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Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 20, 2023

$68.48

+0.84%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Great Southern Bancorp Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Kelly Polonus with Great Southern. Please go ahead.

Kelly Polonus

Analyst

Thank you, Victor. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for our second quarter 2023 earnings call. This is Kelly Polonus, Investor Relations for Great Southern. The purpose of this call is to discuss the Company's results for the quarter ending June 30, 2023. Before we begin, I need to remind you that during the course of this call, we may make forward-looking statements about future events and future financial performance. These statements are subject to a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results anticipated or projected. For a list of some of these factors, please see the forward-looking statements disclosure in our second quarter earnings release and other public filings. President and CEO, Joe Turner; and Chief Financial Officer, Rex Copeland, are on the call with me. I'll now turn the meeting over to Joe Turner.

Joseph Turner

Analyst

All right. Thanks, Kelly. Good afternoon to everybody. Thank you for joining us for our second quarter earnings call. Our second quarter performance was solid as we continue to navigate through a pretty challenging operating environment. Thanks to the hard work of our team, we earned $1.52 per common share or $18.3 million compared to $1.44 and $18.2 million during the second quarter 2022. Our earnings performance ratios were also good with annualized ROA of 1.28%, and annualized return on average equity of 13.11%. We had mentioned on our last call some anticipated headwinds that we would face in the second quarter related to net interest margin. Net interest margin did decline to 3.56% for the second quarter compared to 3.78% for the same period in 2022 and 3.99% for the first quarter in 2023. I know Rex is going to talk quite a bit more about that as well as deposit costs, and I may chime in a little bit on that, too. Also of note, we had ongoing significant professional fee expense totaling $1 million related to training and implementation cost of our upcoming core conversion. Liquidity and capital continue to be very strong. Our liquidity position was strong in the first quarter and got stronger actually in the second quarter. At the end of June 2023, our available secured funding lines through the Home Loan Bank and the Federal Reserve and on-balance sheet liquidity work totaled approximately $2.4 billion. As we noted last quarter, our company's deposit base is pretty diverse. We have about 14% uninsured deposits about $658 million. So over 3x coverage between on and off balance sheet liquidity compared to that uninsured deposit number. While we had a runoff of about $72 million in non-interest-bearing checking balances in the first quarter. From start to…

Rex Copeland

Analyst

Thank you, Joe. I'll start off with, as Joe said, net interest income and margin, some commentary there. So net interest income for the second quarter decreased by about $693,000 to $48.1 million compared to $48.8 million in the second quarter of 2022. Net interest income was $53.2 million in the first quarter of this year. So we did have a decrease of about $5 million in the second quarter compared to the first quarter of this year. Just kind of looking at some of the items that made up that change between Q1 and Q2, interest expense increased by about $2.5 million on interest-bearing demand and savings accounts increased about $1.8 million on time deposits, and those are our retail time deposits, and then increased about $2.8 million on brokered deposits. So the increase in interest expense on those interest-bearing demand and savings accounts and time deposits was primarily due to higher market rates. The weighted average interest rate on interest-bearing demand and savings increased 44 basis points, while the weighted average interest rate on time deposits increased by about 78 basis points, and those are comparing Q2 to Q1 this year. The increase in interest expense for the broker deposits was really due both to an increase in average balances also coupled with a 44 basis point increase in the average interest rate on those. And then interest income on loans increased $2 million. So that partially offset some of the funding cost increases compared to the first quarter. But interest income on the loans were also reduced a little bit by $1.7 million in the second quarter by those initial net settlement on two interest rate swaps that we had put in place several months ago, nine or 12 months ago with forward start dates and in…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question come from the line of Andrew Liesch from Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Hey. Good afternoon, everyone.

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Hi, Andrew.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

I just want to talk about just sort of flowing the deposit costs through the margin here. And then also with the swaps being in a negative position. I mean is it possible to see another – with the full quarter effect of the repricing last quarter, another 40-plus basis point decline in the margin here in the third quarter?

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Let me address that. I mean, I think to me, I mean, we don't give forward guidance, that seems unlikely to me. But let me put kind of the way I look at what happened in our margin compared to what went on in the first quarter. We obviously were down $5 million. Andrew, I think there's three components to that. The first Rex mentioned, we had the forward starting swap that was always going to be there. We've talked about numbers some time, that was $1.7 million of the $5 million. The second thing that happened is on our core CD portfolio, we have about $1 billion core CD portfolio that's kind of average duration about a year. So you would expect all other things being equal, that would mature about $250 million per quarter. Well, as Rex said, that's not what happened. In our case, we just – it just though happens, we had $500 million of that or a little more maybe mature in the second quarter. And in fact, most of what matured, matured in the month of April. And that information, I don't think I highlighted.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Okay. So full quarter effect has kind of already been captured there, yes. Okay.

