Waleed Jabsheh
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead
Thank you, Wasef. Good morning, everybody and thank you all for joining us today. I'm pleased to be talking to you this morning about another quarter and full year of solid financial results. We generated solid top and bottom-line results in the fourth quarter, translating to a 77.8% combined ratio, record core operating income of $40.9 million and a 25% core operating return on equity. For the full year, we grew top line marginally by just under 2%. Our view of top line growth, as we said before, clearly changed through during the course of 2024 as we saw increased competition, pressuring rates in many lines and many of our markets. Nevertheless, we generated a combined ratio of just under 80%, record net income of $135.2 million and record core operating income of almost $145 million leading to return on average equity of 22.6% and core operating return on average equity of 24.2% for the year. Before I delve into the details of the results, I'd just like to reflect a little more on Wasef's comments in the past five years. As he just noted, we'll mark our fifth anniversary of being a public company in just a few weeks. While Wasef noted the financial achievements we've made during this time, I'd like to focus a little bit more on the non-financial achievements. We went public on March 18, 2020 at the time and in spite of a rich 18-year history in this business, we were a virtually unknown Middle Eastern company with a market value of around $400 million. You may recall that within days of us listing on NASDAQ, the U.K., the U.S. and virtually the entire world all facing an unprecedented global pandemic went into lockdown effectively preventing us from traveling to meet our shareholders face to face and practically erasing any ability to target prospective new investors. In the first few years, we were in the throes of the de-SPACing spanking process, which can be somewhat of a complex one, all while adjusting to the demands of life as a public company. Five years ago, we were a group of about 225 people across five offices writing less than $400 million in gross premium. Today, we're over 450 people across eight offices, and as you will have seen in the last we just closed 2024 with premiums of over $700 million. During this time, we entered new markets, most notably the U. S. We added new lines of business like Contingency. We opened offices in Bermuda and Oslo and also Malta where we established our European platform. We created efficiencies by taking previously outsourced services in house such as SOX reporting, various IT functions and delegated authority oversight. We bolstered our underwriting capabilities across all our offices. And most recently, in our London underwriting center, we established a presence at Lloyd's and relocated to new offices that are more conducive to supporting our marketing activities and enhancing our visibility with key audiences. We've made these accomplishments while producing some of the best financial results in our history and reaching a market cap that is currently hovering around the $1.2 billion mark. And most importantly through it all, we've maintained our unique and deeply rooted culture one characterized by high performance collaboration and mutual respect. So it's safe to say that our progress has been truly remarkable as Wasef mentioned. Now returning to our usual agenda, I'll recap our Q4 and full year numbers before moving on to our view of the market. Starting with the top line. Gross premiums were up just under 6% in the fourth quarter, mainly driven by growth in the short tail and reinsurance segments. For the full year, gross premiums were up just under 2% when compared to 23%. I'll talk in a moment about what we're seeing in our markets and what we're expecting in terms of top line. But as I said in last quarter's call, there are opportunities for new business but we're having to work harder to find them and that's exactly what we're doing. But I want to be clear that if the profitability in these new opportunities don't meet our requirements, we will simply not write the business. This is all part of effectively managing the cycle with our focus always on bottom line profitability. Our combined ratio of 77.8% for the fourth quarter and 79.9% for the full year are very healthy and they reflect the continued strong performance of the group. 2024 saw a more elevated loss environment. I mean, we had hurricanes Helene and Milton, extreme flooding in Europe and the UAE, the Taiwan earthquake and also the convective storms in the U.S. Our share of those losses has been very manageable and this clearly illustrates the resilience we've created in a larger and more diversified portfolio. Just a few comments on our segment results. In our short tail segment, gross premiums were up marginally in the fourth quarter and up just shy of 3% for the full year. Earned premium was relatively flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 and up over 8% for the full year. Underwriting income was down in the fourth quarter driven largely by a higher level of losses, but up almost 5% for the full year in spite of the elevated loss activity. I'd note here that the new business opportunities in engineering, contingency, marine lines such as ports and terminals, marine cargo and to a lesser degree the property lines were offset by contraction of more than 25% in our aviation book. The reinsurance segment performed very well overall. The fourth quarter year-over-year comparison is somewhat distorted though by the true up in the fourth quarter of 2023. For the full year, which is a much better