Earnings Labs

IDACORP, Inc. (IDA)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 22, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome, everyone, to IDACORP's Fourth Quarter 2011 Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded and webcast live. A complete replay will also be available from the end of the day for a period of 12 months on the company's website at www.idacorpinc.com. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would to turn the call over to the Director of Investor Relations, Mr. Lawrence Spencer. Please go ahead, sir.

Lawrence Spencer

Analyst

Thank you, Stacy, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our fourth quarter 2011 earnings release conference call. We issued earnings release before the markets opened today and that document, along with our SEC form 10-K, is now posted to our IDACORP website at www.idacorpinc.com. We will be using a few slides to supplement today's call and these are also located on our IDACORP website. We will refer to specific slide numbers as we work our way through today's presentation. Now moving to Slide 2. On the call today, we have LaMont Keen, IDACORP President and Chief Executive Officer; and Darrel Anderson, Idaho Power President and Chief Financial Officer. We also have other individuals available to help answer your questions during the Q&A period. Before turning the presentation over to LaMont, I'll cover a few details with you. First, our safe harbor statement is on Slide 3. Our presentation today contains forward-looking statements, and it is important to note that the company's future results could differ materially from those discussed. While these forward-looking statements represent our current judgment of what the future holds, these statements are also subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from statements being made today. As a result, we caution you against placing undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which reflect our opinion only as of today. A discussion of factors that could cause future results to differ materially can be found on Slide 3 and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which we encourage you to review. Referring to Slide 4, I'll briefly discuss the financial results from today's earnings press release. Fourth quarter 2011 net income attributable to IDACORP was $9 million, $11.4 million less than last year's fourth quarter. Year-to-date net income attributable to IDACORP was $166.7 million, $23.9 million more than 2010. Idaho Power's fourth quarter 2011 net income was $9.3 million, which was $9.6 million less than the fourth quarter of 2010, while Idaho Power's annual 2011 net income was $164.8 million, which was $24.1 million more than 2010. IDACORP earnings decreased by $0.23 per diluted share quarter-over-quarter to $0.18 per diluted share, but increased by $0.41 per diluted share on an annual basis to $3.36 per diluted share. As indicated in today's earnings press release, our current full year 2012 earnings guidance is in the range from $3 to $3.15 per diluted share. Darrel will speak more about the guidance range later on the call. I'll now turn the presentation over to LaMont.

J. Keen

Analyst

Thanks, Larry, and welcome to our participants on this first call of the new year. We thank you for your interest in IDACORP. Larry just summarized our 2011 financial results, so I will spend a few minutes discussing other accomplishments in 2011 and some of our initiatives going forward. As we reflect on our accomplishments in 2011, we do also look forward to 2012 and beyond. And to that end, late in 2011, we announced leadership changes which took effect on January 1. Beginning January 1, Darrel Anderson assumed the role of President and Chief Financial Officer of Idaho Power and will continue as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for IDACORP. In addition to Darrel's advancement, Dan Miner was named Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Idaho Power. Steve Keen was also promoted to Senior Vice President of Finance and Treasurer of Idaho Power, and both Dan and Steve are joining us on the call today. The transition has been thoughtful and collaborative and continues our legacy of strong leadership and leader development at IDACORP and Idaho Power. Moving on to regulatory matters, the fourth quarter of 2011 was a busy one for our Regulatory Affairs department and for our company as a whole. On December 30, the Idaho Public Utilities Commission issued an order on Idaho Power's 2011 general rate case increasing base rates effective January 1, 2012, for a settlement agreement reached September 23 with the Idaho Commission staff, customer groups and the company. This resulted in a $34 million increase in Idaho jurisdiction base rate revenue and a 7.86% authorized rate of return on an Idaho jurisdiction rate base of $2.36 billion. In the fourth quarter, we also received a favorable commission decision regarding our continued ability to use accelerated deferred investment tax…

