Scott Wilkinson
Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Please state your question
Thanks, Matt. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining our third quarter 2020 conference call. As previously discussed, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact worldwide and on our company in 2020, and has continued to have a meaningful effect on our business throughout the third quarter of this year, due to a substantial reduction in patient travel and activity outside of the home, as well as reduced consumer confidence. In addition, we have seen physician offices in the U.S. and assessment centers in Europe limit patient interactions that traditionally have led to new oxygen patient referrals. Furthermore, our HME customers worldwide turned their purchasing focus to stationary oxygen concentrators to treat COVID-19 patients, while also minimizing patient interactions, which includes replacing existing patient setups with POCs. While these factors made for a challenging third quarter for our business, we saw total revenue and revenue for both domestic and international business to business channels grow sequentially from the second quarter of 2020. Furthermore, we're pleased that our continued focus on our rental channel has produced strong operating performance, with rental revenue in the third quarter of 2020, growing both sequentially and versus the same period in the prior year. While it is difficult to predict what impact the COVID-19 PHE will have for the remainder of 2020, and 2021. Oxygen therapy is a key treatment for severe COPD and other respiratory disorders. And after the pandemic, we expect the need for long-term oxygen therapy to normalize. Before discussing our financial results in more detail, I wanted to briefly give an update on the recently released Medicare traditional fee-for-service market data for the full year 2019, and competitive bidding around '20 to '21. While the Medicare information has certain limitations when used to assemble a picture of the oxygen therapy market, such as the absence of brand or manufacturer information, we believe that the information can serve to approximate the long-term oxygen therapy market in the United States. Based on the data set, we estimate that the share of portable oxygen concentrators in the traditional fee-for-service Medicare long-term oxygen therapy market, grew from 13.9% in 2018 to 18% in 2019. However, this estimate does not include patient cash sales or private insurance transactions. So, we believe that this data from CMS may represent a conservative estimate of actual portable oxygen concentrator market penetration. POCs were still the fastest growing modality in oxygen therapy based on the CMS data. And we still believe this category has a significant growth opportunity ahead. The data also showed a continued trend for a decreasing share of stationary concentrators, transfilling systems, liquid systems and oxygen tanks. Due to the trend of a higher percentage of patients receiving both stationary and ambulatory oxygen, we have increased our estimate of target full penetration of total long-term oxygen therapy patients using POCs to be approximately 70%. This is up from our prior estimate of 68%, and is based on our estimate that 90% of the ambulatory long-term oxygen therapy patients could be served by POCs over time. In regards to competitive bidding around 2021, on October 27, CMS announced the competitive bidding contracts that were scheduled to go into effect on January 1, 2021, will not be awarded for most product categories, including oxygen, due to the payment amounts not achieving the expected savings and the current COVID-19 public health emergency. We believe that not moving forward with competitive bidding around 2021 will increase beneficiary access, and also remove uncertainty for all DME suppliers, and we plan to continue to focus on driving POC adoption through consumer and physician awareness and through our partners. CMS also issued a proposed rule to establish payment amounts going forward for DMEPOS items products and services covered under Medicare. We believe that Medicare rates will not change for the length of the PHE, except for the 2% Medicare sequestration that will go back into effect on January 1, 2021, and any net change for inflation and budget neutrality adjustments that typically occur annually each January, but not yet been announced. CMS is proposing to set Medicare rates after the PHE at the 50/50 blended rates in the non-contagious and rural areas as a permanent construct. But Medicare rates in all other areas would be set at the adjusted payment amount. This would reduce Medicare rates after the PHE is over in the current areas that are considered non-rural but not covered by a former CBA, as those areas are currently receiving a 75/25 blended reimbursement rate. There's a 60 day comment period on this proposed rule, so we expect this rule to be finalized in the first quarter of 2021. I would also like to note that we have recently published our first report on our environmental, social and governance practices, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of the company's website. We plan to continue to develop our ESG program in future years. With that, I will now provide details around our third quarter 2020 revenue by channel. We generated total revenue of $74.3 million, reflecting a decline of 19% compared to $91.8 million in the third quarter of 2019. However, our third quarter of 2020 revenue was up 3.7% sequentially from the second quarter of 2020. Domestic business-to-business sales in the third quarter of 2020 decreased 23.5% to $23.1 million, compared to $30.1 million in the third quarter of 2019. We were