Earnings Labs

IDACORP, Inc. (IDA)

Q1 2010 Earnings Call· Mon, May 10, 2010

$145.34

-0.28%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome, everyone to the IDACORP first quarter 2010 conference call. Today’s call is being recorded and is being webcast live. A complete replay will also be available from the end of the day for a period of 12 months to the company’s website at www.idacorpinc.com. (Operator Instructions) At this time, I would like to turn the call over to the Director of Investor Relations, Mr. Lawrence Spencer. Please go ahead, sir.

Lawrence Spencer

Management

Thank you, Regina, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our May 6, first quarter 2010 earnings release conference call. We issued our earnings release before the markets opened today and that document along with our SEC Form 10-Q is now posted to our IDACORP website at www.idacorpinc.com. We will be using a few slides to supplement today's call and these are also located at our IDACORP website. We will refer to specific slide numbers as we work our way through today's presentation. Now, moving to slide two, on the call today we have LaMont Keen, IDACORP and Idaho Power President and CEO; and Darrel Anderson, IDACORP and Idaho Power Executive Vice President of Administrative Services and CFO. We also have other individuals available to help answer your questions during the Q&A period. Before turning the presentation over to LaMont, I’ll cover a few details with you. First, our complete Safe Harbor statement is on slide three. Our presentation today may contain forward-looking statements and it is important to note that the Corporation’s future results could differ materially from those discussed. A more complete discussion of the factors that could cause future results to differ materially can be found in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Now, referring to slide four, I'll briefly discuss the financial results from today's earnings press release. First quarter 2010 net income attributable to IDACORP was $16.1 million, $2.8 million less than last year's first quarter. Idaho Power's first quarter 2010 net income was $18.2 million compared to $19.3 million in 2009. IDACORP earnings decreased by $0.06 per diluted share quarter-over-quarter to $0.34 per diluted share. As indicated in today's earnings press release, the 2010 earnings guidance remains unchanged in the range of $2.65 to $2.80 per diluted share. I'll now turn the presentation over to LaMont.

LaMont Keen

Management

Thanks, Larry, and welcome to our call, participants. We thank you for you interest in IDACORP. Our local economy continued to feel the impacts of the recession during the first quarter and the warmer-than-normal winter temperatures and relatively poor economic conditions impacted retail energy sales and therefore, earnings. First quarter hydroelectric production was stronger this year compared to last year during the same period. Our hydroelectric facilities generated approximately 1.9 million megawatt hours during this quarter compared to approximately 1.6 million megawatt hours in 2009. However, based upon current snowpack conditions, hydrogenation for the year is expected to be between 6.5 million and 8.5 million megawatt hours in 2010 compared to 8.1 million megawatt hours in 2009. We continue working with others along the Snake River Basin to find ways to collaborate and keep more water in the river, optimizing our hydroelectric capacity, which as you know, is the backbone of our generating resources. And while our earnings were lower during the same quarter this year versus last year, our earnings guidance for the year remains unchanged. And despite the slow economy and anticipated below-normal hydro conditions, we continue stepping forward as an enterprise, delivering on our financial and operational commitments and building the business for the long term. Our three-part strategy, responsible planning, responsible development and protection of resources, and responsible energy use remains our guide through the recession. During the quarter, progress continued on a range of projects, furthering our long-range goals as shown on slide five. To date, we've installed approximately 250,000 advanced meters for our customers with the balance due to be installed by the end of 2011. Advanced meters are the first step toward preparing for a new era for electric energy. The $47 million Department of Energy's Smart Grid Investment Grant allows us to…

