Jordan Wu
Analyst · Northland. You may begin
Thank you, Jackie. The factors causing our slow first quarter will remain in the second quarter. However, looking ahead into the second half, we believe our overall financial performance will be resilient. We are positive on our Driver IC’s business outlook because of expected shipments for certain customers’ 4K TV models and TDDI products. Various areas of the non-driver IC businesses are also expected to contribute to the improvement of our overall financials from second half of the year. Before we detail the prospects for our 2017, we felt it is important to update the status of our CapEx plan and highlight our progress in 3D scanning technology which is a major reason why we impact on this rather aggressive CapEx plan. We believe 3D scanning is one of the most significant new applications for the next-generation smartphone. The view is echoed by many industry researchers. We are now seeing strong demand for 3D scanning products from multiple top name customers who are either collaborating with us or engaging us for advanced-stage discussion. Thanks to our absolute technology leadership. Our SLiM product line is a state-of-the-art total solution for 3D sensing and scanning based on structured light technology. We offer fully integrated structure light modules with vast majority of the key technologies inside also provided by ourselves. These technologies includes advanced optics utilizing our WLO technology, laser driver IC, high precision active alignment for the assembly of laser projector, high performance near-infrared CMOS image sensor and last but not least, an algorithm chip for 3D depth map generation. While we prefer to offer total solution, we can also provide aforementioned individual technologies separately to selected customers, so as to accommodate their specific needs. Of the above technologies, the two items requiring CAPEX for us are advanced optics, built using our in-house WLO production line and active alignment for which we develop a solution jointly with an international, world-leading semiconductor equipment house. The remaining items are all outsourced for manufacturing and therefore do not require our own CAPEX. As indicated previously, this year’s CAPEX will be significantly higher than usual. In the last earnings call, we reported the urgent addition of new WLO capacity to meet the near-term demands of certain customers. This new capacity is located in our existing headquarters in which we retrofitted certain space to make room for the new equipment. We are pleased to report that the project is going smoothly as planned. Major ramp of the new WLO capacity is scheduled to start from the third quarter. Now moving on to the other major CAPEX project of this year, which is a construction of a new building. Again, the progress is good and the schedule is well under control. The new building, located nearby our current headquarters will house additional 8 inch glass WLO and the next generation 12 inch wafer LCOS production lines, as well as provide the extra office space that is desperately needed. The new building will be completed and ready for personnel and equipment move-in by early 2018. To give an update for the CAPEX plan, we have budgeted $80 million for 2017 for the new WLO capacity and the new office/fab construction, covering equipment, land, building, facilities and clean rooms. Of the total budget, around $60 million will be paid out during the year with the remaining in the next year. The CAPEX budget for 2017 and the dividend for the year of 2016 will be funded through our internal resources and banking facilities. With that, I will now provide our second quarter guidance followed by a more detailed outlook. For the second quarter, we expect revenues to be down around 5% to flat sequentially. Gross margin is expected to be around flat sequentially depending on our final product mix. Operating expenses will increase significantly as mentioned earlier. GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of negative $0.01to $0.00 per diluted ADS based on 172.5 million outstanding ADS. Now, let me provide you with some detail behind our guidance and change that we see developing in our businesses. Large panel driver IC revenue for the second quarter will decline around 10% sequentially due to phase-out of certain customers’ old models. Certain earlier misses of customer new design-in projects will affect our Q2 and possibly Q3 business. Nevertheless, we have secured new design-wins, particularly in 4K TV to resume our larger panel driver IC business growth in the fourth quarter. Looking forward, 4K TV penetration is still on its way up and Chinese panel customers will keep on ramping new advanced generation fabs over the next few years, including a brand new Gen 8.5 and another Gen 8.6 fab starting in the second half of this year. We remain the market-leader in the large panel driver IC business in China and will be a major beneficiary from China’s capacity expansion. The other segment within our driver IC business is ICs used in small and medium-sized panels for applications including smartphones, tablets and automotives. Second quarter sales for smartphones are likely to experience slight decline on weak China market demand, end-customers’ continued inventory adjustment, and higher TDDI and AMOLED adoption. Furthermore, the new 18 to 9 screen design is slowing down the demand for the existing 16 to 9 models. We believe our smartphone business will recover sequentially in the third quarter. Not only do we expect to secure more design-wins from 18 to 9 display, we also expect our customers to replenish inventories after the lackluster first half of the year. We remain mindful of the trend that higher in-cell panel and TDDI adoption will reduce the addressable market for smartphones using traditional TFT-LCD driver ICs. We are confident that our TDDI solutions and business will start to contribute in the third quarter. We will elaborate on this in the non-driver IC business discussion. On AMOLED display, we have started to deliver product samples to our customers in the second quarter. Our customer base for AMOLED covers many leading panel makers across China. We believe AMOLED driver IC will be one of the long-term growth engines for our small panel driver IC business. Driver ICs used in automotive application has been the best performing category for us in recent years. We are seeing solid momentum in the second quarter with revenue to grow around 15% sequentially and over 50% year-over-year. Being the market share leader with numerous Tier-1 automotive brands as our indirect end-customers, we have successfully engaged all key panel manufacturers and module houses worldwide