Earnings Labs

Gogo Inc. (GOGO)

Q1 2014 Earnings Call· Mon, May 12, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Gogo Inc., first quarter 2014 earnings conference call. At this time all participants are in listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. And I’ll introduce your host for today’s conference, Varvara Alva, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Varvara Alva

Management

Thank you, Ashley. Good morning everyone and welcome to Gogo’s first quarter 2014 earnings conference call. Joining me today to talk about our results are Michael Small, President and CEO and Norm Smagley, Executive Vice President and CFO. Before we get started, I would like to take this opportunity to remind you that during the course of this call we may make forward-looking statements regarding future events and future financial performance of the company. We caution you to consider the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements on this conference call. These risk factors are described in our press release and our more fully detailed under the caption Risk Factors in our 10-K, which we filed with the SEC on March 14, 2014. In addition, please note that the date of this conference call is Mary 12, 2014. Any forward-looking statements that we may make today are based on assumptions as of this date. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. During this call, we’ll present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in today’s earnings press release. This call is being broadcast on the Internet and is available on the Investor Relations section of Gogo’s website at www.ir.gogoair.com and the earnings release is also available on our website. After management’s remarks, we will host the Q&A session. And now, I’d like to turn the call over to Michael.

Michael Small

Management

Thanks Varvara. Welcome the Gogo’s first quarter earnings call. Q1 was a great quarter. Throughout the quarter we were focused on three main goals: First, sing new Aircraft; second, create more and lower cost bandwidth; and third, continue to hit our numbers. Here’s how we stacked up against those goals. In terms of new aircraft, in April we announced a deal with Air Canada for 130 aircrafts. This increases our already significant lead in North America. In terms of increasing bandwidth and lowering its cost, we unveiled 2Ku and continued to rapidly rollout ATG in North America. Our third and final goal was to continue to hit our numbers. I’m happy to announce that we reported continued strong financial results and saw both CA North America and BA segments demonstrate significant operating leverages year-over-year. In addition to hitting these goals, we also announced the major milestone announcements for our business. We launched connectivity service on Delta’s international fleet and received additional certifications from the FAA to install our satellite equipment. And in April, we announced our technical service agreement with Boeing. This agreement enables us to pursue lines and installation of our ATG-4 and satellite solutions. I’d like to now provide a little more color on each of our achievements starting with the financials. We reported record quarterly revenue of $95.7 million and adjusted-EBITDA of $5.3 million. We accomplished this despite the nearly $17 million investment we made in our international expansion for the quarter. Both CA North American and BA delivered record revenue and profitability, demonstrating strong operating leverage. CA North American had $57.1 million in revenue, up 32% from the prior year. Average annual revenue per aircraft or ARPA was over $110,000 per aircraft annualized up 20% from the same period last year and the segment profit increased…

Norm Smagley

Operator

Thanks Michael. Good morning everyone and thanks for joining us. As Michael mentioned, we had a great quarter. We saw significant strength in the operating performance of both our CA North America and Business Aviation segments and we’re very pleased with the growth trends in these businesses. We achieved record revenue of $95.7 million for the quarter, up 35% versus the first quarter of last year. Our service revenue of $72.3 million was up 32% and our equipment revenue of $23.4 million was up 48% versus last year. Our adjusted EBITDA of $5.3 million was up 87% versus the first quarter of last year despite a $10.7 million increase in our CA Rest of the World segment loss to $16.9 million in this quarter. Now lets talk about our operating segments starting with CA North America. Revenue of $57.1 million was up 32% versus last year, driven by a 31% increase in connectivity revenue. We ended the quarter with 2,056 aircrafts online, up 9% in the same period last year. Our average monthly service revenue per aircraft or ARPA reached nearly $9,200 a month, up 20% from last year. This indicates an annual revenue of just over $170,000. ARPA growth was driven primarily by an 11% increase in take rate to 6.9% and an increase in average revenue per session of $0.25 to $10.55. For the quarter CA North America cost of service declined to 48% in service revenue. This represents an improvement of over three percentage points versus last year, driven by the inherent scalability of our infrastructure. In addition, other operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortization as a percent of revenue declined 10 percentage points, primarily driven by G&A and engineering design and development. G&A increased marginally in absolute terms year-over-year driven by headcount increases to support business…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Philip Cusick of J.P. Morgan. Your line is open.

