Brian Harris
Analyst · KBW. Please proceed with your question
Well, I try not to figure out what other people are doing. But I know internally at our end of things, it's not a surprise I think we're probably getting more payoffs than anybody else. And one of the - there's two reasons for that. One is we have very high floors, and we deal with smaller loans. And so our loans are readily financeable by lots of people, as opposed to people who can write $100 million loans. Secondly, we have short maturity dates, you know, we don't usually use the CLO market, which tends to default to a three plus one plus one, you know, with a LIBOR floor, you know, we write two-year loans with a one-year extension. And if you're not doing well, after two years, then one year extension isn't there. So as a result, we get right on top of, you know, problems very quickly. And I learned a long time ago, it's better to get on top of things when there's a lot of liquidity around. And banks are not taking losses. And you know, of course, you always want to pressure test your portfolio, and by being able to move $100 million loan in bankruptcy in Texas for $100 million, and moving a hotel in Miami, I think it was a $45 million loan, we sold it for just under $44 million, you know, slight loss there. And probably we could have done something with that asset. But given the damage, I think we can do right now with a lot of capital, I think it's much easier, it's we're trying to run a low friction business, we're not trying to run a big real estate operation. But we are seeing, you know, some pretty good opportunities here. And I would say that, you know, some of these assets that we're selling, in many ways, it's similar to when we sold securities back in April, we, you know, that probably wasn't the best idea to sell those at 96. But first of all, we were able to prove to ourselves, we could sell them at 96, when the world was thinking maybe we were down 20 points, which was crazy. So you know, that all came back. But I think you know, the opportunity set that we see here, and just holding capital, we held capital for liquidity purposes, because one I had a high rate bond outstanding five and seven eighths, we have raised our interest costs temporarily. And we're aware of that. We do have some maturity dates coming up. So I know for instance, we have about $450 million coming due in a year from now. Now most people don't even think about that a year from now. We think about that two years from before it's due date. So we're going to try to get that refinanced. And so I think we have a lot of cash around so that we can't really get pushed around by lenders and, and also have the ability to pick and choose our spots. We don't have to worry about if it's securitized bubble or whether a BP sky [ph] will buy it or whether a rating agency likes it. You know, we handle our own credit. And you know, we always talk to the rating agencies, and they said, well, we're going to see how you guys do in a recession. All right, well, they're going see how we did in this recession. And we're not out of it yet. So we're not we're not doing any premature victory laps, but it sure looks pretty good to me. I think if you've got rate floors, that sick, low 6% yields and rates on the 10, year were below 1%, and your loans are not paying off, you ought to be getting ready for a couple of problems. And I don't know how it gets handled elsewhere in the world. But I would expect to see a lot of payoffs, if the credit underwriting is tight, and lots of pay off creates lots of liquidity, and especially when you're not riding alone. So I think the post mortem on this whole pandemic, hopefully at ladder will be we shut off the earnings column, you know, and just wrote earnings for 10 or 11 months. And then we turned it back on, and hopefully, it'll be just like the health emergency that we all experienced here. Pamela is bucking here, say something. So I'm going let her get in. But, you know, I think the difference is, you know, we, we there isn't, there's only four assets in the company, right? We have real estate, we have securities, we have loans, and we have cash. We were trading at 50% of book value six months ago. This is the first time we've been on a call where our cash holdings are lower than our market value. And so despite the fact that the stock went up about 60%, in the last quarter, our cash rose faster than the stock. And so this, this company hasn't begun to stretch yet. And the fact that we're holding a lot of cash, I don't know why it scares people. It shouldn't. It should. I would think that's pretty prudent. But if we're going to go out and face bondholders for unsecured debt, we better look them in the eye and say when the pandemic hit, here's what we did a, b and c we bought back bonds. We paid you off early. You know, we're looking to come back to an unsecured market again, and here we are walking through the door at point eight times leverage and you know, the market. You know, one thing we see on the residential mortgage resize, they don't give it sorry, they don't care if the companies are levered 10 to one. And I personally think it's a very dangerous situation, if you're levered like that. And, you know, we've preached lack of leverage for years now on these calls. And in April, people thought we were over leveraged. Okay. I can't I can't explain to the stock market, why they think what they think I it is baffling to me. And I missed the days of being a private company badly. Because, you know, you walk in and you talk to people who understand what you're talking about. But, you know, we have been issued cell recommendations because people think we're going to cut our dividends. Or we said, we weren't going to, I don't know why that didn't count. We have a billion dollars in cash, and we have a clear path to growing into our dividends. And we raised our dividend five times when LIBOR went up, we cut it once. You know, when we said we're doing this one time, so I must tell you, I'm a little baffled by what people are looking at when they think we're going to cut our dividends.