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HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Fri, Aug 8, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to HASI's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Aaron Chew, Vice President of Investor Relations.

Aaron Chew

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon to everyone joining us today for HASI's Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Earlier this afternoon, HASI distributed a press release reporting our second quarter 2025 results, a copy of which is available on our website, along with the slide presentation we will be referring to today. This conference call is being webcast live on the Investor Relations page of our website, where a replay will be available later today. Some of the comments made in this call are forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties described in the Risk Factors section of the company's Form 10-K and other filings with the SEC. Actual results may differ materially from those stated. Today's discussion also includes some non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures is available in our earnings release and presentation. Joining us on the call today are Jeff Lipson, the company's President and CEO; as well as Chuck Melko, our Chief Financial Officer. And also available for Q&A are Susan Nickey, our Chief Client Officer; and Marc Pangburn, our Chief Revenue and Strategy Officer. To kick things off, I will first turn it over to our President and CEO, Jeff Lipson, who will open the presentation today on Slide 3. Jeff?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst

Thank you, Aaron, and thanks, everyone, for joining our Q2 2025 call. We are pleased to report another strong quarter and remain very confident in our business model and strategy. Our business model focused on climate-positive investments with programmatic clients, investing in noncyclical revenue-producing projects is indeed the ideal strategy for today's environment. In addition, our thoughtful approach to leverage, capital and liquidity likewise positions us well for long-term growth in all policy and macroeconomic environments. Importantly, we also value diversification, investing in several different asset classes and consistently expanding our scope to create additional opportunities for growth and avoiding any material impacts of slowdowns in a particular market. Our FTN business has grown meaningfully over the past few years, and we continue to explore opportunities beyond our historical focus, including investments that have very limited public policy ramifications. The impact of this consistent approach to our business has led to a number of accomplishments in the second quarter. We have increased our pipeline, which now exceeds $6 billion, and our new business year-to-date has an average yield greater than 10.5%. On the capital raising side, we issued $1 billion of term debt and used $900 million of the proceeds to pay off maturing convertible notes and near-term senior debt. We also successfully closed nearly $600 million debt offering on our CCH1 joint venture, expanding its capacity and extending the investment period until late 2026. Our adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.60, slightly down from last quarter, simply due to the timing of gain on sale revenue. And we are introducing a new metric that reflects the recurring revenue nature of our business entitled, adjusted recurring net investment income, which is 19% higher year-to-date as compared to 2024. I'm also pleased to reaffirm our guidance of 8% to 10%…

Charles W. Melko

Analyst

Thanks, Jeff. Before I get into our quarterly results, I would like to take a minute to discuss the ways we create value for our shareholders. First, we generate returns from closing accretive transactions into our portfolio, either through our CCH1 structure or directly onto our balance sheet and minimizing the cost of capital related to our funding sources. Second, once we have funded the investment, we can further optimize the portfolio and also reinvest cash received into other high-yielding investments. And lastly, we generate recurring and onetime fees related to our securitization activities and CCH1. These fees typically do not require any equity capital, which further enhances our return on equity. Now to take a look at our transaction activity. On Slide 8, we have closed approximately $900 million in transactions in the first half of this year, which is 9% higher than last year. Q2 was lower than Q1 and was not the result of a particular theme, rather normal course changes in the closing time line. Given the strength of our pipeline, we feel good about the outlook of closings the remainder of the year and the total being higher than 2024. We continue to be successful in closing transactions with double-digit yields and had a weighted average closing yield of greater than 10.5% and continue to execute across all of our asset classes. On Slide 9, we are meaningfully scaling our platform with managed assets of $14.6 billion and a portfolio of $7.2 billion, up 13% and 16%, respectively, from the same time last year. Our CCH1 co-investment structure is now at $1.1 billion of funded assets and with the recent debt transaction at CCH1 has $1.5 billion of additional capacity that we expect will be filled before the end of 2026. As a reminder, the…

