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Inter Parfums, Inc. (IPAR)

Q2 2018 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 12, 2018

$90.14

-2.08%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, greetings, and welcome to Inter Parfums 2018 Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Russ Greenberg, CFO, and Executive Vice President. Thank you, you may now begin.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Thank you, operator and good morning. Welcome to our 2018 second quarter conference call. As usual, I will start the call with a financial overview, and then Jean Madar, our Chairman and CEO, will discuss our current business, recent developments and some of our upcoming plans. After that, we will take your questions. Before proceeding further, I want to remind listeners that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause actual results to be materially different from projected results. These factors include, but are not limited to the risks and uncertainties discussed under the headings Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors in our Annual Report on Form 10-K and the reports we file from time-to-time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not intend to, and undertake no duty, to update the information discussed. When we refer to our European based operations, we are primarily talking about sales of Prestige Fragrance products conducted through our 73%-owned French subsidiary, InterParfums SA. When we discuss our United States based operations, we are primarily referring to sales of Prestige Fragrance products, conducted through our wholly-owned domestic subsidiaries. Summarizing second quarter performance, net sales were $149.4 million, up 15.7% from $129.1 million. At comparable foreign currency exchange rates, net sales increased 12.3%. Net sales by European based operations rose 8.3% to $115.6 million from $106.7 million. And net sales by U.S. based operations rose 50.8%, to $33.8 million, as compared to $22.4 million. Gross margin was 64% compared to 65%. SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales were 51.5%, compared to 53.8%. Operating income increased 29.7% to $18.8 million from $14.5 million. Operating margin rose to 12.6%, as compared to 11.2%. The effective income tax rate was 30.2% compared to 33.4%.…

Jean Madar

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Thank you Russ and good morning, everyone. By every measure the second quarter of 2018 was a terrific one. I'm especially pleased that across the worldwide map, we are doing more and more business. Regions that not so longer go were anemic and are blossoming. As we reported yesterday, that through the first half of the year, our three largest markets North America, Western Europe and Asia a shift sales goal of 18%, 9% and 31% respective compared to the first half of 2017. Similarly, our next three markets ranked by size were Middle East, Central and South America and Eastern Europe have grown sales by 22%, 13% and 24% for the same six months period. While things can change, at present we do not see any headwinds facing this positive trend. Moving on to our new license GUESS, let me bring you up to date. The infrastructure of our GUESS business has taken shape, having received components from the former licensee we are producing - we're starting to produce and were starting to sell finished goods. We planned to be in stuck with our own components in the next two or three coming months. We are geared up for the Christmas season with major shipments planned for September and October. In terms of advertising and promotion, most of our efforts are focused on two existing scents, the first one is 1981 and the recent one extension 1981 indigo, which both come in women's and men's version. At the same time, we have a major blockbuster planned for 2020 and we're working on additional flankers for 2019. Our worldwide distributor network is quite enthusiastic about GUESS, as we view it as a great American brand, with huge recognition outside of the U.S. Much of our efforts are focused on Eastern…

Operator

Operator

Thank you ladies and gentlemen we'll now be conducting our Q&A session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Linda Bolton Weiser from D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live.

Linda Weiser

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Hi. So, congratulations on strong profitability. So the gross margin even though it was down year-over-year it was down last and in the first quarter. So, I think that was due to the FX situation. And can we assume that as the euro it's not as strong year-over-year in the next few quarters that your gross margin should continue to kind of improve, maybe you could comment on that. Thanks.

Jean Madar

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Russ. Thank you, Linda for the question. Hello?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

I'm sorry. Thank you, Linda I appreciate, I appreciate that question. The average exchange rate right now is hovering right around the $1.16, $1.17, which is very close to where we were throughout the second quarter. So correct, I really don't expect to see any significant fluctuations with respect to gross margin. So along as this exchange rate stays current levels.

Linda Weiser

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Thanks. And then, given the strength of your profitability in the quarter, I guess, it's a little surprising that you didn't feel the need to raise the EPS guidance for the year. So, I would assume that's because some of your A&P spending then is going to be second half weighted. Can you just give a little color on some of your plans there and is it more fourth quarter weighted where you're really going to try to drive demand during the holiday season with advertising and promotion?

Jean Madar

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

I don't Russ you want to add.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Yeah. I don't have a problem.

Jean Madar

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Recurring EPS, I mean, you can go ahead first and then I'll complete your answer.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Not a problem. The - a lot of the benefits from a comparison standpoint of second quarter versus last year, there are a few pennies that did result as a factor of the non-operating changes with respect to gain on foreign currency and of course the tax rate. The tax rate has been projective and it will probably be consistent throughout the remainder of this year. So as of right now the EPS for the year is pretty much right on target with what we're expecting. From an advertising and promotion standpoint, it was a little bit light in the second quarter as compared to the prior year. As a matter of fact it was down two percentage points, we spent about 2% of sales this year's second quarter versus 24% last year's second quarter. Because we've indicated that we're going - we expect to end up at around 21% in total for the year. Clearly the second half is going to be heavily weighted with advertising, and that usually is far more concentrated in the fourth quarter than it is in the third quarter. Jean anything else?