Philip Cusick - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

Hey, it’s Phil Cusick from J.P. Morgan. So I guess we’ll start with the big topic that people are focused on. There’s been a lot of talk about competition lately. Can you talk about the competitive environment for RFPs internationally and can you also address your view of AT&T’s announcement a couple of weeks ago. What are the risks to your business for that? Thank you.

Michael Small

Management

Okay thanks, good morning. I’ll address the second half. First, the AT&T-ish and I think the simple answer is our next generation solutions; both GTO and 2Ku will be faster and will be flying sooner than AT&T’s proposed solutions. We keep seeing competitors talking about what they will do tomorrow and comparing it to what we did yesterday and that’s an erroneous comparison. Gogo repeatedly keeps winning to-date versus today’s comparisons and that’s why we have our 8,000 plus aircrafts between BA and CA and the bottom line is we are the company with the shiny new products and we intend to keep it that way. I’d also say the more nuance issue is that because we have the most aircrafts, we are able to and do invest the most, not only in new technology, but in making what we have run better and I would say that the market is often – it doesn’t see our prowess and running airborne networks, because yes, our networks are congested today, but I would say what telecommunications network hasn’t been congested in the early explosive pro-stage of the industry, where they ask AT&T about their Manhattan experience after the introduction of the iPhone and its literally littered with the – the history of the industry is littered with similar examples. So what really matters is getting the best network solutions to the market faster and at lower costs than the competition and then running them better and that’s been the basis for our success so far and I believe that’s why we’re going to continue to win, regardless of who tries to enter the market. There is no doubt that people see the attraction of connecting aircrafts. I don’t think there’s a – I get drawn to a person who disagrees with that vision of the future that all aircrafts will be connected. We are seeing competition, but we are winning our share. We’ve been announcing a major new airline every quarter with a significant sized fleet. We keep doing that and Gogo is going to be in very good shape.

Philip Cusick - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

And speaking of that, can you talk about the competitive environment for RFPs internationally? Do you still feel good about announcing a couple of more airline deals this year?

Michael Small

Management

Yes, we’re highly confident we’ll announce additional meaningful new contracts this year.

Philip Cusick - J.P. Morgan

Analyst

Thanks Michael.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from John Hodulik of UBS. Your line is opened.

John Hodulik - UBS

Analyst

Okay, thanks guys. Just some more information on the whole Boeing line-fit process. I mean, how big is this for the company and how long would it take to get line-fit and maybe are there any other milestones we should look for. Thanks.

Michael Small

Management

So line-fit in the long run is critical. In the short run its more a nice to have and an average aircraft lasts 30 to 40 years. So if you want to make a rapid entry into our business, you have to retrofit the installed base. There’s just not enough annual new deliveries. Flip it around, in the long run every new aircraft was new at it some point in time. So when you enter an avionic space business, initially your business is retrofit and over time it becomes line-fit. It is this long and involved process, because it’s a complex process to engineer an aircraft and to conform with all the requirements. We are well down that path with Boeing. We’ve gotten all the paperwork out of the way. It’s now down to the engineering. You will start seeing that being relevant in the near term for our ATG, our ability to line-fit, that’s going to happen quicker, but satellite will be a year plus out, and again as I said, its important to us to solve that problem for the long run, but its not the immediate issue as far as getting aircrafts installed.

John Hodulik - UBS

Analyst

Okay. All right, thanks Michael.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from James Breen of William Blair. Your line is open. James Breen – William Blair: Thanks for taking my questions. Can you just talk about the margin side? It seems like you had pretty good leverage on the cost side this quarter. EBITDA margins were up quite a bit. How do you expect that to trend at both the EBITDA and gross margin line? Thanks.

Norm Smagley

Operator

So the rest of this year you will see variability in that segment profit margin, both in CA North America in particular, a lot of it is based on the timing of getting STCs and hitting other development milestones. But we won’t see an overall improvement in operating leverage this year versus last year, but quarter-to-quarter there will be variability. James Breen – William Blair: Great. What are some of the factors in terms of how that is variable on a quarterly basis, the installs in the planes equipment revenue?

