Earnings Labs

General Mills, Inc. (GIS)

Q3 2012 Earnings Call· Wed, Mar 21, 2012

$34.67

-0.13%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+0.08%

1 Week

+1.48%

1 Month

+0.08%

vs S&P

+2.52%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the General Mills Fiscal 2012 Third Quarter Earnings Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, Wednesday, March 21, 2012. I would now like to turn the conference over to Kris Wenker, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Kristen Smith Wenker

Analyst

Thanks, operator. Good morning, everybody. I'm here with Don Mulligan, our CFO; John Machuzick, Senior Vice President and Head of our Bakeries and Foodservice business; and Ken Powell, our Chairman and CEO. I'll turn the call over to them in just a minute. First, I'm going to cover my usual housekeeping item. Our press release on third quarter results was issued over the wire services earlier this morning. It's also posted on our website if you still need a copy. We've got slides out on the website, too, that supplement today's prepared remarks. And these remarks will include forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions. The second slide in today's presentation lists factors that could cause our future results to be different than our current estimates. And with all of that, I'll turn you over to my colleagues, beginning with Don.

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Thanks, Kris, and hello, everyone. Thanks for joining us this morning. As you see from our press release, third quarter performance was consistent with the guidelines we provided on February 17. We delivered sales growth in each of our 3 operating segments with strong net price realization across our base business and good contributions from the international Yoplait business acquired last July. The quarter also includes strong contributions from new products and an 8% increase in advertising investment. Earnings were generally in line with year-ago levels due to this year's significant input cost pressure. Slide 5 summarizes our results for the quarter. Sales totaled $4.1 billion, up 13%. Segment operating profit increased 1%. Net earnings attributable to General Mills totaled $392 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.58 as reported. These results include changes in the mark-to-market valuation of certain commodity positions as well as integration expenses from the international Yoplait acquisition. Excluding these items, adjusted diluted earnings per share totaled $0.55 for the quarter, $0.01 below year-ago results. Slide 6 shows the components of our net sales growth. On an as-reported basis, including Yoplait International, net sales increased 13%. Pound volume contributed 10 percentage points of growth in the quarter, and net price realization and mix added 3 points of sales growth. Foreign exchange did not have a material effect on sales growth rate this quarter. Excluding the Yoplait acquisition, net sales grew 5% and expected pound volume was lower in the quarter, down 3 percentage points. Price and mix contributed 8 points of sales growth. As I mentioned a moment ago, all 3 of our business segments contributed to this quarter's sales increase. U.S. Retail net sales grew 4%. International sales were up 51%, led by international Yoplait acquisition. But excluding Yoplait, International sales still increased at…

John T. Machuzick

Analyst

Thanks, Don, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be here to review our Bakery and Foodservice businesses. There are 3 key points I'd like to make this morning. First, while there are some bright spots in the U.S. foodservice industry, the overall environment remains challenging as we continue to deal with a cautious consumer. Second, we've been outperforming the industry in recent years, and we're building stronger share positions for our brands. And third, we're driving this good performance by focusing on the channels that show the most promising growth and by innovating on many of our branded product lines. Let me say a bit more on each of these points. I'll start with the foodservice industry environment. I know some of you are wondering about a potential rebound in the restaurant industry given good calendar year-end results posted by a few of the major quick-service restaurants chains. The commercial restaurant channel has posted modest sales growth over the past several months, but traffic growth is still quite low. And remember, these growth levels are off of historic lows. The fact remains that consumers are still cautious given a slow economy and rising gas prices, so the foodservice industry is still facing some headwinds. Technomics projects that the foodservice industry will post nominal growth of a little less than 3% in calendar 2012. This would be a slight improvement over last year. The majority of this growth is expected to be price-driven. As you can see on Slide 21, real growth, which strips away the impact of price inflation, is expected to be essentially flat in 2012. However, there are channels that are expected to post growth, including quick-serve restaurants, schools, lodging, hospitals and convenience stores. It's these channels where we've been focusing our efforts. As we discussed at…

