Earnings Labs

H World Group Limited (HTHT)

Q3 2022 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 28, 2022

$50.66

+1.60%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the H World Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. And now I'd like to hand the conference over to Mr. Jason Chen, Investor Relations Director. Thank you. Please go ahead, sir.

Jason Chen

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning and good evening everyone. Thanks for joining us today. Welcome to H World Group third quarter 2022 earnings conference call. Joining us today is our Chairman, Mr. Qi Ji; our CEO, Mr. Hui Jin; our President, Ms. Xinxin Liu; our CFO, Ms. Chen Hui; our Deputy CFO, Ms. Fei Year-on-year; and our CEO of International Business Ms. He Jihong. Following their prepared remarks, management will be available to answer your questions. Before we continue please note that the discussion today will include forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. As such our results may be materially different from the views expressed today. A number of potential risks and uncertainties are outlined in our public filings with the SEC. H World Group does not undertake any obligations to update any forward-looking statements except as required and applicable laws. On the call today, we will also mention adjusted financial measures during the discussion of our performance. Reconciliation of measures to comparable GAAP information can be found in our earnings release that was distributed yesterday. As a reminder this conference call is being recorded. The webcast of this conference call as well as supplementary slide presentation is available at ir.hworld.com. With that now, I will turn the call over to Mr. Qi Ji. Mr. Ji please.

Qi Ji

Analyst

Good morning and good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. We are happy to report that our China business grew positively [ph] in the third quarter recovered to 90% of 2019 levels, thanks to ending up leisure travel demand as well as a rate cover of business travel. This recovery is closely associated with the relaxing our COVID policy in the third quarter. However, with the recent increase of COVID cases, we may face more uncertainties and the negative impact on our business recovery as a consequence of tightened controlled net measures. In the third quarter, we reported that we carry out organizational restructuring and established six regional headquarters to focus on economic and middle-scale segments. In the third quarter, we have been further implementing regionalization strategy under strengthening our regional organizations. At the same time, we realigned the structure for Up and Middle Scale, Upscale and leisure brands in China to provide a more efficiency to management and other side [ph]. With our long-term sustainable quality growth strategy, we have been further emphasizing on improvement of products and service quality. We accelerated the exit from low-quality soft brands in economic segment. Moreover, we continuously upgrade our mature brands such as HanTing and Ji Hotel to the new -- enter new versions with better design and quality. Looking back in the last three years, COVID have brought tremendous challenges to Chinese lodging market. However, branded chain hotels were showing high resilience than independent hotels. In fact, over these last three years, chain hotels were continuously gaining more market shares and leading the recovery of the industry. We believe there's a shift from independent hotels to branded hotels to leisure in momentum and will have brand-new hotel chain to leisure consolidated market. We were confident that we will benefit from this chain with our strong brand and quality products. With the recovery of mainly international travel market, our Deutsche hospitality business achieved another good quarter with further RevPar improvement. RevPar in third quarter recovered to 102% compared to 2019 in this quarter. With the cost management and the reorganization of business structure in place, we are in a good position to continuously improve our product facility. Due to recent large sporadic resurgences of COVID in many provinces and cities in China, we see strict COVID measures continue to be carried out in order to cope with short-term turbulences and preserve dry powder. We will further streamline operations, be prudent on CapEx spending and allocate resources in disciplined way. We always work closely with our franchisees and partners to help them cope with the challenges during this special period. Together with the friends and partners in our ecosystem, we will further strengthen the foundation and build resilience of our company. With this, I will turn the call to Jin Hui to discuss our significant development in detail.

