Waleed Jabsheh
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead
Thank you, Wasef. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today's call. As Wasef have noted, it's definitely been an eventful start to the year for our industry with the significantly elevated loss activity, economic, financial market volatility and of course, the rising global tension -- geopolitical tensions across many areas across the globe. Now, more than ever, the promises we've made to our stakeholders ring true and our purpose of providing peace of mind in times of uncertainty comes sharply into focus. Our structure and strategy at IGI is especially valuable when considered in the context of the current uncertainty and our long-term perspective. We've said many times that we're not a quarter-to-quarter or even a year-to-year company. We are here for the long haul and we've demonstrated our ability to navigate uncertainty and volatility many times in our history. And now is no different. We will protect our portfolio, find opportunities where we can and remain committed to servicing our clients and customers as best as we can, whilst generating the best value we can for our shareholders. On a side note, I mean, recently, we've had the privilege of watching the London Marathon through the streets of our city. I'm not a runner myself, but it occurred to me that what we do with IGI is very much like how a runner prepares for a marathon. They train for months, often years. They maintain a high level of discipline, strong will, and consistency in how they prepare so they can endure through any conditions when the time comes. They stay focused and they avoid distraction. And when Marathon day arrives, they go out and they get the job done. Our business takes discipline, planning, and strong execution. It also takes a lot of patience. We stay focused on the road ahead so that we're fully prepared when our clients need us most. It's easy to sometimes forget just how risky the world is when we have prolonged periods without intense loss activity as we've had in recent years. So, the events of the first quarter certainly serve as a stark reminder for our industry, why we do what we do and why it's absolutely critical we stay focused. Our financial results were solid in Q1 even with a higher level of natural catastrophes. We've had the L.A. wildfires, of course, and other global cat events as well as a generally higher level of large risk losses. in the specialty lines we write, notably energy and property. These lines, as you're all aware, are by nature, higher in severity. In addition to significant volatility in financial markets and a general sense of uncertainty, we also saw a heightened foreign exchange volatility. Some degree of currency volatility has been a regular feature in our financial results. And at times, it can be further amplified when the U.S. dollar, our reporting currency weakens against our major transactional currencies, the pound in particular. And we saw that in the first quarter. So, definitely some noise in our numbers and where relevant, I'll point out currency impacts in our key metrics. From a top line perspective, we grew GWP by over 13% to just over $206 million, and this was primarily driven by growth in the reinsurance segment. And that's where we continue to take advantage of a healthy positive rating environment. Net earned premium was just under $113 million, and that included a charge of $7.3 million of retained premiums paid on the loss-affected accounts to our reinsurers. And that was split between short and long tail -- between the short and long-tail segments. I'd just remind you that we are active buyers of reinsurance to protect against volatility in the high severity lines of business that we write. The combined ratio of 94.4% reflects the higher level of losses as well as the lower volume of net earned premium as a result of the reinstating premiums I just mentioned and the impact that had on the net earned numbers. In addition as well as approximately 10 points of currency revaluation impact on non-U.S. dollar reserves. So, here, the comparison to Q1 of 2024 is somewhat exaggerated by the impact of currency where Q1 2025 was negatively impacted, while the Q1 2024 combined ratio benefited from approximately 4 to 5 points of currency revaluation. So, on a like-for-like basis, we're talking about quarter-over-quarter deterioration in combined ratio of about 6 to 7 points rather than the 20 points that we see on the numbers. I mean it's never an exact science, obviously, but this just helps to illustrate the impact that currency plays. All-in, we delivered net income of $27.3 million or $0.59 per share versus $37.9 million or $0.84 per share in Q1 of 2024. And again, this was due to a lower level of underwriting income impacted by the loss activity, higher level of -- and the higher level of net reinstatement premiums paid on the losses that we've incurred. Core operating income was $19.5 million or $0.42 per share compared to $40 million or $0.89 per share, again, for the same reasons of the lower level of underwriting income, heightened loss and the heightened losses specifically added 25 points of current accident year or included 25 points of current accident year cat losses. Cat losses during the quarter included the California wildfires, as we mentioned earlier, earthquakes in Taiwan and to a lesser extent, a canal breach due to severe flooding here in the U.K. These events impacted both the reinsurance and short-tail segments. In addition, we experienced a higher volume of large risk losses in our short-tail segment and an aggregation of