N.S. Kannan
Analyst · E&R Advisors. Please go ahead
Yes. Thank you. Good evening to all of you. Welcome to the conference call on the financial results of ICICI Bank for the quarter ended September 30, 2015, that's the first quarter of this fiscal year 2016. In my remarks today, I will cover for the macroeconomic and the monetary environment, then we'll talk our performance during the quarter, including performance on our 5C strategy, and outlook quality parameters then finally the performance of our subsidiaries and the consolidated results. Let me start with the first part, on the macroeconomic and monetary environment. Global macroeconomic conditions continue to remain volatile during the second quarter. Three key issues we will focus during the period, one the potential withdrawal of accommodative monetary stance by the US Fed. Two, the economic slowdown and currency depreciation in China and the difference in market volatility and three, continue to weak global commodity prices and currency depreciation in key commodity exporting economies. The International Monetary Fund, IMS, lowered its global growth for Kutch for 2015 from 3.3% to 3.1 largely due to lowering of growth estimates for larger emerging market economies. Coming to the trends in the domestic economy, the Indian economies is better positioned compared to other emerging market economies and weathering the impact of global volatility. Several positive trends continued in the domestic economy during the quarter. The countries external position continue to be strong with the current account deficit continuing at a comfortable levels of below 1.5% of GDP, along with healthy inflow of foreign direct investments. The country foreign exchange reserve improved to US$353 billion covering 10 months of imports. There are broad based easing and inflation during the quarter despite deficient monsoons, the consumer price index decreased from 5.4% in June 2015 to 4.4% in September 2015 There was continued improvement in key domestic growth indicators. We do absorb some green chutes industrial production as measured by index of industrial grew for the 10 consecutive months in August 2015 recording a growth of 6.4%. Capital goods production also continued to record improvements and sales of passenger cars, commercial vehicles remained strong reflecting gradual improvement and demand conditions in the economy. The government’s capital expenditure was 19% higher year-on-year during April to August 2015, compared to a decline of 1.4% in April to August 2014. The Reserve Bank of India reduced their repo rate by basis points to 6.75% on September 2015 following their earlier rate cuts of 25 basis points each in January, March and June. RBI mentioned that it had frontloaded the rate cut in September considering the likelihood of achieving the inflation target of 6% by January 2016. Of course, the focus now shifts to bringing inflation down to 5% by end of fiscal 2017. Indian financial markets remained volatile during the second quarter largely due to global developments. The S&P, BSE Sensex declined by 5.9% during the quarter, the yield on the benchmark government securities entered the quarter at 7.54% compared to 7.86% as of end June 2015. The exchange rate depreciated by 3.1% during the quarter to INR65.7 per U.S. Dollar as of September 30th, 2015. Short term interest rate eased by about 65 to 75 basis points during the quarter, banks continue to reduce that lending as well as deposit rate. Turning to the banking sector trends, non-food credit growth remained moderate at 9.8% on a year-on-year basis as of October 2, compared to 10.6% year-on-year basis as of October 3, 2014. Growth in retail credit continue to remain strong, while growth in credit to industrial services sector remained moderate. Including other sources of funding such as bonds and commercial papers, growth in total funding was higher by about 2.7 percentage points compared to bank credit growth as of in September 2015. Growth in total deposits was 11.3% on a year-on-year basis as of October 2, 2015. Demand deposit growth was 10.8% year-on-year, as of October 2, 2015. With this background, let me now move to other performance during the quarter, including the progress on our 5C strategy. First, with respect to the credit growth; the bank's domestic loan portfolio grew by 17% on a year-on-year basis as of September 30, 2015, compared to 9.8% growth in non-food credit for the system as of October 2, 2015. Loan growth for the bank continues to be driven by retail segment, which grew by 25% year-on-year and constituted 44% of the total loans as of September 2015. The mortgage and auto loan portfolios grew by 25% and 23% respectively on a year-on-year basis. Growth in the business banking and rural lending segments was 22% and 30% on a year-on-year respectively. Commercial business loans grew by 5% on a year-on-year basis, as of