Dave Kelly
Analyst · Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead
Thank you, Joe. The ability of our team to execute extremely well in our core business during this very difficult year and the critical decisions made to pursue business outside of our core, allowed us to not only maintain valuable infrastructure, but to also deliver exceptional results to our shareholders. Full year revenues of $1.4 billion and earnings per share of $2.62 represent year-over-year increases of 3.3% on a billing day basis and 14.4%, respectively. Driven by our strong tech performance, fourth quarter revenues of $354 million significantly exceeded our expectations and reflect a continued strengthening of performance in each quarter, since the beginning of the pandemic. Earnings per share of $0.86 grew 30.3% year-over-year. Our gross profit percentage in the quarter of 28.4% was stable sequentially, and decreased 80 basis points year-over-year as a result of a lower direct hire revenue mix and a decrease in overall flex gross profit margins. Our flex gross profit percentage of 26.5% declined 20 basis points sequentially due to usual holiday impacts, and 40 basis points year-over-year. The primary driver to the flex margin decline was the impact of the lower margin COVID-19 revenue on our FA business. Flex margins in FA declined 100 basis points year-over-year. Flex margins in our technology business declined 30 basis points year-over-year, due primarily to slight spread compression and slightly higher healthcare costs. Average bill rates in technology of nearly $80 per hour have increased nearly 4% over the past year. As we have previously stated, our clients have generally retained the more highly skilled and highly compensated consultants since the onset of the pandemic, given the scarcity of talent, which has positively influenced both overall bill rate and overall length of assignment. Average bill rates in our FA business, exclusive of COVID-19 revenues, were generally stable at $37 per hour. As we look forward to Q1, we expect bill rates and bill/pay spreads in both our technology and FA businesses to be relatively stable. We are seeing continued growth in our managed teams and solutions business, which carries an overall higher average bill rate. These higher rate, higher margin projects should help bring rate and spread stability in a competitive environment, and over the longer term create leverage to increase margins and overall profitability. While we expect stability in overall spreads, flex margins will be negatively impacted in the first quarter by approximately 110 basis points relative to Q4 due to seasonal payroll tax resets. Overall SG&A expenses decreased as a percentage of revenue by 170 basis points year-over-year, due to improved associate productivity, solid expense management and lower costs in areas such as travel and office expenses. These positive trends will continue into the first quarter, as we embrace the remote work environment brought on by the pandemic. SG&A expenses in Q1 will be up slightly from Q4 in terms of percentage, due primarily to payroll tax resets, but will be lower than the first quarter last year in terms of both percentage and dollars, despite significantly higher revenues. Our fourth quarter operating margin was 6.8%, which once again exceeded previously communicated operating margin targets. We believe the improving quality of our revenue stream, continued productivity improvements and ongoing lower operating costs will collectively drive improved profitability. As a result, we are raising our operating margin targets by approximately 20 basis points from prior expectations. This increase is reflected in our full year 2021 expectation of operating margins of between 6% and 6.3%. Our effective tax rate in the third quarter was 20.1%, which was lower than we anticipated due to a greater tax benefit realized upon the vesting of our long-term incentive awards as a result of an increase in Kforce’s stock price. The majority of our long-term incentive awards vest annually in the fourth quarter. Next, I’ll spend a few minutes discussing our operating cash flows and liquidity position. Operating cash flows were $15 million in the fourth quarter and slightly greater than $109 million for the full year. We continued to benefit from the deferral of approximately $13 million in payroll taxes under the CARES Act in the fourth quarter, bringing the total deferral for the year to nearly $39 million. Our strong operating cash flows resulted in us ending 2020 with $3.5 million of net cash versus net debt of $45.2 million at the end of 2019. In addition to retiring all of our outstanding debt, we returned approximately $46 million in capital to our shareholders in 2020, through $29.4 million in share repurchases and $16.8 million in dividend payments. We generated roughly $97 million in EBITDA in 2020. Our strong cash flows, debt-free balance sheet and $300 million revolving credit facility, provide ample liquidity to operate the business, even in extreme conditions, and flexibility to opportunistically allocate resources to areas such as acquisitions and returning capital to our shareholders, while also continuing to make investments to organically grow the business. As a signal of our belief in the strength of our operating trends going into 2021, our Board of Directors approved a 15% increase to our quarterly dividend effective in the first quarter. This increase will bring our dividend yield to roughly 2% at current stock price levels. The continued macro-economic uncertainty and the unpredictability of our current COVID-19 revenue stream leads us to continue providing a broader range in our guidance. Our billing days are 63 days in the first quarter, which is one more day than Q4, 2020, and one day fewer in Q1, 2020. We expect Q1 revenues to be in the range of $354 million to $364 million, and earnings per share to be between $0.57 and $0.65. Gross margins are expected to be between 27.4% and 27.6%, while Flex margins are expected to be between 25.4% and 25.6%. SG&A as a percent of revenue is expected to be between 21.6% and 21.8%, and operating margins should be between 5.2% and 5.6%. Weighted average diluted shares outstanding are expected to be approximately 21.5 million for Q1, and the anticipated effective tax rate is 28%. As a reminder, first quarter operating margins are typically impacted by approximately 150 basis points, due to seasonal impacts of annual payroll tax resets. This also impacts earnings per share by approximately $0.20. This guidance does not consider the potential negative impact on the demand environment from a significant increase in COVID-19 cases, the effect, if any, of charges related to any one-time costs, costs or charges related to any pending tax or legal matters, the impact on revenues of any disruption in government funding, or the Firm’s response towards regulatory, legal or future tax law changes. To better assist in understanding how our business may change over the course of 2021, we have provided some detail on our full year revenue and profitability expectations in our press release. This information reflects an expectation of full year revenue growth in our technology business of between 8% and 12%. Ranges provided for our FA unit reflect the net impact of revenue declines from business that we are no longer pursuing due to our strategic migration to higher end skill sets. We have also provided our most up-to-date expectations for our COVID-19 revenues, which we currently believe may end in the first-half of the year. In terms of profitability, we have reflected the improved operating margins I mentioned earlier and resulting earnings per share. We are very pleased with our performance in 2020, and believe that demand for technology resources in 2021 will continue to strengthen. As our revenue mix evolves, we expect to enter 2022 with 85% of our revenues focused in technology, which permeates every aspect of business and society, and an FA business that is directly focused on complimenting those technology efforts. We have built an exceptional team and armed them with a technology-enabled operating model that we believe, will allow us to outperform the market on a sustained basis. Our strong financial position and bias for ongoing investment will further enable the team to excel in providing resources and solutions critical to the success of every company in every industry. On behalf of our entire management team, I’d like to extend a sincere thank you to our teams for their efforts in overcoming the challenges of the past year and making it a resounding success. Operator, we would now like to turn the call over for questions.