5 million and total charge-offs were approximately $9 million. At the end of the first quarter, our allowance for credit loan losses as a percentage of HFI for our consumer loan portfolio increased to 6.6% from 6.4%. Commercial credit quality loans remained very strong, but we had a modest debt recovery during the quarter. Now let’s turn to expense and I would point you to page 16. We maintain tight control of our expenses as we continue to grow revenues faster than expected. Expenses grew 42% year-over-year, despite the increase of our expenses, as we grew our revenues by 174%. Expenses were up 3% or 2% sequentially, primarily reflecting $5 million increase in marketing expenses, which were up 9%, driven by loan origination growth and the increased mix of new customers. Total managed expense benefited from a $5 million reduction related to bank integration costs incurred in the fourth quarter. On an adjusted basis, total expenses were up approximately $8 million or 4%. As integration costs have rolled off, we are operating at a higher level of efficiency, with revenue up 10% and expenses up 2%, our efficiency ratio improved 66% from 72% in the prior quarter. We would expect Q2 to be in a similar range, while our ambition is to continue to drive that number down over time, the macroeconomic environment may put some pressure on that in the back half of the year. More importantly, I like to point you to page nine, where you can see the fundamental shift our business model has had on our margin. On a similar origination level we delivered over $100 million incremental revenue and over $40 million higher GAAP net income when compared to our pre-pandemic pure marketplace model. This is a profound shift in our business and not only prudent with our financial performance, but also increases our resiliency and provides us with a new set of tools to manage a dynamic operating environment. Now let’s move on to the capital and our outlook on taxes. We exited Q1 with a strong balance sheet and our CET ratio remains very strong at 16%. We grew tangible book value to $792 million at the end of Q1 from $752 million at end of 2021. And the book value excludes our net deferred tax assets of approximately $210 million, comprised of $140 million federal and $70 million of state deferred tax assets. We continue to maintain a full valuation allowance on these tax assets. However, as we continue to achieve record results, our forecast of profitability will result in a release of that reserve. While timing of the amount is uncertain when release it will be a material tax benefit recorded through income statement that will increase our tangible book value. We do not expect to pay federal cash tax this year, although our effective rate for GAAP reporting will increase to approaching 27% in the year following the reserve release. I now point you page 10 to highlight a new metric we are introducing to help communicate our underlying performance and growth, pre-tax, pre-provision income. As you saw this quarter, we retained 27% of our loan originations and it had a meaningful impact on our reported results as we deferred the recognition of the origination fee and recognized the upfront non-cash fees to provision, and as we continue to grow our loan portfolio, this will continue to impact our reported results. Importantly, we believe this metric to be a good indicator of an underlying growth rate as it will not be impacted by the percentage of loans we hold in any given quarter, nor the changes in our effective tax rate as a result of the release of the taxes I mentioned earlier. So for the quarter, our pre-tax pre-provision income was $98 million, up $24 million or 33% sequentially, which highlights a certain trajectory of our new business model. Now I would like to talk about our forward guidance and how we are thinking about the rest of the year. Overall, our results continue to highlight the power of our business model in a relatively steady state. Our guidance includes our Q1 outperformance and updated expectations for Q2, while carefully considering the increased uncertainty around the environment for the back half of this year. This year we are raising our revenue, earnings and origination outlook. For Q2, we expect to grow revenues to $295 million to $305 million, an increase of 44% to 49% year-over-year. We expect net income of $40 million to $45 million, an increase of 327% to 380% year-over-year. For the year we are updating our origination guidance to $13 million to $13.5 million, compared to a prior expectation of approximately $13 million. We are also increasing our revenue outlook by $50 million to $1.15 billion to $1.25 billion, with increases in GAAP income by $50 million, with a new range of $145 million to $165 million. All the guidance for Q2 and full year results do not factor any potential benefit from the release or the valuation allowance and we continue to expect the effective tax rate to be approximately 10% in 2022. We are off to a terrific start. Our new enhanced model provides us with a great deal to make them, and we will respond appropriately as business conditions change and expect to outperform the industry. With that, let me turn the call over to the Operator for questions.