Waleed Jabsheh
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thank you, Wasef, and thank you all for joining us today. As Wasef said and as you saw from our press release last night, we've had another strong quarter. I would echo Wasef's comments on the consistent execution of our strategy and our ability to quickly shift our focus of those lines of markets with strong margins and rate momentum. That is what's behind the excellent results we're producing and what you saw in our results for the first quarter. In last quarter's call, we talked a lot about the opportunities in our markets. The one comment I would make here is that we're more optimistic today than even a couple of months ago when we last spoke to you. The dislocation was even more pronounced than we had initially anticipated, which for IGI, has led to an abundance of opportunities to expand and further diversify our portfolio with profitable business. I'll focus on some key highlights for the first quarter in a moment before moving onto what we're seeing in our markets and opportunities ahead of us. But first, I want to provide some comments on the change in the basis of accounting from IFRS to U.S. GAAP as of 1/1/23. This decision, which was made on a purely voluntary basis, makes sense for us as we're now in our fourth year of trading on NASDAQ and a meaningful proportion of IGIC common shares are held by U.S. investors. All the numbers in the press release we issued last night in our first quarter of 2023 financial results were prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. So they may deviate from or not correspond to numbers previously presented under IFRS. Turning to our first quarter results, there's a few points I would like to focus on. Gross premium growth was very healthy in the first quarter at 37% representing one of the highest quarterly gross premium growth rates for us that we've seen in recent years. This growth was primarily in the Short-tail and Reinsurance segments, and to a much lesser extent, some of the general casualty lines in our Long-tail segment. Although, overall gross premiums in this segment were down 6%. Specifically in the Short-tail segment, we recorded over 35% growth in gross premiums versus Q1 of last year. Growth was in all short-tail lines, except for general aviation with the most significant improvement -- opportunities around profitable new business and/or rate improvement on renewal business in our energy book, predominantly power, oil and gas, as well as property and political violence. Our reinsurance treaty book grew almost threefold over the first quarter of '22 -- over the first quarter of this year, sorry, as we took advantage of the housing market that we talked about in last quarter's call. More important than actual growth itself was the profitability of the increased level of premiums, a combined ratio of 78.4%, whilst a few points higher than Q1 2022, which you may recall benefited from currency movements was very healthy and below our long term average in the mid to high 80s, while still reflecting a higher level of loss in the first quarter, a result of -- as a result of the flooding in New Zealand from Cyclone Gabrielle, and the earthquake in Turkey. Overall, profit for the first quarter this year was more than 50% higher at $33.9 million when compared to Q1 '22. I'll quickly address the acquisition and G&A expense ratios, which were down 3.3 points and 3.4 points respectively. First, the acquisition expense ratio, the key driver here relates to a change in our business mix and the level of fees and commissions earned in the quarter, as well as the growth in net earned premium in '23 versus Q1 '22. Similarly with the G&A expense ratio, the key drivers here are favorable currency movements in the first quarter of '23 compared to Q1 '22, higher net premiums earned as well as the reduction in IT consultancy fees, partially offset by higher salary costs related to new hires. Investment income which was up significantly in the first quarter when compared to Q1 of last year. I mean, there's not really a lot here to say. It's a simple story of the impact of the rising interest rates on yields and reinvestment rates in a growing investment portfolio, and that's led to a 1.7 point improvement in the annualized investment yield to 3.5%. Turning to the balance sheet, total assets increased 2.6% to over $1.6 billion, and total equity increased 4.7% to just over $430 million. We continued to repurchase common shares under our existing 5 million common share repurchase authorization. You have all the specifics, as set out in our press release issued last night. All-in, we delivered an annualized return on average equity of 32.2%, representing 8.6 points of improvement over Q1 last year, and an annualized core operating return on average equity of 27.9%, representing a 3.2 point improvement over Q1 last year. We grew book value per share by 10% from December 31st '22 to $9.98 at the end of Q1 this year. So an excellent start to '23, and as I said, much better than we had initially expected when we spoke on last quarter's call. I'm really proud of our ability as a company, even as we continue to grow in numbers to remain disciplined and to adapt quickly and decisively to the changes in the market that we've seen over the past several months. That is one of our key attributes, and it's supported by our flat operating structure and our culture of collaboration and transparent communications. Moving onto the