Brian McKeon
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, Richard. Good morning, everyone. I'll start today's review on Slide 3, which highlights key messages. First key message is that we delivered solid operating performance in Q1, and it's putting us on track for our full-year goals. We saw solid storage trends, including benefits from new sales initiatives that supported 3% revenue growth in the quarter. Overall storage revenues increased 5% or 3% on an internal growth basis. The International business again posted strong storage results, and both our North American and Digital segments showed improvement. Revenue growth's benefiting from sales and marketing investments, as Richard mentioned. In fact, in Q1, storage volume additions from new sales in North America was the highest it's been in more than 2 years. Profit and cash flow gains remained solid as well, supported by improvements in our International and Digital segments. Adjusted OIBDA was $222 million, that's up 4% on an operating basis, excluding $4 million of advisory fees and other costs that were related to the recent proxy contest. Adjusted EPS was $0.26, which is an increase of 24% compared to last year, and free cash flow increased 7% in the quarter to $58 million. We're off to a good start, and we're making some positive adjustments to our full-year operating forecast to incorporate positive FX changes in our Q1 performance. Given the recent announcement of our comprehensive strategic plan, including the potential sale of the majority of our Digital assets, we'll be taking the following approach with respect to our full-year 2011 outlook. We're going to forecast the business as it exists today, therefore, our current outlook doesn't reflect any impacts from the strategic review of our Digital business, including a potential sale as contemplated in the strategic plan. Our current outlook also doesn't include any impacts from business or revenue risk, transition costs or other costs associated with the ongoing strategic alternative review process. Finally, our outlook doesn't include any costs or increased interest expense associated with potential future financing events that may be contemplated in the strategic plan. We'll update our outlook when we have more clarity around strategic alternatives for our Digital business or potential financing transactions. Within this framework, we're raising our revenue guidance. We're also adjusting our adjusted -- updating our adjusted OIBDA outlook to reflect these revenue gains, as well as the estimated advisory fees and other costs associated with the recent proxy contest. And I'll speak to these more fully in the outlook section of my remarks. Let's now turn to Slide 4 and begin with the review of the financial results. Slide 4 compares our results for this quarter to the first quarter of 2010. As noted, Q1 was a solid start to the year. Enterprise revenue growth was 3%, up from Q4, reflecting improved storage revenue growth and benefits from favorable FX and recent acquisitions. Enterprise revenue gains were supported by improved storage revenue internal growth of 3% and expansion of hybrid services. And these gains have offset continued softness in core service activities and lower eDiscovery revenues. From a segment perspective, North American Physical posted 1% internal growth, supported by 2% storage internal growth, hybrid service gains and benefits from higher recycled paper prices. These gains were partially offset by continued soft core service revenues, in part reflecting lower levels of destructions and reduced special project revenue in the quarter. Revenues for our International Physical segment grew 10%, supported by 4% internal growth, benefits from our recently announced Polish acquisition and favorable foreign exchange rate changes. Storage internal growth rate for International remained strong at 6%, reflecting gains across all regions, including continued strong growth in expansion markets. These gains were augmented by strong growth in hybrid service revenues. Total service revenue growth was constrained by lower core service activity levels. In our Digital segment, reported revenues declined 5% in the first quarter, primarily reflecting lower eDiscovery revenues, which more than offset storage gains. Overall, we continue to post solid comparable profit gains. Gross profits grew 4% in Q1, reflecting a 40 basis point improvement in margins. Higher storage gross margins, particularly in the International and Worldwide Digital segments, drove the improvement. These gains more than offset lower service gross margins resulting from eDiscovery profit declines and moderately higher transportation costs in North America. Adjusted OIBDA grew to $222 million, up 2%, or up 4%, excluding the $4 million and one-time fees associated with the proxy contest. Solid gross profit gains were partially offset by planned investments in North American sales initiatives and productivity initiatives in the International segment, which we expect to yield substantial benefits as we move forward. Below the adjusted OIBDA line, depreciation was $79 million and amortization was $10 million. Other Income for the quarter was $9 million, including $3 million of FX gains and a $5 million gain on our Polish transaction. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.26 per share, an increase of 24% compared to the prior year, reflecting solid operating performance, lower interest expense, lower structural tax rate and fewer shares outstanding. Reported EPS for the quarter was $0.37 per share, including the $0.12 per share impact of the $9 million of Other Income and a lower effective tax rate. The structural tax rate for the quarter was 38%, and we expect the structural tax rate for the full year to be about 39%. Let's now take a closer look at our revenue growth on Slide 5. Slide 5 breaks down our overall revenue growth. It shows internal growth by major service line, as well as the impact of acquisitions and divestitures in foreign exchange compared to our 2011 full-year outlook. As noted, overall revenue growth in Q1 was 3% on track with our full-year growth outlook. Improved storage gains of 3% offset service declines, netting to 1% internal growth in the quarter. The storage revenue growth rate reflects continued strong performance in the International segment and improvement in sales in North America. Net global records management volume growth increased about 2% year-on-year in Q1. We'll breakdown key drivers of this change as part of today's review. Pricing trends remained consistent with net pricing gains of about 2% in North America records management. Core service revenues were down 1% in the quarter, reflecting continued soft core activity levels, in part driven by lower destruction activity. We continue to experience service activity declines in areas like retrievals and refiles and in tape backup activity, as customers have moved to a less frequent tape rotation cycle. Complementary service revenues, which represent about 13% of total revenues, decreased 5% internally in the quarter. Results reflected lower eDiscovery reported revenues and lower special project revenues, in part impacted by the lapping of a large project in the U.S. These decreases offset strong gains in hybrid service revenues and benefits from higher recycled paper pricing. Let's now turn to Slide 6 to review global volume growth trends. Slide 6 shows key drivers of global records management volume for the last 3-plus years to give you a sense of recent volume growth dynamics. This chart shows annualized changes in quarterly records management volume as a percentage of the beginning cubic feet related to new sales, volume growth from existing customers, offset by outgoing volume return. Revenues associated with physical records management storage drive about 40% of overall enterprise revenues, so trends on this front are meaningful. Overall, global records management volumes have stabilized following impacts from the economic contraction and are starting to show some signs of improvement. There are a few key takeaways from this trend analysis. First, the economy had a meaningful impact on records management volume trends in our business in 2009 and 2010. We experienced a significant increase in destructions related to cost savings initiatives, as well as a lagging impact from longer sales cycles and reduced incoming volume due to high unemployment rates. Within these results are also ongoing secular impacts, as new volume from existing customers continues to moderate slowly. Our focus has been on improving new sales performance in North America, supported by targeted investment, and in expanding our business in faster growing regions internationally. We're seeing positive momentum on these fronts. North America new sales contributions has been rising steadily in recent quarters with Q1 volume additions from new sales at its highest level since 2008. It takes time for new sales benefits to flow through our annuity, but we're on good track with our go-to-market initiatives. This progress is consistent with our long-term plan goals for North America, specifically to increase sales, to offset secular impacts and sustain the North American annuity. International growth is continuing at a solid pace with volume up 6% year-on-year in the quarter. We saw year-on-year volume gains across all regions, supported by strong growth in expansion markets like Central Europe and Latin America. Storage progress is also being supported by some moderations in destructions and churn globally. We expect quarterly fluctuations on this front, driven by episodic customer actions. But overall, these impacts have settled into a stable range. In sum, some of the negative trends we've been experiencing have stabilized, our investment focus is reaping gains, and we're growing the storage annuity consistent with our long-term strategy. Let's move now to Slide 7 and review our results on a segment basis. Slide 7 shows key metrics for each of our 4 segments compared to the first quarter of 2010. North America remains our financial engine, and we're building momentum in International as a driver of profit and cash flow gains. North America continued to drive high profits and strong cash flows in Q1. Revenues increased 1% on 2% storage revenue gains and increased hybrid service revenues. Adjusted OIBDA margins in our largest segment were sustained at 41% on gross margin gains and controlled overhead spending, which supported planned investments in sales and marketing. Capital efficiency continue to improve with CapEx as a percentage of sales decreasing to below 4%. Our International segment continues to post solid revenue, adjusted OIBDA and cash flow gains. Internal growth for the quarter was 4%, driven by continuous strong storage internal growth of 6%. Adjusted OIBDA grew 10% in Q1, in line with reported revenue gains. We're targeting strong improvement in International margins in 2011, supported by profit gains in the U.K. and expansion of operational excellence initiatives in Latin America. Gains in our Physical