Hui Jin

Analyst

[Foreign Language] [Interpreted] Thank you, Qi Ji. Firstly, please turn to page 3. Let me briefly review our key achievements in the third quarter. Number one, our China business RevPAR recovery continues despite COVID's impact. Number two, continued network expansion with a focus on sustainable quality growth. Number three, on track for the development of upper middle scale and upscale segment. Number four, successful launch of new H World App with enhanced features. Number five, Deutsche Hospitality's business is on its recovery path. Now, I will then discuss for each of above points in details in the following pages. Please turn to page 4. Although the continuous resurgence of COVID, we still achieved a relative good RevPAR recovery in the third quarter in China, with the RevPAR recovered to 90% of 2019 level. This was mainly driven by pent-up leisure demand in July and August, as well as gradual recovery of business traveling in the late September. However, we saw more sporadic resurgence of COVID in October, with strict restriction was imposed again. Our RevPAR in October only recovered to 74% of 2019 level. Please turn to page 5. Our hotel network further expanded and the GMV also continuously increased in the quarter. At the end of the third quarter, our number of hotel rooms grew by 10% year-over-year to 797,000, with China hotel rooms grew 11% year-over-year to 772,000. Our total GMV in the third quarter increased by 24% year-over-year to RMB 15.2 billion, where China GMV grew 22% year-over-year to RMB 13.5 billion. Our lower-tier cities penetration strategy continuous progressing. Please turn to page 6. As of the end of the third quarter, hotels from lower-tier cities contributions further increased to 41% and 59% of total hotels in operation and pipelines respectively. Moreover, as you may notice that…

Jihong He

Analyst

Thank you, Qi Ji and Jason. Hello. Thank you, Qi Ji and Jason. My name is Jihong. I'm responsible for international business at H World. In our international business, we are very happy to report that we have continuous recovery in the third quarter. Our blended RevPAR increased 102% compared to the same quarter in 2019, with this recovery trend continuing October as well. The recovery is primarily brought by ADR which was increased at 17% compared to the same quarter in 2019. This demand continues to be driven by transient leisure travel and the pent-up corporate group businesses. In the third quarter, our team in Deutsche Hospitality continues to focus on cost management and margin improvement. As a result, we can report the third quarter EBITDA of RMB 94 million, a significant improvement compared to the loss of RMB 115 million in the third quarter 2021 and an achievement of 213% increase compared to second quarter 2022. This margin improvement was driven by headquarter overhead reductions, operational efficiency improvement, alongside with the RevPAR growth. At the same time, we are carrying out several energy management initiatives in our hotels to cope with increasing energy costs in Europe, especially in Germany. In third quarter, we added 23% system size growth of hotel rooms compared to the third quarter 2019. We launched our new website with all brands and the new H reward program to focus on loyalty development in the direct booking channel. We rolled out several new digital products to improve technology deployment. We are currently focusing on digital leap to further improve efficiency of our budget hotels through technology deployment. With this, I'm handing over to Ms. Ye Fei for the third quarter financial results.

Ye Fei

Analyst

Thank you, Jihong. Good morning or good evening to everyone. Let's move on to our operational and financial review for the third quarter of 2022. As shown on slide 17, Legacy-Huazhu blended RevPAR for Q3 actually performed well. Only 10% off from 2019, mainly dragged by the occupancy rate. The ADR 2022 Q3 was up by 3% on a year-over-year basis and RevPAR was up by 9%. Turn to page 18. Legacy-DH business recovery further accelerated in third quarter as Jihong mentioned. Our Legacy-DH blended RevPAR for Q3 grew by to 57% to €76 compared with Q3 2021 and also grew by 2% compared with the 2019 level. The occupancy improved by 17 percentage points compared with Q3 2021, but still 9.6 percentage points lower than 2019 level. The ADR improved by 15% year-over-year to €114, which actually exceeded the 2019 level by 17%, driven by the pent-up demand in Europe and also price increase to against cost inflation. Please see our financial results on slide 19. Total revenue grew by 16% year-over-year to RMB 4.1 billion in Q3, mainly driven by the 7.7% year-over-year revenue growth of Legacy-Huazhu to RMB 3.2 billion and 68% year-over-year revenue growth of Legacy-DH to RMB 932 million. Revenue was in line with our previous guidance. Legacy-Huazhu revenue growth was mainly supported by the leisure demand in the summer holiday during July and August and the gradual recovery of the business traveling in late September as well as a low base from last year. Breaking down of the revenue in Q3 Leased & Owned revenue grew 15% year-over-year to RMB 2.7 billion. Excluding DH leased and owned revenue of Legacy-Huazhu grew by 0.5% year-over-year to RMB 1.8 billion because we shut down some loss-making hotels during this quarter. Revenue from Manachised & Franchised Hotels…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Dan Xu from Morgan Stanley. Please ask your question, Dan.

Dan Xu

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Can you hear me?

Hui Jin

Analyst

Yes.