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Thanks, John, and good morning, everybody. You just heard about the very good results that John Machuzick and his team are posting in our Bakeries and Foodservice segment. I'm going to review performance in our other 2 business segments beginning with International. As Chris O'Leary told you on the second quarter earnings call, our International segment is performing quite well this year. Slide 34 shows constant-currency sales growth rates for the latest quarter. In total, International net sales were up 53%. Sales in Canada grew 37%, led by cereal, Old El Paso Mexican products and the addition of Liberté yogurt. In Latin America, sales were up 12%. Net sales more than doubled in Europe, reflecting the addition of Yoplait yogurt and high single-digit sales growth on our base business. And in the Asia Pacific region, sales grew 15% with good contributions from China and Australia. We're performing well in many of our established markets. Despite continued economic challenges in Western Europe, we're posting good growth across our base business. For example, in the U.K., sales in constant currency are up 7% year-to-date with particularly strong growth on Nature Valley Granola Bars. In France, constant-currency sales are up 16% so far this year on the strength of Häagen-Dazs Secret Sensations and increased in-store marketing on Old El Paso dinner kits. In addition, Yoplait yogurt continues to perform well in both these markets. In the U.K., retail sales for Yoplait are up 2% year-to-date, with modest share gains. And in France, Yoplait sales are growing at an 11% pace, adding 1 point of share so far this year. We're doing well in emerging markets, too. On a constant-currency basis, our sales in China are up 19% so far this year, led by Häagen-Dazs and Wanchai Ferry. In India, our business is much…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ed Aaron, RBC Capital Markets.

Edward Aaron - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

So your earnings release is really, I guess, the first meaningful data point that we've seen since CAGNY and I just wanted to get your sense on current trends and whether you're seeing anything in the marketplace that would kind of validate your view that the volumes are going to moderate as you cycle over some of the lower levels of merchandising activity?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

I would say we've seen -- we saw a little bit of improvement in February. And generally, our belief is that, Ed, as we, in the months ahead, lap all the pricing that we took and our merchandising levels moderate, as those 2 things happen, we believe as well that consumer demand will stabilize and will moderate. And that, coupled with our ongoing investments in innovation and brand building, will get us back on a trend line that's more to our liking.

Edward Aaron - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

And then just a quick follow-up, the U.S. sales -- the U.S. Retail numbers outperformed the measured channel data by a pretty meaningful margin in the quarter. Was that entirely because of your non-measured channel performance or were they maybe some unique dynamics with respect to timing of shipments and inventory changes?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

It was -- Ed, it was primarily due to very good gains in non-measured channels. I will tell you also though that as we commented, we shipped a number of very good new products in the third quarter. We commented on a couple of the cereals and some of the yogurts, the Nature Valley Protein Bar, so we a good slug of new products and as retailers built inventory on those items, those helped those sales gains.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from that line of Matthew Grainger, Morgan Stanley.

Matthew C. Grainger - Morgan Stanley, Research Division

Analyst

So I understand that inflationary headwinds you're facing are still quite high, but I was still a bit surprised by the degree of gross margin contraction year-over-year in the quarter. Is there any additional color you can give on mix dynamics across the portfolio that may have exacerbated that? And just to follow up on CAGNY, I think there you said you expected inflation to -- you expected input costs to be inflationary, but below the levels we saw in fiscal '12 during fiscal '13. Is there any additional detail you can give there or any change in your internal expectation since that time?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Matt, this is Don. On the latter question, I'll just reaffirm what we said at CAGNY, we expect to be lower. We obviously saw extremely high inflation. We are seeing extremely high inflation this year, so we would expect it to moderate. We'll obviously have a clearer picture for you when we give you our F '13 guidance more fully this summer. As far as Q3, there are a couple of dynamics at play. As you can imagine, the volume, as we said, came in a little lighter than we expected in U.S. RO that had 2 impacts on us. One is a bit of deleveraging in the plans, but also from a mix standpoint, U.S. are always -- are from a segment standpoint, is our highest-margin business, so that ends up being a bit of a negative mix to us as well. And then lastly, we -- as I noted in our working capital, we continue to work down our inventories and that had an impact on our gross margins; a planned impact, but one that externally may not be fully modeled, of probably about 30 basis points in the quarter. So I think those 3 factors were the ones that would have probably varied from what may have been externally modeled for our gross margin.

