Laurence G. Sellyn
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Good morning. This morning, we were pleased to report adjusted EPS for our third quarter of $0.95 per share, which represented EPS growth of 44% over the third quarter of last year. EPS were at the top end of our prior guidance range and were a record for any fiscal quarter in the history of the company. Both of our operating segments reported strong results, and we believe that both segments are well positioned for continuing growth in sales and earnings as we continue to implement our growth strategies. One of the highlights of the quarter was the initial success of our national branded underwear program with Wal-Mart. Sell-through to consumers significantly exceeded our expectations. And while we recognize that it is still early days, this reinforces our view that our Gildan brand promise of better product design and better quality features, combined with low prices, will be a winning formula and successful value proposition in retail as it has been for us in the Printwear business over the past 20 years. We believe that we're uniquely positioned to deliver this brand promise to consumers as a result of our continuing major capital investments in our vertical manufacturing in support of our brand. In addition to continuing to invest in widening our manufacturing advantage, we are supporting our brands with continuing investments in marketing and advertising. We are continuing to raise our brand awareness and enhance the equity of the Gildan and Gold Toe brands. We will discuss our results and outlook for Printwear and then for Branded Apparel. Our Printwear business is generating record earnings and strong free cash flows. Cotton costs are now generally in good equilibrium with Printwear selling prices, and we are continuing to achieve unit volume growth and increased manufacturing efficiencies. Unit sales volume growth in Printwear in the third quarter was approximately 4%. However, although unit sales volumes were up from last year, growth in both the U.S. and international markets was limited by availability of inventory. As a result of which, we were unable to fully capitalize on customer demand during the peak selling season in the third fiscal quarter. Shipments to the European market, where the Gildan brand currently has very strong momentum in spite of the macro economic situation in the region, increased by close to 10% in the quarter, but were lower than planned due to lack of product availability. Shipments in Asia Pacific region were up approximately 80% from the small base in the third quarter of last year. Last night, we announced a restructuring of our Printwear price list. Selling prices were reduced for certain product lines, and we applied the benefits of these price reductions to distributor inventories. The ongoing margin impact of these selective reductions in selling prices will be essentially offset by the elimination of short-term promotions. Although the selling price reductions and distributor inventory devaluation were announced this week, the proportion of the devaluation, which is applicable to inventory sold before the end of the third quarter, has been accounted for in our third quarter results. The impact of the inventory devaluation on sales and earnings in the third quarter was approximately $6 million. The impact in EPS was $0.05 per share. We would like to provide some color on our pricing actions yesterday. Firstly, we are using budgeted unspent promotional monies to finance a special distributor devaluation and enhance the profitability of our distributor partners. Secondly, we are realigning product pricing to respond to distributor needs and provide more rational pricing for them. The pricing actions are in line with our objectives for EPS growth and return on investment. Apart from the inventory devaluation, the ongoing impact of the realignment of pricing is expected to be largely EPS- and margin-neutral for Gildan. Turning now to Branded Apparel. We were pleased to report top line growth in sales revenues in the third quarter of 20%. Sales revenues in the quarter grew by 24%, before the impact of private label product returned by a retailer, which was replaced its private label with Gildan-branded socks. Operating margins for Branded Apparel were 15.1% compared with 9.4% in the third quarter of fiscal 2012. The higher margins in Branded Apparel reflect the increasingly more favorable mix of higher value Gildan- and Gold Toe-branded products, as well as the lower cost of cotton compared to last year. The third quarter was an important quarter for Gildan in our continuing development as a consumer brand for basic family apparel. We launched our national Gildan-branded underwear program at Wal-Mart. Retailer sales to consumers were significantly in excess of our expectations, and as we said at the outset of our remarks, our initial success reinforces that consumers will embrace new brands, which offer better design and quality features and better value. We're confident that we will be successful in achieving additional growth at new programs in all categories for our Branded business for fiscal 2014 and that we will achieve strong sales growth in retail, underwear and activewear, after including the impact of