Andrew K. Silvernail
Analyst · Robert W
Thanks, Mike. Good morning, everybody, and I want to thank you for joining us here for the third quarter call. Before we get into talking about my comments and the results, I want to -- as a New Englander and as a die-hard Boston Red Sox fan, we're pretty excited about the World Series starting tomorrow. And so we hope that their results are outstanding also. A few summary comments before turning to the numbers. I want to talk a little bit about the third quarter execution of our strategy. I also want to talk, just what we're seeing in the current environment and then a few comments on investment and our capital deployment, generally. So starting with the third quarter, the theme really here is -- was make your own luck, and we've talked about this a lot within the company. And we're pleased with the results in what continues to be a very challenging environment. The global economy, as we look at it, it really lacks sustained results and action throughout the globe. It continues to be pretty spotty and pretty choppy. But I'm very happy with how our teams are delivering. As you saw in the quarter, we had very solid order growth, double-digit EPS growth, record free cash flow and improving return on invested capital. So generally, overall, we're pretty happy with the third quarter results. And I think when it comes down to it, we're executing the strategy that we laid out a year or so ago pretty well. If you recall, there were 3 elements of our strategy that we've been talking about pretty consistently. The first was really investing for global growth around our core products and our core customers; then executing around that core for great quality, delivery and cost; and then finally, very disciplined yet flexible capital deployment. And I think we're executing against that pretty well, and the results are showing. If you remember, last year, we took out almost $30 million in cost, structural cost, and we put a bunch of that in our pocket and also put a bunch of that into organic growth investments. And again, the results, we're starting to see some benefits of that. On the orders, sales side, we've made a number of focused investments geographically in businesses. We're seeing that in areas like our Energy business, Scientific Fluidics and even in the Dispensing business. We're also seeing really nice improvement in profitability in a number of places that we restructured. If you look at our Optics business, our Fire business or our Water Services, all have seen substantial improvements in profitability and help driving the earnings growth that you're seeing here today. And then finally, we really made some nice improvements in return on capital. We've had very disciplined working capital management, and I think we've made intelligent choices around our capital deployment. As we look going forward a little bit, I think in the fourth quarter, you're going to see a better overall revenue growth. But that being said, we still see that this is going to be a pretty uneven environment. And while we're happy with our results and we think our fourth quarter is going to look pretty good, we are cautious, and I think we will remain cautious about what's going on globally in the economy. So let me talk for a second about what's happening around the world. Pretty much, our overall demand has played out like we thought it would when we came into this year. The U.S., we're still seeing kind of similar overall results that we saw in the second quarter. We do have volatility in our short cycle businesses. If you remember, when we were coming out of the second quarter, in our call, we talked about there being some issues around industrial distribution in the latter part of the second quarter. That really popped back in the early part of the third quarter. But then we saw some choppiness again as we moved through the quarter. So we're obviously keeping an eye on that. No red flags, but we certainly keep an eye on it. Europe is generally stable. There are pockets of improvements, specifically what we're seeing around Germany, a little bit in some of the other Northern countries. But there's also pockets of issues that I don't think are going to go away anytime soon. China, very consistent with what we saw in the second quarter. As we mentioned, we had deceleration really starting at the first part of this year. I know that the headline news out of China recently has been better. We're not really seeing that yet. We still expect there to be solid growth in China. But at the same time, we're not expecting a big acceleration. If you look at the emerging markets, I think the term there is mixed. Overall, we continue to believe that it's going to outpace the U.S. and Europe, and we're going to continue to invest in the emerging markets. But the bottom line is you got to live with the volatility that's there. So we're going to continue to invest and grow, and I think that will pay off over time. If we look forward, we believe the global demand is going to remain sluggish, and we're going to have to continue to make our own luck, and that theme will really move on. The winners and the losers, we feel, are really going to be separated by a tight focus on better overall end-market growth, differentiated products and outstanding execution, and we are committed to those 3 things. And if you look at the investments that we've made throughout this year and will carry over into next year, we think they're pretty substantial. We've expanded our Indian manufacturing facility. We're going to open our second facility there in 2014. We've had commercial expansion throughout Asia, specifically in Singapore, Japan and the Middle East. We put numerous product managers across many business lines in IDEX. We put a new clean room into our Blackburn facility, which is our -- part of our sealing solutions business to support the scientific markets. We've continued the rollout of our X-SMART product, which has really been a hit. It's a low-end -- if you recall, it's a low-end automatic dispenser, and that's been successful in Europe. It's been successful in Asia. We feel good about that. And also, we opened up a new sales office for our sealing solutions business in Houston for the oil and gas markets, and we'll open a manufacturing facility in 2014 there. So we are definitely making the investments that we think are going to drive organic growth in the future. And these investments, we feel like they're bearing fruit. Now you've seen it in our recent order rate, certainly in profit and cash flow. And on