Jeff Pribor
Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead
Thanks, Lois and good morning, everyone. Let's move directly to reviewing the third quarter results in more detail. But before turning to Slide 7, let me quickly summarize our consolidated results. We achieved the highest adjusted EBITDA at $23.8 million that we've ever had since becoming a public company. Net loss for the third quarter was $11.1 million or $0.38 per diluted share compared with a net loss of $47.8 million or $1.64 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2018. Now getting into the specifics on Slide 7. I'll first discuss the results of our business segments beginning with the Crude Tankers segment. TCEs for the Crude Tanker segment were $49 million for the quarter compared to $40 million in the third quarter of last year. This increase reflects our success improving the age profile and increasing the capacity of the fleet that primarily resulted from the impact of higher average blended rates in the VLCC, Suezmax and Aframax sectors. Turning to the Product Carrier segment. TCEs revenues were $16 million for the quarter compared to $11 million in the third quarter of last year. This increase primarily resulted from the impact of higher average daily blended rates earned by the LR1, LR2 and MR fleets with spot rates rising to approximately $15,500, $17,300 and $11,400 per day respectively. This increase in overall revenue occurred even though MR revenue days were down as we sold four older MRs in doing so completing our programs to sell all six older MRs. Overall, as reflected in the chart top left, consolidated TCE revenues for the third quarter 2019 were $55 million compared to $51 million in the third quarter of 2018. Again this increase was primarily driven by higher average daily rates earned across the crude and product carrier fleet in the third quarter compared to last year. Looking at the chart on the top right of the page, adjusted EBITDA was $24 million for the quarter compared to $6 million for the same period last year. Again the increase primarily driven by higher daily rates. On the bottom half of the page we look at results on a sequential basis i.e. quarter-to-quarter. Consolidated TCE revenues and adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter were up from the second quarter both increasing by $3 million. Now turning to Slide 8. We provide a Q3 review and Q4 earnings update. Spot rates are broken out for our modern VLCCs and then VLCCs in that part of the fleet which is over [Technical Difficulty]. As I [Technical Difficulty] previous calls regarding spot rates for VLCCs, particularly at lower points in the tanker cycle modern VLCCs earning high [Technical Difficulty]. As the market recovers this gap will narrow significantly and rates from modern VLCCs more closely reflect those of both the overall VLCC group and we see the evidence of this during the recent market strengthening. Now turning to bookings for Q4 thus far, which are significantly higher relative to the third quarter based on the stronger market fundamentals that Lois just spoke about earlier. We booked 69% of our available Q4 spot days for modern VLCCs, at an average of approximately $15000 a day and would note that this number is consistent with -- on a pool points adjusted basis with the rates reported by our TI pool partners. 46% of available VLCC days for those that are 15 years or older averaged $44,000 a day. 54% of Suezmax spot days at an average of $50,900 per day. 47% of available Aframax LR2 spot days at an average of $30,800 per day. And 49% of our available Panamax LR1 segment spot days were at a very impressive $28,700 per day. On the MR side we booked 37% of the fourth quarter spot days at an average of approximately $12,800. But here I would point out that recent bookings have been more in the $20,000 range. So we'd expect that number to go up. Now if we could turn to Slide 9. The cash cost TCE breakevens for the 12 months ended September 30, 2019 are illustrated on this slide. International Seaways' overall breakeven rate was $22,300 for the 12 months ended September 30, 2019. These rates are the all-in daily rates our owned vessels must earn to cover operating costs, drydocking, G&A expense and debt service costs all set within the schedule which means, principal amortization as well as interest expense. Of note, taking into consideration distributions from our FSO JV, the overall breakeven rate for the company drops to $20,500. At this time I'd like to also reaffirm and update cost guidance for the year for modeling purposes. First, we expect regular daily OpEx, which includes all running costs insurance management fees and other similar and related expenses for our various classes to be at the levels previously provided. So no change there. For details on projected drydock, CapEx costs and off-hire days by quarter, you can please refer to Slide 17 in the appendix for an update. Continuing with cost guidance for your modeling. We expect fourth quarter interest