Vivek Jain
Analyst · ROTH Capital Partners. Your line is open
Thanks, John. Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for making the time to get update on a nice view today. Q1 of 2016 was the most active quarter operationally since I've been here. It was a great test of our much improved infrastructure and the strengthening of our overall business. We had a number of challenges and bumps through on our way; we got through most of them, emerged stronger and build on the positive financial and operational trajectory of the last few quarters. Most importantly, we continue to drive performance through revenue growth, gross and EBITDA margin expansion in following up on our acquisition of Excelsior in Q4, we continue to cautiously use our balance sheet for the long-term value creation in Q1 in the form of a stock buyback. On today's call, in addition to the financial results, and the usual direct and OEM performance discussion, I wanted to provide an update on the operational execution going on at ICU and how our activities along with fundamentals of the company, positioned us well for value creation in the medium-term and long-term. In Q1 of 2016, we generated revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS slightly above our initial expectations. We finished the quarter with approximately $90 million in revenue, resulting in reported revenue growth of just over 10%. The effect of currency on our revenue had substantially reduced for us. So, we'll just speak to the actual reported numbers, as constant currency would have improved results less than a 100 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $33 million which was growth of 26% year-over-year and adjusted EPS came in at $1.14 which is growth of 12% over the last year. Please remember in Q1 of 2015 we had an usually low effective tax rate and that is why adjusted EBITDA growth is ahead of adjusted EPS growth when comparing rates. We continue to have solid performance in our direct lines of infusion and oncology which were slightly offset by critical care. In Q1 our direct operations continue to generate positive momentum with 12% growth, specifically our direct infusion and oncology segments performed well with 14% and 40% growth respectively and critical case as expected offset to slightly by being down 5%. In our infusion segment for the moment, we continue to see positive utilization trends in our customer base. Our more focus selling efforts over the last 12 months have shown good results in getting back to the core value drivers of ICU for an unique products, competitive value and customer service. SwabCap, the key product from our Excelsior acquisition has fully met our initial direct sales goals and we believe is on track to deliver our revenue commitments for the acquisition. In our oncology business, we have very strong growth. On prior calls, we've stated that we believe we're in the early stages of a long-term opportunity in our oncology business and have the leading products to enable hospitals to address the increased regulatory guidelines being adopted. This growth is largely driven by our historical product lines, as our new ChemoLock product is still in early stages of production and we don't expect it to be material until the end of this year and into next year. Turning to our critical care segment, we reported Q1 declines of approximately 5%. The important piece of news here is that as we had committed, we kept working with the FDA and recently received 510(k) approval for our new hemodynamic monitoring system Cogent. While we do have an approval in hand, we're not a 100% satisfied with the current format, so it is going to take some time on more application development and investment to get it in a format that best utilizes its technology for the customer and patient, so we will keep working on it. We anticipated this process in our revenue guidance for the business and we've profitized the business to its best levels since ICU entered the segment. Our OEM business grew approximately 8% in Q1. Our principal OEM customer grew 3% in Q1 year-over-year and was down sequentially from Q4 of 2015. Obviously we benefited from new OEM customers coming into the book during the first quarter as our principal OEM customer continued to decrease as a percent of overall revenue. On new customers, this was the busiest quarter so far a regulatory perspective with our team working to support our new relationship with the Terumo Corporation of Japan. We've been actively pursuing the necessary regulatory approvals in Japan, as well as pushing a number of other projects forward including a busy period on Cogent, as I just described. Our new relationship with Medline to supply SwabCap on an OEM basis were dwell in the quarter and lastly, we announced in March an expansion to the SwabCap distribution agreement with a company B. Braun. Just like last year, we've started the year out with our principal OEM customer reporting results slightly different than our previous view. I want to be extremely clear that we continue to believe that we will see declines in business from them as previously guided over the balance of this year. And just like last year, we will be able to come back in Q2 with clear review of what the full year will look like from a guidance perspective. We believe at this moment there is a lot of customer movement amongst the big players, we believe we have good insight into the landscape, and we absolutely believe in being cautious and holding to our previous view. I'll make a few comment shortly about how we think about this in 2017 and beyond. Now let's get into more of the operational aspects of our business, and move to gross margins. We continue to make good progress with gross margins, approaching 55% in Q1 versus 52% in Q1 of 2015. We are getting some