indicator, gross premiums were up more than 36%. In this segment, both underwriting income and net earned premiums were up significantly in the fourth quarter and full year when compared to the same periods the year before. The long tail segment was the most challenging area of our portfolio and where we saw again some expected contraction in the book. It was down about 1.5 points in Q4 and almost 10 points for the full year. Again, what you're seeing here is the effective discipline we're exercising in risk selection and all part of being strong cycle managers in the business. As a result, net earned premiums were down compared to the same periods in 2023. Underwriting income more than doubled in the fourth quarter due to a higher level of losses recorded in the fourth quarter of the previous year versus this one. But again, a better indicator would be the full year in that underwriting income was down a little over 30%. Overall, in the long tail segment, what I said in prior quarters remains the same. That for the foreseeable future, we're likely to continue to see rates under pressure and we continue to take a more cautious view here until market conditions do improve. Net income for the fourth quarter was $30 million. For the full year, net income was slightly above $135 million up almost 15% from the prior year. And a record result for us all due to solid underwriting margins and better investment income. But again, noting the impact that the redemption of the warrants had on the full year results of 2023. Core operating income was a record $40.9 million in Q4 and a record $144.8 million for the full year of 2024. Turning to the balance sheet, total assets increased almost 11% over $2 billion. Our investments and cash portfolio grew by more than 14% during the year. Our allocation to fixed income, which makes up approximately 78% of our portfolio, generated almost $52 million in investment income, which represents an increase of almost 30% over the year before with a yield of 4.3%. Note, we kept duration relatively stable at three point two years. Total equity increased 21.1% to over $650 million at December 31, when compared to the same point of last year before. I would note that year-end total equity was impacted by a mark-to-market loss of about $22 million on our bond portfolio during Q4. But remember that we hold our bonds to maturity. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased more than 220,000 common shares, taking us up to just under 1.5 million shares for the full year. As of the 31st December, this leaves approximately 2.3 million shares remaining under our existing $7.5 million repurchase authorization. Ultimately, we recorded a return on average shareholders' equity of 18.4% for the fourth quarter and 22.6% for the full year and a core operating ROE of 25% for Q4 and 24.2% for the full year. Lastly and most importantly, book value per share was $14.85 at the end of the year representing a year-over-year increase of just under 20%. So as I said at the outset, another excellent year for IGI. I congratulate all of our people for the results we've achieved both financial and non-financial. This is very much a team effort and together we've made incredible progress in maximizing our efforts through better collaboration, better communication, creating more efficiencies across our offices and within units and being more active in our marketing efforts, all of which have laid a very solid foundation for the coming years. Looking ahead, I'm still confident that we can find good opportunities to write new business across many lines within our portfolios. This is the benefit even with our relatively small size of having a well-diversified portfolio of risks. We have more optionality and more levers to work with to shift our focus and pivot to those areas with the strongest rate momentum and the highest margins. All this while always remaining disciplined, selective and consistent and working within our well-defined risk appetite and tolerances. Our presence in key territories is critical in allowing us to see emerging trends and respond quickly and decisively and capturing the business locally. This is especially important today as we're seeing increasing competitive pressures and many of our international markets are becoming stronger and more relevant. And what's clear is their ability and desire to retain business -- or to retain more business locally within these domestic markets. I'm particularly pleased with all the work we've done in the patient of a more competitive environment. We differentiate ourselves through our strong technical capabilities, underwriting discipline and of course the quality of service we provide. Our underwriting teams are led by seasoned professionals who are very well versed in the cyclicality and volatility of this business. They've managed cycles through the good times and the more difficult times and they understand that relationships matter. And this is one of our strengths and what enables us to compete against companies that are much, much larger than us. Specifically, on what we're seeing in our markets, there's clearly a heightened degree of competitive pressure generally as I said. And 2025 has gotten off to a challenging start with significantly elevated loss activity, particularly in short tail and reinsurance lines and long tail lines continue to be pressured. I'll start with the long tail segment. Net rates overall remain adequate despite several consecutive quarters of decline. As I said a moment ago, we're seeing some signs of rate stabilizing, not broad stabilization, but in some areas like PI, the pace of rate decline is slowing