Darrel Anderson

Analyst

Thanks, LaMont, and good afternoon, everyone. LaMont highlighted some of our key operational accomplishments in 2011. I want to spend a little time reviewing some of the financial highlights and then take a look at the outlook for 2012. We recorded fully diluted annual earnings per share of $3.36, which marks the fourth consecutive annual increase in earnings. On Slide 7, we present a reconciliation of net income attributable to IDACORP from 2010 to 2011, which reflect an increase in net income of $23.9 million. The full reconciliation table is included in the Form 10-K we filed this morning. Operating income was enhanced by $43.5 million due to base rate changes, improved sales volumes, increased transmission revenues and changes in power supply costs, net of the related PCA mechanisms. These revenue-related increases were offset by increases in other operating and maintenance expenses of $24.4 million, depreciation of $3.9 million and property tax expense of $4.8 million. The change in operating and maintenance expense is due to an $11.5 million increase in pension expense associated with the pension recovery rate orders which are earnings neutral. Increase in payroll-related expenses of $5.7 million and $5 million increase in maintenance expenses at our thermal plants. These increases were offset by lower legal expenses of $2.3 million. Prior to recognizing the impacts of the sharing mechanism, operating income was $11.5 million. We anticipate the factors that contributed to the increase in operating income in 2011 will act as a catalyst in reducing our potential reliance on accumulated deferred investment tax credits in 2012. 2011 included recognition of $56.9 million of income tax benefits from a tax accounting method change relating to approval of Idaho Power's method of uniform capitalization. This method contributed to the triggering of the sharing mechanism under Idaho Power's January 2010…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Paul Ridzon with KeyBanc.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

How much AFUDC did Langley Gulch earn in 2011?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst

Paul, we obviously -- we disclosed the total amount of AFUDC, but we don't have disclosed the specific amount associated with Langley Gulch. You could do a rough ballpark, I think, if you took the beginning and ending balances or took a look at the end of year balance that we mentioned, the $355 million, although there is some AFUDC in that number. And I don't have a number to give you specific to Langley Gulch, but you could ballpark that number probably based on that capital balance.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

What was the capital balance of the prior year?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst

I don't have that here in front of me, Paul.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Do you have the total AFUDC was for '11?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst

Hang on one second, I can tell you. It is -- one second. Looks like about $38 million total.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

And you said -- you kind of broke off -- but did you say that guidance assumes ADITCs of less than $5 million?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst

Less than $5 million, that's right.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Russo with Ladenburg.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Just to comment on the dividend policy, I think your target payout is 50% to 60%. And based on the recent dividend boost and the midpoint of your guidance, you're at 42% payout in '12, below your target. Will the dividend be reviewed only once a year? Or is it possible that the board could review the dividend again later in '12 for a possible second increase?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Brian, this is Darrel. I'll let LaMont address that, but one of the things, I mean obviously, the board addresses the dividend every quarter, first of all. So that's kind of the basis. I'll let LaMont kind of address the more overarching question as to the timing and extent of possible future changes.

J. Keen

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Brian, this is LaMont. Since the board has adopted the policy, and we're certainly glad that they did and have taken the first step toward implementing it, it's certainly reasonable to expect that over time, we will periodically review that and take additional steps to hit our target. We have not set what that timetable will be. It's probably not unreasonable to expect that it be reviewed annually, but the board could review that at any point. But we have set the target and intend to move that direction through time.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Okay. And I guess based on your hydro generation output expectations for the year and the medium, I guess can we characterize hydro conditions in your region as near normal?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Brian, I think, based on the range that we provided as it relates to the hydro, we're benefited by, first of all, last year's reservoir carryover as we go into this year. So that -- we're above normal there. So that's helping what LaMont mentioned in his opening remarks about we're below normal on precipitation to date. And so kind of the combination of above average carryover combined with below normal precip [precipitation] to date gives you a range that comes in and around the median generation number, kind of if you look at the midpoint of our range. And so that's based on information we know today. And as that changes, we'll update you at the end of the first quarter with -- as the snowpack settles in, we have a better number for you. It's really a combination of both.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Okay. And then on the Boardman to Hemingway line, I think previously you guys were assuming an ownership level of north of the 21% that's been kind of outlined in the funding agreement. And I'm just curious, is that going to be your ownership percentage at 21%? And then, when might we see the CapEx spend kind of pick up on that?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Brian, I'm going to ask Dan Minor, who is our EVP and COO, to talk a little bit about the timing. He was instrumental in helping getting that effort put to bed, so I'll let him comment on that.

Daniel Minor

Analyst · Ladenburg.

This is Dan. So the project itself, what we've done today is we assumed a permitting percentage for the sake of bringing the other partners into the project. And the number was always kind of in that range for us, somewhere between 20% and 30%. The 21% that we've landed on actually matches very closely to what our operational needs are from the project going forward. So the good news is the other partners that we brought in had very complementary needs to the company and have need both in Oregon and in Idaho to get across the system. So at the end of the project, when we believe we have permits, we'll also potentially have partners that we can construct the projects with. In terms of the CapEx spend, we would still want to see it begin somewhere in that 2016 timeframe, but it largely depends on permitting. And that's both in the BLM's hands as well as in the Oregon Department of Energy's hands for their aspect [ process. ] So we'll do everything we can to move it forward, but it's really their process.

