Karen Brennan
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, Christian. Our strong results reflect continued disciplined execution as well as the impact of our investments in strategic initiatives over the past several years. We are encouraged by the broad recovery in our industry and business, particularly Capital Markets and Leasing, and the fact that fee revenue and profitability surpassed 2019 levels in certain service lines by region. The recovery had exceeded our expectations to date, and we are optimistic about the second half of the year though significant uncertainty remains around the evolution of the pandemic and global economy. Our balance sheet provides a strong footing to confidently execute our path forward and build upon our operating momentum. Prior to providing a detailed review of our operating performance, I remind everyone that variances are against the prior year period in local currency, unless otherwise noted. Our overall real estate services fee revenue increased 43% in the second quarter with all regions generating double-digit growth, due in part to lapping COVID-impacted results from the prior year. Of note, Capital Markets fee revenue increased 110%, inclusive of investment sales advisory up 105%; debt advisory up 157% and loan servicing revenue up 26%, reflecting the market recovery as well as the strength and breadth of our global platform. Our leasing fee revenue grew 69% and was only down 3% from second quarter 2019. The Real Estate Services adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.2% compares with 6.6% a year earlier. The benefits from our cost reduction actions taken in 2020 and the strong execution and recovery within our transaction-based revenue streams were key drivers of our strong margin performance. Approximately $16 million of noncash valuation increases to investments by JLL Technologies in early-stage proptech companies and a $6 million multifamily loan loss reserve release contributed approximately 130 basis points to the Real Estate Services adjusted EBITDA margin. It is important to note that second quarter margins clearly benefited from an expense base that is not yet fully normalized, particularly the variable components, such as T&E, but also fixed compensation costs. In the near term, we intend to accelerate hiring for critical positions to execute on growth opportunities that we see ahead. Turning to the Americas. Fee revenue grew year-over-year across all service lines, most markedly in Capital Markets and Leasing. Within Americas Capital Markets, fee revenue from U.S. investment advisory sales grew 146% and U.S. debt advisory increased 153%. The U.S. Capital Markets service line witnessed a pronounced rebound with optimism broadening from high-growth areas such as Industrial to other segments of the market, including Retail, Office and Hotels. Our multifamily debt origination and loan servicing businesses continue to demonstrate strong momentum, highlighted by 26% growth in our loan servicing fee revenue. Our Americas Capital Markets pipeline has increased from the prior quarter. Now to Americas Leasing. Our growth meaningfully outperformed the market, driven by continued gains in the industrial sector as well as strength in Retail, Office and Life Sciences. Transaction velocity has increased meaningfully, though average deal size has declined. Our full year 2021 Americas leasing growth pipeline is up 38% from 2020 and 7% from 2019, supporting our optimism for continued strong growth in the second half of 2021, though the evolution of the pandemic will continue to be the critical factor in the recovery rate. The Americas office sector remains below pre-pandemic levels, but we are encouraged by a multitude of factors indicating an improving market environment. According to JLL Research, there was a 5% increase from the first quarter in net effective rents in Class A offices across major U.S. cities, bringing the rents to approximately 15% below pre-pandemic levels. Also, average lease terms increased for the second consecutive quarter to 7.4 years from the fourth quarter 2020 trough of 6.7 years, though it remains below the full year 2019 average of 8.6 years. Renewals as a percent of the transaction mix, however, remain about 2x the historical average mix, at about 56% in the second quarter. From a profitability standpoint for the quarter, the Americas adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 22.2% from 10.8%, driven primarily by strong growth in transactional businesses as well as the benefit from cost mitigation actions taken in 2020 and an unsustainably low headcount and cost base. Noncash evaluation increases within our JLL Technologies investments and release of a portion of the multifamily loan loss reserve contributed approximately 180 basis points to the expansion. In EMEA, fee revenues grew year-over-year across all service lines in much of the region, in part due to reducing pandemic headwinds. Fee revenue within each of the EMEA capital markets Leasing and Valuation Advisory within the Advisory, Consulting and Other service line was ahead of 2019 levels as vaccinations and a return to the office trend has led to improved market sentiment. EMEA leasing growth was broad-based across sectors, but most pronounced in Office and Industrial. EMEA's second quarter profitability was the highest it has been in several years, driven by the higher fee revenue, particularly in the transactional businesses as well as the cost savings, especially in fixed compensation from actions taken over the past year. Asia Pacific fee revenue growth accelerated to 26% from 12% in the first quarter as activity picked up across most service lines, most notably in Capital Markets and Leasing. However, our performance was mixed across the region due to varying pandemic recoveries. Asia Pacific Capital Markets fee revenue exceeded the 2019 level, and its particularly strong year-over-year growth was driven largely by several large transactions in Australia. Asia Pacific leasing activity continues to pick up across most countries, but the pandemic