top of continuing to invest organically, this kind of performance is allowing us to be disciplined with our balanced capital deployment strategy. So far this year, we put $192 million back into the pockets of our shareholders. We've continued our 30% dividend payout ratio. We bought back 2.5 million shares, so we feel good about that. And we've also continued our acquisition strategy. As you know, we made the acquisition of FTL early in the year for our sealing solutions business. That integration is on track. We feel good about that. And generally, we are continuing to keep our foot down on the overall acquisition process. We have a pretty healthy funnel today. We've got numerous deals that are in process. That being said, these things can be -- could have been said throughout the bulk of the year. And I think, as everybody knows, the market here is very challenging because of both price and terms. And so our overall effort here, certainly, the inputs and the outputs aren't matched. There's a lot of effort going into IDEX to make smart, strategic acquisitions. We'll continue to work the process. But we're going to be very, very disciplined. We're going to require -- we're going to acquire the right assets at the right prices that really do lead IDEX to be successful. So with that, let's turn to the third quarter detail. I'm on Slide 5. If you look at sales and orders, sales were $491 million, up 2% year-over-year, 1% organically. That being said, they were below our expectations. FMT was quite strong, while we had some pockets of softness in Diversified and in HST. That being said, we billed $41 million of backlog in the quarter. We had orders that were $532 million. They were up 14% year-over-year. 5% of that was due to another large dispensing order, but we still had very strong order growth even minus that. That dispensing order, by the way, is primarily going to ship in the first half of 2014. On the margin front, gross margins were up 250 basis points year-over-year. Operating margin was up 150 basis points to 19.8%. FMT saw expansion of operating profit margins 300 basis points. And HST was up 330 basis points. If you look at the margin expansion, it was really across a number of levers that we've continued to be able to move here at IDEX. We continue to get price. The restructuring and the complexity reduction benefits that we have continued to work are paying off. We did have some favorable mix, not so much segment to segment, but more around business line to business line, and we had excellent productivity in the quarter. This led to $0.78 of earnings growth -- sorry, excuse me, $0.78 of earnings, which is up 18% year-over-year. We did, however, have about $2.1 million of a tax benefit versus the guidance that we gave at the end of the second quarter. Finally, free cash flow was $113 million, 175% of net income, and I am very, very pleased with that performance. Our teams deserve to be congratulated for excellent working capital management in the quarter. All right. Let's move over to the segment discussions. I'm on Slide 6, and let's start with Fluid & Metering. Third quarter performance, it was very good. Orders and sales were up in every single platform year-over-year. Organic orders were up 9%. Organic sales were up 6%. And operating margins, as I said before, improved 300 basis points. If you look at how that broke down within the segment, Energy really led the segment in overall performance, very strong orders, sales and margins. There was strength in the electronic retrofits in North America, and their international aviation orders were also very solid. Along with that, the team executed very well across the businesses and across the globe, and we expect this kind of performance to continue as we move forward. In our Chemical, Food & Process platform, also had good performance. Order improvements were really driven by the investments that we've made in the Middle East and China. The core markets of Germany and North American distribution, I'm going to say they've been stable. So we're still getting good performance, but certainly not what we're seeing in the eastern part of the globe. There were some softness in projects here in CFP, and so we're going to keep paying attention to that. But the book-and-turn business has been good, and we think they'll finish the year nicely. Our ag business, it continues to perform. I will say, we've got a careful eye on the future. We're mindful of what's going on with farm income. But Banjo, it really has continued to have nice orders in the quarter. There were some early order patterns that we're keeping our eye on, but also really strong new product introductions coming out of Banjo. Our Water business, as you know, is broken down into 2 pieces: the water services and then the industrial. On the water services side, healthy growth in sales orders and margin, really driven by the performance of our iPEK business, which is in North America. They've taken substantial share with new product introductions. The markets themselves, if you just look at the underlying markets, I would still say that it's pretty modest improvement. As we said, in the second quarter, the disconnect between tax receipts and increase in spending hasn't happened yet, but quote activity is decent. This group, also, did a very, very nice job of improving overall profitability through complexity reduction and the productivity efforts that they've put forward. So nice job by the water services team. The industrial side, I'm going to say growth is pretty tepid in Europe and in Asia, but they are still getting nice productivity at that business. All right. Let's move on to Health & Science. I'm on Slide 7. In the third quarter, margin improvement is really the story here for the segment. Organic orders were up. They were up 2% year-over-year. Op margin, as I said before, expanded 330 basis points and up 150 basis points sequentially. Organic sales, as we had expected, did finish down 2% year-over-year. On the Scientific Fluidics business, really continued performance. They have had solid orders, sales growth in every quarter of the year. North America and Western Europe, those markets have continued to strengthen on top of what we had seen, was pretty nice performance coming out of Southeast Asia. And the team is really winning new share through product introductions and content on new platforms. So the strategy that they've had in place and they've been employing is certainly being successful. Our specialty sealing business was also strong. They had record order intake and