Matthew J. Desch
Analyst · William Blair
Thanks, Steve. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. So let me jump right into it. As you saw in this morning's press release, this was a tough quarter. Recent developments, primarily in our commercial business, led us to reconsider our view for the rest of the year. This reassessment of our growth plan has translated into us lowering our 2013 financial outlook today, while also revising some important elements of our long-range guidance. Taking all of this together, this was certainly a disappointing reporting period for us. Tom will give you a more detailed readout of our financial results and outlook, and I'll spend my time today on what's changed in our commercial business and what we're doing about it. But before I do that, I want to emphasize my confidence in our long-term prospects. We made meaningful progress during the quarter, with our Aireon business having significantly derisked one of the most critical elements of our funding profile for Iridium NEXT. Similarly, when you consider the excellent ongoing performance of our current network and the fact that our Iridium NEXT build remains on budget and on schedule, there's more positive news here. There's also positive news in the M2M sector, where we continue to deliver robust subscriber and revenue growth rates and have a good deal pipeline. And I'm hoping we'll be able to soon announce the successful renewal of our government services contract. So now, that I've laid out an outline for what you'll hear from us this morning. Let me share the details. I'll start with our commercial service revenue, which is growing slower than our target in a few areas. First, we haven't executed as well as we could in our maritime business. We first introduced our Iridium OpenPort service back in 2008, and as of the end of 2012, it had grown to $20 million or roughly 9% of commercial service revenue. Unfortunately, we've given some of this growth in -- some of this growth back in 2013 due to a product issue. Specifically, our above-deck units, which contain the antenna and radio equipment to connect with our satellites, have been failing at a higher-than-acceptable rate. We've identified the problem and the solution will be rolling out in all-new devices we shipped starting later this month. While we resolved the problem going forward, it's impacted our 2013 outlook, as customer deactivations have increased and we've had to reserve more for warranty costs to repair and replace older units. This has been especially disappointing as our partners and customers tell us they really like the product's value proposition and have been looking for alternatives to our primary competitor given their price increases and distribution changes. Looking ahead, we continue to see a big opportunity for the Iridium Pilot product. Despite our recent product issues that caused more deactivations, our new customer activation rate this year have actually grown significantly from last year. We're serving an important role in the value segment to this sector without, which the incumbent operator would have tremendous pricing power and market share. In short, our partners and customers want us to succeed and we expect to win back many of the ones we've lost, as we demonstrate the high quality of the new units and fill this niche at an attractive price. In fact, as a testament to this potential, we just signed this week a nearly 200 vessel order from one of the largest shipping companies in the world. Customers in the maritime market have also asked us to become GMDSS compliant and you might have seen that we've begun the process. GMDSS is a safety requirement for very large ships and is a space that has been dominated by Inmarsat since its establishment over 30 years ago. We're confident our network quality and global reach will allow us to be certified within a year or 2 and this gives fleets one reason to use our service. Another area where we've grown a little slower than last year is in our core handset market and it's really been as a result of 3 primary factors. First, we're seeing a bit more competition at the low end of the voice market, as less-intensive users opt for lower cost alternatives. This is a very recent phenomenon spurred by a price war in North America between 2 of our direct competitors. We think the impact has been fairly minor, as we had 9,000 voice net additions in the second quarter versus 11,000 for the same period last year, which isn't a dramatic change. However, at the same time, subscriber behavior is also shifting from voice to data applications like texting, which is really no different than the trend experienced by our terrestrial wireless peers. Second, Inmarsat, who traditionally has been our largest distributor as a result to their acquisition of Stratos 5 years ago, has essentially stopped promoting our handset devices. We see this as a transitional issue as other -- as our other partners have already begun soaking up the dislocated demand from their independent dealers, but nonetheless believe it will temper our growth in 2013 until that sorts itself out fully. And third, we've recently observed our prepay customers choosing lower costs, lower volume plans, perhaps in response to the price increase we rolled out earlier this year. We've implemented promotions around our pricing plans and volume tiers to address this emerging trend. So while it's not completely evident in the second quarter numbers, we've seen an impact on subscriber growth and usage patterns and have trimmed our forecast to reflect these recent trends. As has historically been the case, we'll continue to be the leader in the premium telephony segment, as the majority of our customers continue to seek the advantages of a low-latency global network with a robust and feature-rich product portfolio. While our competitors may have captured a few more handset subscribers in the last few quarters, we continue to outpace them in the most important metric, revenue market share. And we'll address these short-term