Matthew J. Desch
Analyst · William Blair
Thanks, Steve. And good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. I'll get started by noting that 2013 was both a rewarding and a challenging year for us. We achieved our most important strategic objectives in the successful renewal of our agreements with the Department of Defense as well as all the great developments in our Aireon business, while also navigating through a slowdown in the commercial handset market and our maritime business. Our M2M business continued its streak of robust growth, posting 20% subscriber and revenue gains last year. And while 2013 didn't shape up exactly as I initially thought it would, especially in light of weak equipment sales, we had a revised operational EBITDA target and exceeded our guidance for total service revenue growth. Still, I'm happy to have 2013 in the books and to be off and running in 2014. Before I jump to where I'll be focusing our efforts this year, I want to share a few thoughts on our financial outlook and the discussions we've been having with our credit facility lenders. First, we published a new package of guidance today that covered both 2014 and our long-range projection to 2018. I trust this will allow you to take a fresh look at our growth prospects and cash flow profile as we head into the heart of the Iridium NEXT construction and launch period. As you probably know, our investment thesis is rooted in the transformational change to our cash flow profile that is expected to occur in a few years, as our capital cost go way down and our operational EBITDA continues to grow. In short, we anticipate generating significantly more free cash flow than we do now as these trends play out. I believe the new targets we gave today will help you evaluate our long-term value. Second, and Tom will touch on both of these items during his remarks, we continue to make headway with our lending group in amending our credit facility. This is perhaps our most significant financial goal this year, and we expect to reach a resolution soon. Getting this process behind us will give us the needed flexibility to execute our operating plan during the most critical stage of our business model while also providing necessary clarity around our capital structure and funding profile during this important stretch. With that, let me shift to outlining our key initiatives as we embark on 2014 and how that translate to successfully delivering against our long-term plan. I'd like to begin by emphasizing the importance of our successfully renewed agreements with the Department of Defense. This is a really big deal. The fixed price 5-year term of this services agreement guarantees Iridium 49% government service revenue growth between 2013 and 2018 with our single biggest customer, which made up 19% of our total revenue in 2013. As you look ahead to 2018, we now have visibility to at least $22 million in incremental high-margin revenue that we won't have in 2014. This deal was accomplished on favorable terms for both sides, giving an even greater number of government customers access to our network and its full capabilities without concern for price increases based on usage changes or demand growth. And we have visibility on an important chunk of our business for the next 5 years. We expect the U.S. government's need for commercial satellite services will grow in the future, and we're proud to support their critical missions no matter where they are around the globe. We benefited from a valuable strategic relationship for many years and look forward to continuing to provide them with global, secured voice and data communications and enhanced services that will become available with Iridium NEXT. For now, we're focused on working with our counterparts in the government to help them find ways to deploy Iridium services far and wide to take advantage of their unprecedented access to our network and services. To that end, our current network is healthy and performing well, with continued very high availability and robust service quality for our customers. Although we experienced a satellite failure a few weeks ago, our first in about 18 months, the flexibility and resilience of our unique network architecture allow us to remove our remaining spares around and continue operating a healthy constellation without missing a beat. Our network is still not showing many signs of its age, and we remain confident that it will take us comfortably to the Iridium NEXT era, the start of which will be upon us next year. As for our next generation platform, we've moved into the fabrication and testing phase of our new space vehicles. Almost all of the subsystems have now been space-qualified. And 2014 will be a year of flight qualification that will ultimately culminate in a full-scale, high rate satellite production ahead of first launch. And with a detailed review of our schedule underway and although no official changes have been made yet, it now looks like our first launch will probably slip a few months to the second quarter of 2015. Hardware development appears to be right on track, but it's becoming increasingly clear that the software wouldn't have been sufficiently tested in time for a first quarter attempt. Despite this short initial delay, our plan is still intact to have a system fully deployed by 2017. The recent developments in our Aireon business are also significant. As many of you know, 3 leading European air traffic control agencies recently became investors in Aireon and have funded the first $50 million of $120 million total commitment. This agreement, along with NAV CANADA's $150 million investment commitment, provides access to the funding needed to develop an operational system, which is a big achievement. These 3 European ASPs also signed data services agreement to be customers of Aireon as has U.K. NATS, which Aireon actually announced this morning in a separate release. And of course, NAV CANADA is also a customer. These contracts combined give us confidence that Aireon will become the standard for air traffic control surveillance over the North Atlantic corridor and soon after, the world. These developments also solidify our view that the FAA, which remains fully engaged in the project, will make a similar data services commitment as early as 2015, thus enabling Aireon to fulfill its full promise along with its financial commitments to Iridium. So let's review Aireon's expected