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ITT Inc. (ITT)

Q1 2015 Earnings Call· Fri, May 1, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to ITT's 2015 First Quarter Results Conference Call. Today is Friday, May 1, 2015 and starting the call from ITT today is Melissa Trombetta, Vice President, Investor Relations. She is joined by Denise Ramos, Chief Executive Officer and President; Tom Scalera, Chief Financial Officer. Today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay beginning at 12:00 Noon Eastern Time. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode. And the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. [Operator Instructions]. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Melissa Trombetta. You may begin.

Melissa Trombetta

Analyst

Thank you, Maria. I'd like to highlight that this morning's presentation, press release and reconciliations of GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our Web site at itt.com/ir. During the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. No forward-looking statements can be guaranteed, and actual results may differ materially from those projected. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Forward-looking statements made on this call should be evaluated together with the risks and uncertainties that affect our business, particularly those disclosed in our SEC filings. So let's now turn to Slide number 3, where Denise will discuss our results.

Denise Ramos

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. I appreciate you joining us today as we announced our financial results for the first quarter of 2015. As you saw in the earnings material this morning, we delivered another strong operating quarter in Q1. These results reflects robust net operating productivity and the cost containment actions that we have implemented across the company to manage what we can control despite a softer than expected top line in the challenging macroeconomic environment. We have continued to see external top-line impacts from a stronger U.S. dollar, weak North American demand, delayed capital spending and challenging oil and gas and industrial market conditions. Despite these top-line challenges, we never lost our focus on strong execution, which is reflected in both our operating margins and our solid $0.65 adjusted earnings per share. Throughout the quarter, we maintained our operational intensity and we improved our adjusted segment gross margin by 210 basis points. This significantly contributed to the growth of our adjusted segment operating margin, which expanded 150 basis points to 15.2%, a new record for ITT. This expansion was driven by momentum from our ongoing LEAN transformation, restructuring savings from actions we’ve taken in our Interconnect Solutions and Industrial Process businesses, supply chain benefits and favorable margin impact from foreign currency. Delivering exceptional performance in the face of diversity is what we do at ITT and I want to tell the teams all across ITT how proud I am of the way that we collectively pull together to overcome challenges and create value for our shareholders. So now let me share some perspectives on the Q1 financial results and how they will impact our full year outlook. Organic revenue and organic orders were down 5% in the quarter, the similar dynamics impacting both. Our industrial revenue which was down 12%…

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Thanks, Denise. Now let's turn to Slide 6 for a detailed review of our first quarter results. In the quarter our organic revenue declined 5% primarily due to lower large pump projects across key segments customer directed delays and week connector shipment. The large pump project declines reflected slowing market conditions and difficult comparisons to significant prior year activity and oil and gas, petrochemical and mining end markets. These declines were partially offset by 27% increase in our short cycle base line pump performance which was supported by strong backlog entering the year and a 7% increase in the aftermarket. Weaker connector shipments drove 17% organic revenue decline at interconnects solutions. This decline includes delayed shipment due to the Mexico move disruptions weaker than expected first quarter demand across major geographies and end markets. And significant declines in our book and bill upstream oil and gas business. Automotive was strong in the quarter as Motion Technologies delivered organic growth of 3%. The Motion Technologies team delivered exceptional 16% growth in global automotive OEM brake pads including 45% growth in China 27% growth in North America and 10% growth in Europe. This growth was partially offset by lower after market volumes due to an anticipated shift and our customer's historic buying patterns and inventory management. Excluding the impact of the shift Motion Technologies would have grown 6% organically. Moving on to orders, organic orders decreased 5% this quarter due to delays and softness in large pump projects particularly in oil and gas and chemical and industrial markets. We also experienced connector weakness across key end markets including upstream oil and gas which contributed to the 15% decline that Interconnect Solutions. Partially offsetting these declines are solid orders and our motion technologies business which is up 3% on an organic basis. Motion…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This floor is now open for question. [Operator Instructions]. Thank you. Our first question is coming from Mike Halloran of Robert Baird.

