Earnings Labs

IDACORP, Inc. (IDA)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Sun, Nov 1, 2020

$145.34

-0.28%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. And welcome to the IDACORP’s Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Release Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Justin Forsberg, Director of Investor Relations and Treasury. Please go ahead.

Justin Forsberg

Analyst

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. This morning we issued and posted to IDACORP’s website our third quarter 2020 earnings release and Form 10-Q. The slides that accompany today’s call are also available on our website. We will refer to those slides by number throughout the call today. As noted on slide two, our discussion includes forward-looking statements, including earnings guidance, which reflect our current views on what the future holds, but are subject to several risks and uncertainties, including those related to the COVID-19 pandemic. This cautionary note is also included in more detail for your review in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risks and uncertainties may cause actual results to differ materially from statements made today and we caution against placing undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. As shown on slide three, on today’s call, we have Lisa Grow, IDACORP’s President and Chief Executive Officer; and Steve Keen, IDACORP’s Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. We also have other company representatives available to help answer any questions you may have after Lisa and Steve provide updates. Slide four shows our quarterly financial results. IDACORP’s 2020 third quarter earnings per diluted share were $2.02, an increase of $0.24 per share from last year’s third quarter. IDACORP’s earnings per diluted share for the first nine months of 2020 were $3.95, an increase of $0.27 per diluted share from the same period last year. Today we also tightened our full year 2020 IDACORP earnings guidance estimate upward by $0.10 to be in the range of $4.55 per diluted share to $4.65 per diluted share with our expectation that Idaho Power will not need to utilize any of the tax credits in 2020 that are available to support earnings in Idaho under its regulatory settlement stipulation nor do we anticipate any revenue sharing as Idaho Power is expected to earn a return on year-end equity between 9.4% and 10% in its Idaho jurisdiction. These are our estimates as of today, as we have seen a relatively modest net financial impact from the COVID-19 pandemic to-date. However, as you would expect, it is difficult to predict the full impact of evolving economic conditions on Idaho Power’s customers and suppliers, and how that could affect the upper end of the earnings guidance range or the use of tax credits if the pandemic worsens significantly this quarter. I will now turn the call over to Lisa.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Thank you, Justin, and thanks everyone for joining us on today’s call. Given the ongoing impacts of this pandemic, it seems appropriate to start by once again acknowledging the outstanding job our employees have done managing and responding to this crisis. Their focus on safety, taking care of our customers and managing expenses has been incredible. Idaho Power continues to provide reliable energy to our customers and I am so grateful to have such a talented, adaptable and dedicated workforce. This situation is ever-changing and so our response to it remains nimble. Most of our office employees have now been working remotely for more than seven months, while our line and field crews continue to take extra precautions to ensure the safety of our employees and the public. I commend our workers for their continued vigilance, which has allowed our operations to carry on. In turn, we have been able to continue our essential work of providing the energy that is critical to the daily lives of the customers, businesses and communities we serve. Cost control has long been an important ingredient of our success and it is magnified in these uncertain times. Our company’s operating and maintenance expenses are lower over the first nine months of 2020, compared with the first nine months of 2019. There are several contributing factors, which Steve will walk us through in a minute. But prudent financial management continues to be a focus for our employees and companies. Despite COVID-19, IDACORP remains on track to deliver on its 2020 strategy and financial targets. Customer growth, as noted on slide five, higher irrigation sales, increased transmission wheeling related revenues and lower O&M costs have more than offset any decreased commercial customer usage resulting from the pandemic. In fact, on August 18th of this year, Idaho…