currency benefits here, but the combination of productivity gains product mix are of equal impact. I believe everyone saw the results of the first wave of operational improvements in 2015 that we said we're deployed by the end of 2014 and started selling last year. Late in 2015, we mentioned a series of high hanging fruit for the next wave of improvement and we've been hard at work on those. Those initiatives are comprised of, first the completion of the closing of our Slovakian manufacturing facility, and integration into our Mexican operations, that work continues to be on track. Second, the integration of our SwabCap production into our Salt Lake City operations, that work is vital, because it provide a large chunk of the value of the acquisition and is the primary reason we don't have a material earnings contribution from the acquisition in 2016. Lastly, the normal issues on productivity gains and scaling up new products to ensure competitive positioning are always on the agenda of the operations team. These items are extremely important, because they offer real value creation in 2017 and beyond and are primarily linked to our direct operations to keep improving our direct business. And they provide cover as an offset of currency was to go away from us and the effect of potential volume declines from our principal OEM customer. The operations teams have been working very hard on these value drivers to ensure their timely completion, while running a business that has had good growth for a number of quarters now. But we did have some challenges in the midst of all this in the midst of all this in Q1. We had a few self-inflicted production issues on a limited number of products that caused us to get a bit behind in our service level to customers. The team is in working relentlessly and we're getting closer to normal levels. I am going into this detail, because first, I'm very pleased with the way the company responded, but also bringing it to everyone's attention because it'll have some slight impacts on Q2. Gross margins will be a little lower than Q1, as we've been spending on freight, logistics, et cetera, at premium levels to make sure our service levels are as high as possible. These are the normal bumps that I've always said we'll hit one day, but because of solid improvements we made to our infrastructure, we're performing well through them and delivering great margins through it as well. Over 2014 and 2015, you often heard me talk about the investments are needed to be made into quality, and we said in the last call that virtually all those investments are in. Well, in addition to all the regulatory integration and production work just mentioned that was going on in Q1, we also had two full FDA inspections at both of our manufacturing plants. These were the normal inspections that you get several weeks advance notice for it. I am very pleased to announce that we passed both inspections with a number of 43's less than you could count on a single hand. The Salt Lake inspection was officially closed out in March and all responsive have been submitted for Ensenada and we're awaiting final confirmation. It is extremely positive for the company and for the pursuit of new customers to get through these inspections, they're big undertakings for a small company and our team performed extremely well. And just because we wanted to make it extra fund for ourselves, we had a long standing upgrade to our ERP system scheduled for early February. And I would call this close to almost a new implementation and an upgrade, as we're several years out of date. We pushed it off a few weeks to allow the inspections to complete and the operations, IT and finance teams worked hard to complete the upgrade in March with minimal disruption and it is working smoothly. This was extremely important because this is part of the core infrastructure that hast to be solid, if we pursue more capital deployment and acquisitions in the future. We talked about the people that handle capital deployment historically, but it is also mandatory, that the infrastructure can handle it. I wanted to go through all of that because, I think, it's important to consider in the overall context of value creation at ICU Medical. For two years, we've been talking about our fundamentals of ICU encompassing first, the sticky nature of our products. Two, our manufacturing processes and significant historical capital expenditures and three, our cash generating abilities to the small company, but I think it’s equally important to focus on our operational value drivers. I believe that main two operational value drivers at ICU Medical going forward are first the intersection of revenue growth and gross margin, and second, the ability to handle deployment of the balance sheet. The operating expenses of the company are at a level where any changes will be minor to the value creation. These improvements in the gross margin and the potential improvements for the next year with even modest revenue growth are very important for the next wave of earnings growth. If I was to compare Q1 2016 with Q1 2015, you would see that our principle OEM customer is up $1 million in revenue, but our overall adjusted EBITDA is up $7 million. If you would compare Q1 of this year, to Q2 of 2014, you'd see our principle OEM customer was up $2 million in revenues in Q1 2016 and our adjusted EBITDA over that same period is up $16 million. The improvements in gross margin in the expense phase have deeply profitized our own business. And going forward, we expect gross margins and revenue growth to be a more powerful drivers than expense reduction. On the balance sheet, it's like getting through our FDA audits and proving our IT systems and infrastructure getting experience with the SwabCap integration are the foundational items to show