small and medium-sized losses in our long-tail segment. I would note that the heightened loss activity we experienced in the first three months doesn't appear to be any -- the result of anything systemic that we're seeing. Prior year development was favorable in the quarter by $25.8 million. And again, this is where we see the impact of currency movements. The net positive development was primarily driven by positive experience in recent years in the short-tail segment, primarily in the property and energy lines, both international and U.S. and to a lesser extent, the reinsurance segment as well. This was partially offset by some negative development in the long-tail segment. Here, the negative prior year development was inflated by around $6.5 million and $8 million overall, including Q1, all a part of the currency revaluation. As you're aware, that business is largely transacted in pound sterling, where the short tail and reinsurance segments are predominantly transacted in U.S. dollars or dollar-pegged currencies. And I'll talk about -- a little bit more about the long-tail segment in a moment. G&A expense ratio showed marginal improvement to 19.1% from 19.5% for the same period of last year. And we expect that given the substantial growth of the previous three years, an expense ratio in the region of 18% to 19% is a more reasonable go-forward rate. Some comments on our segment results. If we start with the short-tail segment, gross premiums were up 2% in Q1. Earned premium was down 5.3% when compared to the same quarter last year, reflecting the impact of resale premiums on our reinsurance purchases, as mentioned previously. Consequently, underwriting income was also down in the first quarter. driven largely by the higher level of losses and again, the reinstate of premiums. We continue to see business opportunities in a number of lines, specifically contingency, ports and terminals, marine cargo and to a lesser degree, property lines. We have -- we've mentioned this on prior calls, I would also single out our engineering portfolio, which is doing extremely well and has grown significantly in the first quarter versus the Q1 of 2024. Our teams are capitalizing on opportunities in the U.S. across the MENA region and Asia-Pac regions. The reinsurance treaty segment, as you all know, is well diversified, both by geography and by underlying business lines, showed very positive top line growth of almost 44%, driven by new business. The new business generated at 1/1 and throughout the quarter was mostly in our specialty treaty book, predominantly covering marine, energy, PV and to a lesser extent, property. While rates at 1/1 were broadly off peak by about 10% to 15%, as we said on last quarter's call, the new business still benefited from strong rating adequacy and earned premium and underwriting income were up 48% and 53%, respectively. Long tail segment definitely remains the most challenging area of our portfolio. and this was clear again in the first quarter. Premiums were up slightly, a couple of million dollars in the first quarter, driven by essentially new marine liability business in the aftermath of the Baltimore bridge collapse last year. This segment has now -- has now seen several consecutive quarters of top line contraction, and we continue to be very cautious and disciplined in risk selection here as rates continue to decline, although the pace of that decline has slowed somewhat. We recorded an underwriting loss of $7.5 million versus an underwriting profit of around $10 million in Q1 last year. And this is driven by a number of factors. First, there's the higher level of loss activity, including aggregation of smaller losses. Secondly, the impact of FX, which is most pronounced on this -- in this segment and which elevated losses by around $8 million. And third, the impact of reinstatement premiums. I would note here, too, that we are reviewing one area of the PI portfolio, which we're not very pleased with the performance of, and we may opt to discontinue going forward. Again, nothing really systemic that we're seeing. If we turn to the balance sheet, total assets increased by almost 3% to $2.1 billion. Total investments in cash was $1.3 billion. allocations to fixed income securities which makes up around 80% of our investments in cash portfolio generated $13.6 million in investment income, an increase of around -- of more than 15% from Q1 of 2024 with a yield of 4.3%. And we also hedged out the duration slightly to 3.4 years during Q1 just to lock in higher rates on new bonds. In Q1, we repurchased almost 160,000 common shares, average price per share of $23.8 -- as of the end of Q1, this leaves approximately 2.1 million shares outstanding or remaining under our existing 7.5 million share -- $7.5 million repurchase authorization. Total equity was just over $650 million at the end of the quarter, and that included the impact of share repurchases and the payment of about just under $40 million in common share dividends, including the special dividend, as Wasef mentioned of $0.85 earlier this year. This compared to total equity of just under $655 million at the end of 2024. Ultimately, we recorded a return on average shareholder equity of 16.7% for Q1. Book value per share was $14.65. From a total return perspective, book value per share plus dividends increased by 4.5% at the end of Q1 from end of last year, and we returned $43.5 million to shareholders in share repurchases and dividends in the first quarter. So, as I said at the outset, a relatively good quarter for IGI, notwithstanding all the moving pieces and generally tougher market conditions. What