excellent margin improvement. They had nice expansion in their scientific business and in their oil and gas business in North America and the Middle East and in parts of Europe. And I think there's really a positive outlook here for the balance of the year and as we think about 2014. If you turn to our Optics & Photonics business, their delivering margin improvement, as we had promised and as they had promised. As expected, orders and sales were down from prior year. In the fourth quarter, we start to anniversary the business that we walked away from last year. As you recall, we had said that was going to be $15 million to $20 million. It's going to be closer to $20 million, as we look at the comps. The industrial, the semiconductor and the defense markets, what I would say is they have stabilized. So we started seeing in the first quarter that order patterns had started to stabilize and flatten, and that has continued here into the third quarter. So we expect solid results as we go forward. They've got a very good cost structure, there's some top line stability and there's some new products in the pipeline there that we're starting to see move through. If you look at our material process platform, if you recall, that's a long cycle business. So there can be -- unlike most of the parts of IDEX, there can be a pretty good disconnect between order book and when sales hit. They've had 3 consecutive orders -- 3 conservative quarters of pretty good orders, really driven by North America and by Asia. They still have some top line softness in Q3 as those sales do lag the orders, but we think that will start to be positive in Q4. And I will say, also like in many parts of IDEX, they've got nice productivity gains in the quarter. Finally here on HST, our industrial-facing businesses, which make up about 30% of the overall segment, there were a couple of OEM pieces of business last year that did not repeat this year, and it did hit us on the year-over-year comparison, both in sales and in orders. So that was certainly a miss on that part of the business. With that, let me go to our final segment, Diversified. I'm on Slide 8. I'm going to take a minute here because there's a lot of moving parts in the 3Q overall performance, and so just to make sure you're clear on this. Orders were up 39% organically. But even if you separate that large order that they got in dispensing, they were still up 16%. As I mentioned before, that large dispensing order is going to ship in the first half of 2014, primarily. Organic sales were down 7% and operating margin was down 290 basis points. Both of those were entirely due to comping against the first large order that we received for Dispensing for 2012. So in the third quarter of 2012, we had a particularly large piece of business for that first replenishment order that we saw. If you subtract that, the rest of the platform performed pretty well. If you look at Dispensing, particularly, I think the story here is innovating to take share. As I mentioned before, the X-SMART product, it continues to get traction. Their overall growth in EMEA has been spotty, but North America and Asia have been pretty good. We continue to see some business gains here with low VOC programs in the U.S., in particular. And as I mentioned, this is the second notable, large Dispensing order that has come our way here in the last couple of years, and I think really shows our ability to capture share in a tough market and extend our leadership position. If you look at our Fire Suppression group, this is all about adjacencies and profit expansion. They really benefited from another order for the Fire Suppression trailers at power production facilities. They had pretty good order project business in China. I would say, North America and Europe have really just held steady. I think the same story around municipal budgets there and how their flow play out here in Fire also. But across the board, their growth initiatives and a great job in productivity have paid off. Rescue. In our Rescue business, orders were softer in the third quarter. And we saw a couple of project delays in the U.S. and in China, both of them really driven by things that are happening within the governments. The order that got delayed in the U.S. was really around, frankly, the shutdown. I hate to say that, but we did have something get delayed because of that. And in China, they're still working through a lot of budgeting items with the new government there. Overall, I'm pretty confident that these guys will continue on the growth path, and they had very good profit execution. Finally, Band-It. They continue to innovate and to execute. They had solid sales and excellent profitability in the quarter. They saw some growth in new vehicle platforms that have, frankly, been planned for, for a number of years that have been in development that are starting to roll out. And also, really good cable management orders in China. As you recall, we made an investment in expansion last year in -- for our Band-It business in China, and we're starting to see that bear fruit. Okay. I'm going to wrap up my remarks for the fourth quarter and for the full year guidance, and I'm on Slide 9. For Q4, we expect revenue growth to be about 5% up organically, acquisitions should add about 1 point and we have EPS ranging from $0.78 to $0.80 in the quarter. For the full year, we now expect EPS to be $3.05 to $3.07, with organic revenue about 2% for the full year, and operating margin is now expected to be about 19.5%. A few other modeling items to consider. We expect tax rate to be about 28.5% for the year; full year CapEx, $33 million to $36 million; and free cash flow, an outstanding 145% to 150% of net income. And as always, just remember that we exclude any impact from acquisitions in that guidance. So in closing here, we continue to post pretty good results in the face of a volatile economic environment, but we do expect this economic environment to be challenging. I do not expect to get any wind to our back here in the fourth quarter or, really, as we look into the intermediate feature. I'm very pleased with our team's focus on our strategy. We're making the long-term investments in organic growth that are going to allow us to really continuously execute around those core markets and products that we've talked about. I like the overall execution that we're seeing out of our team, and we will continue to remain disciplined and flexible and intelligent in our capital deployment. So with that, I'm going to stop here. And, operator, let me open it up for questions.