expense to be $14.3 million, which includes amortization of deferred finance costs and non-cash cost of $1.6 million. This is about $2 million lower than Q3 reflecting the recent repayment on our debt. Additionally, our debt costs were $11.4 million in principal repayments scheduled in the fourth quarter. For G&A in the fourth quarter we expect it to be approximately $6.3 million all-in, including $0.9 million for non-cash charges so $5.4 million in cash G&A for the quarter. We also expect about $5.4 million of equity income before the impact of a $2.9 million cash gain on the sale of our interest in the LNG joint venture and a non-cash reclass of approximately $21 million, representing the company's share of the unrealized losses associated with the interest rate swaps held by the LNG JV that is already reflected in the September 30 carrying value of the investment into earnings from accumulated other comprehensive loss. Finally we expect about $19 million for depreciation and amortization in the fourth quarter. Now if we could go to Slide 10 for our cash bridge. Moving from left to right. We began the third quarter with total cash and liquidity of $200 million. But during the quarter we generated $24 million of adjusted EBITDA. This amount includes $8 million in equity income from the JVs which is non-cash. So therefore we deducted it to reach a cash figure. So that adds back the cash distributions from the JVs, which were $3 million from the FSO JV. The proceeds from vessel sales were $7 million. In addition we expected $7 million on drydocking and CapEx. The cash interest and principal pay down of debt was $37 million, excluding our 2017 term loan prepayment which totaled another $10 million. The net result various cash flow was that we ended the quarter with approximately $124 million of cash and $50 million under our revolver yielding total liquidity of $174 million. Now if you could please turn to Slide 11. I'd like to next talk about our balance sheet. As discussed earlier we made a prepayment of $10 million in July and a further prepayment of $100 million in October on our 2017 Term Loan B facility which has a current interest rate in excess of 8%. These prepayments will result in a $9 million decrease in cash interest expense on an annual basis and $1.9 million, specifically in the fourth quarter of 2019 compared to the third quarter, based on current interest rates as well as a reduction in future quarterly amortization payments, from $6.1 million to $4.6 million per quarter. Having completed these prepayments and significantly lowered our interest expense, we believe there's still an opportunity to further optimize our balance sheet. And lower our cost of capital in the future. As Lois mentioned, we remain well positioned to further implement our disciplined and accretive capital allocation strategy, in a strengthening market. In terms of balance sheet specifics, as of September 30th, we had $1.8 billion of assets compared to $717 million of long-term debt, which again is before the October prepayment of $100 million. In addition, we have as mentioned, the $50 million revolving credit facility that remains undrawn as of September 30th 2019. As you can see on the right-hand column, pro forma for the sales by LNG and $100 million debt prepayment, our total debt-to-capital stood at under, 41% while our net loan-to-value stands at 36%. On the bottom of slide, we outline the face amount of our debt facilities, giving pro forma effect to the $100 million prepayment, all of which importantly matures in 2022 or later. Lastly, turning to slide 12, we illustrate again our strong earnings power or our fleet as we head into a market recovery. And the far left, we show, 2018 spot rates earned by INSW vessels, which we view as a trough in the market or the tanker market. And in order to demonstrate the impact of a rising rate environment relative to these 2018 levels, we present three specific scenarios, to the right. First is, mid-cycle by which we mean, 15-year average rates. Second is, a recent peak, represented by 2015 average rates. And last on the right is, sort of the openings rate as experienced in 2008. You can see that base on the mid-cycle average rates are currently would generate annualized EBITDA of $244 million with $3.65 per share EPS. If rates were we would turn to 2015, level that would represent $438 million adjusted EBITDA and $10.31 of EPS. And of course we ever experienced, super cycle levels again we generate over $600 million of EBITDA. I'd like to highlight that our past success implementing our fleet growth and modernization strategy has significantly enhanced our upside potential capitalize in a market recovery, in both the product and crude tankers, where we continue to maintain significant operating leverage. As a reminder, $5,000 increase in spot rates in every vessel class would result in about $72 million in additional cash flow or $2.46 additional earnings per share, per annum. I'd now like to turn the call back to Lois, for closing comments.