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Brian, this is Darrel. Just a follow-up. With our current targeted in service date of '16, that suggests it's probably about a 2-year build cycle there. So if you back that up, that would probably sometime in '14 is where you would start spending some money on that project. But again, that's dependent on us getting some additional input on the permit and siting process before we start spending any -- making any major commitments on the capital required to begin construction. So the earliest that would be, would be some time in '14, depending on the timing of the permitting process. But you see in our number that we gave you does not include any hard dollars for construction, just includes permitting and siting expenditures that we gave you.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Got you. And to clarify, it's targeted in your IRP for a mid-2016 start.

Daniel Minor

Analyst · Ladenburg.

We hope they'd be finished with the project by then. I think I'm the one who confused it, but we'd be -- hope to be done with it by then. But as Darrel said, it's probably a 2-year construction window, and so if you back up, we'd probably look to start it in 2014 depending on permitting.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Okay, great. And then, I think it's noteworthy that you'll only expect to use less than $5 million in ADITCs in '12 and you mentioned briefly some mechanisms that help support the operating income. I was wondering maybe if you could elaborate on that a little bit.

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Ladenburg.

I think, Brian, what we're referring to there really is, it's a culmination of a lot of the activity in 2010 and 2011 in the form of the base rate changes that we have been able to get into effect combining with the rate changes that went into effect on January 1 of 2012. When you came up [ with ] all of those, we saw an increase in the operating income before the other mechanisms kicked in, and we believe that those will help carry us forward to minimize the amount of additional ITCs that we would otherwise have to use to support the 9.5% in Idaho. So we believe that those will carry forward as we continue to also manage the business and try to manage expenses. That does reduce the amount of ITCs that we might otherwise have to use. And so we think that was notable -- the reason you saw it in the reconciliation, we thought that the increase in operating income is notable and that the business, from a regulatory perspective, we're getting things set up in order to move forward and be able to live under this 3-year agreement we have with the Idaho Commission.

Brian Russo

Analyst · Ladenburg.

All right. And then lastly, just the Hoku contract settlement that I guess Hoku put a press release out, can you discuss that a little bit?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Ladenburg.

Yes, Brian. Well, Greg Said, who is -- heads up our Regulatory Affairs, and his group was the one that kind of worked through the reformation of that contract, and so I'll have Greg talk a little bit about the Hoku contract and what it means to us.

Gregory Said

Analyst · Ladenburg.

This is Greg. With regard to the Hoku contract, essentially, the agreement that was reached by the company, Hoku, and the commission staff was an approach that did not relieve Hoku from their contractual obligations under the current contract, but restructured the timing of the payments so that there was relief in the near-term months to Hoku and more obligation on the back end of the contract. And the reformation included some upfront payments from Hoku that would go directly to Idaho Power in the near term. With their anticipated reduction in use of electricity in the near term, it was determined that their deposit requirements would be reduced from $4 million to $2 million, and we had already had the $4 million on deposit. So we are able to apply $2 million of that deposit to the upfront obligation to the company, and then have ongoing $100,000 per month payments from Hoku to cover what the upfront requirements of the company would be. The back-end nature of the reformation is basically customer dollars because the Hoku first block energy payments are treated as a -- in a manner similar to surplus sales in our power cost adjustment. That reflects a benefit to our customers over time, and while Hoku is not making those payments today and are deferring those to a later point in time, that's where the customer benefit is returned at a future time under the reformed contract. So I guess the -- to again summarize that, the full obligation of Hoku under the original contract remains the same. There's just a shifting in the timing of when those payments are made with the company retaining the benefits early in the reformed contract and the customer benefits being returned later in the reformed contract.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of James Bellessa with D.A. Davidson.

James Bellessa

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

The earnings guidance that you've provided, $3 to $3.15, is the upper end assume no ADITC and the lower end something less than $5 million?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

No, Jim, we probably aren't going to speak to the upper or lower end of that range. What we basically kind of included in there is an estimate that the range includes less than $5 million of ITCs in total to be utilized. And so I don't think we want to try to get into guessing at the higher or lower end of the range. But within that range, we're going to use something less than $5 million.