Dan Xu

Analyst

[Foreign Language] Sorry, please allow me to repeat my question in English. This is Dan from Morgan Stanley. I have two questions. My first question is on Legacy-Huazhu. China domestic business, I would like to ask about the recent RevPAR trends for October, we saw that there was some decline in RevPAR due to more tightening measures. So October RevPAR was 74% of 2019, I would like to ask about the trend in November. And also for the fourth quarter revenue guidance, especially for Legacy-Huazhu, what the management factor in terms of RevPAR and also hotel opening expectation? Thank you.

Hui Jin

Analyst

[Foreign Language] [Interpreted] Okay. So to answer your first question, given more sporadic resurgence of COVID happened in China in many cities and provinces, and we are seeing more strict restriction carried out by the local government again to maintain the zero policy in China. So, we are now expecting the fourth quarter our RevPAR recovery could be in the range of 70% to 75% for our China business. In terms of the opening in the fourth quarter given the recent COVID impact, the opening will be somewhere affected as well. However, if you asked about the gross opening effect on the revenue, actually, the fourth quarter new opening has a very limited impact on the revenue for the fourth quarter, a majority of the impact will be from again the RevPAR recovery, which is largely impacted by the recent COVID resurgence. Thank you.

Dan Xu

Analyst

[Foreign Language] My second question is about overseas DH business. So against the backdrop of searching inflation in Europe and can management share with us about – more about the energy efficiency measures implemented by DH. We saw DH operating expense actually declined 4% Q-on-Q in third quarter. What is the trend in fourth quarter? And should we expect further increase during the winter? Thank you.

Ye Fei

Analyst

Thank you, Dan, for your question. I will address the issues of international businesses. Your question is quite complicated. So I try to dissect in different areas. Actually, we are focusing, first of all, on top line management. So, we're focusing on revenue management really to generate top line results and increased ADR, where possible which is really in line with all the international hotel management group with – especially with inflationary results. At the same time, of course, we continue our operational improvement program as we already started this year, including operational cost management, especially in headquarters, efficiency improvement which is at the hotel level, as well as energy efficiency management that you mentioned. At the same time, actually, we are also conducting our portfolio review as well about really the performance of assets. The energy efficiency management and hotel level are very granular and very operational. For example, you do not turn on the air come, when it's not necessary. We turn down the heat, when it is too warm and you turn off the light when there's nobody in. So we really try to penetrate to all the operations -- day-to-day operations to cut down our cost -- our energy costs. At the same time, we are also negotiating with the energy supply company, where we can fix the cost and we will fix them. And where we see the possibility to work with flexible pricing, we will do that. Basically, we are working in a short-term fixed price and in the mid to long-term more flexible pricing. But just to assure you that we are already working very closely with the energy supply companies to manage our cost. Some of these effects, we reported this quarter, actually, you should be able to continue to observe them in the fourth quarter and next year as well, especially in some of the efficiency improvement program and the overhead cost reduction, the full year result will only start to show after the one-time kind of write-off. I hope that addressed your question, Dan.

Dan Xu

Analyst

That's very clear. Thank you, Ms. Ye.

Operator

Operator

All right. Thank you for your question. Our next question comes from the line of Ronald Leung from Bank of America. Please ask your question, Ronald.

Ronald Leung

Analyst

Hi. Could you hear me?

Operator

Operator

Yes, please go ahead.

Ronald Leung

Analyst

Okay. [Foreign Language] Please allow me to ask the question in English. So, over the past few months, there were still COVID outbreak across various cities and provinces in China. Do you see that this would further negatively impact the franchisee sentiment? And if possible could you share the monthly hotel sign-ups over the past few months? Thank you very much.

Hui Jin

Analyst

[Foreign Language] Okay. So, yes, to address your question. So basically, we agree that the current restructuring due to COVID has continues to be affected our franchisees confidence sentiment. So in terms of the new signings, we are seeing the recent new signings in third quarter and fourth quarter are roughly at 80% compared to a normal period. However, we look at that thing in different ways because the China is big. So we are seeing that quite different development trends if you divided the country into Tier 1, Tier 2 cities and the lower-tier cities. In fact, we are seeing that in the lower-tier cities actually the confidence sentiment impact and COVID impact are much smaller compared to those Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities, because more resurgence of COVID happened in those Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities. So that's why the confidence level in -- the confidence level for the franchisees in lower-tier cities are relatively better compared to those in the Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities. And I think if you are talking about the full recovery, so we are still need to wait until the further ease of the COVID restructuring and the improvement of the economic condition in the upcoming futures. However, for us in terms of our strategy, we will not because of the weak market condition or low confidence level, we will insist on in implementing our strategy in terms of the lower-tier cities' penetration, as well as further penetrating or increase our market share in the up to mid-scale segment. Thank you.