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst

Thanks, Chuck. Turning to Page 14. We present our sustainability and impact highlights, noting our cumulative carbon count and water count numbers reflect the significant impact of our investment strategy over time. Including on Page 15, our business model has produced the powerful combination of robust investment activity, access to deep pools of capital, attractive margins and results that are noncyclical and sustainable in all interest rate and policy environments. The core components of this resilient business model have been in place for several years, validating its true durability. Successful execution of this business model relies on a talented team, and my HASI colleagues continue to flawlessly and relentlessly overcome all obstacles reflected in our ongoing ability to achieve our goals. As always, thank you to this outstanding team. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Chris Dendrinos with RBC Capital Markets.

Christopher J. Dendrinos

Analyst

Maybe to start here, we noted that you all were an acquirer, I think, of the ServiceCo from NOVA. So can you maybe chat a little bit about that transaction and what that does for you all going forward?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst

Sure. Thanks for the question, Chris. So just to clarify, SunStrong is a joint venture that's 50% owned by HASI and is a servicer of residential solar leases. SunStrong has been awarded the servicing by the purchasers of Sunnova -- of the Sunnova portfolio. And we're certainly pleased by that. We're pleased by the progress of SunStrong overall. We have a good management team there. The company is well positioned in the current environment and the Sunnova transaction will provide scale to the business. So we're certainly very pleased with the progress of our SunStrong team. But that's a 50% joint venture in terms of HASI's ownership.

Christopher J. Dendrinos

Analyst

Got it. And I mean, I guess, any kind of color you can provide on how that might impact EPS going forward? And then I have a quick follow-up as well.

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst

Go ahead, Chuck.

Charles W. Melko

Analyst

Yes. Chris, it's Chuck. So right now, SunStrong, as Jeff mentioned, is a JV and the JV that we'll be servicing, at this current time is not really coming through in our results that you can see. But as the servicing platform does get some scale with the Sunnova assets coming into it over time, whatever other activities that might get into, we will start to see some of the margins from that business come through most likely with where you see our other equity investments coming in.

Christopher J. Dendrinos

Analyst

And then, I guess, just a related note on resi performance. I think there was an article in the Wall Street Journal a couple of weeks back, highlighting some underperformance of loans out there, I think they mentioned kind of GoodLeap specifically. But anything to comment on as far as that portfolio is performing? I think you've highlighted that you have really low losses. So I assumed that you all weren't being impacted, but any kind of thoughts there?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst

Thanks for the question. And you did say loans in your question and the Wall Street Journal article specifically referenced loans. More than 95% of the HASI portfolio is leases and lease customers have significant incentives to continue to make the payments much more so than loan customers. And our portfolio continues to perform very, very well. And many of the issues that were brought about in that article were present in resi solar loans are just not present in leases. So that's a little bit of apples and oranges there.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Lee with Goldman Sachs.

Tyler Roger Bisset

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

This is Tyler Bisset on for Brian. You've seen steadily increasing adjusted ROEs, suggesting ROEs on new deals is meaningfully higher than your legacy deals. You also called out some incremental ROEs of like 19% and up to 28% with the additional CCH1 leverage. So can you discuss like how you expect your adjusted ROE to trend from here? And could you see a meaningful bump as you work through the CCH1 funding?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Thanks for the question. Maybe I will start and Chuck can add on. I just want to make a clarification that the ROEs that are on Slide 7 are incremental ROE dollars invested without taking into account expenses, or SG&A or anything like that. There are illustrative ROEs of incremental dollars put to work under the more and more capital-efficient structure that we're displaying on that slide. So that doesn't relate directly to the ROEs on HASI's business. But ROEs on HASI's business do have an upward trend, influenced by some of the same impact on this slide, but I wouldn't compare them specifically to the ROEs on the full business when we include the operating expenses of the business. And Chuck, if you want to add anything to that?