Mike Halloran

Analyst

So let's start on the margin line; obviously, really strong performance this quarter. On the IP piece, maybe you could help us out with what the warranty benefit was and how sustainable that is? And then, more broadly, put that in the context of looking at the first quarter margin level and seeing how representative that is on a go forward basis relative to the revenue level. I know you just said that 2Q, maybe a little bit more project activity, so there could be some slight compression there, but just a general conversation on the IP side would be very helpful?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

The warranty gave us a couple of 100 basis points of pick up in the quarter from the margin perspective at IP. So I’d like to highlight that it's really an underlying reflection of the progress that we’re making in improving our operational effectiveness at Industrial Process. We need to kind of reach certain levels of performance with key customers to be able to clear through those issues. So the warranty does reflect the improved underlying operations that we’re building with the new IP transformation. So that was one of the drivers in the quarter but I do think it's a reflection that the productivity actions we're driving restructuring actions that we have queued up for the balance of the year are starting to kind of come together until much more efficient and effective industrial process business. So as the year progresses we continue to expect to see margin expansion more pronounced in the second half because of the incremental restructuring benefits coming through Q2 as I mentioned on the prepared remarks Q2 will come down a little bit because of the project mix which was a little lower in Q1 that we expected those projects will ship in the Q2 and create a bigger margin headwind. But the underlying effectiveness at IP is certainly improving based on the actions we've taking in the last several months.

Denise Ramos

Analyst

Yes, we're very excited about the IP business and what exactly they're achieving there. As we had said before they're in process with the organization restructuring to have it align around the three key verticals that we have in industrial process with our engineered business the industrial products business and then the aftermarket business. As Tom said we're starting to see some nice benefits flowing through that, we're going to see more and more of that as we get into the back half of the year. So they're going to be much more effective much more optimized from an operational perspective as well as recognizing the challenges that are out there from an oil price perspective in the new oil and gas market and really right sizing the organization associated with that. So we're very excited about what's happening there and as Tom indicated we're going to see some nice margin progression as we get into the back half of the year.

Mike Halloran

Analyst

And on the Motion side, two questions. One, when does the aftermarket piece start normalizing for you guys year-over-year? It sounds like it's maybe the second quarter here, but would be curious on that. And also anything on the margin progression relative to the revenue line that was abnormal in the first quarter or if that is a good base for us to build off going forward?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Sure Mike. The aftermarket actually was a margin headwind in the quarter for Motion Technologies, that’s typically the strongest volume quarter in the aftermarket. And some of those volumes are going to push out into Q2, Q3 and Q4. And this is the first time we've seen that customer use this new order pattern after this relationship which has been many, many years. So the shift will push out in the Q2, Q3 and Q4 but the margin delivery in Q1 at Motion Tech is really a solid reflection of operational execution around the world and most notably includes the benefits from the China operations. And as you know we've been making significant investments in scaling out that facility and the team there both from the KONI, Wuxi team and our friction team in KONI are continuing to really rock out solid efficiency gains. And that was really the margin story at motion technologies we faced a bigger headwind from less aftermarket and more than exceeded it on really good foundational work in China.

Mike Halloran

Analyst

And then last one for me. Stripping out the oil and gas and just referring to the industrial growth that you highlighted in the guidance-related comments, what gives you some confidence that the growth rate gets better from the first quarter on an organic basis from here? We have certainly heard other companies talk about deteriorating CapEx environment a little bit more pressure on the industrial lines, so wouldn't mind hearing what's unique about your portfolio that gives you the confidence in that growth.

Denise Ramos

Analyst

One of the interesting things when you look at the growth for IP M we're all projecting for the back half of the year. While we expect to see some improvements from what we saw on Q1 we are really not expecting to see a dramatic improvement in our sales and in the IP business. But what we do expect to see is that the oil and gas we see continued challenges in that with projects, we are doing much better with the aftermarket and the baseline performance in the business. So when you saw what happened in Q1 with our baseline being up a strong as it is with 27% lot of from that backlog last year but still a good indicator and then our aftermarket being up 7%. What IP is really is focusing on the core product that they've got and that would be with our baseline in the aftermarket recognizing that we're going to be seeing some declines in our project business.

Tom Scalera

Analyst

And Mike as we think about the broader industrial performance throughout the year Q1 of last year industrial businesses were up 13%. So we did have a tough year-over-year compare and really hit us in Q1 on projects and mining in general chemical and petrochemical. So we had a bigger headwind what we're projecting for the balance of the year on these broader industrial markets is 3% organic growth which we think is reasonably balanced given kind of the lower growth expectations across the market. But typically our short cycle businesses would start to see pick up when the activity comes back from the low levels we saw in Q1.

