Stephen Scherr
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thank you, Johann. Good morning and welcome to our second quarter earnings call. Our financial results for the second quarter were strong, reflecting the continued strength of our underlying business, positive market forces and high demand for our services. Revenue was $2.3 billion, up 25% year-over-year, and up 30% quarter-over-quarter and adjusted corporate EBITDA was a second quarter record of $764 million. Adjusted free cash flow in the quarter was $484 million, with the company demonstrating increased free cash flow conversion from the first quarter. In the quarter, our performance facilitated continued investment in fleet and non-fleet CapEx as well as the repurchase of $890 million of stock through open market purchases, completing our initial $2 billion authorization. We also initiated purchases under a new $2 billion Board authorization, which we announced on June 15 of this year. Overall, I am very pleased with our performance and the momentum of the business coming out of the second quarter with strong results across the U.S., Canada, Europe and APAC. Demand for our services remains elevated, as each of leisure, corporate and ride sharing continued to demonstrate improvement. Getting into the specifics of the quarter, our operational performance was strong overall, and importantly showed sequential month-to-month improvement as the team capitalized on the heightened pace of the summer travel season. We achieved fleet utilization of just under 80% in the quarter, 5 points higher than in the first quarter, with June representing the highest utilization month for the year thus far at over 80%. Similarly, our monthly revenue per unit hit a June record of $1,667. For the quarter RPU was $1,606 and RPD of $67. Both metrics were up over last year. I would point out that we achieved these results despite elevated auto recall activity in the quarter, which we estimate depressed our utilization by 1 percentage point and negatively impacted revenue by $15 million to $20 million. Looking ahead, we are seeing the momentum built over the course of the second quarter carrying through to the busy summer season of late July into August. With respect to EBITDA and free cash flow generation each represents a second quarter record for the company. And we're impressive notwithstanding upward inflationary pressure on expenses, particularly labor costs. Although much of these inflationary costs are being passed through in elevated RPD, we nonetheless continue to drive expense discipline, including a reduction in our reliance on more expensive third-party labor sources. All of these operational improvements, which are delivering clear results for our shareholders, are rooted in our enhanced focus on driving an ROA mentality in all that we do. The cornerstone of this approach is how we view and manage our fleet. Our second quarter results reflect our ability to run higher utilization, while protecting rate. Put simply, we are generating more EBITDA and more cash flow with fewer cars. On an ongoing basis, this early mindset means that our fleet decisions are dynamic and are guided by changing economic circumstances and customer demand. By sweating our assets, we are making careful decisions regarding additions to the fleet and equally prudent decisions about the volume and manner by which we dispose of vehicles. And we will continue to do so. Running the fleet tight and inside expected demand curves has and we expect will continue to produce higher free cash flow on the back of lower net fleet CapEx. This was on display in the second quarter. As demand for travel across airlines, hotels and rental cars remain strong. And as I noted, we expect the balance of the summer to continue to carry sustained demand for our services, with strong pricing resulting from ongoing supply demand dynamics. Our strong performance in June carried forward into July. We are not seeing a pullback in forward demand as reservations for August and September are currently in line with seasonal expectations. In all, we remain confident in the fundamentals of our business. That said like all consumer businesses, we are attuned to external indicators of future economic activity, particularly when they don't comport with what we are currently seeing in our business. Our business offers us immense flexibility to quickly adjust to changing demand. The used car market is liquid and provides us with a valuable option to buy and sell cars to meet marginal demand on short notice. This complements our strong OEM relationships, which ensure a steady baseline supply of new cars, which keep the fleet current and young. It is also a distinguishing characteristic of the rental car business as our assets can be bought and sold quickly, they can be moved to deeper pockets of demand and managed with flexibility to maximize returns. Beginning in the second quarter, we challenged ourselves as to the level of fleet we would target for the balance of the year, taking stock of high current residual pricing on used cars and questions about more modest demand late in the year. With the possibility of more seasonal demand patterns in Q3 and Q4, rather than outsized growth that we experienced coming out of COVID, we are availing ourselves of the option to buy and sell cars quickly that is unique to our business, rather than preemptively remain at elevated fleet levels. We are choosing to safeguard rate and optimize utilization so as to generate higher EBITDA and cash flow. The result is that by fiscal year-end, our fleet size will approximate where we opened in 2022. If elevated demand were to persist, we will flex the fleet quickly and responsibly as the spot market for low mileage good condition used cars remains available to us. This approach also carries the ancillary benefit of reducing the average