challenges with new products and promotions later this year that recognize increased competition at the low-end, while also capitalizing on a greater appetite for data connectivity by our customers. I also want to stop here and briefly emphasize that the M2M business remains a jewel in our portfolio. We posted commercial M2M subscriber and revenue growth rates of 25% and 21%, respectively, during the quarter, and grew government subscribers 50% year-over-year. Low device penetration and rapid adoption rates across the industry vertical continues to make this an attractive market, and our network superiority and device functionality makes us leaders in the growing satellite M2M space. As for the deal we announced with Caterpillar back in May, we continue to make great progress on that front and with other large OEM customers. Caterpillar is in the testing phase of its deployment and we expect volumes with them to begin in 2014. I think we've said everything we could last quarter around the long-term impact of this deal for Iridium and I assure you that we're quite confident being described as the primary provider of their M2M satellite services going forward. Turning now to equipment line. Overall, we now expect our equipment margin to be down around 10% to 15% for the full year 2013 when compared to the full year 2012. While we had a strong order book early in the year, our unit sales didn't pick up in the way we anticipated they would from the first quarter. Tom will have more on that topic in his remarks. We also had a major new product planned for introduction in the third quarter of 2013, which has slipped out a few months into the fourth quarter. We're excited about the product and what it will do for our position in the handsets space and how it will help us focus on a growing data side, but it now won't make the same contribution this year that we had expected. Its impact will be more in 2014. Shifting gears, I'll end on a few of the steady stream of positive announcements we've had around our long-term initiatives including our global aviation monitoring venture, Aireon, and our Iridium NEXT build. In fact, let me pause here to remind everyone that our current constellation has been operating at greater than 99% availability this entire year, which is at or better than any time in recent memory, and that we're reemphasizing our network quality guarantee with partners and customer to drive home our strong reliability. I also want to reiterate that our Iridium NEXT program remains on budget and on schedule for the design and construction of the new satellites. We're more than halfway through the development cycle and have spent more than $1 billion to date. The design is complete. We're making strong progress testing and validating prototypes of all the satellite components. And our prime contractors is nearly done building the first full-scale test vehicle. One of the confidence builders for me is that we now have engineering models of the new onboard processor in our lab with the initial flight payload software and have started to validate its ability to communicate with our existing satellites through cross-links. The tests are going well, marking an important step in ensuring the compatibility of our 2 constellations, which will be fundamental to our success when we start our launch program in February 2015, only 1.5 year from now. As for Aireon, we continue to make great progress on all fronts, derisking this hosted payload venture. Our models to fully stand up this business is quickly becoming a reality and there's been a lot of activity even since we spoke last quarter. NAV CANADA, our joint venture partner and Aireon's first customer, made a second tranche investment of $40 million. They've now invested $55 million of their planned $150 million investment as Aireon has hit critical commercial, financial and regulatory milestones. They've been a great partner in shepherding our effort along in the year since we first announced this endeavor. Other air navigation service providers also continue to show strong interest in Aireon. And a variety of discussions are underway for both customer and investor relationships. The FAA remains fully engaged in its evaluation of the project, which is expected to continue over the next 18 months. Importantly, the FAA and NAV CANADA recently signed what they call a Declaration of Intent to collaborate on a range of technical and operational issues in support of space-based aviation monitoring. Also of note, and I don't think we've announced this before, the FAA recently expanded its current agreement with Aireon and has agreed to fund $10 million to Aireon for analysis and engineering work to support its procurement decision process. That $10 million contract has also allowed the FAA to become more directly involved in the development stage of the Aireon service, which is progressing really well. In fact on that front, Harris has completed its critical design review milestone for constructing the payload and is on track to be ready for the first scheduled launch in early 2015. Aireon has also signed a 17-year $42 million contract with ITT Exelis to provide the data processing and distribution components of the Aireon system, so all the team members are now in place. All in all we're very pleased with the big steps we've taken forward in 2 of the most critical elements of our long-term plan. In closing, we're going to have a tougher second half of 2013 than I anticipated and it's unfortunate we had to take our guidance down in several areas. We will fix the problems in our commercial business as they are manageable short-term risks and I'm confident we'll get through. As I just said, the long-term plan remains intact around our next-generation satellite constellation in the Aireon venture and the M2M market continues to deliver solid results. I know we can do better and look forward to reporting on our improvements in these areas in the quarters and years ahead. So with that, I'll turn it over to Tom for a more detailed financial review.