Matthew C. Grainger - Morgan Stanley, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And do you anticipate continuing to work down inventories any further from where we stand today or are we pretty much at what you would consider at the appropriate level?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Yes, we're at the levels that we targeted, so as we look at Q4, one of the reasons that we are confident that we'll see less contraction in Q4, one of 3 or 4 reasons is the fact that we'll have less inventory reduction, hence, less of that negative absorption in our gross margin.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ken Goldman of JPMorgan. Kenneth Goldman - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: On the Greek yogurt side, I realize -- I appreciate you previously had some supply issues, but I'm a little surprised to see by this point that your ACV, at least in measured channels, is still down year-on-year by a healthy amount. So I'm wondering, Ken, if you can comment on why your distribution isn't better by this point, especially given your strong relationships with retailers? And I'm hoping you can shed some light on any progression you made with Greek this quarter. And I guess my main question is how close are we to the point at which you say, you know what, maybe what we're doing with Greek isn't working. We've invested in capacity. Maybe we should think about perhaps changing course and doing something a little bit different in terms of strategy.

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Yes, Ken, thank you for the question. So our Yoplait Greek product is -- sales in the latest quarter are up nearly up 50%. Our distribution for that product, I believe, is flat across all channels and so I don't want to comment now on your data point. Maybe we can come back to you on that, but we're expanding turns on that product. We're expanding capacity. We've begun to advertise it. We're adding new items, as I said. We've got -- we've added a parfait product now. We're adding more varieties of the 4-ounce 4-pack to that line, and that particular product is doing very, very well. So that product continues to grow and we're going to continue to support it because it's working for us. Having said that, as I've said before, there are more -- many more ways, we believe, to innovate in the Greek yogurt segment. And I will very much look forward to sharing those innovation and new product details with you when we get together in June, but there's quite a bit more innovation that will be coming from us on that front.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Robert Moskow, Credit Suisse. Robert Moskow - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Ken, I published a note yesterday, just kind of analyzing headcount trends at food companies and General Mills has been growing very steadily over the last few years, about 6% a year. Most of your peers are cutting back in recognition of tougher economic times, and as you say, tougher category sales environment. And I'm just wondering, investing in the company is always a good thing and you have plenty of areas for reinvestment. But at what point do you have to take a look at your corporate structure or other elements of your cost structure and say, maybe it's time to slow down in light of where the consumer is?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Rob, I did read that note and thank you for the question. As the folks who have been so focused on HMM and CI and all those kind of disciplines for 5 or 6 years, I think the first thing I want to assure you is that, you said is it time to take a look at these costs. I will tell you we are constantly looking at all of these costs, and Don will comment here in just a minute. But we're very focused on admin expense, particularly in the U.S. That has grown and we'll talk about the detail that you need to understand on that, but sort of on a like-for-like basis, that has grown at less than the rate of sales the last 3 or 4 years, and the last 2 years it's been flat. So we're very, very diligent on all of that stuff for just the reasons that you highlighted. I think you also commented on R&D spending, which has varied for us over the last 5 or 6 years between kind of low and mid-single-digit rates of increase. I will tell you that, that is a wonderfully high-returning investment in all ways. We get great new product innovation out of that investment. We get very creative HMM ideas, so that's a very high-returning spend for General Mills and we're very committed to sustaining growth in that area. I think the third area is the advertising area, and here, over the last 4 or 5 years, we've grown at a rate higher than our rate of sales growth. And we did that because it was clear that we really were behind our peer competitive set and we just wanted to get that spending level up to the right range. As we've said a few times now, we believe we're pretty much in that zone now and as we go forward, we would expect our rate of increase in ad spending to moderate and really to be more in line with -- much more in line with our rate of sales growth. So that's a few comments. I think, Don, you might want to jump with some more texture?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Yes. And Rob, first off, I thought your piece was very good yesterday. We all read it with interest and I particularly appreciate when you looked at our SG&A, you commented that we're investing in the right things and I think that's very true. And I think Ken hit on some of those with R&D and our advertising. Let me focus on our admin expenses, so the SG&A less those 2 items. To Ken's point, if you look over the last 3 years and you strip out the marked increase we've had in our pension expense because of the drop in interest rates, our underlying admin expense has been essentially flat over those 3 years. It's been a focus of ours to ensure that we are thinking about where we're putting our investment and we've taken a lot of internal actions, HMM-variety actions, against admin just as we have done in our plans for a number of years. So I'd assure you that is getting a focus. In terms of headcount itself, it has increased. It's increased because we've been building our International business. Our U.S. headcount actually over the last 3 years is essentially flat. And that includes some investments we've made in headcount in John's area, for example, to build an internal sales force where we've added over 300 people to move from a broker to an internal sales force that not only do we think is more effective, as John outlined for us this morning, but we also know is cost beneficial to us versus the broker network that we had previously. So rest assured that it is getting a focus and the results are coming through over the last couple of years. Robert Moskow - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: And I really appreciate all the detail. And I guess what you could say is, look, if the consumer does come back to you and gets used to these higher promoted price points, your -- all these investments could put you in a better spot compared to your competition because you have been putting more into it. Does that…

