Vivek Jain
Analyst · CJS Securities. Your line is now open
Thanks, John. Good afternoon, everybody. Our second quarter was a very productive quarter as we continue to drive revenue growth and increased EBITDA, which resulted in strong free cash flow and improved net income. We now have better visibility into the full-year, and as we expected, we worked our way through some of the backlog and bumps and OEM issues described on our last call. And as committed and provide better guidance for our entire business for the balance of the year. It has been a very busy first-half of the year operationally. We’ve executed well through a large volume of activity, and have emerged stronger and built on the positive financial and operational trajectory of the last few quarters. On today’s call, in addition to the financial results and a recap of the operational activities year-to-date, we will discuss how our direct channel is benefiting from our improved execution, allowing us to adjust our top and bottom line guidance range for full-year 2016. We’ll also provide an update on our OEM business and its full-year expectations which are in line with our early prediction from our previous two calls and illustrate how our overall mix of business is changing going forward, which should enable continued earnings growth. In Q2 of 2016, we generated revenue adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS slightly above our initial expectation. We finished the quarter with approximately $97 million in revenue, resulting in reported revenue growth of just over 15% with negligible currency effect. Please note that some of this revenue growth was due to catching up from certain temporary production constraints mentioned on the last call. Adjusted EBITDA came in just over $33 million, which was a growth of 18% year-over-year and adjusted EPS came in at a $1.15, which was a growth of 19% over last year. We did have a little bit of a tax benefit come early in the year, which Scott is going to explain during his comments. And our cash balance crossed over $400 million at the end of Q2 after doing some stock buyback earlier in the year. We continue to have very solid performance from our direct lines of infusion and oncology, which were slightly offset by critical care. In Q2, our overall direct operation continue to generate positive momentum with 15% growth, specifically our direct infusion and oncology segments grew 22% and 48% respectively. And critical care, as expected, offset this slightly by being down 13% for the quarter. In our direct infusion segment, we grew 22% as we continue to see positive utilization trends in our customer base. Our more focused selling efforts over the last 12 months have shown good results in getting back to the core value drivers of ICU around unique products, competitive value and deep customer service. SwabCap, the key product from our Excelsior acquisition has fully met our initial direct sales goals and we believe is on track to deliver our revenue commitments for the acquisition. We believe we will continue to see strong growth in our direct infusion business for the balance of the year and likely into next year with solid sequential growth. In our direct oncology segment, we achieved almost 50% growth year-over-year and continue to believe that we are in the early stages of a very good long-term growth opportunity. Please note the comps have been a bit easier here. Our product enables hospitals to address the increasing regulatory guideline being adopted, which is one of many reasons we’re expanding our customer base. Also our growth has largely been driven by our historical product line, as our new ChemoLock product is still in the early stages of production and we don’t expect it to be material until the end of this year and into next year. So we expect new products like ChemoLock to help drive growth into 2017 with solid sequential growth. Turning to our critical care segment, as expected we reported Q2 decline, we’re working to improve our product offering and while we do have a new 510(k) approval for our new hemodynamic monitoring system Cogent in hand, we are making improvements with application development, in order to offer a format that best utilize this technology for the customer and patient. Our critical care business was also impacted by some of the temporary production constraints we described on our last call. While, we caught up a lot in infusion, we didn’t catch up quite as much in critical care, so there are some timing issues going. As a result, Q3 critical care will look unusually stronger, but the business will be flat to slightly down for the full year as we originally guided. Our overall OEM business were approximately 15% in Q2. Our principle OEM customer grew 12% in Q2 year over year, and was up 8% sequentially from Q1 of 2016. All activities mentioned on previous calls relating to the new OEM customers of Terumo, B. Braun, Medline and SwabCaps are all moving forward. On the last call, we were extremely clear that we believed we would see declines in business from our principle OEM customer over the balance of this year. While these Q2 results imply an even steeper decline in the back-half, we now have better visibility and absolutely believe that will be the case. I’ll go into the specifics momentarily, but our view implies that our principal OEM customer be at the smallest percentage of sales in many years at the Q4 exit run rate. But then, our profitability will be generally in line in absolute dollars as our current level as our mix changes with the opportunity to deliver direct growth, new OEM customer sales and margin improvement into 2017. Let’s talk about some of the operational activities year to date and what happens with gross margins over the balance of the year and into next year. As I said, it’s been a very busy year operation. A quick recap since the last call includes, first, the closure of our Slovakian manufacturing facility and integration into Ensenada. Since the last call the facility is now been closed and it’s integrated into Mexico. We will not see the benefits largely until 2017 until all transitions are completed and as we burn off product built in Slovakia; second, the integration of SwabCap from Excelsior into our Salt Lake City facility. Since the last call, the final equipment installations have been completed in Salt Lake and are in the process of being validated. That work is vital, because it provides a large chunk of the value of the acquisition and is the primary reason we don’t have a material earnings contribution from the acquisition in 2016. Third, we had FDA inspections at both of our manufacturing sites. Since the last call, all documentation has been received closing out the Ensenada inspection and Salt Lake was already closed by the last call. Fourth, we cut over a major IT ERP update with good stability in Q2 - into Q2 and we now have two quarterly closures underneath us with the new system and makes us feel like we have better infrastructure to handle capital deployment. Lastly, the normal expectations on productivity gains and scaling up new products to ensure competitive positioning have been on the agenda of the operational team. These were all the items that we call the high hanging fruit that we started to describe in late 2015, as the next wave of improvement and they are all in progress. These items are extremely important, because they offer real value creation in 2017 and beyond, and are primarily linked to our direct operations to keep improving our direct business. The