William Reiman
Analyst · Alliance Global Partners
Yes. Actually in Idaho today, David. Thank you. As David said, the second quarter really is highlighted by really strong demand in almond and pistachio markets. We've seen almost weekly price increases in almonds and really strong bumps in pistachio grower pricing. We also reported last quarter about early marketing bonus that was announced in February. We received that in April. So yes, and I also read that just yesterday that these are the strongest almond prices we've had in 10 years. Haven't done that research myself, but those trends are really good. This upward trend in crop prices, coupled with really a largely uneventful quarter as far as weather and growing conditions are concerned, has kept our budget projections on track to outperform the 2025 crop year and tracking really well for 2026. Our primary pistachio processor recently announced an expected final pricing for 2025 crop of at least $2.70 a pound per split in-shell, certainly is higher than we have projected all year. They also announced initial pricing for 2026 of $2.50 a pound per split in-shell, which is 2/3 higher than it was for last year. So these are significant gold price increases that will have a major impact on all of our properties under modified lease arrangements, ones we operate directly and even our crop share lease agreements. We began shaking almonds on July 28. So harvest season is here. The almond crop in our properties looks slightly larger than last year's crop. So we expect at least the same yields, maybe a little bit better. Reports across the state are saying yields in general are slightly lower, which is one of the factors supporting these price increases. Pistachio ordered everywhere extremely light like we reported last quarter. We believe the overall industry was a little overly optimistic initially, but because we were projecting a much lower crop than many of our neighbors. But in the last 30 days or so, that reality has settled in. And that in turn has caused buyers to bump up offers for new crop to levels that are way above last year. Crop expenses continue to track within our original budgets. There's been a lot of discussion in marketing circles about how to handle such a down year without jeopardizing what's likely to be a very strong production year in 2027. We feel our processors are positioned in the industry to maintain pricing so that 2027 will be 2025, even if we have a barn door busting crop yield. Wine grape market really hasn't changed a lot. The 2026 crop is early, harvest has started all over the West. So we expect that '26 crop to be down and not just because of removals, just the crop looks light. It's an encouraging sign and couple that with bulk wine inventories finally getting closer to manageable levels. We hope to see better demand for new crop this year and in the next couple of seasons. So we may be finally -- we may finally be at a place where the industry is on the backside of the oversupply situation. In real estate markets, we talked last quarter, we think in the Western U.S., we think most real estate markets have bottomed out and are starting to get stronger again, are seeing a strong divergence in valuations around water cost and availability. So properties with good cash flow potential are also getting strong attention. Coastal California values remain flat with higher than normal inventory. Pacific Northwest is stable with really good properties transacting swiftly. I'd say values and rents are stable. Stable interest rates, combined with profitable crop price and tree nuts is resulting in a little more lending activity. We're seeing growers a little bit easier getting lines of credit, appears these banks have money to lend. There's a clear path to cover debt payments, financing deals can get done. And I'll end my portion on water. Winter was a little disappointing, particularly from a snowpack perspective and federal water allocations were really disappointing. We did get an additional 3% bump in allocation yesterday, which doesn't sound like a lot, but it helps not only free up a little bit of water, but lowers the pricing in some of our water deals that we have in place. We're finding decent purchase opportunities, but we remain diligent and conservative with what we go after. Our goal is to only acquire water at a price that fits into the economics of a particular crop in a particular area. Look at the long-term forecast, weather forecast, I think everybody sees it in the newspapers and online, a very strong El Nino situation coming this winter. So we're making preparations for a long water situation for next -- this upcoming winter. So there should be some really good opportunities for water acquisitions and beyond just acquisitions, flood flows, that's kind of what we're keeping an eye on being able -- being prepared to take on excess water during storming periods. So the team continues to evaluate all these opportunities and the goal continues to be to strengthen the overall water security of the portfolio, both through long-term, short-term strategic water purchases and continue to invest in water delivery, storage infrastructure and identifying opportunities to create synergies across our farm assets. That's it for me, and I'll turn it over to our CFO, Lewis Parrish.