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

I think that's a very fair. I mean our belief is that we've -- I mean, clearly it's been a tough year. We've had very, very high inflation across the industry, which led to unusually high levels of price increases, which led to volume elasticities and declines that we've seen. And so it's been challenging. But this is the highest inflation that I've seen in my career at General Mills and our strong belief going forward is that it will moderate, clearly moderate from that. And as we see inflation come down, there's much less pricing come through. We have stability in -- more or less stability in consumer prices, stability in the promotional environment. And we strongly believe, then, that volume will stabilize there, unit volume will stabilize and those will all be good things. And then as you said, we then -- it's up to us to make our own way by doing the things that grow our categories and we know what those are: it's good brand building, it's the good innovation ideas that come out of our R&D teams, and that's how we grow categories and that's why we stayed so true to that course during a very volatile period of time.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Lazar, Barclays Capital.

Andrew Lazar - Barclays Capital, Research Division

Analyst

In the release, you had mentioned that Big G cereal volume was actually up year-over-year. And I think that's the first time in at least a couple quarters where the volume piece, I think, was up year-over-year. So I'm just trying to get a sense if that's more related to just that it was a somewhat easier comparison with last year or obviously, some of the – the greater level of innovation you talked about in the third quarter going forward? What I'm trying to get a sense of is how sustainable is perhaps a somewhat positive sort of volume picture in cereal? And what piece of that is anything that you're seeing potentially more positively in the category or not? I'm trying to get your sense on that.

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Andrew, thanks for the question. I mean the category is unfolding as we thought it would this year, some pound decline overall. But across all channels, we're going to see sales growth of about 3% this year on a $10 billion category. So all things being equal, we feel pretty good about the way the category dynamics are unfolding. And as I said, we expect prices to stabilize here as we go forward. In this quarter, as I said, we had some very good new products that we shipped, which helped the units in volume, and that was good. But I have to say, really if you look at us over the last 4 or 5 years, we've had steady increases in performance, very consistent increases in market share and we're driving that primarily through good innovation across a number of brands. And so whether it's the Cheerios franchise or the Chex franchise, which I think, as you know, it appeals to folks are for looking for gluten-free products. That's growing at a high rate. We had good performance on our kid brands. So we really have a very strong portfolio there. We've had very good innovation. Those brands continue to respond and we're quite positive on the outlook for the category because of all the brand news and the nutrition innovation that we're bringing. So while the third quarter had a new product boost, long term we continue to feel very good about our innovation and what we can do in that category.