September, compared to 6% year-on-year decline as of June 2015. The improvement and growth in commercial business loans was primarily driven by pick in sales activity for the segment. The unsecured credit card and personal loan portfolio at INR128.26 billion; as of September 30, 2015, was about 3.1% of the overall loan book. The bank continues to grow the unsecured credit card and personal loan portfolio primarily driven by the focus on cross- sell. The domestic corporate portfolio growth was 7.5% on a year-on-year basis as of September 30th, 2015, compared to 8.8% growth recorded as of June 30, 2015. The SME portfolio grew by 9.9% year-on-year, to INR176.83 billion, driven by granular, collateral based lending. For the full year 2016, financial year 2016, we expect domestic loan growth to be in the range of 18% to 20% driven by about 25% growth in the retail segment. In rupee terms, the net advances of overseas branches increased by 2.4% on a year-on-year basis, due to movement in the exchange rates. In dollar terms however, the net advances of the overseas branches decreased by 3.5% on a year-on-year basis as of September 30, 2015. As a result of the above trends, the total advances of the bank increased by 13.3% on a year-on-year basis from INR3.62 trillion as of September 30th, 2014 to INR4.1 trillion as of September 30th, 2015. Moving on to the second C, on CASA deposits, the bank continued to maintain healthy CASA ratios on a period end basis, as well as daily average basis. Savings account deposits grew by 14.3% year-on-year to INR1.21 trillion as of September 30, 2015. On a period end basis, we saw an addition of INR39.55 billion to savings deposits, and INR72.20 billion to current account deposits during the quarter. As a result, the period in CASA ratio increased to 45.1% as of September 30, 2015 compared to 44.1% as of June. The daily average CASA ratio was at 40.7% in second quarter compared to 39.5% in the second quarter of the last year. On the third C on costs, the bank's cost income ratio was at 37.5% in the second quarter of fiscal 2016, compared to 36.5% in the second quarter of fiscal 2015. During the second quarter, operating expenses increased by 14.9% on a year-on-year basis. The increase in employee expenses was on account of aggregate additional of about 4,970 employees in the first six months of fiscal 2016, primarily in front-line roles in the retail banking business. The annual rate increases affected in April 2015 also contributed to this. The year-on-year increase in loan employee expenses was primarily on account of larger distribution network, higher rate in lending volumes and advertisement campaign expenses in the second quarter. The bank will focus on sustaining the gains made in operative efficiency to maintain the cost to income ratio for financial year 2016 at a similar level as of financial year 2015 driven by efforts for impacting the productivity and efficiency of employee base, as well expanded distribution network. Let me now move on to the fourth C, on credit quality. The bank's net NPA ratio remained was at 1.47% as of September 30, 2015 compared to 1.4% as of June 30, 2015. The gross NPA ratio was at 3.36% as of September 30, 2015 compared to 3.26% as of June 30, 2015. During the second quarter, we saw gross NPA additions of INR22.42 billion, including slippages of INR9.31 billion from the standard restructured category to the non-performing asset category. Excluding slippages on restructured loans in the both quarters, the gross NPA additions declined from INR13.8 billion in the first quarter to INR13.11 billion in the second quarter. Deletions [ph] from NPAs during the quarter were INR7.09 billion and the bank has wrote-off INR8.13 billion of NPAs. The bank did not sell any NPAs to asset reconstruction companies during the quarter. The restructured loans for bank were INR118.68 billion as of September 30, 2015 compared to INR126.04 billion as of June 30, 2015. Provisions for second quarter of 2016 were at INR9.42 billion compared to INR8.5 billion in the second quarter of 2015, and INR9.56 billion in the first quarter of 2016. As a result, credit cost as a percentage of average advances where at 94 basis points on an annualized basis for the second quarter of the current fiscal year. The provisioning coverage ratio on non-performing loans was 57.4% as of September 30, 2015, including cumulative technical prudential write-offs, the provisioning coverage ratio was 69.8%. Asset quality trends in the retail segment continue to be healthy and stable. In the corporate sector there continued to be challenges given the time taken for projects to generate cash flows, and high leverage levels in some companies, banks are working actively to resolve these through asset sales, as well as working with various stakeholders to ensure that the companies are able to operate at an optimal level and generate cash