Norm Smagley

Operator

No, it’s not really that. It’s more a factor on the spending side. For STCs for example we recognize the expenses as certain development milestones are hit. Also on other technologies, antenna development or what have you, software development, we don’t recognize the expenses when milestones are hit. The timing of those milestones are not consistent quarter-to-quarter. Those are the kind of things that drive the variability primarily. James Breen – William Blair: Okay, and then just on the satellite side, as your launching some of these services in the back half of this year, can you talk about the costs that you have in place now in terms of transponder space and is that going to have to increase over the next couple of years as you launch more planes with your new solutions.

Norm Smagley

Operator

Yes, this year or next year we don’t really see any significant increases. Potentially in ’16 we may have to take on some more, but it would be incremental. It would be marginal and incremental; it wouldn’t be significant increases.

Michael Small

Management

Yes. So just to add some color, we have a Global Ku network in place at the end of the first quarter. As we just described there were five planes flying on that. So we obviously have a tremendous opportunity to leverage what’s happening. Very little additional coverage is required and over time as the number of aircraft increase in some locations, we will have to add additional capacity, but we basically have paid for the fixed cost of the coverage and going forward it will be driven by capacity, but we have a tremendous amount of unutilized capacity now. So a high percentage of the revenue growth will drop to the bottom line as we start to see the ramp internationally. James Breen – William Blair: And then just lastly on the CapEx, the number was up quite a bit for the fourth quarter. How do you see that moving throughout the year?

Norm Smagley

Operator

Again, that’s timing. Right now we’re building inventory to the Delta (inaudible) and so when we purchase the equipment it counts as CapEx. If you look at net cash CapEx later on, when we get to the reimbursement front as it’s installed, you’ll see the offset. James Breen – William Blair: Great, thank you.

Michael Small

Management

So we kept the guidance on CapEx.

Norm Smagley

Operator

Yes. James Breen – William Blair: Great, thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Simon Flannery of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Unidentified Participant

Analyst

Good morning. This is (inaudible) for Simon, thanks for taking the question. I just wanted to get an update on where you are with AeroMexico and Air Canada in terms of finalizing those contracts and also wondering about the international take rates now that you have five aircrafts in the air. And lastly, just an update on GTO timing and any conversations you’re having with airlines around that. Thank you.

Michael Small

Management

So we continue to make good progress on negotiating final definitive agreements with both Mexico and Air Canada. I think they are moving along faster than typical. So it’s a process, but we are also actively working on the implementation plan, the installation plan, on parallel with it. Its very similar to the process we’ve done with the other airlines, except probably on a somewhat more expedited basis and it has been typical. The side planes, way too early to disclose results. I’m not even sure that we will be in a position to give you a lot of data even at the end of the next quarter, but during the course of the year we will continue to get more and more data and begin to provide it. And then finally the last, GTO remains on schedule. As I mentioned in the prepared remarks, they push out one way trial with Virgin America, because basically they are seeing the tremendous performance of the ATG-4, the complaints including on flights with more than 50 users have all but dried from their perspective and so before they added something more to their aircraft you take a little more time, but I am highly confident we have GTO flying on a plane this year. The development of that is on track in the performance we’re seeing in the lab and on the ground and by the way, if those work in the lab and on the grounds, it is very good.

Unidentified Participant

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from J Schildkraut of Evercore. Your line is open.

J Schildkraut - Evercore

Analyst

Great, good morning. A couple of questions here. First you know, if you could talk to us a little bit about what’s going on with Spectrum for air-to-ground. We understand that you’re using three megahertz a spectrum to deliver an EVDO product. You have one megahertz spectrum that sort of is waiting to potentially be imployed. What’s your perspective on that? And then maybe give us a broader view on ETG spectrum in general. I know that you guys have the ability to offer LTE, but your constrained by the fact that you don’t have the spectrum in which to deliver LTE and the government has looked at 14 gig as potentially off shouting some of that for air-to-ground’s usage. How do you feel about that auction versus say the government reallocating other spectrum for usage for air-to-ground and then I’ll follow up with a different question? Thanks.