business helped offset lower Digital revenues. Lower revenues and gross margins in our eDiscovery business constrained Digital financial gains in the quarter. These impacts were offset by cost control initiatives, which drove a 25% increase in adjusted OIBDA in the segment in Q1. The increase in corporate expenses primarily reflects one-time costs associated with the proxy contest. Let's turn to Slide 8 to review our debt portfolio. Our balance sheet remains strong, reflecting the substantial improvements we've driven in cash generation in recent years. Currently, our consolidated leverage ratio is 3x at the low-end of our targeted 3 to 4x leverage range. We're well positioned in terms of cash and financing capacity. At quarter end, liquidity was approximately $760 million with $190 million in cash and $571 million in additional borrowing capacity under our revolver. During the first quarter, we repurchased 384,000 shares of stock at a total cost of $11 million. At the end of the quarter, as of March 31, 2011, we've repurchased 5.1 million shares for a total cost of approximately $122 million. At quarter end, there was approximately $228 million remaining under the existing share repurchase authorization. Our debt portfolio was long and fixed, our weighted average interest rate was 6.6% and we were 80% fixed at quarter end. Maturity is just under 7 years with no bond repayments due until 2014. In January, we used excess cash in borrowings on our revolver to redeem the remaining $231 million of our 7 3/4% senior subordinated notes due in 2015. This transaction will reduce our net interest expense by approximately $17 million in 2011. Looking at our maturity schedule, we have approximately $192 million borrowed under our revolver, which matures next April. We expect to refinance our senior credit facility in 2011. The strength of our balance sheet reinforces our confidence in advancing the shareholder payout commitments outlined in our strategic plan. Let's now turn to Slide 9 to discuss our 2011 full-year outlook. Slide 9 highlights our approach to our full-year outlook in 2011. As I mentioned earlier, we're forecasting the business as it exists today. At this point, we don't have enough clarity around the final outcome of the Digital process or financing options to provide a forecast of those events. Our current outlook also doesn't include any business or revenue risks, transition costs or other costs we may incur as we work our way through the strategic review process for Digital. We expect to have greater clarity in both of these areas during the coming quarters, and we'll update you on our progress when appropriate. What is included in our current outlook is approximately $15 million of advisory fees and other costs related to our recent proxy contest. These costs include legal and professional advisory fees, severance costs, estimated costs for the upcoming REIT analysis and other related expenses. Let's turn to Slide 10 for a look at our outlook for 2011. Slide 10 summarizes our full-year 2011 financial guidance. We've increased our enterprise revenue outlook by about $45 million to be in the range of $3,220,000,000 to $3,285,000,000, up 3% to 5%. This reflects our solid Q1 performance and the impacts of favorable foreign currency rate changes. We now expect CapEx to add about 2% to this year's revenue growth rate. We're now targeting adjusted OIBDA of $938 million to $966 million. This includes the $15 million of estimated costs associated with the recent proxy contest, which more than offset the flow-through benefits from our outlook for increased revenues. This range represents reported growth of minus 1% plus 2%, including previously announced incremental sales and marketing investments. Excluding the $15 million of advisory and one-time fees, adjusted OIBDA growth would be in the 1% to 4% range. Please note that we will face some tougher adjusted OIBDA comparisons over the next 3 quarters related to low incentive compensation accruals in 2010. In Q2, this will result in a $9 million increase in reported costs. We also expect to about $6 million in fees and other costs related to the proxy contest to be reported in Q2. Our current outlook is for adjusted EPS -- our full-year outlook is for adjusted EPS to grow between 1% and 8% to a range of $1.16 to $1.24 per share, reflecting the adjustments described above and refinements to our outlook for DNA and interest expense, including impacts from recent FX changes. DNA is now expected to be approximately $352 million. Interest is expected to be $204 million. Our full-year forecast assumes 201 million shares outstanding. This reflects the level of shares outstanding at the end of Q1, including increases to diluted impacts from recent increases in our stock price. We're keeping our full-year free cash flow outlook at $375 million to $410 million and updating our outlook for capital expenditures, which are now expected to be $235 million for the year. This capital outlook includes about $15 million for real estate. Finally, as noted on the slide, our current full-year outlook includes approximately $190 million of revenues, $20 million to $25 million of adjusted OIBDA and about $15 million of capital expenditures related to the Digital service lines currently included in our strategic alternative review process. In summary, Q1 was a solid start to the year, and we're on track towards our full-year goals for improving revenue growth and continued strong profit and cash flow performance. Thanks, and we'll now be happy to take your questions.