we can handle deployment of the balance sheet over time. As it relates to our primary OEM customer, there is not much new information. We believe it is their intent to fully owner the almost three years remaining on the contract and that's certainly is our intent as well. As we previously described, the contract survives any change of control as it did in 2015. We continue to be optimist and believe that logic will prevail and to the customers' interest will drive decision. Most importantly, we believe customers are being well served with excellent products and unique value propositions that we both offer to different customer segments. The only party that really wins at any sort of customer disruption is competitors. I think it's important to understand all these variables to make the case for long-term value creation at ICU Medical. Our enhanced profitability leading to significant cash generation over the next few years combined with new products coming into the mix, improved infrastructure and a diversity of customers creates many shots on goal for us. Very practically, we expect declines with our primary OEM customer coming later this year and our early view is a higher chance of stabilization at a lower plateau when comparing 2017 to 2016. And if that turns out to be the case, if we continue to drive good direct revenue growth with improved margins, we'll be operationally very well positioned. And we have protected ourselves the best we can by driving returns on our own business, controlling what we can control on our own direct business, getting our foundation right and improving the team to create optionality for capital deployment in the future. Okay. That brings me to our balance sheet. Q1 is the quarter we usually make a meaningful payments against some of our accruals, however we still had strong - we saw the very strong cash generation quarter. We finished the quarter with approximately $383 million in cash on the balance sheet after we bought back approximately 1% of the company at an average price of $88. We had an open authorization and while we've been waiting to do deploy the capital, we felt the market volatility earlier this year [Technical Difficulty] pushed the logic of absolute valuation for any range of expected outcomes in ICU, so we took advantage of it. If we added the cash deployed in the Excelsior acquisition and this recent buyback, it's close to deployment of all of 2015's free cash generation. We continue to see very strong cash generation in the balance of 2016, expected cash position at the end of Q2 to be over $400 million, and approaching $450 million towards year-end. After the last call we did have some question on our balance sheet regarding inventory levels, and AR, et cetera, to be very clear at the movement, we have a series of different things going on including the closing and moving of two factories Slovakia and SwabCap from New Jersey, new global customers being on boarded. A volatile U.S. market where we need to be able to serve these opportunities to present and for our OEM to be partners to be ready to enter markets. And as a result of all this, it makes sense to carry a little more inventory to ensure smooth transactions. We're very focused on revenue growth, gross margins and customer satisfaction, so it's a prudent decision to increase our inventory levels to ensure all of these areas. That said, our AR did improve and Scott will go through it a bit more and the improvements will happen over the balance of the year that will help us approach the $450 million in cash assuming no additional capital deployment. On our view for the year, we want to basically follow the same roadmap as last year and we'll update our guidance on our Q2 call. It is too early and please recognize there is volatility out there with our OEM business, we continue to believe a goal of $125 million of adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow of $70 million deliver a solid adjusted EBITDA and cash growth while allowing a necessary investments to continue to perform our direct business - to perform in our direct business over the medium term. There are some investments we want to make in commercial infrastructure in new and continue areas of R&D investment and if we have the ability to deliver our commitments through 2016 and additionally invest for future growth we will do that. As we have said before, we're not chasing any given margin level. Our margin improvements, operational execution, increase in OEM partners and increasing cash balance illustrates how we can grow up this space in the 2017. And if our principle OEM customer does in fact find a plateau in 2017 the results could be even better. We will absolutely provide clarity on our Q2 call and what the year will look like and there is no reason to get ahead of that given the current market uncertainties and we are comfortable with our pervious stated guidance. We have real value-creating scenario with improvements across the company for 2016 and beyond. I do think we're an interesting size company that can strategically move in a number of directions and one of an increasingly limited number of smaller medtech companies that can compete globally. Things are moving fast, we're trying to improve the company with urgency. But I wanted to remind everyone as I said in previous calls, there will be normal bumps in the road as we are still a small company but we will overcome them and emerge stronger. We have solidified the company in certain technical competencies as evidenced by our recent execution. I really appreciate the efforts of all ICU employees to adapt, move forward and focus on improving our results and our company appreciates the support we've received both from our customers and our shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to Scott.