market, it's very similar to what we said in last quarter's call, although the dislocation, as I mentioned earlier was more pronounced than we had initially anticipated, which has meant greater opportunity for us in the form of improving pricing conditions and a far greater submission flow. So we are increasingly bullish about the momentum in our markets and the opportunities ahead. Our outlook for the remainder of the year is very positive. Already in the second quarter, we've seen significant growth in our treaty reinsurance portfolio and in virtually all of our short-tail lines with the greatest opportunities similar to Q1 in energy, property and political violence. While the majority of the portfolio reduced in the first 7 months of the year, we continue to reduce it fairly evenly throughout the remainder of the year. So we will continue to take advantage of the opportunities in front of us. Turning to the Short-tail lines. We saw net rate increase of 9.1% in the first quarter. The landscape here is robust, with good rate momentum in most lines with the exception of general aviation, as I mentioned earlier. Obviously there is much variation by line and territory. For instance, downstream energy saw renewal net rate increases of 17%, while property showed average net increases of more than 9% and contingency almost 11%. We continue to see significant dislocation and opportunity in the PV market, given recent geopolitical events. So in the first quarter in this line of business, we saw a net rate increases north of 40%. But I would note that the reinsurance capacity for PV is far more costly at the moment. In our treaty reinsurance business where we saw net rate improvements of almost 30% in Q1, we are continuing to see increasingly strong momentum. I would note that these are some of the best conditions we've seen in the history of IGI. The reinsurance market continues to be pressured with a lack of cat capacity as many others have significantly reduced their appetite for cat risk. As we mentioned in last quarter's call, when we saw the way the market was behaving leading up to and in the fourth quarter, we initially remained very cautious and made the decision to wait until seeing the outcome of the 1/1 vision. This has allowed us to deploy our capacity in a more meaningful way, as you saw from our first quarter results, without moving outside of our described risk tolerances. Our treaty reinsurance portfolio is a well diversified global book of business, both territorially and by class of business, that we expect this to become a more meaningful piece of our overall portfolio, probably around 10%, as long as current market -- as long as current business persists, which we believe they will at least in the near-term. In the Long-tail segment, the story remains mixed, as we continue to see the impacts of competitive and pricing pressures. Overall, in the first quarter, we saw cumulative net rate increases of [1.5%]. But again, there is quite a bit of variation by line of business in this segment. We noted in last quarter's call, renewal rates force pressures in D&O and financial institutions and where we have seen several consecutive quarters of margin compression. General casualty lines are following this trend, although we are still finding some pockets of opportunity, predominantly in the Middle East and to a lesser extent, Asia. I'll reiterate again that we don't write any of this business in the U.S. Elsewhere, professional indemnity, which is predominantly a UK based book of business is holding up and remains more than adequate with net rate increases of more than 5%. Overall, we really continue to take a cautious and selective approach to this business. Looking at our geographical market. The U.S. is clearly outpacing other markets with rate increases of almost 30% in the lines we're writing, all Short-tailed and predominantly energy, property and contingency. In the first quarter, we more than doubled our U.S. premiums of over $25 million from around $11 million in Q1 last year. Elsewhere, we are seeing positive movement in Europe where we are writing mostly Long-tail business supplemented by some Short-tail and treaty reinsurance business. And Latin America, which as you all know, is kind of exposed. Our Casablanca and Dubai offices are seeing strong production out in the MENA regions, while Asia, which as you probably know, has arguably had the highest level of competition for many years. It's finally improving, and we registered very healthy growth there of almost 130%. For IGI, one of our unique advantages is having regional offices with our people on the ground in all of these key markets where understanding of local idiosyncrasies and cultural capabilities is essential to providing service to our clients, and thereby ensuring that we make the right moves at the right times. So in summary, as I said, we remain very positive on current market conditions, and we're extremely excited about the opportunities for us to continue to expand our portfolio with profitable new business and further diversification. Excellence in underwriting, remaining focused, disciplined, and adept and anticipating and shifting to those areas with the strongest risk adjusted returns is we believe where we can best continue generating long-term shareholder value. And we are very optimistic and bullish of what's ahead of us. So I'm going to pause here and we'll turn it over for questions. Operator, we're ready to take the first question, please.