flows. For the full year, financial year 2016 we continue to expect that aggregate additions to restructured loans and NPAs will be lower than that in fiscal 2015. Now on the 5th C on customer centricity; the bank continues to focus on enhancing the customer service capability and leveraging on the increased branch network to cater to the customer base. As of September 30, 2015, we had a branch network of 4,054 branches and 12,964 ATMs. ICICI Bank has always been a pioneer in bringing technology enabled products and services to Indian customers. We have focused on leveraging three current transformational trends in technology, one, mobility, two, digitalization and three, social media to bring value to our customers. The bank has received a number of awards for use of technology across areas in 2015, including Best Technology Bank Of The Year and the Indian Bank Association Technology Awards. Asian Banker Excellence in Retail Financial Services Awards, the winner in categories of business intelligence analytics, enterprise security, virtualization, social media and social cost at the data [ph] Business Technology Awards, sustainable business award for the digital related initiative at our [indiscernible] Accenture Innovation Awards, and winner in the category of revitalizing [ph] technology adoption among large banks at the Institute of Development and Research and Banking Technology awards. During first quarter of 2016, we had upgraded our mobile banking application iMobile, taking the total number of services available on the application to over 100. The new mobile application has been appreciated by customers and we have seen activation of iMobile by customers increasing by about 140% on a year-on-year basis in the first six months of fiscal 2016. It has been robust growth in mobile banking transaction and the bank has emerged as a market leader in this area with a market share of about 32% based on the value of mobile banking transactions of June and July 2015. We continue to strengthen our technology channels or increasing customer convenience and improving the efficiency of our operations. During the quarter we launched Smart Vault, a unique locker facility, defend with [indiscernible] robotic technology and high end security to provide customers the convenience of storing and accessing their valuables, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. We have launched a mobile app with [indiscernible] solution which enables customers to make electronic payments from the smartphones at physical stores for ecommerce and other deliveries at home and to radio and utility builders among others. We are the largest provider of online remittance services to India, and the first to offer remittance service through mobile phone. We have recently launched money to world [ph] of fully online outdoor remittance service through this even non-account holders of ICICI Bank can transfer money online from any bank account in India to any bank account overseas in 60 major currencies. ICICI Bank was the first bank in India to offer banking services to customers on Twitter recently we rolled out a new set of services on Twitter including creating a fixed deposit paying post paid mobile bills and receiving e statements among others. Our digital mobile wallet pocket has seen over 2.5 million downloads, with significant interest from non-ICICI Bank customers. The e-wallet is amongst India's most comprehensive wallets, which can be used to pay on all websites and mobile apps in the country. Our Facebook page continues to be appreciated by customers with 4 million fans, the largest fan base on Facebook among Indian Banks. As a result of our constant focus on digital channels, currently about 61% of total transactions for our savings account customers are done through new age digital channels, and less than 10% of the transactions are done through branches. Transactions of over INR2 trillion are processed annually through the banks internet banking platform and website hits [ph] about 15 million unique visitors every month. In fiscal 2014 we had started facilitating opening of savings account through tab banking platform, the bank has opened over 3 million savings account through tab banking till date, resulting in improved customer service, faster turnaround bank, and better efficiency of operations. Currently about 85% of savings account opened for the household segment every month are through tab banking. The bank has also introduced use of tables and smartphone applications for employees and agents for certain retail loan products. Having talked about the performance on the four Cs, let me now move on to the key financial performance highlights for the quarter. The net interest income increased by 12.8% year-on-year from INR46.57 billion in Q2 of 2015 to INR52.51 billion in Q2 of 2016. The net interest margin was at 3.52% in Q2 of 2016 compared to 