Steve Keen

Analyst

Thank you, Lisa. Let’s now move to slide 10, where you will see our third quarter financial results as compared to the same quarter last year. Despite the continued impacts of the pandemic on our large commercial customer sales, overall we had solid results, which we believe positions us well as we head into the final months of 2020. On the table of year-over-year changes, you will see that continued strong customer growth of 2.6% added $3.9 million to operating income. Higher usage per residential and irrigation customer helped to offset the negative impacts of the pandemic, which decreased our commercial sales volumes by about 3% during the quarter. Residential customer usage was 3% higher than last year, partly related to weather variations, but many customers also spent more time at home due to the public health crisis. The net result was a relatively modest $0.3 million increase in overall usage per customer. Next on the table, you will see that the increase in residential sales was offset by a $1.6 million decrease in the fixed cost adjustment revenues. Moving further down the table, transmission wheeling-related revenues increased $4.4 million due to heightened market activity in the southwest U.S. and California. This increase in volumes was partly offset by Idaho Power’s open access tariff rate, which declined by 13% back in October of 2019. Going forward, beginning with October 1, 2020 the tariff rate increased by 9.6%. Next, on the table, other operating and maintenance expenses decreased by $4.4 million, a portion of this decrease was expected due to Idaho Power’s exit from Unit 1 of the North Valmy plant last year, but the decrease also resulted from lower labor related costs from reduced variable compensation accruals when compared with the same period last year. Aside from those savings in…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your first question today comes from Brian Russo with Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Hi, Brian.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon. Hey. How are you?

Steve Keen

Analyst

Hi, Brian.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Hey. Just curious the wholesale transmission revenues and the incremental wheeling is just an interesting dynamic and I was hoping you could maybe share some more insight. Is it entities to the east of you utilizing your transmission system to move power west when there were shortages of power during that August time period?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Brian, it’s a great question. This is Lisa. Really, when you look at the west as a whole and just what happened this summer. It got really hot. We had some market disruptions. And so really it was not generally one direction. So it was wherever the price arbitrage opportunity occurred. So whether it was east to west or north to south and we sit in the middle of the interconnection. So as markets have those kinds of opportunities, you will see transactions flowing in many directions across our systems.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Okay. Got it. And then maybe a related question, the dynamics unfolding in the Pacific Northwest, does that enhance the value of Boardman to Hemingway and then even Gateway West transmission projects that you are currently working on?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

I am going to have Adam Richins, our Chief Operating Officer answer that.

Adam Richins

Analyst

Hey, Brian. It’s a great question. Yeah. I think as you see decarbonization become more popular and you see the need to move around some of these intermittent renewable resources, you are absolutely going to see huge benefits from transmission. In fact, during the heat wave that we experienced kind of in California and the whole western United States Boardman to Hemingway would have been absolutely critical to move energy through our system. There were large price spreads between the Palo Verde and the mid-sea market and having additional transmission up to the Northwest would have been key because if you look at the region, a lot of transmission was capacity constrained. So I think you are hitting on a key point. I think it’s absolutely going to be critical in the future and that’s why we are so bullish on Boardman to Hemingway and Gateway West for that matter.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Okay. Great. And just some details on what the evaluation was for ix months, it increase last month or the month before, it seems as if you have got a lot of liquidity, several hundred million dollars of cash on the balance sheet, just curious why not more than 6%?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Brian, you cut out there a minute. Were you asking about the dividend?

Brian Russo

Analyst

Yes. The 6% dividend increase, given your liquidity and strength in the balance sheet, why not increase it more than 6%?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. Steve, do you want to take that one?

Steve Keen

Analyst

Sure. That’s great, Lisa. Brian, I would say that, it’s a reasonable question, and I’d say, if you looked at where we sit at this moment, I am not surprised at all you ask it. You have seen the large amount of capital that we projected down the road. And I guess, we are keeping an eye on that and we are sticking with the plan that we wanted to provide meaningful and continual changes to our dividend on a slope kind of like when we started back in ‘11 and we really haven’t moved away from that. I think when you look at that current liquidity. You have to factor in that some of it was a response to the COVID-19 issues. We certainly looked at some of the short-term options like others did. We would have preferred if it wasn’t inside of a year and it turns out the options we were really seeking were just gone, not just for us, but for everybody in the industry. And we took advantage of some of our long-term debt, which we know we need in the near-term, probably next year, the year after and secured some amazing rates. So we are a little bit ahead. And I apologize I am hearing an echo on the line, if everybody else is getting that, sorry. But I hope that answers your question. It’s more of a sticking to our plan on the dividend side.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Yes. It does. Thank you very much.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

Operator

Thank you.

Steve Keen

Analyst

Thank you, Brian.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Hi, Julien.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Good afternoon, everyone. This is Ryan Greenwald actually on for Julien.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Oh! Okay.