Jean Madar

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Yes, it's always a question, do we maintain the estimate. But what I think is important is to tell you that business is in good shape we're already in the middle of the third quarter, we had a very good month of July, the inventory at distributor level and at store level is quite low. We have been actually rushing to produce more. We could have lost maybe some business because we didn't have enough inventory, but these are good signs. But as you know we like to stay, I don't want to say conservative, but reasonable in terms of expectation. Business is in good shape not only in the market where it has been good for the last two quarters which is Asia, but we see good business in the U.S. our business in department stores is doing fine, we're gaining market share. For Jimmy Choo, for Montblanc, for Oscar de la Renta. So there is all our brands are doing - having positive results. We continue in China to see some extraordinary results on Anna Sui. Last time I check I think our business was up 50% so it was - it is great. And we have not opened all the doors yet. So we have a lot of pockets of growth coming in third and fourth quarter. But as you know the main - the largest launches and the new pillars the new blockbuster will happen in 2019.

Linda Weiser

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Thanks. And then finally, on that last note with 2019 you listed several things. I didn't quite catch is there a Jimmy 2 major launch plan and what part of the year would that be in 2019, early or later in the year?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Yes, Jean, I don't know if you heard that. With respect to the Jimmy 2 launch, I don't think we have a set date yet.

Jean Madar

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

We don't have a set date. While the big launch will be for Montblanc, which will have a very, very big launch starting beginning of 2019. And we will have a launch Sonowa [ph]. Actually all our brands will have a blockbuster launch in 2019.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

And I just want to add Linda that, what John went through in his remarks with respect to 2019 was really just a small look into it. As you know, it won't be until mid-November that we will announce our guidance for 2019. That's when our long schedules are pretty much set, and that's when we'll be able to let you know when the expectations are and what seasons were and what quarters we expect these different launches to take place.

Linda Weiser

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Great, thank you very much.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

No problem. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from line of Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live.

Joseph Altobello

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Thanks, hey guys good morning. Follow-up on Linda's question regarding guidance for the second half more or so on the sales line. Russ you mentioned that the ad spend is going to be fairly heavy in the second half and that part of the inventory increase that you saw in the last couple of quarters is in anticipation of a strong second half. But your guide seems to imply a slowdown. I think in the first half on a constant currency basis, sales were up 13% and I guess you're looking for 8% growth in the second half. And this is despite easier compares for Jimmy Choo, easier compares for Lanvin, the continued rollout of GUESS. So is there some sort of headwind that you're expecting? Or you guys just kind of preparing for the major launches that you expect in early 2019.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

I think I'll start first. It's interesting that when you're comparing it with last year, you have to keep in mind that in 2018, you really don't have any blockbuster launches where you're launching any of the new pillars in connection with these brands. So when you look at the comparisons, it may appear to you that it's a simple comparison. But without a major blockbuster or a major new pillar launch, it does may fit comparisons a little bit difficult. And that's what we are looking at. We're going to maintain those advertising programs, so that we can show the kind of growth that we think that we're anticipating. I think the trends are likely to continue. But again, we are really looking at what our expectations are, so far things are right along line with what the expectations are. So there was no reason to push forward and start raising guidance at this point in time. We really want to see a little bit more visibility and as the third quarter moves on we'll evaluate at that point in time.

Joseph Altobello

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Okay, that's helpful. And then on Rochas, I'm not sure you guys gave a number. But looks like sales were down mid-teens this quarter that's been a very strong brand for you the last few quarters here. So when we start to see the impact of the geographic expansion that you guys are contemplating for that brand?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Well, I think we have we have seen it. The key is you're again we're coming off a relatively difficult comparison from that of the prior year. For the full six months we were up 5% on the Rochas business. When you look at just the three month period, it's down approximately 4%. You're comparing against last year where you had a major launch.

Jean Madar

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Really 2018 is remarkable in the first six months and I think the year is quite interesting and it's really a remarkable year. Because without blockbusters we are able to increase sales like 10% to 16% this quarter or which is quite - which means that there demand for existing products, there is no cannibalization with the flankers [ph] that we are launching. So, it's quite and it's preparing ourselves for 2019 where we will be more ambitious in terms of growth.

Joseph Altobello

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Got it. And just one last what if I could, curious how active the market is for new licenses or trademarks. Are you getting more books coming across your desk these days?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Yes, the answer to that is, yes. I mean we've been fortunate enough that so far this year we signed two deals. GUESS of course closed, and we closed the deal with Graff. There are a couple of other opportunities that we're exploring and we hope to able to make addition of announcements. But, until any deal is signed, sealed and delivered you won't see it within our projections and it's very difficult to discuss openly.