3.42% in the corresponding quarter last year and 3.54% in the preceding quarter. The domestic net interest margin was at 3.84% in the second quarter of 2016, compared to 3.84% in the corresponding quarter last year, and 3.90% in the preceding quarter. The sequential decrease in domestic margins is primarily on account of lower tax related interest income of INR0.51 billion in the second quarter compared to about INR1 billion in the first quarter. And also the impact of reductions in the base rate to be affected in Q1 of 2016. We had reduced our base rate by 25 basis points in April 2015, and a further 5 basis points in June 2015. International margins were at 2% in second quarter of 2016, compared to 1.58% in the corresponding quarter last year, and 1.88% in the preceding quarter. The year-on-year improvement in the international margins is largely on account of decreasing cost of borrowings achieved through proactive refinancing. We reduced our base rate by further 35 basis points effective October 5, 2015, while the net interest margins in the third quarter of 2016 could be lower due to this, we continue to target to maintain overall net interest margin at financial year 2016 at a similar level compared to financial year 2015 despite the declining interest rates. Moving on to the non-interest income, the total non-interest income increased by 9.8% from INR27.38 billion in second quarter of 2015 to INR30.07 billion in second quarter of 2016. If you look at the different components of the non-interest income, the fee income grew by 6.3%, from INR21.03 billion in the second quarter of 2015 to INR22.35 billion in the second quarter of 2016. While retail fees continue to grow at a very healthy rate, the growth in overall fee remains impacted by subdued corporate activity and consequent decline in corporate fee income, retail fees for the bank constituted about 65% of the overall fees in the second quarter of 2016. During the second quarter, treasury recorded a profit o INR2.22 billion compared to INR1.37 billion in the corresponding quarter last year and INR2.07 billion in the preceding quarter. Other income was INR5.5 billion in second quarter of 2016 compared to INR4.98 billion in second quarter of 2015, and INR6.73 billion in first quarter of 2016. The bank received dividends from subsidiaries of INR3.61 billion and had exchange rate gains relating to overseas operations of INR1.90 billion during second quarter of 2016. I have already spoken about the trends in operating expenses and provisions, while talking about the 5C strategy. As a result of these trends, the bank's standalone profit before tax increased by 9.6% from INR38.48 billion in Q2 of 2015 to INR42.16 in Q2 of 2016. The bank's standalone profit after tax increased by 11.8% from INR27.09 billion in second quarter of 2015 to INR30.30billion in Q2 of 2016. The return on average assets was at INR1.89% in the second quarter of 2016 compared to 1.82% in the second quarter of 2015. The bank's capital adequacy ratio as per Reserve Bank of India's guideline on Basel III norms, continues to remain very strong, including the profit for the half year, the total capital adequacy ratio as of September 30, 2015 was 16.9% and the Tier-1 capital adequacy ratio was 12.84%. Excluding the profit for the half year, the consolidate total capital adequacy ratio was 16.15% and Tier-1 capital adequacy ratio was 12.09%. I now move on to the performance of subsidiaries and the consolidated results. The profit after tax for ICICI Life in Q2 of 2016 was INR4.15 billion compared to INR3.99 billion in the second quarter of last year. The retail weighted received premium for ICICI Life grew by 21.2% on a year-on-year basis in H1 [ph] of 2016, compared to a growth of 0.4% for the industry. The company continues to retain its market leadership among the private players, and has seen an improvement in its market shares to about 12.4% in the first half of 2016. The new business margins, based on Indian Embedded Value methodology and target acquisition cost was at 13.8% in the first half of 2016, compared to 13.6% for in the whole of financial yea 2015. During the quarter, the gross return premium of ICICI General Insurance company grew by 22% on a year-on-year basis to INR19.99 billion in Q2 of 2016, compared to about 11.7% year-on-year growth for the industry. The company continues to retain its market leadership among the private players, and has a market share of about 9% in H1 of 2016. The profit after tax for ICICI General was at INR1.43 billion in Q2 of 2016, compared to INR1.58 billion in the corresponding quarter last year and INR1.6 billion in the previous quarter. The year-on-year decrease in profits was primarily on account of higher operating expenses in Q2 of 2016 on account of increasing retail business for the company. ICICI Asset management company and ICICI Securities have continued to see strong