Mike Halloran

Analyst

So sequentially not that a typical of a pattern?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Correct. Actually slightly less than what we had last year in the broader industrial markets. So we have a lower growth expectations but fairly similar from pattern perspective to what we've seen in the past.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Nathan Jones of Stifel.

Nathan Jones

Analyst

Can we start with the positive effect that FX had on gross margins and just give us a little bit more color on where that came from? I assume some of it's from Motion Technologies importing into the U.S.?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Correct, we have a little pick up on transaction Nathan from Motion Technologies, but the larger pick up was from the Industrial Process portfolio which is a very global mix of businesses including operations in Mexico and China. So we did see transactional benefits, certainly on the margin line offsetting some of the translation pressures, actually flipping them to be a positive. So we have about 70 basis points of positive transaction from a margin perspective, but it did include Motion Tech and also Industrial Process as the main drivers.

Nathan Jones

Analyst

And just to pick on the guidance a little bit, you have got here 2.60 going to 2.55 at the midpoint with $0.08 FX and $0.03 of market headwinds and execution benefits. You had guided the first quarter to be down $0.10 year-over-year and it came in up $0.03, so there is $0.13 of a beat in the first quarter. How does that factor into the guidance for the rest of the year?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

I mean an easy way to think about it Nathan is the $0.12 beat in the quarter, really is going from our perspective is going to offset some of the incremental operational headwinds or market headwinds that we’ve been talking about with the reset organic revenue guidance. So that the Q1 strong performance really offsets the lower organic revenue expectations that next then really we look at $0.08 of the foreign exchange headwind and we’re netting that against $0.03 of incremental restructuring benefits at ICS. So that’s a loss within the $0.12 of market related impact. There is a mix of increased productivity and cost containment going against some of the lower organic expectations we have.

Nathan Jones

Analyst

So the first quarter base is captured in that $0.03. Then onto ICS, you talked about lost revenues, 5 million of incremental cost. How much of the lost revenue is recoverable versus went to a competitor or something like that? And are we expecting any further incremental costs as part of this move?

Denise Ramos

Analyst

The incremental revenues that we lost as part of this move we think is about 5 million to 7 million something like that in Q1. We should see some of that getting factored in back in into Q2 and potentially into Q3 with that. In terms of the disruption cost, we identified 5 million of disruption costs at ICS. Let me say that this was a very complex move that was taking place at ICS and so it was really moving a lot of our aerospace and defense content from California down to Nogales. And as we were doing that, there were some challenges from making that move with inefficiencies associated from a production perspective and some qualification issues with our customers. So we’ve been working through that, that’s going to take us some time to fix that. So we will see gradual improvement over the course of the next three to six months with that and we should have lower cost as we go through the balance of Q2 and Q3 associated with that disruptions into seeing the note that their margins if you excluded that would have been double-digit margin. So, we’re going to work through it, I am very confident in that, the teams are all over it and we will see improvement in the ICS margins as we go through the back half of the year.

Nathan Jones

Analyst

So that sounds like while you expect improvement, you're not jumping straight back into double-digits, so maybe it takes a quarter or two to get back to double-digits?

Denise Ramos

Analyst

Yes, we’ll have to see how it progresses, but I would say just assume that in that we’ll see double-digit margins as we progress month-by-month through -- as we get into Q3 more into Q3 than Q2 at this point. Even though we could see something in Q2 depending on how quickly these fixes happen and we get some of these shipments out to our customers.

Tom Scalera

Analyst

The other point to Nathan is the oil and gas reset hits the upstream connector business and that was part of our recalibration with new oil and gas numbers that has a meaningful impact on ICS on both the top-line and from a margin perspective as well. So that’s another headwind that we’ll be dealing with as we go through the year.

Nathan Jones

Analyst

That's fair. And then on Motion Technologies, you had 3% organic growth. You said the shift in the aftermarket buying pattern cost you three points of growth that gets redistributed through the rest of the year. It didn't sound like there was any real one-off items in there, so if I start at three as a baseline, add a point to each quarter from the redistribution of the aftermarket, we should be looking at kind of a minimum of 4% growth each quarter going forward?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

The other big piece Nathan is platform start-ups and volumes on some platforms that we’re on -- the customer volumes are going to start to scale up as the year progresses as well. So, our win rate on the OEM side have been very, very strong and that’s going to add incremental growth as the year plays out beyond just recalibrating for the aftermarket. So we talked about actually an increase in organic revenue expectations and transportation and that’s really coming from motion technologies showing strong OEM volumes relative to what we expected. The phasing by the end of the year generally plays itself out.