Joseph Altobello

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

Okay, great, thank you guys.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Joe Altobello from Raymond James. Your line is live

No problem. Thank you, Joe.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our following question comes from the line of Steph Wissink from Jefferies. You are now live.

Stephanie Wissink

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

Thanks, good morning everyone. Just two follow ups and thanks for all the detail already. The first question, and maybe Jean this is for you. Just related to overall category innovation. We have seen some indication that retail that some of the newer brands coming to market with a bit more experimentation or craft is another word we heard you use. Talk a little about may be the category innovation beyond some of the branded and licensed goods and where that might provide opportunity for you?

Jean Madar

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

We do not participate - we don't have today in our portfolio niche brands in the sense that all our brands have recognition sometimes worldwide or sometime stronger regional recognition. Where we like to get license after fashion brand or jewelry. So, we are not at all in art design work, I mean, art design type of brand I understand that we are doing well in especially stores, but the brands that we'll be looking for in the future are brands with higher recognition from large public.

Stephanie Wissink

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

Okay, that's helpful. And then Russ, a question for you, you talked a little bit about AMP spending shifting around. Are you finding that over the course of the last couple of years, your efficiency behind your AMP spending has actually improved it would seem so based on the incremental margins you're generating. I am curious if you can talk a little about may be what the mix of AMP spending looks like how that has evolved and if you are finding that some of the spending is actually generating superior return to what you've experienced in the past.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

I don't really see other than a trend of more dollars going into social media type of expenditures. The overall AMP platform Inter Parfums has not really changed all that much. The key is that money is allocated and moneys are spent around the world to reach the consumers that will buy our product. And, as Jean has mentioned in prior conference calls, a lot of money is spent even in territories where the growth had not historically been to the level that we would have expect it. You need to continue to spend money in those territories to protect your positions in those territories. Because without protecting those positions, you're going to watch your sales decline. So, our goal is really to maintain the kind of levels that we are at. We think that bringing it up from what used to be about 18% of our sales now to around 21% of our sales is a proper mix. We are working and tweaking the actual allocation between you're consumer media and social media. But, overall, I think that the level that we've had is a good level and a higher enough level so that we can maintain the positions that we have in the market around the world.

Stephanie Wissink

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

Very helpful. And the last one question, is just to talk about the retail end markets. Can you give us an update on retail level inventories? What you're seeing in terms of channel mix? Anything that you think would be helpful as we think about the back half and then the opportunity set into 2019?

Jean Madar

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

As I said before, retail level inventory is very reasonable. We started to ship Christmas gift set in the last couple of weeks. We monitor inventory on a worldwide basis from the stores. I can say that the level is low, which is always a good sign for us. That's my answer.

Stephanie Wissink

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

Thank you.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Jefferies. You are now live

Thank you, Steph.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Hi. Just my first question was, could you just talk about in the second half what the sales mix would be as far as the sourcing out of your own distribution channel of networks and third parties. And how that would benefit or impact your gross margin going forward?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

So far for the first six months of 2018, there has not been a significant effect of the overall as a percentage of sales of product that has gone through direct distribution versus third party distribution. Normally we would if there was an effect, we would mention that as one of the reasons that gross profit margin might have increased or decreased. Usually it's an increase because usually there is additional product that is going through that distribution network. But so far for as a percentage of sales for 2018, those numbers have been fairly consistent and therefore that has not had any significant or meaningful impact on the gross profit margin for 2018.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Okay. And then on the mix that you're seeing as far as just the shopping that you're seeing for holiday season. Is that coming in mostly in the holiday sets or are you seeing a change up as far as Prestige in mass market?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Jean, correct me if I'm wrong. But I think the level of gift sets that we have year marked for distribution in 2018 is just slightly higher than that of the prior year.

Jean Madar

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Online, I would say online.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Yes, I don't think there is any significant fluctuations in that as well as a percentage of what we expect to be selling into the marketplace.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

And then any mix change between Prestige and mass market as far as how that goes, what's being build up in the inventory?

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Mass market is so insignificant as far as the overall business for Inter Parfums. At this point in time we are probably almost in the high-90% of our business is in the Prestige market.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Okay, great. Thank you.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Okay. Thank you, Hamed.

Jean Madar

Analyst · Hamed Khorsand from BWS. Your line is now live

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen we have no further questions in queue at this time. I'd like to turn the floor back over to management for closing.

Russell Greenberg

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is now live

Thank you very much. Thank you all for being on the conference call. And thank you for tuning in. As usual if you do have any further questions, you can contact me at my office. Have a great day. Bye.