and the book overall is still rate adequate. I'd note that these comments are specific to the long tail lines that we write, all of which as we've said many times before in the U.K. and international markets and not the U.S., where the story is clearly different. Our short tail portfolio remains more of a mixed bag. Rates overall remain broadly steady with what we saw in 2024 with a fair bit of variation by line and geography. It's definitely increasingly competitive. I mean, so far in the first quarter, as I said, we've seen significantly more active loss environment with the wildfires in California as well as a number of major risk losses globally. And it remains really to be seen what impact this loss activity will have on market conditions. Energy business is obviously one of our largest and most important classes. Onshore energy is seeing an increase in competitive pressures, while rates are holding up a little bit better on the power side. Though here, we're also seeing more competition as well with new capacity entering the market. Offshore energy by contrast has faced several consecutive quarters of decline and continues to be quite challenging. Other areas which continue to show stability, decent rate adequacy include property, both U.S. and international; ports and terminals, marine cargo, marine lines in general, still looking quite positive. Contingency, which is an area where we're still seeing some good opportunities in. Construction and engineering is definitely a bright spot with really healthy opportunities in North America, regions such as Asia Pac and MENA. General Aviation, however, continues to be one of the outliers. And as I've said, we've contracted that book quite significantly after several quarters of rate reductions. But I would note that there's been a recent uptick in loss activity in that space. And that may -- just may help stabilize rates for 2025. In the Reinsurance segment, about two thirds of our treaty book renews in Q1 and what we've seen so far is probably fairly consistent with what you've heard from others. There was a more aggressive push for market share towards the end of the year in the last final weeks and consequently rates were down around 5 to 10 points at one-one, with some pockets of rate improvement on loss affected business. Coverage has remained relatively stable on a positive note. The remainder of our book is weighted towards international exposures, which predominantly renew in Q2 and Q3. This is where I expect we'll see some new opportunities which meet our profitability targets. It's safe to say that 2025 has gotten off to a rather challenging start for our industry. For IGI specifically, I mean, we mentioned the losses I mentioned the losses previously, but for IGI specifically, we expect our losses from the California wildfires as well as the other risk losses that have been incurred so far in Q1 to be manageable for IGI. In our geographic markets, the U.S. has been the biggest growth area for us and we expect that will continue to be one of the markets with the greatest opportunity for us to write new business and grow. We're a very small player here in the grand scheme of things and we remain cautious and always mindful of our risk appetite and our tolerances especially when there's excessive Cat risk involved. In 2024, we wrote a total of just over $120 million in gross premium in the U.S., which as I said is a drop in the ocean of what is almost a $2 trillion market. So there's plenty of room to grow here both with respect to our treaty portfolio, our reinsurance segment as well as our short tail segment. Europe also remains a growth area for us, but it's got slightly different dynamics from the U.S. Europe is much more about relationships, so it takes longer a little longer time to penetrate. In 2024, we expanded our European presence, adding capabilities, new products to our offering in both our Malta and Oslo offices. And as we've said previously, enhanced our marketing activities. And then in 2024, we wrote approximately well, almost $90 million in gross premiums across all segments of our business. Similarly, in the MENA and Asia Pacific regions, we have some excellent talent on the ground, which we have grown over pretty much across the board over the last few years. And we've enhanced our marketing activities and the collaboration between our regional offices and London across regions and this is producing some great opportunities for us. So quite a bit to digest. We have rapidly evolving market dynamics and from a macro perspective, we continue to face global financial and geopolitical pressures and a clearly heightened degree of polarization. But in conclusion, we are fully prepared for these headwinds. I'll go back to what Wasef said at the outset. We've proven ourselves and our ability to deliver on our promises as a public company over the past five years just as we did to the private one eighteen years before that. We are in our strongest position ever. We've got the right people with the right capabilities and a deeply embedded performance-based culture. We've got a well-defined and understood strategy. We are details focused. We have a deep understanding of our markets with experienced people on the ground providing a high level of cultural compatibility. We communicate with transparency and we execute with precision. With this excellent foundation, I'm absolutely confident that we will continue to serve in a stable market for our customers and generate excellent value for our shareholders in 2025. So I'm going to pause here and we'll turn it over for questions. Operator, we're ready to take the first question, please.