value at stake here provides an offset to some of the positive currency benefits we’re receiving currently, and more importantly, protect us from the effect of potential volume decline from our principal OEM customer. The operation teams have been working very hard on all these value drivers to ensure the timely completion, while running a business that it had good growth for a number of quarters now. On the Q1 call, we stated in the midst of all these activities that we did have some temporary production constraint that cause us to get a bit behind in our service levels customers and preview that gross margins will be impacted in Q2, as we were spending on freight and employee on boarding in Ensenada had accelerated levels to make our service levels were as high as possible to customers. The impact costs somewhere between an additional $500,000 to $1 million, more than we anticipated. And as a result, Q2 gross margins were a little lower than where we thought we would’ve been. As I said many times in my first year here, we’re small enough to be small and have a small P&L that can be influenced quickly, and this is a perfect example. It’s a really small amount of money that had an impact on one quarter is gross margin. While, we detest waste, these are the normal bumps that I’ve always said will hit one day and have been in business. But I wanted to itemize all the right fundamental things happening around the high hanging fruit for continued value creation. And please remember most of our products are sold under long-term fixed-price supply contracts. We’ve said many times, we will not manage the business for some arbitrary EBITDA margin and the same is true for gross margin. If it cost us a little more money in anyone quarter to solve our problems with their customers. We will do it and we are not going to skimp here. At the moment midway through Q3, we’re getting right back on track in the right direction and margins will improve sequentially from the Q2 results. From an operating expense standpoint, there is not much to talk about, cash expenses in general excluding some transactional nonrecurring items, will likely decline in the back half of the year. We finished the quarter with over $400 million in cash on the balance sheet. We continue to expect very strong cash generation for the balance of 2016 and believe the cash position at the end of this year will approach $440 million to $450 million with no debt. We continue to look at appropriate opportunities for additional capital deployment at the right valuation. Okay, let’s talk about our primary OEM customer guidance for the balance of the year and the case for value creation. On our last two calls, we stated that we believe the primary OEM customer will be down approximately $10 million. Obviously, we don’t want to be the team that always cries Wolf on this issue, as that prediction didn’t come true in the past. And we understand that the results from the first two quarters make this harder to believe. We see real time right now a lot of customer movement amongst the big players. And we believe we have good insight into the landscape. The changes are happening right now and we have visibility that our view is accurate. We’ve known some customer shift was coming, but it’s been hard to judge the timing and shape of the curve. And frankly we’d like it all to come this year. We know that will be down $10 million in 2016 versus 2015. And that would imply that our primary OEM customer will be down approximately $15 million in the second half of 2016 versus the first half. Running those numbers in a bit more detail, we’re just assuming in even quarterly split, it would apply them being around $24 million per quarter in the back half. At the same time, with the growth in our direct business and what we believe gross margins will be for the balance of the year, we are able to adjust upwards our revenue and EBITDA guidance moderately. Assuming it develops this way, our primary OEM customer would execute for a 25% to 26% of revenues. The lowest level in years and our EBITDA would generally be in line with where we’ve been in the first half of this year. If that run rate turns out to be the bottom of the curve for the balance of our contract. We have a solid case for revenue and EBITDA growth over the medium term, where our direct growth and margin improvement is all additive to that run rate. If they continue to deteriorate from those levels, we still believe we will deliver positive yearly aggregate revenue growth as new OEM customers are on boarded and EBITDA growth, due to the operational improvements previously described with just some tougher OEM comps in the beginning of next year. And if something strategically change, that allowed for better performance from them, we’d obviously benefit. We have described the 10 year of the relationship many times previously, so I will not go into it again. We continue to be optimists and believe that logic will prevail and that the customer’s interest will drive decisions. Most importantly, we believe customers are being well served with excellent products and unique value propositions that we both offer to different customer segments. The only party that really wins in any sort of customer disruption is competitors. Now, turning to guidance for the full year of 2016. We are adjusting our revenue range up $5 million to $360 million to $370 million. Our EBITDA range will increase from $127 million to $131 million and that will walk you through our adjusted EPS increase. The quick story is our primary OEM customer is exactly as we had originally anticipated, direct revenues are stronger, gross margins are improving year-over-year, but not quite in Q1 levels what happened in Q2 and will exit the year with lowest percentage of the primary OEM customer in our total book with cash nearing $450 million at year end with no debt. We think it’s important to understand all these variables to make the case for long-term value creation of ICU Medical, very practically we protected ourselves the best we can by driving returns on our own business, controlling what we can control on our own direct business and getting our foundation infrastructure solid. We often talk about the fundamental value drivers being one, the sticky nature of our products. Two, our manufacturing processes are significant historical capital expenditures. And three, our cash generating ability as a small company. These drivers when combined with our enhanced profitability, new products coming into the mix, improved infrastructure, diversification of the customer base, and ultimately capital deployment creates many shots on goal for us. We have real value creating scenarios with improvements across the company for 2016 and beyond. I do think, we are an interesting size company that can strategically move in a number of directions and one of an increasingly limited number of smaller med tech company that can compete globally. Things are moving fast, we’re trying to improve the company with urgency. But I wanted to remind everyone as I said in previous calls, there will be normal bumps in the road as we are still a small company, but we will overcome them and emerge stronger. We have solidified the company in certain technical competencies as evidenced by our recent execution. I really appreciate the efforts of all ICU employees to adapt, move forward and focus on improving results and our company appreciates the support that we’ve received both from our customers and our shareholders. With that, I’ll turn it over to Scott.