Michael Small

Management

So yes, spectrum is valuable and our three-megahertz is what revolutionized connectivity in North America’s aircraft and everybody would like more. I would say that the value of spectrum on the grounds is higher than in the air, just due to the – that there’s 300 million people that use cell phones on the grounds and there’s maybe 20,000 aircrafts between BA and CA in the U.S. So you’re unlikely to see spectrum taken away from the grounds for the air. There’s right now we have the only spectrum that is clearly authorized for air-to-ground. I do suspect people are going to search hard as we have been, for ways to bring additional spectrums there. I would also comment that as far as spectral efficiency, our EVDO Rev V is as good as LTE, to be able to offer broader channels. We’re right now using 1.5 megahertz of the guard bands channels in each direction. If you can make those five or 10, you can increase the speed to the aircraft. I do not see a terrestrial solution that is going to match our speeds of GTO or 2Ku at 70 mbps growing to 100. I also know that the satellite clearly work over water to expand the coverage and will be better for a TV solution. The air-to-grounds is often better for the smaller aircraft and never fly over water and lower cost lower drag. So there will be a trade off. I do not see an air-to-ground solution really beating our 10 megabits per second, our ATG floor by a whole lot.

J Schildkraut - Evercore

Analyst

Great. Thanks Michael. If I can also ask a question about customer satisfaction, sort of measuring that and maybe there are kind of different levels of measuring customer satisfaction. You talked about with Virgin, the planes at ATG-4 sort of seeing complaints drop to zero, but you know customer SAT, it occurs and lives at the end user level, the guy or lady who jumps on the plane, but it also occurs at the carrier level, the airline level and maybe if you can give us some color and I don’t know how you think about it or how you measure that or if there’s a net promoter score. But I think some insight into the relationships you have with the end user customers and with the carrier customers might be helpful as we think about the competitive landscape.

Michael Small

Management

We do measure both, the customer satisfaction, as well as airline partner satisfaction and they don’t always necessarily go unparallel. So you got first the passenger. There is a couple of different ways to look at it. Some people for business purposes say, I just now reclaimed several hours of my travel experience to actually get some work done. This is best thing that’s ever happened to me. Its worth any price they could pay for and I just wanted to start on that to even be particularly fast as long as the emails go through. They absolutely love our service and buffet, anything for it. And there is the consumer who is getting increasingly video intensive and kind of expects WiFi to be free and they are not there yet on our service. So you have bi-model distribution there. Try to be very clear about what it does and doesn’t do on the planes and so ATG-4 really solved the problem for the hardcore business travelers, because now with reliable no matter how many people are on the plane, that’s what they want it to do and we’ve seen that loud and clear in our field. The airlines also in addition to wanting their passengers to be happy, they want it to work everyday, every flight and they measure the planes taking off working with them. We’re getting to extraordinary levels of reliability and a few number of dropped calls. When you really think about it, it is a cellular link to a plane. We’re actually outperforming by experience on the ground. We have a more reliable system in the air to maintain that link and we are getting better everyday at doing that. We fly over 7,500 flights every single day. We measure against that reasonably sizable universe. I don’t even think any of our competitors have the ability to begin to measure it. They don’t have planes flying, enough flights to-date to really get their arms around it. Across that measure Gogo does exceptionally well; the ability to make its network work everyday on every flight.

J Schildkraut - Evercore

Analyst

That’s great. And if I could sneak one more question in here, could we get the updated statistics around Gogo Vision, planes installed or up and operating. And then if there’s any early color in terms of what your seeing from a demand or an economics perspective, that would be helpful. Thank you very much.

Michael Small

Management

Sure. Quickly on Gogo Vision, there’s now a lot of planes that are equipped. It’s about – we said, well north of 1,000. It’s about 1,400 planes equipped right now. We are working across both IOS and android. We’re working across a wide range of device types. It still is not a significant revenue stream for us, because we invested a lot to make sure it works everyday on every plane across a wide variety of devices and operating systems and browsers. I think you will see that becoming an increased revenue stream even later this year and certainly next year, but say it has been relatively modest.