Nathan Jones

Analyst

So we should be looking for a kind of upper mid single-digits?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

I think there is a lot of good indicators that motion technologies that we feel good about. It won't be a linear though Nathan it will be a little each quarters is going to have different start times and recalibrations as the year progresses they will keep moving up nicely from where they are in Q1 from a year-over-year organic perspective.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Joe Ritchie of Goldman Sachs.

Joe Ritchie

Analyst

So I guess maybe just -- maybe focusing on Slide 14. What strikes me about this slide is that oil and gas was basically barely down and general industrial was down double-digits, and now there is an expectation that you will see that really reverse as the year progresses. And so, the two questions. One, on general industrial specifically, was it just large projects being deferred and that's why we saw the double-digit decline there? And I guess, secondly, just staying with general industrial, what really drives your confidence that you're going to get to a plus three type number as we progress through the year?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Definitely the mining the petrochemical projects are going to really bumps through the quarter that there is going to be some real tough compares as we lap 2014. So you'll see a lot of movement I think as the year progress where those two particular categories of revenue and that’s all about project overlap compared to the conditions we saw last year. Particularly petrochemical and one of the markets we're seeing a lot less activity this year as in Asia. So that’s one headwind that we'll be dealing with on a larger project side. Our general industrial business there was a little bit of an impact from what we saw in the connector disruption that impacted that performance in the quarter. And this just was a slow start, the order activity started to pick up, we exited April with very solid order indicators. So we think we're moving forward pretty nicely getting back to more normalized rates but to your point the biggest impact has been large projects and that’s going to ebb and flow as we go through the year.

Joe Ritchie

Analyst

Maybe one last question on just oil and gas. What are you seeing or what are your customers saying from a pricing standpoint, and what are you embedding into your expectations for the remainder of the year?

Denise Ramos

Analyst

We put our guidance together at the end of the year. We really thought through the price impact that we were seeing because we recognized that there was going to be some price pressure that we were going to be experiencing this year. And I would say it's about the same if not a little bit more competitive then what we had thought. So we have factored in what we think is an appropriate amount of price pressure in our numbers for this year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Shannon O'Callaghan of UBS.

Shannon O'Callaghan

Analyst

So on the industrial process margins, you called out the warranty benefit, but noted that it's a reflection of real underlying improvement there. But how should we think about the real baseline at this point for where industrial process margins are, and should we still be expecting strong year-over-year margin improvement on that for the balance of the year.

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Absolutely Shannon, we're still driving towards the margin expansion that we had articulated coming into the year, we're actually a slight bit of ahead of what we thought coming into the year from a margin perspective. So the underlying -- once we kind of get through the Q2 project recalibration and we start to see the restructuring benefits we’re going to generate nice sequential margin expansion, there is lot of opportunity for us to drive efficiencies, bring down these kind of manufacturing costs and operation leakage that we've seen over the years by driving improved efficiencies. So while this is a warranty event in Q1 it's a reflection of us going after kind of cost within the factor that we think we can control more effectively through better execution. So absolutely the margins will expand quite nicely in the second half of the year, the margins are in line with we expected and they will be up nicely from where we were at the end of last year. We feel very good about the trajectory we're on.

Shannon O'Callaghan

Analyst

And then on the motion margins, so can you quantify there what -- looking at the operating margin in the quarter, what the -- how much of the year-over-year change was from the improved Wuxi margins and also from currency? And then, if 21 is a margin and kind of an off aftermarket quarter, I mean what's the margin on a good aftermarket quarter?

Tom Scalera

Analyst

Right, it's still our biggest aftermarket quarter of the year, it's just less than what we’ve seen in previous year’s first quarter. So just want to make that point, we see significantly less volume in each quarter from an aftermarket perspective. So that typical step-down we’ll continue to play out. The foreign exchange was only a 20 basis point impact in the quarter, so very small pick up from transaction. Really the story was strong execution across the board. Wuxi is kind of the story for us because it kind of stepped into a new level of margin performance, but I certainly don’t want to underplay the level of continuous improvement productivity that we’re driving out of our based operations in Europe as well. So it is a nice aggregate performance, but I think the news event was Wuxi demonstrating what is capable of doing and as they keep factoring in what put new investments online in Wuxi as we talked about and we’ll have some start-up costs and some new activities playing through those margins as the year progresses. So we can’t bank on this level performance every quarter going forward because we’re still in the investment phase, but we like what we were able to demonstrate in Q1 as an indicator of where these operations can go.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin of Bank of America.