financial contributions to Iridium. First, there's $200 million in hosting fees. Next, a data services contract we value at $300 million over the life of Iridium NEXT. And finally, the requirement that Aireon redeem a portion of Iridium's interest for $120 million expected in 2018, which will still leave Iridium with an approximately 25% retained ownership interest. When you add up these figures, it represents more than $600 million in value coming to Aireon -- coming from Aireon to Iridium without even counting the worth of Iridium's retained ownership interests. That's really an interesting number when you consider Iridium's current equity market capitalization. While Aireon still has work to do, it's encouraging that these leading ANSPs have committed equity capital to the venture, with the obvious assumption on their part being that all of Aireon's financial obligations to Iridium will be satisfied. As for the outlook in our key business lines, I'd like to start by sharing that we've just returned from our annual partners conference. It was our best and biggest event by many measures, with over 450 attendees representing about 160 of our partners. One of the highlights of this conference for me was a presentation by our OEM customer, Caterpillar, on the importance of telematics and Iridium's network to their strategic plans. I'll speak more about them in just a second. We also announced 3 new products, had productive discussions focusing on growth with our partners in 2014. And I came back energized, as I always do, by how valuable Iridium's products and services are to our customers. In the M2M space, we're building on another year of solid growth in 2013. The competitive dynamics remain strong here, with a large addressable market and low device penetration, keeping it solidly in first place as one of the fastest-growing sectors of the mobile satellite services industry. Customers tell us there's a great need for telematics and information sharing to support their own business goals, and they choose Iridium because of our truly global network, low latency and our versatile product portfolio. Evidence of our emerging leadership in this market is supported by the fact that, and we can announce this today, Caterpillar just expanded its relationship with us through a significant piece of new business built around our machine-to-machine transceiver. As many of you recall, we signed our first contract with Cat in mid-2013 and have continued to develop our relationship with them as their primary provider of M2M satellite services. We expect meaningful volumes to begin with Caterpillar later on in 2014. And with tens of millions of dollars in revenue now committed by them over several years, these agreements will surely lift the financial contribution of our M2M business. And with these Caterpillar deals, we're just scratching the surface in a much broader and target rich OEM landscape. Caterpillar is a bellwether player as the largest heavy equipment OEM in the world and others in that space are taking notice. We're in various stages of bringing new business on board with brand-name players in the agriculture, construction, energy and mining sectors. In some cases, we're just beginning to introduce these customers to the value of Iridium and in others, we're conducting field trials and finalizing service agreements. We expect continued momentum here as we move through 2014. As for the maritime business, we think this will again be a bright spot in our portfolio now that we've worked through our product and operating issues that caused this business to contract last year. We continue to ship new improved Iridium Pilot units that are performing well in strenuous real world environments. We remain optimistic for a measurable turnaround in 2014 as new customer activation rates remain quite strong and customer churn continues to go down. Finally, we continue to have a leading and defensible position in the handset business. As we noted last quarter, we're seeing a market-wide pullback in subscriber growth and usage in the land/mobile sector but only a marginal impact from direct competition. And on the most important metrics, subscriber and revenue share, I think we'll see overall stability despite a rough spot for the broader market. In fact, we added 13,000 net commercial voice customers through the first 3 quarters of 2013, whereas our public competitors added only 7,900 combined on a comparable basis. So we added almost twice as many customers as our 2 closest competitors despite what was a particularly weak summer selling season. When you consider how much lower their ARPUs are than ours, our net gain and revenue share is even more pronounced. Advancing this leadership position, we're pleased to have announced our Iridium GO! product at this year's partners conference. And it was a real hit. It's the industry's first portable satellite hotspot, allowing people to connect using their smartphones, tablets and other personal devices anywhere in the world. I like to characterize it as a cellphone tower in your pocket for smartphone access, providing connectivity through your trusted devices where no other networks exist. And in some cases, where other networks do exist but have higher roaming access charges, Iridium GO! is a more cost-effective solution. It's also going to be the lowest cost device and service offering that we've ever made in this category, and while it will naturally attract a whole new class of consumers, it should also have broad appeal amongst our established base of commercial, industrial and government users. We expect this new product, which should be commercially available in the second quarter, will aid our overall trajectory in 2014. So in closing, with strong progress on our important strategic objectives and a clear track for our key business lines, we're forecasting a steady climb back up in 2014. As we entered the last year before we begin launching Iridium NEXT, we're also looking ahead to 2018 as we're approaching the period during which our free cash flow profile will change dramatically and create significant long-term value for all of our stakeholders. I want to thank my colleagues at Iridium and our many partners and customers for their loyalty, dedication and hard work during a busy 2013. I look forward to strong execution and better momentum in 2014. With that, I'll turn it over to Tom for a more detailed financial review. Tom?