Steve Keen

Analyst

Hi, Ryan.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Thanks for taking our questions. So maybe back to the…

Steve Keen

Analyst

Yeah.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

… updated guidance, I appreciate the color there and the nuances kind of into 4Q here. Can you kind of just talk about load trends you are seeing as COVID’s spiking across the nation again and any early reads there?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Yeah. This is Lisa. That one is sort of obviously hard to predict. We continue to see increases in residential for a good reason, interesting that we have seen our commercial -- our large commercial loads coming back to more historic levels, more normal levels, if you will. We had a great irrigation season. We believe that was a lot weather related. Small commercial continues to be off a little, but that’s sort of coming back too as people are trying to get back to some sort of normalcy. So really, I think, the wildcard will be what happens with the virus and if we have to go back into some sort of economic shutdown, we don’t foresee it. I don’t know if there’s political appetite for it, but we are certainly trying to be ready for whatever happens. But the growth is the other side of that story that it just keeps coming. It’s never stopped. And so that’s both in residential and businesses. So we are very excited, and again, every report that comes out is showing Idaho as really the fastest growing place in the nation and we see that -- we believe it will be going that way for some time. Adam, is there anything that you would add?

Adam Richins

Analyst

No. I think you hit it perfectly. In terms of sectors, in the large majority of the sectors, we have seen some pretty steady movement in the industrials, everything from data centers to healthcare, food processing, our dairies are doing pretty well. There’s a few sectors that aren’t necessarily there and that’s lodging and education and maybe on the office building side. But I think we have been pleasantly surprised by the fact that our industrials continue to do well under these conditions.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Got it. That’s helpful. And can you guys talk a bit about how wildfire seasons going in your service territories, suppression efforts and regulatory treatment in the jurisdiction?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Yeah. I -- I will start this and then I will hand it off to Adam or one of his Vice Presidents. We have been -- you all almost hate to say it, because we are not really through the season yet. But it has not impacted us nearly as badly as to our neighbors to the west. It’s been -- we have had one fairly large fire that is now out and to our west, and beyond that, there’s just been a few smaller ones here and there. So we are certainly watching carefully. We are -- we have put together a mitigation plan that looks at those high risk areas and we are looking at vegetation management, some monitoring equipment and other equipment that does not throw off sparks when they operate, things like that. So we are really making sure that we are doing everything we can to both prevent and then mitigate fires and so far, so good. And as far as regulatory treatment goes, I will let -- Adam, do you want to take that one, give an update on where we are with that?

Adam Richins

Analyst

Yeah. I mean you mentioned, Lisa, in your comments that we are finalizing a comprehensive wildlife management -- wildfire management plan and I think what we are going to do there is, at some point, we do plan to file with Idaho and Oregon Commissions, some of our neighbors have done it and it essentially walks through our approach as it relates to wildfires, utilizes a risk based approach that considers probability and consequence. It’s very similar to what you have seen in California and with our neighboring utilities. And so that’s kind of the approach we will take there. As Lisa mentioned, it’s been a pretty normal fire year, knock on wood. We had to replace several distribution poles and have responded to some small outages caused by fires, but again, nothing wildly different from what we have had to respond to year in and year out.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Got it. And then maybe just lastly, there’s obviously been a bunch of M&A developments and strategic kind of pivots we have seen across the space and large valuation discrepancies, just kind of curious how you guys are framing any thoughts about potential strategic actions?

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Well, we -- our history has been that we really don’t comment on M&A. So I think that would be our comment.

Ryan Greenwald

Analyst

Fair enough. Appreciate all the time.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you.

Steve Keen

Analyst

Thanks, Ryan.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Lisa Grow for any closing remarks.

Lisa Grow

Analyst

Thank you. Thank you all for participating on our call today. We appreciate your continued interest in IDACORP and we look forward to seeing and speaking with many of you during the EEI Virtual Financial Conference on November 9th and 10th. It certainly is -- if not nearly as fun as seeing you all in Florida, but I guess, we will do what we have to do in these circumstances. I wish you all good health and I hope you have a really great evening. Thank you again.

Operator

Operator

This conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.