fleet age, which has already been lowered by 2.5 months year-to-date, as well as freeing up maintenance capacity to address out-of-service vehicles. To put numbers to all of this, you will recall that on our last earnings call, we provided a range of net fleet CapEx of $1 billion to $1.5 billion. We view that number now to be between $750 million and $1 billion. All of that said for the balance of the third quarter, we expect to continue to benefit from a market that is supportive of our business, continued high RPU on the back of high utilization and elevated rate. As others have noted, travel trends relating to the recovery from COVID are prevailing over the risks of an economic downturn. Until that equation changes, we will continue to benefit from the former and we'll be ready for the latter. Let me now turn to progress on certain business and operational initiatives that are growing contributors to revenue growth and cost containment. On the TNC side, Uber and Lyft driver demand for both EV and ICE vehicles remains strong in the quarter and we have nearly doubled our TNC fleet size year-over-year. With respect to EV specifically, over 15,000 Uber drivers to date have rented a Tesla from Hertz, at a minimum rate of $334 per week, comprising over half a million transaction days. Driver feedback has been positive and they remain drawn to the opportunity as gasoline prices remain elevated and demand for the service among Uber customers is strong. Our Tesla's enabled Uber drivers could differentiate themselves and to improve upon the quality of their riders experience, and that translates into higher earnings for them. We're also excited that on the back of our recent success, we have now expanded our Tesla Uber partnership into Canada. With respect to electric vehicles in our airport and off airport fleet, we've recorded over 160,000 transaction days using Tesla cars booked at premium rates that are typically $30 to $35 in excess of comparable average rates. Customers are enjoying the Tesla EV experience, which is being expressed in NPS scores that are 10 points higher than our global average. We are continuing to expand the electric vehicle offering through the regular delivery of Tesla cars and now Polestar. We are also negotiating with other OEMs to purchase electric vehicles at attractive price points. What's more, as we accumulate additional data on the Tesla fleet, we expect to see higher residual values than originally anticipated. On the corporate side of our rental business, we continue to work with Amex GBT to enhance our share across its customer portfolio. For example, as corporate travel has been rebounding, June generated more than 2x the revenue we recorded from Amex GBT in January, and we expect this momentum to continue. In addition, we expect to leverage Amex GBT's acquisition of Egencia, a corporate travel management firm to accelerate our capture of the profitable mid market travel segment. Overall, we anticipate the corporate segment to grow, particularly as more companies return to travel. With regard to the disposition of vehicles, we have sold thousands of vehicles on the Carvana platform during the first half of the year. We expect further growth from here. This disposition channel remains active, provides us with granular market intelligence on pricing dynamics, away from more conventional indices, and perhaps most importantly, offers us a material premium to prices we would otherwise realize through wholesale channels. Our ambition is to increase the use of Carvana and similar channels as our systems around fleet pricing and management continues to mature. I also want to speak about technology, which is obviously a significant area of non-fleet investment for us. As an example of technology investment benefiting financial performance, we are making progress with telematics. In the Americas, over 285,000 of our cars are now connected. That's around 75% of the fleet. We are on track to have nearly all of the Americas fleet connected by year-end. Telematics are promoting higher fleet uptime, reducing theft and bad debt, improving damage monitoring, and providing for more accurate fuel measurements. By example, repossession recovery times are reduced by 50% on connected vehicles at an RPU of more than $1,600 per month, that time savings matters. As we mature the program, we will add more features to leverage telematics data to improve our inventory management and planning practices. Lastly, regarding technology broadly and our migration to the cloud, as I have said before, this is foundational to the company. As we progress our move to the cloud over the next 18 to 24 months, we will operate more efficiently and realize very tangible cost reduction as it relates to expenses associated with our legacy platforms and physical data centers. Operating with SaaS providers like Oracle as an example and running our business in a safer and more cost effective cloud environment will reduce operating expenses and lower our reliance on third-party consultancy. Together we estimate all of these business and operational initiatives in their mature state, both on the revenue and cost side can contribute in excess of $500 million of incremental EBITDA not now reflected in the business. As I turn the call to Kenny, I'll close by saying that I am increasingly confident in our ability to execute on our core business plan and excited by our strategic initiatives, which position Hertz for success in an evolving mobility ecosystem. As we work through an extremely busy summer season, I would also like to recognize members of the Hertz team for their tireless efforts and especially acknowledge the teams in the field as they look after customers and produce increasing net promoter scores and positive financial results. Now I'll turn it over to Kenny to walk you through our results in more detail.