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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, May 1, 2024

$191.97

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to Gulfport Energy Corporation's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. At this time, I'll now turn the conference over to Jessica Antle, Vice President, Investor Relations. So Antle, you may now begin your presentation.

Jessica Wills

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning. Welcome to Gulfport Energy Corporation's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Jessica Antle. Speakers on today's call include John Reinhart, President and CEO; Michael Hodges, Executive Vice President and CFO. In addition, we also have Matt Rucker available for the Q&A portion of today's call, Senior Vice President of Operations. I would like to remind everybody that during this conference call, the participants may make certain forward-looking statements relating to the company's financial conditions, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business. We caution you that actual results could differ materially from those that are indicated in these forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors. Information concerning these factors can be found in the company's filings with the SEC. In addition, we may reference non-GAAP measures. Reconciliations to the comparable GAAP measures will be posted on our website. An updated Gulfport presentation was posted yesterday evening in conjunction with the earnings announcement. Please review at your leisure. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to John Reinhart, President and CEO.

John Reinhart

Analyst

Thank you, Jessica, and thank you to everyone for listening to our call. Gulfport started the year strong, highlighted by continued improvement in operational efficiencies that led to capital spending below analyst expectations and strong free cash flow generation, which allowed us to continue returning capital to shareholders through our common share repurchase program. The significant operational momentum achieved last year continues with another quarter of field operating teams executing at high levels of efficiencies. Several new company records were accomplished this quarter that contributed to strong financial results across the board relative to consensus expectations. Looking at our first quarter highlights, the company generated $186 million adjusted EBITDA and $39 million of adjusted free cash flow. Our average daily production totaled nearly 1.054 million cubic feet equivalent per day, in line with analyst expectations. Operationally, during the first quarter, the company completed drilling on 8 gross wells, 7 within Ohio targeting the Utica formation and 1 in the SCOOP targeting the Woodford formation. We entered the year with 3 operated drilling rigs running and as planned, released 1 Utica rig during the first quarter and currently have 1 rig running in each of our asset areas. On the completions front, we turned to sales 5 gross wells during the quarter, all targeting the Utica and are actively running 1 frac crew in the Utica. As previously mentioned, the operating teams achieved several milestones this quarter, which I'd like to highlight. On the drilling side, we experienced a 9% quarter-over-quarter improvement in footage drilled per day in the Utica, which included a company record of the fastest Utica top hole drilled for Gulfport in the play, totaling just over 6 drilling days. On the completion side, our daily frac pumping hours improved to an average of 21 frac pumping hours…

Michael Hodges

Analyst

Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. Despite the low commodity prices seen early in the year, the company generated healthy free cash flow, reduced total debt and returned value to our shareholders, all driven by the significant operational momentum we carried into 2024. Net cash provided by operating activities before changes in working capital totaled approximately $171 million during the first quarter, more than funding our capital expenditures despite the capital program that is roughly 65% weighted to the first half of 2024. We beat analyst expectations for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow, driven by our strong price realizations, top-tier hedge book and operating cost performance. Given the contango that currently exists in the natural gas futures curve, we anticipate rising quarterly free cash flow results through the second half of 2024 as capital spending declined significantly and prices are expected to improve in late 2024 and into 2025. Production costs for the first quarter totaled $1.16 per million cubic feet equivalent, in line with analyst consensus expectations and 6% below the first quarter of 2023. The improvement is primarily a result of lower per unit LOE and midstream expenses driven by the company's continued focus on optimizing and reducing costs in the field. For full year 2024, we reaffirm our per unit operating cost guidance, which includes LOE, midstream and taxes other than income of $1.15 to $1.23 per Mcfe, and due to the focus on more liquids-rich development activity in 2024, anticipate per unit cost to trend slightly higher during the second half of 2024. Our all-in realized pricing for the first quarter was $3.16 per Mcfe, including the impact of cash-settled derivatives. This realized unit price is $0.92 above NYMEX Henry Hub index price, highlighting the benefit of Gulfport's differentiated hedge position, diverse marketing…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from the line of Bert Donnes with Truist.

Bertrand Donnes

Analyst

I just wanted to start off on the decision to defer some of that activity. Maybe you could go into what changed between now and last quarter. Is it something you're seeing on supply and demand? Was it basis? Was it strip pricing? Or was it just that spot rig you were talking about maybe it just was an easy shift in your program.

John Reinhart

Analyst

Yes. Bert, thanks for joining the call. I appreciate the question. Yes, I think as we noted before on our development plan, we really do appreciate having the flexibility to be able to toggle around activity to maximize value. In this particular case, just the commodity environment over the first quarter and the outlook towards the second half of the year, it really kind of weighed into our decision to assess options to be able to provide some value uplift. And given the completions crew was a spot crew, it was a pretty easy decision to defer that about 1.5 months and realize the uplift. And on the drilling side, that was actually planned to be a carry [ DUC ] this year, as I commented in the script, -- so any time you move, obviously, the drilling closer to production, that's going to give you a value uplift. And we'll just assess pricing in the fourth quarter to see if that's a spend that we want to do in '24 or just shift that to 25. So I think it really boils down to just showing the flexibility of the program, and it was really tied ultimately to this commodity price environment and really just being prudent with our capital plan and making sure that what we're doing maximizes value for the company.

Bertrand Donnes

Analyst

That makes a lot of sense. And then shifting to the Marcellus rate, it seems to be holding up pretty well and especially on the liquids cut. Just wondering if the change in gas prices maybe accelerate activity on that front. In the prepared remarks, you mentioned a pad in early '25. Just is that the only activity currently slated for '25? Or is that a good start? Or maybe are you viewing the results in real time and then going to make a decision?

Matthew Rucker

Analyst

Yes, Bert, this is Matt. I'll take that one. We're really excited about the results there. Obviously, we continue to talk about that. We assess the long-term productivity still hanging in there looks great. I think '25 was always part of the plan to come back and continued development there. I think a few things around that are just getting units put together. We have pads in place. So that allows us to kind of get after that a little quickly. Not -- I don't think we'll be accelerating any activity in the '24. We have a pretty good set base plan. But as early in the '25 as we can to take advantage of those economics and the return to pad opportunities that we have there is attractive. And then we continue to kind of work midstream solutions there to help maximize our economics. So all of those things come into play. I think, again, we like it. It's part of our development plan and accelerating that very exciting for us.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Zach Parham with JPMorgan.

Zachary Parham

Analyst

John, you mentioned driving some significant accomplishments on efficiency gains on both drilling and completions in the first quarter, and you were below guidance on CapEx for the quarter. Can you talk about how much of these efficiency gains were built into the full year budget? Just trying to understand if there could be some downside to the CapEx budget if you continue to deliver on these gains.

John Reinhart

Analyst

Yes, that's a great question, Zach. I appreciate you asking. We're really excited about the field team's execution. Throughout '23, we saw substantial improvements in capital efficiency, cycle times -- and as we all know, whenever you're in a SMID Cap company, a smaller company, these changes and the field execution really does move the needle on us. So we did plan in our budget. We basically took our outperformance in 2023 and built that into 2024 with some expectation on some slight improvements. As you can see here for this quarter, quite frankly, the teams are outperforming at least those assessments. What I'll tell you is that we've got quite a few months left in the year to execute in the teens. We certainly expect to continue to operate at this level of efficiency -- but however, we -- before we move any kind of adjusted guidance or guide you to anything lower, we certainly want to get another quarter under our belt to see where we land. So all that said, we certainly outperformed in the first quarter, very happy with that. We've got a lot of work in the second quarter. As you know, 65% of our capital is in the front loaded in the first half of the year and more to come on the results in the second quarter. And if there's any kind of adjustments to be made, we'll communicate that at that time. But I appreciate the question.

Zachary Parham

Analyst

And then my follow-up is on the buyback program. Your free cash flow this year will be back-half weighted just given the first -- the heavier first half capital program and the shape of the gas curve. Will the buyback program also follow this trajectory? Maybe just give us a sense of the expected buyback pace going forward?

Michael Hodges

Analyst

Yes. Zach, this is Michael. Great question. I think for us, we've said in the past that we're not formulaic with our buybacks. So we do intend to return, as I said, substantially all of our free cash flow back to shareholders, excluding acquisitions. And I think if you look at what we did last year, we were successful by the end of the year. I think we had given back approximately 99% of our adjusted free cash flow. So as we move through the year, we'll be conscious of the free cash flow cadence. And in quarters where it's a little bit lighter, you might see us be a little less active. And certainly, when quarters where it's a more fulsome free cash flow, probably lean in a bit more, but it won't be a dollar-for-dollar quarterly type of a return program. So yes, I think to the extent that the second half of the year perhaps has more free cash flow, you might see us be more active, but we're going to be opportunistic. And if there's opportunities to grab value like what we saw in the first quarter, for example, we would certainly take advantage of that. So I think that's our plan, but we're going to keep it a bit flexible as we move through the year.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from the line of Tim Rezvan with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Timothy Rezvan

Analyst

I wanted to follow up a little bit on the midstream opportunities you have for the Ohio Marcellus. I was wondering if you could give an update on kind of where discussions stand now that you have 4 months of production data from this pad. And maybe how we should think about the pace of development? You talked about 50 to 60 locations. Maybe how many pads you might look to drill in 2025? And just sort of how the midstream and activity will kind of mesh as you go forward?

Michael Hodges

Analyst

Yes. Tim, this is Michael. I'll take the first part of that question, and then John or Matt can jump in on kind of development piece. But on the midstream side, certainly, we're involved with a number of counterparties in the area that have available capacity for both gathering and processing in this area. So we feel like we're in an advantaged position there. There's capacity that was left over from times where more gas in the region was flowing. And so we're looking for the best economics, of course, and also need to be able to assess on this first 2-well pads, the volumes and the decline so that we can make the appropriate decisions around how much capacity we need going forward with the midstream counterparty. So we're progressing those discussions. We certainly feel like there's an opportunity there to put Gulfport in a great position going forward. Anytime you've got multiple folks looking for additional gas but nothing to announce at this point and certainly factoring that into our development timing. I'll take it over to John or Matt to talk about where we go from here.