our results demonstrate is not only the resilience of the portfolio we've built, but also the value of our diversification strategy and the excellent and experienced teams we have. Looking ahead, I'm confident that we can continue to find good opportunities to write new business across many lines within our portfolio. On the flip side of the equation, obviously, is some contraction in top line we are seeing and may continue to see in other areas of our portfolio where profitability and our coverages just don't meet our thresholds. Again, our diversified strategy gives us more optionality and more levers to work with. And our on-the-ground presence in international markets really does make a difference to us in seeing emerging trends and responding quickly and decisively. I mean these markets are becoming stronger and more relevant and their ability and desire to retain more business locally within their markets is growing, and we definitely benefit from being on the ground in all these locations. Specifically on what we're seeing in our markets, I mean, there's no doubt there's clearly a heightened degree of competitive pressure. If we start with the long-tail segment, I mean, overall, net rates remain adequate in many areas despite several consecutive quarters of decline. There's no doubt our margins are getting squeezed, and we continue to see some signs of rates -- but we continue to see some signs of rates stabilizing, not broad stabilizations, but in some areas. An example is parts of our PI portfolio where the pace of the rate decline is slowing and the book overall is still rate adequate. I noted earlier that we're reviewing an area of the PI portfolio and just with any underperforming part of the business, we're prepared to walk away if things don't improve. Our outlook on short tail lines continues to be fairly stable, in line with prior quarters, although the market is definitely becoming tougher. These lines are becoming increasingly competitive, and this is putting pressure on rates, as we all know. The loss events of the first quarter, particularly the cat events, unfortunately, don't appear to have had much impact on market conditions in any specific areas, and we continue to see more intense competition. Our construction and engineering book, as I noted a few moments ago, as well as parts of our property portfolio, marine lines, contingency, I think, will continue to present us with the most opportunities. In the reinsurance segment, we've renewed about two-thirds of our treaty book in the first three months of the year. and another 10% or so at the beginning of April with the rest of the book renewing over the remainder of the year. We continue to see opportunities for new business that fall within our risk tolerances, and I expect that, that will continue throughout the remainder of the year. In the first quarter, new business in this segment was more heavily weighted towards specialty treaty business, which is pretty geographically well diversified across the U.S. and the international markets. Reinsurance markets are continuing to be from what we're seeing relatively disciplined from a structure, from a terms and wordings perspective, though pricing pressure is continuing. And it may be off probably around 15 to 20 points by the year -- by the end of the year from the 10 to 15 points we said at the start of 2025. I mean we're continuing to see carriers pushing hard to build market share, especially the bigger players. And this is obviously only adds to the rating pressure. In our geographical markets, U.S. has been the biggest growth area for us, and we expect that will continue. It will continue to be one of the markets with the greatest opportunity for us to write new business. And that is essentially where we are most underweight. But given that this is where the most competition is and higher concentration of cat exposed risk, we are as with anything else, taking a more cautious approach, always being mindful of our risk appetite and risk tolerances. We noted on last quarter's call that there is a lower volume of business finding its way to the open market in London, which is where we write most of our U.S. portfolio. The U.S. domestic players are retaining greater shares on their business. Nevertheless, there is still room for us to grow here, no doubt, but both in our specialty treaty book and in short-tail lines. And as we've said many times, we don't write any casualty business in the U.S. and have no desire to start. Europe always remains a growth area for us, and the story is similar in the Middle East, North Africa, and Asia-Pac regions. And as mentioned earlier, our expanded presence and capabilities on the ground in these areas are paying benefits. So, before we open the call up for questions, just some final thoughts from my end. Like I said at the start of the call, we're fully prepared for these headwinds, along with our fully unlevered balance sheet, our underwriting portfolio is diversified on many levels, and we have the right infrastructure with the right people and the capabilities. We are close to our markets, and we communicate well with each other. This is the strong foundation that allows us to effectively manage all stages of the market cycle. So, we'll continue to do what we always do to stay focused to execute well and to execute with discipline. This is how we've built the successful track record that we have for more than two decades now, and this is how we will continue to do so. So, I'm going to pause right there, and we'll turn it over for questions. Operator, we're ready to take the first question, please.