Andrew Obin

Analyst

Just two part question on FX. First, on Page 8 when you talk -- expect unfavorable FX, just want to understand is this number net of transaction benefit or not, or do you calculate transaction benefit separately? Just want to clarify that.

Tom Scalera

Analyst

It reflects the transaction that we saw in Q1, so that’s kind of big through. But it is hard for us to project transaction there, so many cross currency movements, the timing effective of transaction is something that we find a very hard to forecast. So we typically do not try to project too far on the transaction line based on some very obvious things that we would see. On translation it's easier math, so we do just part translation as the biggest driver there.

Andrew Obin

Analyst

Yes, so to build on that, when I saw your guys at the Hanover show, right, I mean, clearly you have one of the bigger European footprints within our coverage. How do you guys think longer-term about adding capacity, adding R&D to Europe to take advantage of the fact that you do have pretty good base there and the fact that euro is weaker versus where it was a year ago?

Denise Ramos

Analyst

Our European exposure right now is primarily centered on the Motion Technologies business with the facility that we've got in Barga, Italy. The growth for Motion Technologies is primarily focused on China and North America at this point. So that’s where we’ve been investing organically to build out that business. We do already have within the IP business Bornemann facility, and so that’s associated with these highly engineered pumps that we’ve got that go primarily into the oil and gas market. So we already make those pumps within Europe which should give us somewhat of an advantage from a footprint perspective. And then even in ICS, we’ve got one of the main facilities in ICS in Weinstadt, Germany. So when you look across our platform and where we manufacture, we manufacture in North America, we manufacture in Europe and we manufacture in Asia. So, we’re very global, we’ve got footprint in all those locations which allows us to help take advantage of some of these situations that come up particularly right now with what’s happening in Europe.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Joe Giordano of Cowen.

Joe Giordano

Analyst

I just wanted to clarify a point on Wuxi. I know obviously margins are improving quite a bit there and you gave some good color on that, but I was wondering. Is that still dilutive to overall MT margins at this point, despite the growth there?

Denise Ramos

Analyst

It's interesting because our goal there was always to get those margins close to where we are with our -- the margins that we’ve got in our European facility, and we're doing very nicely along with that. And so in Q1, we had some really, really nice benefits rolling through there with got us relatively close to where we are in Barga. But as Tom mentioned, we’ve got continued investments there, continued start-up costs, so we’ll see how it transpires for the rest of the year. But we’re very pleased with what the performance is in that facility right now.

Joe Giordano

Analyst

So still opportunities to scale there as you guys grow. That's great. And then, I wanted to talk about kind of appetite for buybacks and capital deployment moving forward. You front loaded the buyback and I know you factored in 20 million to the rest of the year, but I was wondering how would you balance appetite for M&A, and if M&A takes longer, how would you think about an additional buybacks on top of 20 million?

Denise Ramos

Analyst

Acquisition is really at the forefront pricing something that we very much focus on. As you saw in this quarter, we did the Hartzell acquisition which we’re very excited about, we think it's going to be a nice addition to our aerospace platform. We’ve got a lot of people focused on acquisitions for, that's an important -- very important deployer of our capital. We think it's important for the long-term growth prospects of this company. Same at we also believe in very balanced capital deployment and we initiated the share repurchase program this year up to $100 million we've done 80 million in the first quarter. So we very much look at how we balance this at out with our acquisitions. So again acquisitions being the primary driver but share repurchase is we think it make some sense and going forward that’s how we'll continue to think about it.

Operator

Operator

At this time I'm showing no further questions. I would like to turn the floor back to Denise Ramos for any additional or closing remarks.

Denise Ramos

Analyst

Well let me just thank everybody for joining us on the call today. It is a tough environment out there right now and we recognize that. But we're doing what we do best in this environment and that is that we execute, we drive productivity, we pay attention to those things that we can control as an organization and we're going to continue to do that despite what's happening from a macro-economic perspective, we're excited about it. We think we've got extremely strong prospects for the future and we thank you for participating on this call and we look forward to talking with you next quarter.