Charles W. Melko

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Yes. I think the other thing I'd add is in the prepared remarks, we mentioned some commentary around capital efficiency. And to the extent that we continue on that trend to reduce the amount of equity needed to fund our investments and some of these activities we're getting into with asset management fees with CCH1, to the extent we're increasing our earnings there because they don't need equity, we will see a steady increase in ROE. But I wouldn't say that there's going to be any big jump. It will most likely just be a gradual increase.

Tyler Roger Bisset

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

And then -- on the CCH1 debt, how will this mechanically flow through your income statements? And how do credit rating agencies treat this debt? Like is this going to be applied to your leverage ratio?

Charles W. Melko

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Yes. So on the first part on how the debt comes through in our financials. So the debt -- so CCH1 is not in its entirety on its balance sheet as a joint venture. So the debt is being -- was placed at CCH1. It does not show up in our financials and the way that it will come through in our results is through increasing our returns a bit on CCH1 as investments are funded with the proceeds. In terms of the rating agencies, we have talked to the rating agencies about this, of course. And in fact, I think S&P may have actually written this in the report that when they look at these kinds of structures that as long as you are keeping the debt-to-equity ratio under 0.5:1, they don't really factor it in. So it's just kind of a nonevent. And we don't have any intent to go any higher than that leverage ratio. So I think we're going to be just fine from a rating agency standpoint.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Maheep Mandloi with Mizuho.

Maheep Mandloi

Analyst · Mizuho.

On Slide 6, just looking at the mix here, could you just talk about what is included in Next Frontier? I think for the first time we saw this broken out, [indiscernible] what's in there? And secondly, just on the mix of BTM solar and BTM energy efficiency. Could you talk about like historically, how has that trended? Are you seeing more of energy efficiency now? Or how to think about that?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Mizuho.

Thanks, Maheep. So on the Next Frontier, just as a reminder, in our February call, we put forth this notion of Next Frontier where we may expand the business. I talked a little bit about that in the prepared remarks. The relevant slide is on Page 17 in the appendix in this afternoon's deck. And so the progression from disclosing in February where we may take the business next to disclosing that we have some of these investments in the pipeline is sort of the natural chronology. We're not going to talk specifically about exactly what's in the pipeline. The third step of that will be to actually close a transaction, and then we'll talk about it. But I will say I'm very pleased that in relatively short order, we've identified Next Frontier investments, and they're at a stage where they are in the pipeline. So I think we feel good about that and the diversification that it will bring to the business. On the second part of your question, I think the breakout in behind the meter between solar, which is primarily community and resi solar and storage and a little bit of C&I solar and the energy efficiency is just something we thought would be helpful. I think that split, which this quarter is roughly 50-50 is relatively consistent in terms of the -- what has been the behind-the-meter slice and the relevant sizes of those 2 pieces of business. So hopefully, that's helpful in understanding what's in the pipeline.

Maheep Mandloi

Analyst · Mizuho.

And maybe just one clarification. I think someone on the slide -- maybe Slide 4, I saw you guys talking about replacing tax equity. Just to clarify, that's for post-tax credit time line? Or is it something you're looking to invest in even or replacing tax equity in the next few years as well.

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Mizuho.

Okay. I'm going to ask Marc to answer that one.

Marc T. Pangburn

Analyst · Mizuho.

Maheep, it's Marc. We would not anticipate replacing tax equity in the current structure. But as tax credits go away, there is less need for tax equity, and that will create more room in the capital stack for investors like us who focus on monetizing cash positions. So this is primarily a post-tax credit opportunity.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Noah Kaye with Oppenheimer.

Noah Duke Kaye

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

Last quarter, you talked about, I think, a record volume of inbound client requests, and we saw that with the pipeline expanding quarter-over-quarter. I would just like to get a sense of what you and really your customers are trying to solve for in the current environment. I think you made some comments in your opening remarks around the shifting policy environment and your expectations that transactions will kind of continue to pick up in the back half. But we would just sort of love to get an understanding of how you and your clients are approaching some of the policy and regulatory changes here as it relates to developing not only the 12-month pipeline, but further out opportunities.

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

Sure. Thanks for the question, Noah. I'm actually going to ask Susan to go ahead and answer that.

Susan D. Nickey

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

Yes. Thanks, Noah. And really, the fundamentals are so strong. That's what's the core tailwinds for our clients' business. And then obviously, we follow on as those projects and their pipelines mature. But with the demand side of the business, not only on the utility scale side, but behind the meter, Sunrun and some of other clients have reported out, that's really where the fundamentals are. And then clearly, everyone is now navigating through what's passed with the OBB, but have invested through safe harboring to be able to continue and plan and build out their pipelines for not only next year, but for the next several years. But our pipeline, again, is -- that we report out is for 12 months.

Noah Duke Kaye

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

Yes. And to follow up on the previous question, I mean, I believe certainly for grid connected, but probably for a decent chunk of the overall portfolio, there's been substantial safe harboring already. So this future opportunity around replacing tax equity, I imagine that might flow first to behind the meter and later to utility, but over a multiyear period. Is that kind of the right way to think about it?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

I think that's right, Noah. And again, as Marc said, that's still a couple of years out. We just wanted to plant the seed that there's now going to be a void in the capital stack and with an outcome of this tax policy change may be that HASI is able to put more dollars to work per project. But again, this is not for a couple of years. And I think the way you laid it out is likely the way it will play out.

Noah Duke Kaye

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

Great. If I could sneak one more in. I just want to talk about cash generation. The continued helpful disclosures around adjusted cash flow from ops and other portfolio collections. Do notice that, that is somewhat down on a run rate versus 2024. Can you just talk through any kind of expected timing and cash generation for the back half?

Charles W. Melko

Analyst · Oppenheimer.

Noah, this is Chuck. Looking at -- well, let me start with what's going into these numbers. When we look at cash collected from our portfolio. Certainly, that includes all of the cash distributions that we're receiving related to the operations of the projects. But there can be other activities that occur at the project such as refinancing of debt or initial debt that's being put on to a project that getting favorable terms on that financing. We oftentimes get a distribution out of it. So it's tough to really get a trend of that, of course. And in 2024, there was a little bit of that going on that is causing this to look like there's a little bit of a downtrend here. But I will say that this quarter, we did have a bit of an uptick in cash received from both our equity investments and our loans. So we're seeing a positive trend there. But I would say that the trend that you're seeing right now, I mean, the rest of the year will probably continue that same growth rate and will probably mirror the growth in our portfolio.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Moses Sutton with BNP Paribas.

Moses Nathaniel Sutton

Analyst · BNP Paribas.

Closed transactions seem rather low. I think you noted the year-to-date numbers, so it implies around like $190 million, if I'm getting that right. So how should we characterize that and the timing element? And then conversely, on the adjusted cash from operations plus other portfolio collections, that was back up to like $200 million from the negative number in the first quarter. I know that's also a lumpy thing based on how you get collections. Should we think of that as returning to like a $300 million plus a quarter number? So just those 2 on transactions and then the adjusted cash from operations.

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · BNP Paribas.

So thanks, Moses, for the question. I'll take the first part. I'll ask Chuck to take the second part of that question. I would encourage you to read absolutely nothing into the second quarter volumes in isolation. I think we've consistently talked about the lumpiness in the business and the nature of closings being out of our control and really driven by our clients. And so sometimes we have outsized quarters and slower quarters in terms of actual investment volume. It's part of the reason we do guidance over 3 years and certainly on a number such as volume in the business, I'd encourage you to at least look at a 1-year number and not a quarterly number. And as Chuck mentioned in the prepared remarks, it is our expectation at this point that volumes will exceed last year. So I wouldn't read anything into the second quarter. For the other part of the question, Chuck?

Charles W. Melko

Analyst · BNP Paribas.

Yes. Moses. So I think the answer to your question really is tied into the response to Noah's question here. When you're looking at the trailing 12-month from last quarter going to this quarter, it drops off a little bit because the last quarter and the trailing 12 months that was in there last period had some of the, I'll call it, onetime cash distributions coming off of some of our projects. So I wouldn't read into that decline in the trailing 12 months at all there in terms of run rate.

Moses Nathaniel Sutton

Analyst · BNP Paribas.

That's very helpful. If I could squeeze one more in. If I recall from maybe it was 2 or 3 years ago when there was confusion in the investor community on the timing of cash collections or sort of cash flow waterfall in projects where tax equity got money before you like just the structure of the matter, it implied that at a certain point in project life in aggregate in the sense, when you did a lot of -- after you did a lot of equity investments, you would actually earn more than the amount that would show up in adjusted earnings. So is there a certain point that we might expect -- this is a further out question on cash flow and cash waterfall, where you -- even though you're continuing to make equity investments, pref equity investments, JV investments like that, where some of the legacy stuff will be seeing cash come in at a pretty significantly higher number as tax equity reaches their hurdle. And is that around '25, '26, '27, is that a fair view there? And could you quantify that? Sorry for the long question.

Charles W. Melko

Analyst · BNP Paribas.

Yes. It's kind of tough to pinpoint exactly when that's going to happen. Yes, it will start to happen. And as I mentioned a little bit ago, we are starting to get a little bit more cash coming in the door. But because we are continuing to add investments with that similar profile, we can't really put a definitive date where that's going to -- you're going to start to see that in our portfolio. But it has started to happen on old deals.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Vikram Bagri with Citi.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Citi.

It's Ted on for Vik. Just one question on the model. I think there was a comment on the prior quarter call that gain on sale revenue would be more in line with 2021 to 2023 levels. Should we still expect that to be the case this year? And if so, what do you expect in terms of cadence for the third and fourth quarters?

Charles W. Melko

Analyst · Citi.

Yes, that's the case. We do still expect to see gain on sale in the levels that we mentioned, average of '21 through '23. So Q3 and Q4 certainly will be higher than we saw in Q2 here. But I would just prorate Q3, Q4 to get to those total average annual levels.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ben Kallo with Baird.

Benjamin Joseph Kallo

Analyst · Baird.

Just on the ITC, can you talk about what you're seeing in terms of projects being pulled forward from ITC changes? Or is it -- I guess maybe if we could break it down by solar and everything else and then utility solar and everything else. And then when you look at the Next Frontier investments like geothermal and fuel cells, which now have a favorable tax treatment, how do you view this under that Next Frontier type investment label?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Baird.

Thanks, Ben. I think on the first part of the question, we're not seeing meaningful pull forward. I think the nature of many of the investments that we make and the projects that our clients develop is such that they're normally moving as fast as they can. I think our Page 5 is a good indication of how much work they have to do to get a project to commercial operation. So we're not really hearing or seeing from our clients much in the way of acceleration. We are seeing our clients remain active. We're not seeing delays, but we're really not seeing much in the way of acceleration. On your second part of your question, I would just answer it more holistically that many of the investment categories in the Next Frontier are less susceptible, I would say, to policy changes and less driven by tax policy. And that's one of the evolutions of our business that over time, our business through the phaseout that we're already seeing in some of the core business and through the Next Frontier, there'll be less of a tax policy orientation to our business over time as well. So I think that's probably the best way to answer your question there.

Benjamin Joseph Kallo

Analyst · Baird.

Okay. And if I could sneak one more in, and sorry if you covered it, I'll jump around. But in the past, you talked about maybe moving internationally. Could you just give us an update there?

Jeffrey A. Lipson

Analyst · Baird.

Sure. I don't think we really have anything to report, Ben. We've talked about it a few times. I think the most likely approach there, as we've said before, is to work with one of our existing long-term clients, many of whom are multinationals on a non-U.S. project and use that as a way to expand our business internationally. But we really just don't have anything currently to report on that front on this call.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, there are no further questions. The conference of HASI has now concluded. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.