Andrew Lazar - Barclays Capital, Research Division

Analyst

Got it. And are you seeing some of the other large players in the space kind of doing more of the right thing at least directionally at this stage relative to the last 2 years? Because that's -- one of the questions I think that comes up a lot more now is, hey, has the category structurally changed? And is it just kind of x growth going forward because of either whatever it is, other breakfast options or less relevance with consumers? And I'm trying to parse how much of that is just that some key categories players weren't engaged in kind of doing the right thing around innovation in the last couple years versus if there's really been some shift that your data suggests that there is?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Yes, well, I mean there have been kind of some wobbles and some volatilities in the different competitive dynamics over the last 3 years as you're very well aware, Andrew. And it appears that we've worked our way through those. It looks to us like we're all -- the merchandising side is stable. The volume weakness that we've seen or decline that we've seen was expected. And as we've seen, in most other categories, it's clearly related to the pricing and the increase in merch price points that we had to take this year. So we think that, that's a one-off situation. We -- as John commented in his remarks, while there is some growth in quick-serve restaurants, I mean, trust me, we calculate those numbers and we study those interactions and I will tell you that there's -- that's not where our volume is going. I think we're just suffering a little bit from the pricing that we saw this year and we're optimistic that as we see that stabilize and knowing the kind of innovation that we're going to bring going forward that we expect that category to continue to show good growth for us.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Eric Katzman, Deutsche Bank.

Eric R. Katzman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, couple of questions. I guess, Don, can you comment on International in terms of profitability and why it swung so much sequentially from the second quarter down?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Yes, it was primarily timing of advertising. Media investment in the quarter was up over 30% in International, and that's going to swing quarter-to-quarter, but that was the main driver. Yet with the underlying growth trends from a volume and a sales standpoint, we're still very pleased with the momentum we have in that business.

Eric R. Katzman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst

So I mean what -- with Yoplait now so impactful to the business, that segment, what's the right margin to think about for that business? Is it 11%? Is it 9%? I really -- I'm kind of looking for some guidance as to what is the right longer-term profitability for that segment and then think about things quarter-to-quarter depending upon what you do?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Well, that segment has been generating pre-Yoplait margin in the low double digits. We've mentioned that over time we believe that those will continue to expand as we invest in core categories and geographies that we're in and as we grow businesses that have higher average margins, whether that is Häagen-Dazs, Nature Valley, obviously the cereal businesses in the geographies that we run directly, and that will continue to drive it. What we've also said is that the Yoplait business has low double-digit margins. And so in the near term, it's going to be fairly profit margin neutral. But over time, we're going to have plans to grow that business as well and as those plans unfold, we'll give you a line of sight on the margin impact.

Eric R. Katzman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then to Ken, I guess one of the things that I kind of derived from CAGNY was increasing competition against Hamburger Helper and its various line extensions. I mean it seems as if, I guess, Kraft or Grocery Co is now going to come after you. How do we think about that because I assume that given that you've got the bulk of the share in that category, you guys developed it, it's a very high-margin business for you. Why shouldn't I worry about Kraft and others kind of tackling that as the prototypical recession-type of product?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Yes, that is, Eric, a very good and stable business for us. We're seeing some fall-off this year from sort of minor lines that we've launched over the last couple of years that we let fall away, so we've lost some share there. And that's also a brand where just as we've adjusted and moderated merch price points here as the year has gone on, where we've seen some fall-off, I mean, our advertising for that brand. And so it continues to work well, so we think sort of the fundamental consumer proposition continues to be very strong. And we've got good opportunities to innovate and continue to expand within that range. I think it's just a question of kind of refining, making sure we've got the value proposition right as we go forward and that the consumer brand-building element also is working for us, which we think it is. So I think fundamentally, we think that, that brand will stay on track and it's just -- we've just struggled a bit this year with the volatility in list and merchandising price points.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of David Palmer, UBS.

David Palmer - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division

Analyst

Ken, both you and John mentioned that Yoplait would have some innovation this summer and it doesn't sound like you're going to tell us today exactly what that is. But I'm hoping that perhaps you could characterize what you might have in store for that brand. And the reason I'm digging for this is that Chobani continues to move across the country. They're expanding capacity, we hear, on the West Coast, so they certainly remain a threat looming. So my hope for Yoplait is that you could introduce a new platform that could perhaps seize the news from the Greek segment, that major competitor, and bend the trend in market share.