Darrel Anderson

Management

Thanks, LaMont, and good afternoon everyone. Today, I will discuss the major components of our April 15th Idaho 2010 PCA filing, the reconciliation of earnings from first quarter 2009 to the first quarter 2010, our liquidity positions at IDACORP and Idaho Power, the current credit ratings at IDACORP and Idaho Power, and finish with a discussion of the 2010 key operating and financial metrics. After that, we look forward to taking your questions. I'll first discuss the Idaho settlement agreement order as it relates to our April 15, 2010 PCA filing with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission. This is shown on slide seven. The column on the left shows the amount of PCA recovery above base rates from the 2009 PCA filing, which was $188.8 million. The column on the right shows the estimated breakdown of the components of the 2010 PCA filing. At the base of the column is the $42.2 million of PCA charges to be collected over the 2010-2011 PCA year. As noted earlier, the midpoint of the range of our estimated hydroelectric generation this year is less than the company's actual hydroelectric generation last year and lower than normal. As a result of this and other factors, we are forecasting net power supply costs at a level higher than our new base power supply cost in the 2010-2011period. The next two segments on the chart relate to base rates and show the proposed increase in base net power supply expenses of $63.7 million and a $25 million annual base revenue increase. These two increases reset base revenues for 2010 and into the future. The top segment, our $57.9 million, represents the benefit to the Idaho retail customers for the 2010 to 2011 PCA year, which translates to an average 6.5% rate reduction for the 12 months.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) And your first question, gentlemen, comes from the line of Brian Russo with Ladenburg Thalmann. And your line is open, sir. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Good afternoon, guys.

LaMont Keen

Management

Hi, Brian. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Just really quickly on Bridger Coal, it seemed to be a pretty meaningful delta in the year-over-year earnings and I was just curious if you could just give a little more insight as to what's going on there.

LaMont Keen

Management

Well, in the first quarter – we did have some increased expenses in the first quarter that as they work through that balance of the year and as they work through the pricing methodology for the coal for the balance of the year, they would expect to recoup those increased costs that occurred in the first quarter. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Okay. So I guess we should see more positive earnings variances out of Bridger Coal for the remaining three quarters?

LaMont Keen

Management

Right. What I said earlier in the prepared remarks was the fact that we expect that the earnings from Bridger Coal to approximate those earnings that were recorded last year. And so if you take a look at where annual earnings came in at Bridger last year, we would expect those to come back in and around those ranges. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Okay, great. And then can you just talk a little bit more about the rate settlement and how that works from a quarter-to-quarter basis? I kind of thought that you kind of trued up your ROE relative to your year-end shareholder equity, but it looks like, I think, if I heard you correctly, you do it on a quarterly basis?

Darrel Anderson

Management

Right, Brian. What – the tax – the one component of the tax settlement – or excuse me, of the rate settlement was the ability to amortize accumulated deferred investment tax credits. So that's one part of it. As you know, the other parts of it kind of reflect our ability to go back and recoup base rate increases. But the piece around the ITC is a result – we treat it similar to how we treat other tax items, so we take a look at the estimated impact of credits that might otherwise amortize and then take that into account in looking at our effective tax rate. And so therefore we do have to look at that on a quarterly basis, not dissimilar to what we would otherwise do with normal – with inter-period tax allocation. So I think – so what we have to – we take in estimate, an annual estimate of what we think the credits are going to be and then we have to then basically pro rata allocate those along with the rest of our effective tax rate. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Okay. So does it imply that you guys earned a 9.5% ROE in the first quarter?

Darrel Anderson

Management

No. What it does – Brian, what we did is we take a look at the estimate for the year and so in any particular quarter it may – it doesn't necessarily apply to that particular quarter. What it applies is to our annual estimate is expected to be. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Okay. And you also mentioned earlier that the low hydro conditions is impacting your fuel costs relative to where the PCA is set or that base PCA. I'm just wondering, can you talk about kind of the rate mechanisms and structure you have in place to kind of mitigate the incremental fuel costs.

Darrel Anderson

Management

Right. What we talked – what I mentioned earlier is part of the breakdown of the PCA. What you see there is a $42 million block, it really reflects what our assumptions are for the forecast and part of that – because we do expect below-normal water conditions. Therefore, we do expect some increment to the base power supply costs, which is the $42 million tranche, reflecting not only the water, but also other power supply costs that we are incurring as we are signing contracts and other things that is putting upward pressure on our net – on our base power supply costs. So water is one of those components, but we look at our entire portfolio of power supply costs and so that – when you look on page – on slide seven, the first block, that $42.2 million really reflects our estimate of what that forecast piece is. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Oh, okay. So I guess it's –

Darrel Anderson

Management

So that's how we would – Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: – accurately reflecting current fuel costs?

Darrel Anderson

Management

Right. That's how we would be looking to capture those – what we forecast to be increased costs. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Got it. And could you just comment on your dividend policy, please?

Darrel Anderson

Management

Sure. We are going to have – we will have – LaMont will comment on that.