John Reinhart

Analyst

Yes, Tim, again, I appreciate the question. I think as the company sits here and looks at our portfolio, we're very pleased to have a lot of different toggles to push on the liquid side. You've got the Utica condensate that we're focused on this year. You've got the SCOOP condensate and NGLs were focused on. Now you have the Marcellus. So in addition to some really high-quality dry gas acreage. So in the public deck too, we -- if you look at the returns on all those across the fair way, they're within 10% to 15% of each other, depending on the commodity environment. So that's a really good place to have a lot of high-quality acreage that kind of warrants capital. So given that kind of landscape and looking forward, what I would expect is a cadence of about 1 pad to 1.5 pad Marcellus a year. as we develop it. And then certainly, we're going to be mindful of commodity prices change and liquids prices kind of outpace gas and that will move the needle. And consequently, if gas takes a run, you might see us lean down a little bit like a 1 pad year. But having another high-quality liquids-rich play with 2-plus years of inventory within the portfolio to toggle activity on, it's a really good thing. So we're pretty pleased with where we sit. So that's kind of the cadence and the pace and that's how we would look at it, Tim.

Timothy Rezvan

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. I appreciate the color. And then as my follow-up, when you talked about the activity deferrals you're doing this year, one on the drilling, one on the completion side, I noticed they're both in the SCOOP. Is that just coincidental based on your ability to sort of toggle the schedule or how do we think about the deferrals there? Is that sort of intentional returns base versus the Utica? Or again, just coincidental?

John Reinhart

Analyst

Yes. No, I appreciate the question. Actually, it's really more of a logistical and an economic function. I mean if you look at it, whenever we looked at capital spend this year and we looked at any kind of DUCs that we plan that we're carrying, that's going to rank up there on something to assess given the commodity environment that we're in, in the first half of the year. So really, the uncompleted lack of production for '24 on the DUCs really played into the drilling deferment. And quite frankly, just the spot crew and the availability to shift schedules around versus the continuous crude that we have running in the Utica really played into our economic decisions to be able to shift that 1.5 months and realize some value there. So it's really about logistics and quite frankly, just economics and value uplift.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Jacob Roberts with Tudor Pickering Holt.

Jacob Roberts

Analyst

Circling back to the Marcellus, and we understand it's early days and you had mentioned some learnings from offset operators. We were wondering if there is any need or desire to organically delineate the asset? And if so, any potential upside you see to that location count?

John Reinhart

Analyst

Yes. No, I appreciate the question. I think part of our initial -- you can call it somewhat of a delineation is when we drilled this first 2-well Hendershot pad, we drilled to the Northwest and into the Southeast. And I wouldn't qualify it as a delineation for, is it going to be economic or how prolific is it for us, we knew just right across the river, there were really good Marcellus wells, the developments there. We're really proximate to our locations in our acreage footprint right across the river. So for us, it was more about identifying kind of liquids yields, NGL yields, what's condensate look like. And all that information is really there to help us kind of start looking at the midstream solutions and looking at the productivity. So as we look forward, there are certainly going to be further testing, optimizing spacing, stimulation aggressiveness. So there's going to be certainly some play within how we complete and drill and space those wells in development. But by and large, there's a lot of wells right across the river. So there's a lot of data that we already kind of know and the initial development layout will be more tweaking versus what I would consider more delineation. So we feel really good about the data we have. The well results are great as expected. And we're certainly going to be keyed in though on future development to maximize wherever we can on any of those parameters, the value for the company.

Jacob Roberts

Analyst

As a second question on the activity deferrals. Is there any impact to what we should be thinking about in terms of liquids percentage mix, whether on a quarterly basis or an annual basis? And maybe reading too much into this, is there any inference that can be drawn in terms of regionally the product mix you're expecting out of those wells?

Michael Hodges

Analyst

Yes. Jake, this is Michael. I think to John's comments earlier, the deferral on the completion side was really only about 45 days. So in terms of the impact to the production, as we noted in the script, it was negligible and any impact to the liquids versus gas mix would be negligible as well. As we exit this year, we're going to start to trend a little bit more liquids rich. But again, as we've said in the past, we're still going to be largely a gas company. And as we move into 2025, I think you'll see more of that liquids component show up in our production mix. So I would guide you all towards a similar liquids mix throughout 2024, maybe some changes late in the year. And in terms of any changes to the kind of the overall NGL barrel or just overall liquids mix, I would tell you again that it's not going to be meaningful.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we've reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I'll turn the call back to John Reinhart for closing remarks.

John Reinhart

Analyst

Thank you to everyone for taking the time today to join our call. The team continues to improve business fundamentals, which further provides and positions Gulfport Energy as an attractive investment with optionality tactically and strategically for continuing value enhancement. Should you have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out to our Investor Relations team. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.