performance, the profit after tax for ICICI AMC increased by 35.5% from INR0.62 billion in Q2 of 2015 to INR0.84 billion in Q2 of 2016. With assets under management of over INR1.5 trillion, ICICI AMC sustained its market position as the second largest mutual fund in India during the first half of 2016. The profit after tax for ICICI Securities was at INR0.6 million in Q2 of 2016 compared to INR0.68 billion in Q2 of 2015. Let me now move on to the performance of our overseas banking subsidiaries. The bank's total equity investments in ICICI Bank U.K. and ICICI Bank Canada has reduced from 11% of the network as of March 31, 2010, to 5.2%, as of September 30, 2015. As per IFRS financials, ICICI Bank Canada's total assets were C$6.47 billion as of September 30, 2015, compared to C$5.9 billion as of June 31, 2015. Loans in advances were C$5.61 billion as of September 30, 2015 compared to C$5.21 billion as of June 30, 2015. The increase in loans and advances was on account of higher securities insured mortgages as of September 30, 2015, compared to June 30, 2015 and also the impact of movement in the exchange rate that is depreciation of Canadian dollars we saw with the US dollar. The profit after tax for Q2 of 2016 was C$6.6 million, compared to C$9.2 million for Q2 of 2015, and C$7.8 million in the first quarter of 2016. The trends in profit of ICICI bank Canada was similar to first quarter of 2016. The capital adequacy ratio for ICICI Bank Canada was 25.1% as of September 30, 2015. Moving on to ICICI Bank U.K., the total assets were US$4.64 billion as of September 30, 2015, compared to US$4.19 billion as of June 30, 2015. Loans and advances were US$3.2 billion, as of September 30, 2015 compared to US$2.93 billion as of June 30, 2015. The growth in loans and advances was primarily due to granular lending to well rated multinational corporations, select local market corporation and subsidiaries and joint ventures of Indian companies. The profit after tax for ICICI Bank U.K. for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 was US$0.6 million compared to US$5.1 million in second quarter of 2015 and US$0.5 million in first quarter of fiscal 2016. The lower profits in the second quarter of fiscal 2016 were on accounts of higher provisions on existing impaired loans. The capital adequacy ratio was 16.3% as of September 30, 2015. Let me now talk about the overall consolidated profit. The consolidated profit after tax grew by 11.5% from INR30.65billion in second quarter of 2015 to INR34.19 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2016. The annualized consolidated return on average equity was at 15.3% in the second quarter of 2016 compared to 15.1% in the second quarter of last year and 15% in the first quarter of the current fiscal year. Consolidate assets grew 9.4% from INR7.78 trillion as of September 39, 2014 to INR8.51 trillion as of September 30, 2015. The bank's total capital adequacy ratio on a consolidated basis, including profits for the half year was 16.87% and the Tir-1 capital adequacy ratio was 12.77% as of September 30, 2015. Excluding profits for the half year, the consolidated total capital adequacy ratio was 16.17% and Tier-1 capital adequacy ratio was 12.07%. So in summary, we have continued to pursue our core operating strategies during the quarter. In line with our focus areas, we have one, sustained the net interest margin, two, maintained a healthy non-interest income; three, sustained the operating efficiency; four, maintained a robust funding profile and five continue to achieve strong retail portfolio growth. We will continue to pursue these objectives, while closely monitoring the corporate asset quality trends. We believe that our strong and diversified franchise and large distribution network give us the ability to leverage opportunities for profitability growth across our businesses. We are well placed with regard to capital required to support our growth and given our current capital position we believe that we do not need to raise capital till March 2018 best on current regulations. The Board of Directors of ICICI Bank at the meeting held today has approved the sale of 9% of our shareholding in ICICI General insurance company to our joint venture partners Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited., subject to governmental and regulatory approvals. The proposed transaction values the company by INR172.25 billion. Upon completion of the transaction, the share ownership in the company of ICICI Bank and Fairfax will be approximately 64% and 35% respectively. That transaction reflects the company's franchise as a leading private sector general insurer in India, the substantial potential for profitability growth of the business and strong relationship between the joint venture partners. So with these opening comments, my team and I now will be happy to take your questions. Thank you very much.