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Yes, a lot of it. Yes. Yes. So whereas you might have expected that to increased interest expense if it had been a more normal maturity thing. You might have expected that to increase interest expense, $800,000 or $1 million, it was more like $1.8 million. So that was probably between $800,000 and $1 million of what happened to us in the second quarter. And then the third thing, so that's about between $2.5 million and $2.7 million of the $5 million. The third thing that happened to us is just margin compression. I mean – and that's sort of what Rex talked about in our call last quarter that these late cycle betas are going to go up. And that's what happened. Our cost on our non-time accounts went up $2.8 million, 44 basis points in the quarter. And I think we more or less that 50 basis points of rate increases. So you were pretty close to 100% there. So those were the three factors. Now you've got to ask yourself going forward, what should we expect? Rex has mentioned that we didn't have a full quarter of that forward starting swap. So there's going to be another $800,000 of expense there. The...

Rex Copeland

Analyst

More like $1.3 million. I mean...

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Well, you're talking about total. I'm talking about additional expense with the...

Rex Copeland

Analyst

Yes.

Joseph Turner

Analyst

So that's going to be – that's going to add $800,000. The CDs repricing or – as Rex said, that's not going to be nearly as bad in the third quarter as it was in the second quarter. The non-time accounts, it's just who knows on those. It doesn't feel like they're going to reprice like they did in the second quarter, but that remains to be seen. Now at the same time, we're also having fixed rate loans repriced upwards. That's sort of the offset. So – and that's kind of the next two quarters you get into the first quarter of 2024. And then we – one of the swaps that we have been in a pay position on expires and the full quarter effect of that is between $2.5 million and $3 million improvement, starting the first full quarter that will be Q2 2024. So I think those are all the things you should take into account. I realized I didn't answer your question, but I try to give you everything that I know that you need to look at to try to draw your own conclusion.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

No, makes sense. Certainly a lot of – thank you for giving those puts and takes. That's helpful. And then just a question here on the loan growth going forward. Pipeline is down a little bit, but still some optimism around the construction? And how should we be looking at net growth? I mean it seems like there was still some payoffs, just natural payoffs. So low single digits in this environment, the right pace to be thinking about?

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Yes, flat to flattish. It's just hard to – we can't predict – the payoff activity still seems a little bit muted, certainly from where it was in 2021 and probably more like it was in the second part of 2022. And we've kind of adjusted our origination activity as well.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Got it. All right. That covers my questions. Thanks. I will step back.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question will come from line of Damon DelMonte from KBW. Your line is open.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst

Hey. Good afternoon guys. Thanks for taking my questions here. Just to kind of circle back on the margin discussion. You noted that there was $1.7 million drag from the swaps this quarter. And if you look at the rates as of $630, it'd be $3 million for the next quarter. So that's just an incremental $1.3 million is kind of how we should look at that?

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Yes.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst

Okay. All right. Thanks. And then as far as the provision and the reversal of the reserve on the unfunded commitments, are those loans that were closed and moved to permanent status or refinance the way to another institution? Or were those projects that were kind of signed a contract that weren't completed for one reason or another?

Joseph Turner

Analyst

No. The negative provision is on the unfunded loan balance. So when we book a construction loan, initially, we don't fund anything but maybe we have $10 million sitting in the unfunded account. And in total, at the end of Q1, that number was like $1.3 billion. Well, at the end – and we have to have a reserve on that $1.3 billion. At the end of Q2, that number was $1.1 billion. So because there's less in the way of unfunded amount, you're going to have a lesser reserve on that, and that's where that number comes from.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst

Okay. And so if loan growth is going to be modest in the coming quarters, taking into account the potential for more relief from the unfunded side and lack of need to reserve for new growth, I mean do you expect to take any meaningful provision in the back half of the year?

Joseph Turner

Analyst

I mean it's – it would be based on – obviously, we feel like we're adequately reserved right now. So all other things being equal, I would say no, if nothing changes from here.

Rex Copeland

Analyst

If we have charge-offs – significant charge-offs that would change the calculus on that a little bit...

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Or possibly if the economy changed that could...

Rex Copeland

Analyst

We have to factor that outlook into our analysis when we set our loan loss reserves, our credit reserves. So...

Joseph Turner

Analyst

Yes. But based on where we sit right now, obviously, we feel like our reserve is at the right number.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst

Okay. And then I guess, lastly, could you just provide a little bit more color on the office loan, it's in Missouri. I know you noted that. And no reserve was taken against that loan? Is that correct?

Joseph Turner

Analyst

No, we do have. We have a reserve allocated to it. I mean, it's a well-located office building. It's occupied. I don't want to get to – I mean we have soft queue – I don't want to talk in a public forum about sort of borrower specific aspects. But it seems like it's going to be best to transition this asset to a new customer, a new customer going to be able to do better things with it. And I mean, we feel like there could be some charge-off Damon, but we think we've got that allocated in the reserve for it if there is that. And we don't feel like it's reflective of the rest of our office portfolio, certainly, kind of a one-off situation.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst

Got it. Okay. Great. That’s all I had. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And I'm not showing any further questions in the queue. I'd like to turn the call back over to Joe Turner, President and CEO, for closing remarks.

Joseph Turner

Analyst

All right. Very good. We appreciate the questions. We appreciate everybody joining us today, and we'll look forward to talking to you after our third quarter earnings. Everybody, have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.