resurgence is weighing on momentum across the region. Asia Pacific Advisory and Consulting fee revenue materially exceeded the second quarter 2019 level, with strong growth driven largely by our Valuation Advisory service. On a global basis, Property & Facility Management service line fee revenue growth was steady, much like it has been throughout the pandemic. Growth of more annuity-like business is more than offsetting nonrecurring revenues from quick response tasks like supporting pop-up medical sites we saw in 2020. Additionally, our U.K. mobile engineering business has benefited from some easing and lockdowns compared to the prior year quarter. Corporate occupiers and investors seek our services not only for higher building management standards but also JLL's broad views regarding best practices in reopening the workplace. Our global Work Dynamics business fee revenue growth improved to 8%, driven by sustained good growth in the Americas and EMEA starting to recover from the pandemic impact. We are encouraged by the number of new client wins and contract expansions that are fueling the growth, which is further buoyed by the secular outsourcing trend. Corporations are increasingly seeking our extensive knowledge and the breadth of our services, including sustainability, delivered seamlessly under our One JLL philosophy. Turning to LaSalle. Fee revenue increased 10%, driven largely by advisory fee growth within its core open-end funds. Incentive fees of $15 million were driven by strong performance in our public securities mandates. We now anticipate full year 2021 incentive fees of approximately $45 million, with approximately $10 million coming in the third quarter. LaSalle's assets under management grew approximately 6% from the prior quarter to $73 billion, driven by valuations and continued capital raising and investment. LaSalle's $23 million of equity earnings primarily reflects noncash fair value increases across our co-investment portfolio, including our J-REIT. Shifting now to an update on our balance sheet and capital allocation. Our balance sheet remains strong, with reported leverage of 0.6x and liquidity of $2.9 billion inclusive of cash on hand and undrawn credit facility capacity, providing us a solid foundation to execute on our strategic priorities. We are continuously evaluating growth opportunities, both organic and inorganic, and plan to continue to invest in both LaSalle co-investments and in our JLL Technologies initiatives, which comprise 2 buckets: one, investments in early-stage prop-tech companies that are transforming the real estate industry; and two, investments in technology companies that accompany strategic partnerships to drive revenue growth, such as our investment in rootstock earlier this year. Overall, we have not completed any significant M&A year-to-date, but are constantly reviewing potential opportunities, holding to our underwriting standards and return thresholds comfortably above our cost of capital. Importantly, we are committed to returning capital to shareholders while also investing in our business. Through the end of July, we repurchased $100 million of stock year-to-date and have $500 million remaining on our authorization. The repurchases to date are roughly equivalent to full year 2020 and more than double the annual dividends distributed in the years preceding 2020. The level of capital return to shareholders in any particular year will be dependent on a variety of factors, including debt levels, investment opportunities and return expectations, amongst others. As we move through the balance of 2021 and next year, we will evaluate the use of capital in the context of the current and anticipated opportunities and the broader economic environment. We will continue to focus on maintaining flexibility to invest for growth, both organic and inorganic, while maintaining our investment-grade balance sheet and returning cash to shareholders. Looking ahead to the second half of 2021, the market environment is quite dynamic, and we are mindful of tightening labor markets globally and an uneven recovery across markets and business lines. Our improving underlying business fundamentals, strengthening pipelines, global diversified platform and added visibility on the macroeconomic recovery give us confidence that the momentum in the first half of the year is likely to continue. As Christian mentioned, we are now targeting to operate within an adjusted EBITDA margin range of 16% to 19% for the full year 2021. This is due to the strong momentum in the business and increased visibility into a post-COVID operating environment as well as the number of steps we've taken to strengthen our business and operate more efficiently over the past several years, including the successful integration of HFF and the cost reduction actions in 2020. We do expect our cost base to increase in the second half of this year as we continue to invest in our strategic priorities and growth initiatives across business lines, such as our technology capabilities and people, which will drive long-term value. While we maintain strong cost discipline, we continue to expect certain variable costs, such as T&E to gradually return. I also reiterate the first half of 2021 included $89 million of equity earnings and $14 million of loan loss reserve releases. Considering these factors, our earnings mix between the first half and the second half of the year will be different versus prior years, and that we will still expect the majority of our earnings to be generated in the second half of the year, but not to the same extent as in prior years. We will target to run the company in the near term within the adjusted EBITDA margin range of 16% to 19%, and we will be undertaking a holistic analysis of our long-term financial targets, and we'll have more to share with you next year on this topic. In closing, I would like to thank my JLL colleagues for their outstanding efforts and collaboration to deliver best-in-class service to our clients, which is clearly reflected in our financial results. Christian, back to you.