J Schildkraut - Evercore

Analyst

Thank you for taking the questions.

Michael Small

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Carter Mansbach of Jupiter Wealth Strategies. Your line is open.

Carter Mansbach - Jupiter Wealth Strategies

Analyst

Good morning gentlemen. Congratulations on a great quarter.

Michael Small

Management

Hi Carter.

Carter Mansbach - Jupiter Wealth Strategies

Analyst

Good morning. I have two questions for you. First of all, in the way of marketing on commercial airlines, when I go to websites and look at all the different airlines, the only one that has in-flight on the front page is Virgin and I’m wondering if you have any kind of communication, sort of as a marketing campaign by the airlines to put out more information when the investor or the person going on the plane actually looks at it and perhaps as texting rolls out, there will be more out to do things. Now the second thing is, I don’t believe it, this AT&T point, but I’m not sure the shareholders are aware that Michael in your past life you were CEO of Centennial Communications, which was taken over by AT&T at a 200% profit and having some communication with them in the past, I’m curious to know two things. One is, why they would announce something when they are not coming out with it for 18 months and the second thing, if you could talk a little further to us understanding the barrier of entry for a company being FAASCC and the like. Thank you.

Michael Small

Management

So we’ll do the second one first. It is a long process to get into the business. There will have to be some FCC approvals to make sure. I mean, we don’t have a specific shift, but it is not obvious that the spectrum is clean and ready to go, so we’ll have to find that out. There’s also a lot of intellectual property in the industry around building air ground systems that will have to navigate. They will have to get all the equipment certified by the FAA and then specific installations for that equipment on specific aircraft approved. You got to build the nationwide network, the nationwide network that they have for the ground will not be very useful for the air. Some specific examples are, you need to be able to see over 100 miles in every direction on a cell site. So its almost got to be on a mountain top, which is usually not where you put them for the ground network. If it’s going to be a high-speed network, it will need fiber to all the cell sites, we have fiber eventually on our cell sites and I guarantee that all cell site don’t have fiber to them. They are generally 2G cell sites on the ground. So there’s a lot of work to get all the way there. What they have on the ground will not be highly useful for the aero market. There is a lot of specialized knowledge to get into this business. So that’s probably why – I mean you almost have to announce it well in advance, because it takes a long time. In my view everything would have to be perfect to hit the – as soon as the end of next year. Its not impossible, but it’s…

Carter Mansbach - Jupiter Wealth Strategies

Analyst

So lastly, you guys expect to be rolling out texting second half of the year still?

Michael Small

Management

Correct, it’s actually in beta commercial now. We tool a subset of our monthly subscribers and tried it with them and as Norm described, it’s performing very well in business aviation.

Carter Mansbach - Jupiter Wealth Strategies

Analyst

Well, again thanks for your time and congratulations on a great quarter.

Norm Smagley

Operator

Carter, well I had two points. In terms of the marketing and the airlines reaching out to the passengers, one thing to realize is the airlines are beginning to immigrate purchase of WiFi and the purchase path when you have on the website to buy a ticket. So if you go on Delta right now, if you buy a ticket before you consummate the transaction, you’ll be asked if you want to buy a WiFi session for that flight. American is also working on that. I’m not sure that’s launches yet, but they are also in line to do the same thing. And secondly, though they may not have it on the front page of their website, many of their advertising campaigns are focused on their WiFi as airlines use that one against each other for competitive positioning. So they are using it and relying on it in a variety of ways.

Michael Small

Management

All right, next question please.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I’m not showing any further questions in queue. I’d like to turn the call back over to Michael Small for any further remarks.

Michael Small

Management

All right, thank you very much. It was a tremendous quarter for Gogo. We’re building a great business and we’re impressed with the revenue growth and also thrilled that our capacity solutions keep getting better. The ATG-4 feedback is very positive and adding Air Canada to our growing list of international airlines, we’re very pleased to do that. So thank you, and we look forward to talking to you post this call.

Operator

Operator

Thank you ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for participating in today’s conference. This concludes today’s program. You may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.