for long-term partnerships and secured many of their key projects pipelined for the next few years. To address the growing IC demand out of large automotive displays and more displays per vehicle, we continue to develop advanced technologies including IC solutions for on-cell and in-cell touch screens. Finally, - excuse me - our driver ICs used in tablets will stay around flat sequentially in the second quarter. Overall, we expect the small and medium-sized driver IC segment to increase sequentially by around low-single-digit in the second quarter. For the non-driver IC business segments, we continue to experience near-term headwinds as we mentioned in the previous earnings call and expect mid-single-digit sequential decline in our non-driver revenues for the second quarter. Sales of CMOS image sensors will deliver double-digit growth in the second quarter, while those of WLO and touch panel controllers will decline sequentially. I will now highlight some of the non-driver product lines. First, on the touch panel controller product line. In spite of new design-wins of our discrete touch solutions and volume shipment of several projects featuring our on-cell solutions to Chinese and Korean smartphone brand customers, the touch controller IC revenue will decline in the second quarter due to increasing TDDI adoption. As mentioned earlier, the 18:9 screen format is increasingly popular among major smartphone players, especially for their mid-to-high end models. Being the front runner of TDDI solutions for 18:9 displays, we will benefit from the new trend. I mentioned earlier, that to address the fast-growing TDDI demand and to catch up with customers’ request for fast product ramp, we have allocated further R&D and customer engineering resources to this important new product area. With comprehensive joint development engagements covering many leading panel makers, we are confident that we can leverage our long-standing and widespread relationships with panel makers to be a market leader for TDDI. With regards to WLO, we expect revenue in the second quarter to decline due to discontinuation of shipments to one of our leading AR device customers. At present, 3D scanning is the top priority of our WLO business. Our goal is to provide total solutions with the performance, size, power, consumption and costs all suitable for smartphone and tablet applications. Alternatively, for selected customers we can also provide individual key components upon their requests. Judging by the ongoing close collaboration and discussion with multiple leading end-device makers, we have strong reasons to believe that the 3D scanning solutions will bring us the explosive revenue growth when the new feature gets adopted by smartphones. Apart from smartphone and tablets, we expect the adoption of 3D scanning to widely spread over to various applications such as industrial, IoT, AI, medical, automotive, military, surveillance and drone. We will expand the technology roadmap to cover more applications in due course. Now on the CMOS image sensor business update. We continue to make great progress with our two machine vision sensor product lines, namely near infrared sensor and Always-on-Sensor. Our NIR sensor is a critical part in the structured light 3D scanning total solution. Similar to WLO, we can supply NIR sensor as an individual component for both mobile and non-mobile applications. Our NIR sensors’ overall performance is far ahead of those of our peers. We currently can offer low noise HD and 5.5 megapixel NIR sensors with superior quantum efficiency in NIR band while operating at excellent power consumption. Our Always-on-Sensor solutions provide super low power computer vision to enable new applications across a very wide variety of industries. The ultra-low power, Always-on-Vision sensor is a powerful solution capable of detecting, tracking and recognizing its environment in an extremely efficient manner using just a few milliwatts of power. In April, we announced a strategic investment in Emza, an Israeli software company dedicated to developing extremely efficient machine vision algorithms. The investment enables us to provide turn-key solutions to meet customers’ increasing appetite for ultra-low power. With Emza’s machine-vision algorithms, we can transform AoS sensor from a pure image capturing component to an information analytics device that can be easily integrated into smart home and security applications, as well as smartphone, AR/VR, AI and IoT devices. For the traditional human vision segments, we expect mass production of several earlier design wins for notebooks and increased shipments for multimedia applications such as car recorder, surveillance, drone, home appliances, and consumer electronics, among others, during the second quarter. I will now turn to the LCOS product line. LCOS revenue will be flat sequentially and down year-over-year due to discontinuation of shipment to one of our leading AR device customers. We expect revenue for LCOS to come from a more diversified customer base starting later in 2017. We are seeing heavyweight companies allocating major R&D resources and budgets in their new push for AR goggle devices. Having invested in related technologies for over 15 years, we believe our LCOS is the technology of choice with little competition. Our list of customers continues to expand and it now covers many of the world’s biggest tech names. In addition to AR application, we are pleased to report that we are making great progress in developing high-end head-up-display for automotive applications. This represents a significant long-term growth opportunity for us. We will report business development in this territory in due course. In summary, we are seeing ongoing weakness in the China smartphone market and temporary slowdown of our large-sized driver IC business, which will likely lead to a mild sequential decline in revenue in the Q2. Regardless of the soft market condition, we continue to commit our R&D on strategic growth areas. Likewise, CAPEX will be at an unprecedented high level to capture the tremendous growth opportunities where we have had significant leadership. Last but not least, I would like to emphasize that as excited as it is on the prospect of non-drive IC products and notwithstanding driver IC’s short-term pressure, driver IC has been a core part of our business and will remain so in any foreseeable future. Our technology strength, total solution capability and long-term customer relationships in driver IC business remain intact. We are confident that our driver ICs will resume growth starting the fourth quarter. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate you joining today’s call and we are now ready to take questions.