Jeffrey Jones
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Colby. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us. It's been about a year since I joined H&R Block, and I'm even more excited about the future of this company. The tax industry continues to grow in both the assisted and DIY channels, and we’re executing a strategy to take advantage of opportunities in each plus developing new products that digitally enable human help and care, so H&R Block is available to people in any way they choose. Of course, all of this is backed by solid cash flow and a strong financial position, allowing us to effectively balance investing for the future, while continuing to opportunistically return capital to shareholders and create long-term value. On today's call, I want to spend time framing the opportunities we see and provide additional context for our strategy regarding the structure and evolution of the tax industry, how we're positioning H&R Block to win, and the initiatives and investments we're making in fiscal 2019. Tony will provide details on our first quarter results, which were in line with expectations, as well as additional insight into our fiscal 2019 outlook. Let's start by talking about the industry, and why we see opportunities in both the assisted and DIY categories. The tax prep industry has enjoyed a stable and steady growth over decades. Since 2005, the industry grew on average 1% per year with assisted growing at an annual rate of 0.3% and DIY at 2.1%, and more recently the assisted category has grown two out of the last three years. This growth has led to an increase in overall industry revenue as well which currently stands at $21 billion. And while 56% of all filings are done with the help of a tax professional, the assisted category represents the vast majority of industry revenues at approximately 87%. A common question I've heard over the past few months is why would consumers choose assisted when low-cost technology-enabled DIY solutions make it attractive to do taxes on your own? The answer is that we continue to see the primary driver in choosing a method to be a person’s confidence with taxes much more so than the complexity of their situation, their comfort level with technology, their age, changes to tax laws, or the cost to file. A proof point is that millions of consumers who use the tax prepare to file the 1040-EZ. These filers typically have a single W-2, no dependents or deductions, and few if any credits. Taxes cannot get any simpler, yet they still seek assistance because they want to know their taxes are done right and someone is standing behind them should questions arise. Secondary to confidence in making a decision about tax preparation is convenience in costs. The definition of convenience varies for many consumers. Some may find it most convenient to stop by an office to have their taxes prepared in person while others may find it most convenient to do their taxes themselves from the comfort of home. For all these reasons, we continue to see sustainable demand for both Assisted and DIY, and we're excited about the opportunities in both. To this point, much of what I've discussed is focused on the two filing methods that have defined the industry for the past several decades. This binary choice is evolving as consumer expectations change. While the past industry is early in its evolution to virtual, it creates opportunities for us which I'll discuss more in a minute. To wrap up on the industry, I'd like to spend just a minute on the recent update to the tax code and how they may impact consumers. Over the past several decades, there have been numerous tax code changes and historically they have not resulted in major swings in filing behavior. While tax rates are lower, we don't expect people to notice much of a difference when it comes to preparing their taxes even though, no longer itemized deductions will gather the same documents they have in the past and will provide the same information to determine whether to take the standard deduction. Many filers who take the standard deduction also qualify for various credits and that process is largely unchanged. Of course, it's hard to predict exactly how consumers will react in the upcoming tax season, and whether this will cause a change from recent filing trends. That said, our assessment of these changes combined with historical consumer filing behaviors lead us to believe there will not be significant changes in the patterns we've seen in recent years. For these reasons, we continue to believe that the overall industry will grow 1% to 2% for tax season 2019 with assisted return flat-to-slightly up and DIY returns up 2% to 3%. Clearly there's opportunity in this industry and given our 14% market share in both the Assisted and DIY categories, we have significant runway for growth. I’d now like to provide additional details on the overarching objectives guiding our work for 2019. Starting with the Assisted business, we are focused on improving the value we deliver including an investment in price, developing and delivering on a clear brand promise to differentiate H&R Block to consumers, and improving the quality and consistency of our service delivery in the tax office. In our DIY business, we will continue to invest to improve the product and user experience. We will price at a level that is competitive and provides value to our clients. And we will continue to communicate this value, growing awareness, and compelling consumers to switch to H&R Block. And in virtual, we will innovate it as an emerging space, leading the industry as consumer expectations evolve. We currently offer multiple products that combine digital technology with the unmatched scale and expertise of our Tax Pro network to ensure taxpayers can access H&R Block whether they want little to no help, complete in-person assistance, or anything in between. In our DIY product, clients have access to help through live chat while preparing their return. This is something we've offered for years and it is a great way to get a question answered by an expert. Tax Pro Review is a powerful way for our DIY clients to benefit from knowing that one of our highly trained experts has reviewed their source document as well as their entire return to identify all available credits and deductions. At the end of the process, our Tax Pro then sign and file the returns. Tax Pro Go, our virtual assisted offering, addresses the need of consumers who want assistance but don't want or have time to visit one of our offices. Clients upload their documents through the secure MyBlock portal and work virtually with the tax pro-matched to them to have their taxes seamlessly prepared, signed and filed by H&R Block. Through products like Tax Pro Go and Tax Pro Review, we continue to be the only company to either complete or fully review a taxpayer’s return virtually and then sign it, reflecting our commitment to stand behind the work and our clients. We’re excited about the future of virtual and this start to how we will innovate to serve more clients in more ways. As we outlined on our June call, we are investing in three specific areas in fiscal 2019, price, technology, and operational excellence. With respect to price, the reductions we’ve discussed will be targeted to assisted consumer segments where we believe we can win. The impact of these pricing reductions is reflected in our fiscal 2019 revenue outlook as a one-time reset. We’ll share more about our plans for pricing as we get closer to the tax season. With technology, we are making investments to modernize our platform to enable more innovation and greater agility and to reduce spend over time. There are four key areas of investment. First, we’re building a new tax engine which will consolidate multiple systems, creating efficiencies and eliminating unnecessary and redundant work. Second, we're investing in cross-channel capabilities to enable a seamless client experience across platforms, something that will be key as we innovate in virtual. Third, we're migrating our physical data centers to the cloud which is more appropriate for the seasonality of our operating model and will allow us to be more agile and reduce cost. And fourth, we’re optimizing our data architecture and analytics platform to allow for faster and deeper insight in the trend in our business. These investments are key to ensuring we achieve our long term strategic objectives and will require elevated spend over the next several years. With respect to operational excellence, we're focused on improving the quality and consistency of service delivery in our offices. This work ranges from better execution of standard operating procedures to enhancing and differentiating the new client experience. For our overall retention rate of 73%, our new client retention is significantly lower. Taking steps to improve the experience for new clients in order to improve retention is crucial for future growth. This work is the foundation to achieve our overall objectives of growing clients, revenue, and earnings over the long term, all of which are necessary for a successful H&R Block. These investments are critical, and we do not intend them to result in continued margin declines in future years as we expect them to be offset by the top line growth and operating efficiency. Specifically, our expectation for long term sustainable growth includes assisted client growth including increased new client retention, continued DIY market share gain, an industry-leading position in virtual, and revenue and earnings growth over time. In summary, we're excited for the steps we're taking in 2019. We will continue to share more details as we approach the tax season and will update you on our progress. With that, I’ll hand the call over to Tony to discuss our first quarter financial results and outlook.