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

So listen, I very much appreciate your impatience. And here, we like to tell our customers about our innovation before we tell you guys, and so that's always what hinders us a little bit, so we'll be -- obviously we'll have full detail for you in June. What I will say is that we have a very comprehensive lineup of innovation across all segments of our yogurt business including our kid business, our core cup business, Greek product lines and other innovation as well and those innovations will come over the course of the full calendar year, but beginning this summer. So we've been very hard at work on obviously, for all the obvious reasons, on our yogurt innovation pipeline and we'll be very pleased to share it with you in June. And not just on the retail side of the business, but as we mentioned, we've got good ideas that are going to be going in the foodservice side as well. So it will be very comprehensive across all segments.

David Palmer - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division

Analyst

And would you say that you'll have a new distinct platform for us at that time or...

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

We always try to make them as distinctive as possible. And these are all products that we test and evaluate with consumers and we work hard to get the proposition right. And we think we've got -- we think we have some very, very good ideas coming here that will allow us to continue to build our Greek business and to build our share in that segment. And clearly, our goal is to stabilize and return to the entire Yoplait business to growth. We clearly need to do that and we're very, very focused on that. It's a core goal of ours and so we think we've got the broad innovation approach that we're going to need in order to do that in our next fiscal year. So it's a primary objective.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ken Zaslow, BMO Capital Markets.

Kenneth B. Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Can you talk about the further opportunities you have in alternative channels? I know that's been a -- obviously a plus on the retail side, but can you talk about what the opportunities would be by which channels you expect greater penetration and what product types that might be still under penetrated that you find that there to be opportunities?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

So Ken, thank you for the question. Can you be -- when you talk about alternative channels, can you be a little bit more specific about the kind -- what kind of channels you're thinking of? I mean, I think I know but I would like to -- maybe you can clarify?

Kenneth B. Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Yes, like either mass merchandise, dollar stores, convenience stores, drug stores, anything outside of the supermarket channels where basically outside of the IRI data because obviously that's where you guys have kind of closed the gap or exceeded expectations a little bit on the sales line just because you had the alternative channel. So trying to just figure out is there more room to go, which channels and what product types do you think are still a little bit under penetrated by you guys that we might be able to see a little growth in 2013?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Let me start and then I'm going to ask John Machuzick to add some commentary as well. I mean, basically, the sectors that you mentioned, whether it's mass or dollar stores or convenience stores, what I will tell you is that we are highly focused on all those channels for growth and highly focused means that we dedicate a significant number of human resources to those channels. We build very strong relationships at the top of those companies and all the way down through of all their various buying and merchandising levels and we built those businesses strongly. And as you said, these are growing channels and we see very significant opportunities for continued growth. And so without attempting to go into the numbers, I mean I think I can tell you that in most of those different sectors we have very solid growth rates. And we are also, because of the quality of our sales force and the kind of resources that we're putting in there, the important thing is, is that we're developing very strong insights about how their customer base might work. Whether it's a mass store or a dollar store or a drugstore, those – the consumers that go into those stores all have different behaviors and are looking for different things, particularly when they're looking for food products. And we're getting very, very smart about what it is that they're looking for. And as a result, we're bringing them insight and we've become a very trusted partner in those channels and we're getting good growth there, so it's very important to us. John, I think, has a very, very unique window into C-stores and he's going to comment on that as well.

John T. Machuzick

Analyst

Ken, I think there's a lot of runway still available in the convenience store channel. We've had 48 months consecutively of share growth and double-digit volume gains in that segment. And strengthening our sales organization, the capabilities that we bring to that sector of customers like we have done for years and years on the retail side is a big advantage for us. I think there's plenty of room in our existing categories to continue to grow there. I think there's new adjacencies that are opportunities in that segment. I think there's also a foodservice business that is a big opportunity that is growing in the convenience store channel that we can bring more innovation and growth to. On the foodservice side, all you have to do is look around and there's lots of places where our brands aren't yet in the foodservice space. We're growing our penetration with our customers. We have more control over the focused efforts that our sales organization have against our brands and there remains lots and lots of opportunity in that area. As I mentioned in my remarks, there's a growing acceptability of branded products in the restaurant area that we think is another emerging area for growth also.