Ronald Leung

Analyst

[Foreign Language] I ask my question in English. So the Southeast market in China is one of the regional markets that the company has put great emphasis on. So, could you share the latest development in the south-based market? And if possible, could you share the mid to long-term development target in the Southeast market of China. Thank you very much.

Hui Jin

Analyst

[Foreign Language] Okay. Thank you for your questions. So, in terms of the Southern part of China, yes, it is one of the most important that we are going to further penetrate. In order to achieve this, so we have been making a lot of preparations over the last year. So, the most important thing is that we did a very significant organization restructuring and we moved the intel organizational down to the regions as well as move a lot of the management -- middle management team from the Shanghai headquarters to the local market. At the same time, we are also building up a localized based talent pools and trying to make, for example, the localized marketing strategy, localized supply chain management to meet the customer demand in that particular market because those customers demand somewhere different compared to what we have been seeing in Eastern part of China like Shanghai. In terms of the long-term target, again, similar to other regions, we are targeting 20% of the market share in Southern part of China as well. Actually we are -- we have been opening several flagship stores in core cities in Southern part of China like Shenzhen, Guangzhou by using our HanTing JI Hotel as well as Orange and Crystal Orange to provide some of the showcase in that market. So, we are hoping that in the next three to five years we will be achieving a very good development in that particular regions. Thank you.

Ronald Leung

Analyst

Thank you, Jason. [Foreign Language]

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your question. Our next question comes from the line of Simon Cheung from Goldman Sachs. Please ask your questions Simon.

Simon Cheung

Analyst

[Foreign Language] My first question is related to the price of ADL. We have observed that over the last couple of quarters the ADL has been very resilient, in fact actually exceeding the 2019 level? Given the fact that there's a lot of independent hotels being closed over the last couple of quarters, given COVID, would management see the opportunity for them to raise price upon the COVID -- after the COVID is over. Thank you.

Hui Jin

Analyst

[Foreign Language] Okay. Thank you. Yes, for the ADR, actually, it has benefited from both external and internal factors. For our internal factors this is actually aligned with our regional management that we have been doing over the last few months. So, internally, we have been using pricing synergy, brand synergy and regional synergy to create a better ADR to assure that for a longer-term healthier and a sustainable in growth, and it becomes a very important part of the long-term revenue management. This is one. And for the external factors, yes, this is due to several factors, like higher inflation, as well as the impact of the continuous closure of the independent hotels that also, from the external sides, to provide some of the room for our further improving the ADRs in the longer term. Thank you.

Simon Cheung

Analyst

[Foreign Language] The next question is in relation to the brand strategies observed and also saw in the presentation that now you have three brands, where you have more than 500 stores, including HanTing Hotel and Orange. Wondering whether the company would want to concentrate it in those three brands or several key brands. Or just like other competitors they're going to be diversified and expanded into a lot more different brands. Thank you.

Hui Jin

Analyst

[Foreign Language] Yes, to answer your questions, in terms of our brand strategy our key thing behind this is that in each of the segments. We were trying to build the number one or number two brands in the market. So in terms of our economic segment, we have been successfully established a very strong brand which is HanTing and we are also establishing now the Ni Hao brands for specifically for the lower-tier cities penetration. And in terms of the middle scale segment, our JI Hotel has been very famous in the market and leading top brands in the middle scale segment. And we are seeing a pretty good progress on the development of Orange Hotel. And we hope that it's going to be creating another one in that particular segment. So basically for each of the segments, we want to have one or two brands which, is on the top list of the brands and which can create a very popular brands that our customers like and make helps our franchisees to make money. Thank you.

Simon Cheung

Analyst

[Foreign Language] Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Well. Thank you very much for all your questions. We have now reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I'll now turn the conference back to the management team for closing remarks.

Hui Jin

Analyst

Thank you everyone for taking your time with us today. And we look forward to see you in the upcoming quarter. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.