Timothy Main
Analyst · Stifel, Nicolaus
Thank you, Forbes. I'm referring now to Slide 15. The company is exceeding its long-term growth targets since fiscal 2011. We'll post revenue based on the midpoint of our guidance for Q4, revenue of approximately $16.4 billion, roughly a $3 billion growth rate over the previous year. About $500 million of that growth has come in High Velocity, representing about a 10% growth rate year-over-year. $800 million will come from the Enterprise Infrastructure area, representing about an 18% growth rate year-over-year. And looking at the Diversified Manufacturing Services area, healthcare and its mutation should grow year-over-year about 31%, Industrial & Clean Tech about 18%, and Specialized Services, 64%, resulting in overall growth in Diversified Manufacturing Services year-over-year of $1.7 billion or 40%. We're very pleased with this performance. Please move to Slide 16. With this growth in Diversified Manufacturing Services, in particular, the company believes it is differentiated and resulting in a much more sustainable portfolio of businesses. This chart indicates the progression of the percentage of business of the 3 business areas: High Velocity, Enterprise & Infrastructure and Diversified Manufacturing Services over the course of Q1 2010 over the 8-quarter period to the midpoint of guidance for Q4 2011. Our largest segment now and for the past couple of quarters is Diversified Manufacturing Services, which is well on its way to being 45% to 50% of our overall business, and we have a high levels of confidence that this will result in more resilient and sustainable business for our company in future years. Please turn to Slide 17. Let's talk about Diversified Manufacturing Services a little bit further. We believe we're now the premier player in the Diversified Manufacturing Services. Right now, it's that our competitors don't group their businesses this way. We think this is a very rich diversified area for Jabil's differentiation and business model capabilities, and its 33% comp annual growth rates since fiscal 2009, growing to an almost $6 billion business for us in fiscal 2011. On a standalone basis, I think it's interesting to note that on a standalone basis, this would be the fastest-growing business and a top 5 player in terms of the North American EMS industry. So we're very happy with the performance of Diversified Manufacturing Services. There's a lot of questions about how sustainable this is and how differentiated, how can we sustain this type of growth and expectation going forward. Please turn to Slide 18. Let's talk a little bit about differentiation in Diversified Manufacturing Services. In the Materials Technology Group, I think we're uniquely differentiated in materials technology, not only is that helping that part of our business grow at very rapid rates, it's providing excellent synergistic value to targeted markets, such as healthcare and other areas. We believe we're the strongest player in the Aftermarket Services with excellent depth and our capabilities, and we're taking these capabilities and diversifying into new geographies and markets. In Healthcare & Instrumentation, we're well beyond the electronics core in healthcare. We're focused on product development and full systems, and we're really focusing on the high-growth areas of healthcare. It's well beyond the electronics envelope in this business area, and this happens to be a segment where a high mix, high complexity manufacturing is extremely important. And based in our business size and our success here, we believe that our company is the premier high-mix, high-complexity manufacturer. Over 70% of our production is produced in large quantities of less than 100, and that's for the overall business. And it's certainly much higher mix and higher complexity in the Healthcare & Instrumentation segment on its own. In Industrial & Clean Tech, we're early mover in the Clean Tech business and have broad participation in the entire investor and Clean Tech ecosystem, and our intent is to continue to build on that strength. Slide 19. Our number one priority as a company is to deliver excellence in customer service. We think we're making progress in that area in our operational performance. Our scale is advancing in targeted markets. We believing we have differentiated services and capabilities, focused on Lean and productivity. It allows us to continuously reduce costs to a point where our operating margins and EBITDA margins lead the industry. You can see from the chart on the right that from fiscal '09, our core operating margins at 2% this year. We'll run the full year, it will be our -- in the fourth quarter, it will be our fifth consecutive quarter of core operating margins above 4%. And at least, our fourth consecutive quarter of EBITDA margin is above 6%. In essence, with Jabil, you're getting Tier 1 scale, with EBITDA margins at 200 basis points above the Tier 1 bracket, and operating margins that are significantly higher, 50 to 100 basis points higher than our Tier 1 brother. So Tier 1 scale at niche-player margins. Turning to Slide 20, the company is increasing cash generation. This is very important. We believe we're in business to produce cash flow for our shareholders, and we're moving through an inflection point wherein free cash is expected to continue increasing. This free cash flow funds CapEx, acquisitions, dividends and share repurchases, such as we've just -- as Forbes has just talked about. I think it's interesting to compare the 9 months ending 5/31/2011 with the 9 months ended 5/31/2010. Cash flow from operations has increased $380 million from $142 million to $524 million. Our free cash flow has gone from a negative $96 million to a positive $226 million. We're well on the way to producing $1 billion of EBITDA in fiscal 2011 and this is starting to accumulate cash, which allows us to do things like do share repurchases and continue to invest in high-growth areas of our company. Slide 21. The results of an improving portfolio mix, a sustainable business model based on differentiation, free cash flow is beginning to produce shareholder return metrics that I think are enviable. Our GAAP return on equity and GAAP return on invested capital are both in the mid-20s, very consistent with S&P 500 metrics. We do expect free cash flow this year of approximately $330 million based on the midpoint of our Q4 guidance. We will continue to pay approximately $60 million in dividends. I mean, we are in a position where we can fund up to a $200 million share repurchase at our discretion over the next year. Slide 22. When we look at the population of companies that can put up this type of growth in cash flow and earnings over a long period of time, I think it's interesting to compare us to Fortune 500 companies. Our company's IPO was in 1993, and since our first full year as a public company through 2010, we are one of just 5 Fortune 500 companies that have posted a 16-year comp annual growth rate of 25% or better in both revenue, EBITDA and pays regular dividends. We're happy to be in this elite and record-setting group of companies, and it's our intent to continue to run the business to be able to produce those types of results over the next few years. Thank you.