LaMont Keen

Management

Yes. Thanks for the question. With regard to the dividend, obviously we monitor that on an ongoing basis. It's a decision of the Board of Directors to see if and when we would change from the current dividend that we are paying out. As we look at it, we understand that as we sit here today, our yield is below that of the industry and probably of the return to investors, the cash payment is a little less than we would expect it to be over the longer haul. Having said that as we sit here today, we have an aggressive capital expenditure program, we have rating agencies that are still very watchful for anything that would be perceived as adverse with regard us doing anything, but entirely supporting our credit quality. So with that, I don't think you can anticipate anything soon, but I can tell you that it's on our watch list and as events change and as we are able, we understand that our investors want part of their return to come in the form of cash and at some day, maybe a greater level than what we are paying today. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Is the – thanks. Is the Board – does the Board review the dividend kind of at one point in the year or is this something that they could review quarterly or however the meeting schedules are?

LaMont Keen

Management

They could do it at anytime, but typically we do at least once a year, typically in the May or the September meeting, give them a thorough update of where we stand versus the industry and versus other indicators of where we think the dividend might be. And we'll – we will do that again this year as well and again, it's always their prerogative, but I do still want to caution that probably a change in dividend policy for us is not in the near-term future. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Okay, thanks a lot, guys.

Darrel Anderson

Management

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Emily Christy with RBC Capital Markets. Emily Christy – RBC Capital Markets: Good afternoon.

LaMont Keen

Management

Hi, Emily. Emily Christy – RBC Capital Markets: I was hoping you would comment on the status of your decoupling program, the fixed cost adjustment mechanism.

Darrel Anderson

Management

Sure. What I'm going to do is I'm going to have Ric Gale, who you've heard from before, speak to the status of the fixed cost adjustment mechanism.

Ric Gale

Analyst

Hi, Emily. The company filed after its three-year pilot to make the decoupling or FCA fixed cost adjustment permanent and after some comment, the Commission has issued an order and as essentially ordered that we would continue in pilot status for another two years. The Commission has, on several occasions, expressed comfort in the mechanism and pride in the mechanism. So we think ultimately it will continue to be part of our rate mechanisms. It's really delivered as promised over the three-year pilot. Emily Christy – RBC Capital Markets: So then what do you think was the – prevented them from making it permanent at this time?

Ric Gale

Analyst

Well, I think there was enough comment. It is a complex – I mean, decoupling is a complex rate-making concept and there was enough confusion between some of the commenters including the AARP who have a national perspective that they are against decoupling doesn't necessarily apply to our mechanism, but there was enough comments that raised concerns that the Commission took a typical response and said we'll pilot it for two more years. Emily Christy – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. And if I could switch gears for a minute, I was hoping you could comment on the – what you are seeing in the Idaho economy, just generally in terms of unemployment. Are you seeing signs of stabilization still or any uplift at all yet?

Darrel Anderson

Management

Emily, that's a great question. This is Darrel. Our recent unemployment rate just came – or at least through March really suggests that – that's the latest that our Department of Labor has come up with, we are sitting at 9.4% at the state. And the good news there is it's the first decline in that rate in 32 months. So that's good news. Then – and some of that unemployment has regionalized somewhat. In our Treasure Valley area here in the Boise area, for instance, that number is up around 10%. In other parts of our service territory, those numbers are less than 9%. So there – so it kind of depends and part of the Boise area unemployment spike was due to Micron, which is one of the larger employers in our area, who laid off a few folks and those – they haven't come back to bring those folks back on. So that's one data point as it relates to unemployment. I think the other thing that – that's going on, one of the things that supports our economy is technology and we are seeing some small signs from some of our folks. We have – we've talked in the past about a polysilicon manufacturer called Hoku and we talk about that in our financial publications because they are a new customer, but they have just recently kicked off a test program that – a successful test program. So it looks like they will be ramping up their operations on the eastern side of our state. Another one of our larger technology companies has announced plans to possibly expand their polysilicon efforts, as well as looking at some other lighting and other technology related areas. So we are seeing some signs of potential improvement in our service…

Darrel Anderson

Management

Sure, Emily.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And we'll pause for just a moment to see if anyone else queues up. Your next question today comes from the line of James Bellessa with Davidson & Co. James Bellessa – Davidson & Co.: Good afternoon.