pleased to see that domestic business-to-business sales in the third quarter of 2020, were up 6.9% sequentially compared to the second quarter of 2020, especially given the uncertainty of the competitive bidding outcome in the quarter. The decrease in domestic business-to-business sales in the third quarter of 2020 versus the comparative period in the prior year was primarily driven by reduced demand, from resellers and our HME providers for POCs. We believe this decreased demand was primarily due to competitive bidding uncertainty and the continued impact of the COVID-19 PHE, including lower retail sales, reduced patient travel, physician offices continuing to limit patient interactions but traditionally have led to new oxygen patient referrals, HME providers minimizing the replacement of existing oxygen patient setups with POCs to limit patient interactions, and providers focusing on supplying stationary oxygen concentrators with higher flow characteristics to treat COVID-19 patients. International business-to-business sales in the third quarter of 2020 decreased by 21.1% on an as reported basis, and 23% on a constant currency basis to $14.6 million, compared to $18.5 million in the third quarter of 2019. The decrease was primarily driven by reduced operating capacity of certain European respiratory assessment centers due to the COVID-19 pandemic, continued tender delays in certain European markets and decreased sales in other markets, primarily Canada and Australia. Sequentially, international business-to-business sales in the third quarter of 2020 were up 5.1% compared to the second quarter of 2020. We are also pleased to say that multiple tenders for the United Kingdom were resolved as in service contracts for them were delivered in the third quarter of 2020, which are expected to take effect starting in the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2021. Finally, in the fourth quarter of 2020, we received confirmation that the Inogen One G5, portable oxygen concentrator was cleared for reimbursement in France. So we expect our French customers to begin to purchase our latest and highest output POCs. Direct-to-consumer sales decreased 22.7% to $29.2 million in the third quarter of 2020, from $37.8 million in the third quarter of 2019. We believe the decrease was primarily driven by the impacts of the COVID-19 PHE on consumer travel and mobility, in addition to lower consumer confidence. Direct-to-consumer sales in the third quarter of 2020 were down 3.3% sequentially, compared to the second quarter of 2020, primarily due to lower average sales representative headcount in the quarter, partially offset by improved sales rep productivity. We expect minimal direct-to-consumer hiring in the fourth quarter of 2020, and planning to continue to focus on sales representative efficiencies, including improved sales rep productivity and lead utilization, while we monitor the impact of the COVID-19 PHE. Rental revenue in the third quarter of 2020 increased to $7.5 million from $5.4 million in the same period in the prior year, an increase of 40.1% primarily due to increased reimbursement rates and increase in patients on service, higher billable patients as a percent of total patients on service, and lower revenue adjustments. We had approximately 29,500 patients on service as of the end of the third quarter of 2020, which was up by 11.7% sequentially compared to the second quarter of 2020, as we made notable progress and using more of our direct-to-consumer generated leads for rental setups, reduced paperwork requirements associated with the COVID-19 PHE and increasing rentals across our physician sales force. We remain excited about our focus to drive new oxygen patient rentals, as we see meaningful patient interest in our products. We continue to believe that the rental channel is an opportunity that should provide future revenue growth and stability, as well as margin expansion to our overall business. And we plan to continue to increase rental setups. As I mentioned in our second quarter earnings release, I have decided to retire from the company by the end of 2021. And as a result, the Board of Directors has initiated a process for finding a new Chief Executive Officer for Inogen. The Board is continuing the search process, and I remain committed to supporting Inogen in this transition period, as we continue to execute on our initiatives to deliver innovative respiratory solutions to patients and homecare providers. We believe we are a leader in POC technology with our product offerings that the market for our technology remains underpenetrated. We still see POCs as the future for oxygen therapy worldwide, as they provide increased freedom and independence for patients, while also decreasing service and delivery costs to providers. In addition, POCs provide a lower touch model compared to regular tank deliveries, which we believe is critical during the period of the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond. Furthermore, while we work relentlessly to optimize our operations with the focus on improving margins, we also plan to make investments in our business to drive long-term revenue growth for our respiratory technologies, and provide patients with best-in-class products and solutions for their respiratory needs. Lastly, given where Inogen stands today, and in spite of the challenges we and the global economy have been facing, we believe are strong cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $220.5 million, with no debt outstanding, provides us with a certain level of stability and liquidity, operate and be adaptable during this unprecedented time. With that, I will now turn the call over to our CFO, Allie Bauerlein. Allie?