discontinuing our private label underwear program. We were pleased with the market share performance of our high-value Gold Toe men's sock programs. Gold Toe has industry-leading market share in men's and ladies' socks in department stores and national chains and further increased its market share in men's socks to just over 24% in the June quarter, following our recent advertising in support of the brand. We are also gaining traction with the Gold Toe G brand for underwear and activewear, which has been targeted at a younger consumer demographic, and is gaining additional distribution in national chains and department stores. Another important breakthrough is our success in placing the premium Gildan Platinum brand in national chains and department stores. We are continuing to invest in media advertising. We have launched new commercials to support our men's underwear programs and our activewear programs and are preparing a major creative campaign for the beginning of calendar 2014. We are confident that we can pursue our marketing initiatives at the same time as continuing to increase the operating margins for Branded Apparel. In addition to our focus in developing Gildan as a consumer brand, we are continuing to build Anvil's business as a long-term strategic supply chain partner to global athletic and lifestyle brands. These brands are seeking to consolidate their sourcing with supply chain partners in the Western Hemisphere, which are geographically located to service large replenishment programs, and which can be relied upon for consistent high product quality and adherence to strict standards of corporate social responsibility. During the third quarter, we announced the acquisition of New Buffalo, in order to be able to provide a more streamlined sourcing solution for these brands, and we announced in our release today that we have been successful in obtaining further important new programs for fiscal 2014. We reiterated our full year sales and EPS guidance for fiscal 2013 and further narrowed our guidance to the top end of the previous range. EPS for the full year is now projected at $2.67 to $2.70 per share, and EPS for the fourth quarter is projected at $0.81 to $0.84, up 4% to 8% from the very strong comparative adjusted EPS of $0.78 per share in the fourth quarter of last year, which was the previous record for quarterly EPS for the company prior to the third quarter, which we reported today. Sales revenues in the fourth quarter are projected to be in excess of $600 million, up over 7% from last year. Gross margins in the fourth quarter are projected to slightly decline on a sequential basis compared to the third quarter due to the impact of the recent increase in the cost of cotton. Our projected EPS and gross margins in the fourth quarter also include the impact to the balance of the distributor inventory devaluation announced yesterday. We are now projecting capital expenditures for the full year of approximately $175 million compared to our previous forecast of approximately $200 million due to the later timing of some equipment deliveries. Free cash flow after capital expenditures is now projected to be approximately $225 million. Free cash flow in the third quarter amounted to $150 million, and we ended the quarter with essentially no net indebtedness as amounts outstanding in our bank facility were offset by cash and cash equivalents. The ramp-up of Rio Nance V is completed, and our results in the third quarter reflected the benefits of manufacturing efficiencies from the new facility. We're now in the process of beginning the ramp-up of Rio Nance I in order to support our projected sales growth. In addition, the ramp-up of Rio Nance I will allow us to better rationalize our product mix at the Rio Nance V facility and generate further manufacturing cost efficiencies. We are upgrading and expanding the former Anvil textile facility in Honduras and further expanding our biomass facilities. We are currently analyzing options for construction of our next major textile facility in order to support our projected sales growth. We are also making good progress with the construction of our new distribution center in Honduras. Our new ring-spun yarn manufacturing facility in South Spring, North Carolina is currently under construction and is on track to begin production early in the second quarter of fiscal 2014. The ramp-up of the new facility is expected to be complete by the end of next year with material cost savings projected to be realized in fiscal 2015. Ring-spun yarn will be utilized to further differentiate our branded product offerings. The refurbishment and modernization of the open-end facilities of Clarkton and Cedartown will be complete by midyear 2014. We will provide details of our capital spending plans for fiscal 2014, when we initiate our guidance for next year at the end of November. Finally, we are also continuing to monitor potential acquisition opportunities to complement our organic growth. Our goal is to reinvest our free cash flow in complementary acquisitions, which will lever our competitive strengths, further enhance our top line sales growth for the long term, provide meaningful synergies and provide IRRs which, on a risk-adjusted basis, exceed the returns from repurchasing our own shares.