Kenneth B. Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

Okay. And are there any product types that may not be fully penetrated in certain alternative channels, I guess, is the other -- that might be an opportunity?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Are you saying are there other product types or...

Kenneth B. Zaslow - BMO Capital Markets U.S.

Analyst

No, of your products. Are there are certain products, obviously cereal, but just going through the portfolio, that may not have been as much focused on in alternative channels that might lead to another level of growth maybe in 2013 or is everything equally focused upon?

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

Well, I mean, we've got good focus on cereal and baking products and some of our snack products, but I mean we see -- as these channels grow and many of them using food as a way to drive traffic because obviously people are going to need food once a week and the purchase cycle for some of the drug products may be longer than that. So they're using food to drive traffic and they're very interested in expanding our portfolio and so we're helping them think through that whole assortment issue. But there are many opportunities for us to move into that. I guess I would add that the other opportunity that we have is there are a number of products today that start out in alternative or particularly in natural channels. And so we commented on the success of LÄRABAR in the natural channel sector, the very strong success of Food Should Taste Good and as those products gain scale in those channels, we then have the opportunity to move them in the other direction, move them into the more mainstream channels. And so you have products that develop in different parts of the retail environment and then we can take them and study them and move them around into different places. And it's not just from the traditional to the alternative. It can be from alternative to traditional. And so we have -- really we have many alternatives across our portfolio to drive growth through building distribution.

Kristen Smith Wenker

Analyst

Operator, let's sneak one last question in here before we're out of time.

Operator

Operator

Our last question comes from the line of Jason English, Goldman Sachs.

Jason English - Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Quick question on -- a couple of quick questions on Yoplait abroad, the European acquisition. Can you comment on like-for-like growth, either top – both top and bottom line for the business?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

I think those were contained in Ken's remarks, Jason, where in the U.K. from a consumer standpoint, we're seeing low single-digit growth and in France, high single-digit growth. So while we're holding share in the U.K., we're actually gaining almost a full point of share in France.

Jason English - Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Well, so far, I'm looking through the first 3 quarters and looks like you've had slightly north of $700 million of sales contribution from Yoplait. Are you expecting, whether it be seasonal factors or something else for a big fourth quarter? Or are we just going to be tracking below, I think, the $1.2 billion guidance you guys had early on?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Yes, for the 10 months, we're still in the zone that we expect to be in. It'll add 8 to 9 points to our growth rate a quarter as it has for the last 2. We expect to see the same in the fourth quarter.

Kendall J. Powell

Analyst

We've only got 10 months in this year, Jason.

Jason English - Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Research Division

Analyst

But wasn't that the $1.2 billion guidance? Didn't that account for only 10 of the 12 months?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Yes.

Jason English - Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And on the bottom line, I'm looking at the minority interest line on your consolidated income statement. It's not meaningfully higher...

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

Jason, sorry, just one thing. That is U.S. dollar value. The euro is weaker today than we started the year, so there's probably a little bit of a headwind from a translation standpoint. So in euros, we're tracking -- so when I was saying we're tracking as we expected, that's in constant – or in local currency, but there will be a little bit of diminution when we translate to U.S. dollars.

Jason English - Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Sure, yes. Looks like around a 4% headwind right now. On the profit line, minority interest, looking at the subtraction the consolidated income statement, it's not meaningfully different. It's up year-on-year as a subtraction but not substantially. It looks to me like the profitability of the business isn't as high as we thought. Is that true? Are there other things going on there? And if it is true, is this maybe a year of investment as you prime the business for acceleration next year?

Donal Leo Mulligan

Analyst

No, actually the provisions are for both top and bottom line as we expected. When you look at that NCI line, remember, first off, it's after tax. Second, it also includes the impact of the integration costs, which we capture in our corporate items. But is obviously, then, netted off -- our partner's share on that is netted off in those NCI. The underlying profitability, that low double-digit margin, is coming in just as we expected.

Kristen Smith Wenker

Analyst

I'm sorry, we're out of time. I know there's some people still in queue. Give me a shout if I can be of help, and thanks for your time today.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation, and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a great day, everyone.