LaMont Keen

Management

Hi, Jim. James Bellessa – Davidson & Co.: I'm sitting here and I listened to the explanation about the taxes and no longer disclosing or divulging what your assumptions are there. And I just ask myself, are you the only company, utility-like company that has such tax strategies? And second, what would it take to get out from underneath those tax strategies and would your company be a cleaner, better able to be predicted company if you were out from underneath them and might you get a higher multiple on your stock as a result?

Darrel Anderson

Management

Yes and this Darrel. Let me try to tackle most of that question, if I can. If I miss some points, let me know. But first of all, let me kind of explain little bit why we are different, first of all, from just taxes in general and why taxes have more of an impact on us and then maybe other companies. First of all, you need to remember that we are a flow-through company. That' been where it's been at both expenses in certain cases and benefits what flow directly through the – our income statement. And that something from a regulatory perspective has been in place for a long time. For anything that other than it's mandated to be normalized, we are in a flow-through – we are at flow-through situation. So number one, to the extent we have fluctuations in tax items, whether they be expenses or benefits, they will have an impact on our effective tax rate. So that's the first thing. The second thing is as it relates to the two items that I mentioned in my prepared remarks around simplified service costs and repairs, those – other – many other companies are doing those things. The impact that those particular items have on us is magnified because of the fact that we are flow-through entity. So that's why – one of the reasons why you might see our effective tax rate fluctuate a lot. And then the third piece of that equation is because of our settlement and because of the amortization of accumulated deferred investment tax credits, they also have been a further impact on our effective rate. So that's a couple of things. Now, as it relates to these projects that we are working on, we – all we – we are…

Darrel Anderson

Management

This is really more about the appropriate accounting convention and recognizing the credits in accordance with inter-period tax allocations. James Bellessa – Davidson & Co.: Thank you very much.

LaMont Keen

Management

Thanks, Jim.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sarah Akers with Wells Fargo. Sarah Akers – Wells Fargo: Hey, good afternoon.

LaMont Keen

Management

Hi, Sarah. Sarah Akers – Wells Fargo: A follow-up on the tax question. For the tax project with the repair related expenditures and also the uniform capitalization project, if you are able to take advantage of those, would those be one-time items in 2010 or could the benefits extend in '11 and beyond?

Darrel Anderson

Management

There – in both of those programs, there are cumulative benefits, as well as ongoing benefits. Sarah Akers – Wells Fargo: Okay, so we – it could potentially extend even beyond '11 when you no longer have the option to use the ADITCs?

Darrel Anderson

Management

That's correct. Sarah Akers – Wells Fargo: Okay. Thank you.

Darrel Anderson

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Russo with Ladenburg Thalmann. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Yes, hi. Thanks for taking the follow-up. Just could you remind us of your external capital needs as you kind of ramp up construction on Langley Gulch?

Darrel Anderson

Management

Right. Brian, right now, we are actually in the process of assessing that along with all of our other capital requirements that we have out there. As you know, we've got a capital table that's included in there and some of it will be dependent upon the level of benefits we may be able to recognize associated with some of the tax items we previously discussed. So we are looking at a number of different scenarios there. As we look at 2010 financing requirements, we really have minimal financing requirements into the balance of this year. As we look at 2011, we have requirements – we have a debt refunding that we have that comes due in early 2011 that depending on how things go, maybe we do something early on that. But we will continue to evaluate that. And then it's a matter really of the level of capital required, subject to some of these other things that are floating around as to how much new capital we are going to need to raise in the form of either debt or equity. And so I don't have a good number for you right now because of that. But I would argue it's fairly modest, cash has been coming in better than where we are at today, we've spent $77 million to date on Langley Gulch through March and what we've done – have been able to fund that pretty much through internal generation. So a combination really of – we have our CEP program that sits out there where we have 2.1 million shares remaining that we can draw upon and would look to consider that. But we don't have any specific plans right now, but we also would consider being opportunistic if it makes sense to do that. Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann: Okay, thank you.

Darrel Anderson

Management

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the question-and-answer portion of today's call. Mr. Keen, I will turn the conference back over to you.

LaMont Keen

Management

All right. I'd like to thank you all for your interest in IDACORP and for participating on our call today and we will certainly keep you posted as events progress and have a nice afternoon. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation, you may now disconnect. Have a wonderful day.