John Wasson
Analyst · Advisory Partners. Lynn, you may begin
Thank you, Sudhakar, and good afternoon, everyone. ICF's strong 2019 performance reflected positive catalysts in our business that drove significant year-on-year revenue growth and enabled us to post even higher earnings per share results. Revenues from each of our client categories increased year-on-year in 2019, demonstrating ICF's strong positioning in growth markets. For the year, we’ve reported 10.5% revenue growth, a 12.9% increase in GAAP EPS and an 11.3% increase in non-GAAP EPS, benefiting from a favorable business mix, higher utilization and a lower tax rate. Beginning with our largest client category, revenue growth from federal government clients picked up considerably in the second half of 2019, reaching mid-single-digit growth in both the third and fourth quarter of the year. The fiscal 2020 federal budget was passed and signed in mid-December with a 4% increase in spending, and the longer-term budget outlook is favorable. Congress has already negotiated and finalized the spending caps for fiscal year 2021 for civilian and defense agencies, and we expect spending in fiscal year 2021 to be very similar to fiscal year 2020, providing a level of certainty for our agency clients. As you know, we have identified several areas within our federal business that we believe provides robust growth potential for ICF, namely public health, IT modernization and engagement. With respect to public health, ICF is currently working with the Centers for Disease Control to develop messaging and communications about the threat of the coronavirus. Also, we currently have multiple contract vehicles with the CDC, so we're well positioned to assist the agency as they develop and implement programs to address the coronavirus threat. Also, we continue to be bullish on opportunities to combat the opioid epidemic. The ITG acquisition has significantly increased our scale in IT modernization, and we were pleased to see the fiscal 2020 budget includes additional funds for IT modernization across our civilian client base. In addition, we have identified existing opportunities in the ICF pipeline equal to over $650 million for which the combination with ITG increases our probability of winning. So to sum up on federal, we see this as a strong growth market for ICF in 2020 and beyond. State and local revenue, which was up significantly in 2019, will be lower as a percentage of revenue in 2020, primarily as a result of the in-sourcing of certain aspects of our FEMA-funded contract in Puerto Rico that we announced in January of this year. As we noted, we are working closely with our client to achieve the best outcomes for the affected populations, and we expect recovery and mitigation programs in Puerto Rico to last another 5 to 10 years. The complexity, scope and scale of Puerto Rican[ph] recovery in the coming years is significant and continues to stretch local capacity. We are meeting all our deliverables, and we believe we are well positioned to continue to win work there. I am pleased to report initial progress on winning disaster recovery mitigation work. We’ve recently won a small contract with a Midwestern U.S. state to help them prepare their CDBG mitigation action plan and a contract to support the North Carolina Community Development block grant funded disaster recovery buyout program. Also, subsequent to the end of the fourth quarter, we were awarded another small contract with Columbia, South Carolina to develop the city's first-ever disaster management CDBG mitigation action plan. As you know, the federal government has appropriated over $15 billion across a number of jurisdictions for mitigation and resilience programs to lessen the impact of extreme weather disasters. This work is going to continue over the next decade. ICF has one of the largest, if not the largest, climate change and resiliency consultancies in the U.S., which provides us with very relevant credentials to bid on mitigation work that should be a part of RFPs later in 2020. Our non-U.S. government business did very well in the fourth quarter with revenues up 10%, bringing full year revenues to flat with last year. This was a very respectable performance, keeping in mind that in 2018, revenues were up 34%. Looking ahead, there's a new European Commission in place with clear priorities, and the Brexit settlement has eased market uncertainty, both positive indications for ICF. We have an active pipeline of international government opportunities, which leads us to expect continued growth in 2020. Moving to our commercial business. As you know, the lion's share is comprised of our marketing services business, branded as ICF Next, and energy markets that is comprised of energy efficiency and distributed energy programs, transactional energy-related advisory work and our environment-related project work for commercial clients. Together, marketing and energy account for 93% of ICF's commercial revenues. Commercial marketing services revenues increased at a high single-digit rate in 2019, reflecting the continued strength of our commercial health care vertical where we are driving enrollment, redesigning websites, refreshing brands and developing personalized engagement programs. Also, we have launched several successful campaigns across our consumer client set and added a new loyalty program client. Last year's branding of all of our communication services as ICF Next has been a positive driver in winning new business, and we continue to have good success in increasing integrated sales across ICF Next. We also had a great year of recognition in 2019, closing it out in the fourth quarter with our Loyalty360 Best in Class Agency award. This year's highlights included maintaining our position as a leader in Forrester's Loyal Technology Wave report, being named the Holmes Report's Digital Agency of the Year for our work combining marketing and technology and receiving 12 Cannes Lions. The personalization around marketing plays to our strength in having an industry-leading loyalty platform, which has strong technology capabilities that are highly relevant, and which we expect will serve as a long-term growth driver for us in this arena. Commercial energy revenues increased by just under 3% in 2019, inclusive of the wind-down of certain environmental monitoring projects. We are very well positioned for long-term growth in this area and see several key catalysts that play to our strengths. First, in energy efficiency, there is the California opportunity, which is going to create an annual addressable market for us of at least $250 million a year in a state where we currently have a small footprint. We expect that awards will start to be announced in the second half of this year. Second, several states are increasing their energy efficiency targets based on carbon-reduction goals. These include Massachusetts, New York and Illinois. Governor Cuomo of New York, for example, recently announced an additional $2 billion in utility energy efficiency and building electrification initiatives to combat climate change. Third, we have significant growth potential in the further penetration of distributed energy resources, such as solar, storage and electric vehicles. As we detailed during our Investor Day in December, ICF is already advising utilities on distributed energy strategies, and we are implementing about 10 pilot programs with existing utilities. Although work today is around advisory and pilots, we believe these pilots can scale into programs across entire service territories that are likely to be of similar size and scope to the energy efficiency programs we have been implementing for a decade. In summary, we are quite bullish on the organic growth prospects on the horizon for ICF and about the revenue synergies that we believe we'll be able to achieve in short order, thanks to the ITG acquisition. Also, we are pleased with the EBITDA performance that we anticipate for 2020, which will represent 16% year-on-year growth. We ended the year with a business development pipeline of $6.5 billion after winning more than $350 million in contracts in the fourth quarter. This pipeline, which includes only qualified opportunities, is balanced across our client set and comprised of 65 opportunities larger than $25 million and 94 opportunities between $10 million and $25 million. Also, ICF's 2019 turnover rate was 15.7%, below the industry average and representative of the strong corporate culture that we have developed here over many, many years. Before turning the call over to James for his financial review, I wanted to comment on the CFO succession we announced in a separate release this afternoon. As you read, James will be taking on a newly created role of EVP and Chief of Business Operations effective on February 29. This is an excellent opportunity for us to leverage James' strong leadership skills to strengthen areas that are critical to our continued growth. Also, we are pleased to welcome Bettina Welsh as our new CFO. She has been working closely with James over the past 6 months and her strong credentials make her an excellent fit for this position. We look forward to introducing her over the next several months to those of you who did not meet her at our Investor Day. With that, now let me turn it over to James for the financial review.