James Bellessa

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

You're assuming a normal hydro year approximately. Why do you need any relief from ADITC at all?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

A part of the challenge is, if expenses weren't flat, then -- and if we could do that where we do have some upward pressures on some expenses, I think we could possibly try to not have to use any ITCs. But again, if we're talking about less than $5 million, that's not a lot of ITCs to get us to even within Idaho to the 9.5% level. So I think that mostly, I mean if I was having a higher number than that, I think it would raise another question on the issues around lag and some of those things. And the fact that we're using -- projected to be less than $5 million shows that we're doing pretty good job. We're not managing expenses down, increases to 0, but we're doing the best that we can in trying to manage the business. And at the same time, we also aren't seeing necessarily the growth on the revenue side that we otherwise would like to see again in an economy that still isn't hitting on all cylinders, so it's kind of combination of both of those things which is requiring us to estimate at least today that we might use a little bit of ITC.

James Bellessa

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

This guidance range that you provided assumes what tax rate?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

We haven't provided you an estimated tax rate, but what I would probably be able to tell you is if you look in our 10-K and if you took a look at the last couple of years and you adjust -- you can see the impact of some of the tax adjustments running through the effective rate schedule. And when you look at that, there's a range of tax rates that are there after you adjust for those. And I think they ended up, if you adjust for those, they're going to be somewhere in the, I don't know, 15% to 20% range, if you do that math, in some of those ranges. We should be back to arguably a more normal tax situation for us, but you have to look at historically, we've been on the low side anyway because of the flow-through adjustments that we have, so you have to kind of look at that. But once you adjust for some of those oneoff items, you get to something that might be a little more, I'm going to say, normal. But because we're flow through, it' not necessarily normal.

James Bellessa

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

And normal would be 15% to 20%.

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

You know, if you recall back to when we used to give effective tax rate ranges, we were kind of in and around those ranges, maybe in a touch higher. But again, we still have -- we do have the impact of some flow-through adjustments that do have the impact of reducing that effective rate down to in and around that range. We haven't given tax guidance for a year or so now, and we're really not looking to do that now. So my best advice to you is to kind of go back to that table, take a look at that, adjusting out for some of the items that we discussed this year and last year, which are pretty well laid out in that table.

James Bellessa

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

The Hoku arrangement calls for a onetime payment of $3.8 million. The first $2 million will be paid by deducting it from the $4 million deposit previously paid. So is that a first quarter earnings benefit? Is that -- all of it...

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

No. Jim, that number will end up being amortized really over the life of the reformed -- over that 18-month period, so we'll recognize that over that period of time.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sarah Akers with Wells Fargo.

Sarah Akers

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Just a follow-up on Brian's question on the B2H project and I guess both transmission lines. You mentioned that, that one of the drivers for the projects is just to access generation capacity as the economy rebounds. I'm curious, if those projects end up getting delayed, when do you see kind of a firm need to either build additional generation or pursue other investments to satisfy system needs just based on your current demand forecast and the growth outlook in the region?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Well, with Boardman to Hemingway, which is the nearer project, nearer-term project for us, that line is really being built to access resources in the northwest, which is already there available today, that we can't bring home because in certain times of the year, those pipes our full. And so those resources really are there already. And so it's a matter of us getting through this permitting and siting, getting the lines built so we can access that, which is what we've included in our IRP, in our most recent IRP, which is why that particular project is -- goes to the top of the heap for us, is because the resources are really already there.

Sarah Akers

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Okay. So if that gets delayed, would you look to build another unit at Langley or is -- you're just very focused on being able to access that in one way or another?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

We would continue to evaluate those needs. Again, we'll have another IRP that we'll be kicking out and evaluating, and it will assess the status of where we're at with B2H as well as other things that have moved in the meantime to continue to evaluate what is going to be that best resource. But today, in our last IRP, Boardman to Hemingway goes to the top of the list.

Sarah Akers

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Okay. And then in terms of Gateway West, are initial phases of that project is still slated to come online in the 2015 to 2017 timeframe?

Darrel Anderson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

We're going to have Vern Porter, who manages all those projects, kind of address the Gateway West project for us.

Newell Porter

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

I think you're pretty close in your range. We've got the draft environmental impact statement out in July of '11 and we expect the final would be out in about a year from then, maybe toward the end of this year. So you could probably expect a record of decision in mid-2013, which should put you in that general range of 2017 timeframe to be built in segments as the companies need to do so.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] That does conclude the question-and-answer session for today. Mr. Keen, I will turn the call back to you.

J. Keen

Analyst

All right. Thank you, Stacy, and thank you all for participating on the call this afternoon, and have a good day. Bye.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation.