Pedro Larrea
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is open
Good morning, everyone. And thank you for joining us on the call today. Before we go into the details of the quarter, let me provide some context into the current environment and our strategy for 2017. So, in next slide, we can see that Ferroglobe experienced an improved start to the year with the significant increase in both our EBITDA and margin performance. Our EBITDA is up 257% quarter-over-quarter, and our EBITDA margin improved by approximately 500 basis points at 6.8% for the first quarter of 2017 compared to 1.9% for the fourth quarter of 2016. We maintained our financial discipline that has allowed us to keep strong balance sheet through the downturn and has enabled us to continue reducing working capital in the beginning of the recovery. We have always been and continue to be confident in the actions we have been taking during the market downturn in the past few quarters. We moved aggressively to manage our cost structure and actively identified markets and products that were experiencing an improved supply demand environment. This combined with our strong diversified portfolio enabled us to capture the benefits of improving trends. We implemented a commercial strategy aimed at enhancing our profitability, which included changes to our contract structures, the removal of all discounts for silicon metal and delivering contracts above index. This strategy has been performing well for us and has allowed for the weighted average of our realized price to be up 12% compared to the fourth quarter of 2016. Manganese alloy prices improved by 46% and spreads improved 25%. Similarly, the average selling price for silicon-based alloys increased 10%. Average selling price for silicon metal remained largely flat from the fourth quarter. I will be analyzing the details of this price evolution product by product in a few minutes. As market fundamentals improved, combined with the actions we’ve taken across our business, we are seeing the value from our diversified portfolio and leveraging this diversification to capitalize on each product at different stages of the cycle. Next slide? Before I continue my discussion of the quarter, I would like to take a few minutes to share a brief update on corporate matters. First, as discussed last quarter, we filed the petition earlier this year with the U.S. Department of Commerce and U.S. International Trade Commission as well as a separate complaint with a Canada Border Services Agency, seeking relief from unfairly traded low-priced imports in North America. In both cases, the respective government agencies have decided to move forward with their investigations, leading to favorable first milestones. We expect the U.S. Department of Commerce to make preliminary determinations on the countervailing duty in the third quarter and on the antidumping duties early in the fourth quarter of 2017. On May 16, the Canadian agency exercised an extension for 45 days to complete its review for this state of investigation. The preliminary determinations for antidumping and countervailing duties will now take effect on or around July 5th. Second, as announced, in our trading update last February, we entered into a definitive agreement to sell the hydro-electric operations of our noncore energy division in Spain for an estimated gross cash proceeds of €255 million. We have made progress during the first quarter to gain further support and during the month of May Ferroglobe filed all the formal requests with the relevant government authorities to obtain necessary regulatory approvals. We have also started the required internal administrative procedures including corporate restructuring and we’ll keep you updated as this progresses. Lastly, I wanted to provide an update on internal controls, as the audit process has revealed material weaknesses in the company’s procedures in this area. Management has taken decisive action on remediation and we are confident that all the procedures we have put in place in the past months have now addressed the deficiencies and that we should currently be fully compliant. Next slide, please? As I referenced earlier, we are continuing to benefit from our diversified product portfolio and in particular taking advantage of and leveraging on pricing recovery of our product at different stages of the cycle. Today, our revenue contribution is diversified across our three primary products with silicon metal still the largest contributor at 41% followed by silicon-based alloys at 30%; and manganese-based alloys at 21%; other products make up the remaining 8%. Further this diversified product served and even more diverse group of end markets with silicon metal used for aluminums, silicones and solar products while manganese-based alloys are used for steel and silicon-based alloys for different grades of steel and for foundry. These three product areas have contributed differently to our revenue growth over the first quarter with manganese-based alloys growing 21% over the prior quarter and silicon-based alloys growth of as much as 5% over the prior quarter. Both family groups have experienced significant demand momentum and we have taken advantage of selecting specific products and market instances in which the supply demand balance looked favorable. Silicon metal revenues have contracted in the first quarter when compared to the previous one. This is due to specific one-off circumstances but demand strength and improved pricing environment should revert this trend in the coming quarters. So, turning to the next slide. We continue to see supportive trends across key end markets. In the aluminum and auto industry which is approximately 20% of our shipments, we’re seeing strong auto sales globally. Auto sales were strongest in India, an increase of 11.1%, Europe with an increase of 8.2% or Japan with an increase of 7.8%. China remained the world’s largest single country car market and was up 5.7%. Turning to steel and specialty steel which is more than 40% of our shipments, we’re observing strong crude steel production, up 5.7% in the first quarter on a year-over-year basis. World steel capacity utilization reached two-year high in March, with North America crude steel production up 7.1%. On chemicals and silicones which contributed around 15% to our overall shipments, we’re seeing strong North American market with all participants running at capacity. In Europe, the chemical sector will follow GDP growth, which is projected at 1.7%. Lastly, turning to polysilicon, which represents 10% of our shipments. North America volumes of electronic and photovoltaic materials were really hampered by Chinese dumping actions against polysilicon with volumes down from 2016. In Europe, solar growth will support polysilicon industry which is projected to grow at 8% in 2017. Next slide? Turning to discuss sequential contribution to sales growth, in the first quarter of 2017, sales were $388.2 million, flat from previous quarter. In all product families but particularly in silicon metal and manganese-based alloys, shipments have been down sequentially. As I will comment in a minute in both product families, the volume decline was due to one-off our circumstances that are now resolved. All-in-all, this volume decline has had a negative effect on revenue of $31 million. The strong recovery in prices together with our successful marketing strategy has allowed us to capture selling price increases that more than offset the effect of volume decline and that have increased margins. Going forward, volumes are showing strong performance; prices are firm in manganese and silicon-based alloys; and silicon metal is experiencing a more gradual but nonetheless continuous price improvement. So, next slide? On the next three slides, we will discuss pricing and volume trends, earnings contribution and market observations for each of our key products. So, turning first to silicon metal, as you can see on the chart, market prices have continuously trended upwards in the past few months and the market continues to move in this direction. However, our average selling price remained largely flat from the fourth quarter at $0.94 per pound for the first quarter. Selling prices and volumes were negatively impacted in the quarter due to a strike at a high value customer and some lower priced contracts were still rolling over from last year. These very specific circumstances are now resolved and we’re starting to see a recovery in both price and volume. In terms of sales volume, silicon metal experienced an 8% decrease quarter over quarter, which was affected by the already mentioned strike at the key customer facility. This has now been resolved and volume trends are expected to gradually recover in the second quarter. As a matter of fact, market prices for silicon metal have increased 13% in North America since the beginning of the year and we are now starting to benefit from this improvement. In addition to this strike negatively impacting sales, our European plants have been faced with increased costs, primarily driven by seasonally higher power prices. It was more than offset by lower production cost in North America, thanks to better plant utilization and improved technical performance. Next slide, looking at silicon-based alloys, the average selling price increased 10% from the fourth quarter to $1,473 per metric ton, higher than at any point in Ferroglobe’s records. However, sales volume experienced a 4% decrease quarter over quarter, which is a normal seasonal swing that will revert in coming quarters. We are observing a strong ferrosilicon market on the back of increased steel production and we have taken advantage of specific instances of a tighter demand supply balance situation. We remain positive with regard to demand strength and pricing trend for the coming quarters. In regard to business action, this market strength has allowed us to improve our capacity utilization in Europe. We converted a furnace in Spain from silicon to ferrosilicon production during the quarter, so we can now serve the demand for both products whilst achieving a close to 100% utilization of all our furnaces in Europe. And turning to our manganese-based alloys, the average selling price for manganese alloys increased as much as 46% from the fourth quarter of last year, up to $1,298 per metric ton, which is the highest level in more than five years. Taking into account increase in manganese ore prices, the spread, which is the average selling price of manganese alloys minus the cost of manganese ore to produce those alloys, the spread increased by 25% over the same period, so quarter over quarter. Sales volumes in the first quarter experienced a 17% decrease. The reason is that in order to preserve margins in manganese alloys, we reduced production in response to a significant increase in the cost of manganese ore at the end of 2016 and this negatively impacted manganese alloy volumes in the first quarter of 2017. These conditions were temporary and volume trends are expected to normalize in the second quarter. We also continued to see volatility in manganese ore. We’re benefitting from low cost ore in the stockpile coupled with a higher pricing environment. So, next slide. From an operating perspective, our focus has always been to enhance margins both through capturing optimized prices and through cost reduction. Our commercial strategy has successfully captured the recovery of the market, and we expect it will yield additional results in the coming quarter. On the cost side, we are now realizing the benefits of the synergies we captured in 2016. Also, we have factored in several areas to quote unquote, normalize and streamline our operating performance, we have minimized the cost of idled facilities, we have shifted production to optimize our platform, and we continue to focus on SG&A cost. A certain sign of this normality is that for the first time since the business combination, we are showing no adjustments to our accounts. As we have been describing in the previous slides, EBITDA growth has been supported by the increase in the price of our products. Even after netting out the cost of manganese ore and the manganese alloys, price has added $20 million to our EBITDA in the quarter compared to Q4 2016. So, next slide? Before I hand the call over to Joe, I’d like to quickly touch on some of the key highlights of our financial performance in the first quarter of 2017. As mentioned, our EBITDA increased 257% in the first quarter of 2017 to $26.6 million, up from an adjusted EBITDA of $7.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2016. The noncore energy division were to be included, EBITDA would have reached $30.9 million in the first quarter of 2017, up 368% from adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2016 of $6.6 million. In line with our focus on improved financial performance, we improved working capital by $18 million. And since we closed our business combination in December of 2015, we have improved our working capital by more than $200 million. Free cash flow was negative $11.2 million in the quarter, due to one-off severance payments. We have continued to maintain our strong balance sheet and reported net debt of $407 million at the end of the first quarter of 2017, and liquidity stood at $315 million at the end of the first quarter. We remain focused on delivering long-term value to our shareholders in a number of ways and more specifically by evaluating business decisions like M&A and CapEx and pursuing them if they are immediately accretive to Ferroglobe. As such, we will continue to maintain our conservative capital structure in order to put our Company in a good position to act quickly on growth opportunities when they are attractive, but also, providing flexibility in case of a downturn. We have successfully refinanced our debt and continue to focus on deleveraging the balance sheet with the cycle leverage target of less than two times. Lastly, we remain committed to pursuing cost improvements through a technical performance, portfolio optimization and SG&A streamlining. So, let me now hand over to Joe.