Harley Scardoelli
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Thank you, Andre and good afternoon to you all. Now, I’ll like to refer to Slide number 6 of the presentation that will talk about the results and performance of each business operation in the fourth quarter of 2015 and next I’ll give you more details on the consolidated figures. I’ll conclude talking about the extraordinary events of the quarter. So turning to Brazil and starting with Brazil, the environment of uncertainties in the economic landscape has caused us to have lower demand and this has affected our business. This has also caused a drop in shipments of steel in the fourth quarter of 2015, when compared to the same period of the year before. On the other hand exports presented an increase in relation to the fourth quarter of 2014 due to opportunities in the international market coupled with a favorable exchange rate. Looking at EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2015, the absolute value was down by 74% when compared to the fourth quarter of 2014 due to lower dilution of fixed cost and a worst market mix. In addition, all the cost related production stoppage also impacted EBITDA, 110 million end of fourth quarter of 2015, which will also affect the EBITDA margin that went from 19.1% in the fourth quarter 2014 to 6% to 9% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Not considering the effects of production stoppages, the EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter of 2015 would be above 10%. Now speaking about North America, the economic environment remains positive, however the growing pressure from imported products resulted in a sales reduction of 3.4% when we compare to the fourth quarter of 2014 to the fourth quarter of 2014. EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2015 was 395 million, when compared to 202 million in the fourth quarter of 2014 that was an increase of 96%. This improvement is mainly due to exchange variation in the period coupled with a better EBITDA margin that went from 5.5% in the fourth quarter of 2014 to 9.2% in the fourth quarter of ‘15 due to lower scrap cost and additional efforts to its cost reduction. I would like to highlight, this is the highest EBITDA margin presented in a fourth quarter since 2007. In South America BO, shipments in the fourth quarter of ‘15 were down when compared to the fourth quarter of ‘14 due to high levels of imports into the region. The optimization of operating cost mainly in Argentina, Columbia and Peru [ph] in addition to lower scrap cost led to an increase in the EBITDA margin, going from 8.4% in the fourth quarter of ‘14 to 13.9% in Q4 of ‘15. Speaking now about the specialty steel field, sales in the fourth quarter of ‘15 was down by 10% when compared to the fourth quarter of ‘14 due to strong drop in demand coming from the automotive sector in Brazil and to a lesser degree from the oil and gas industry in the US. The EBITDA reduction in the fourth quarter vis-a-vis the same period of the year before was due to a reduction in fixed cost and also things related to the US. Even though this continues to present a positive demand from the automotive industry, the challenge is coming from the oil and gas sector effect of the cost stability of [indiscernible]. On the other hand in India, they had a better performance especially when compared to the fourth quarter of ‘14. As a result the EBITDA margin was down from 12.1% in Q4 of 2014 to 6.9% in the fourth quarter of 2015. If we compare year-on-year, the margin went from 10.6 to 4.6 in 2015. Now moving to Slide 7, we’ll talk about the consolidated. Adjusted EBITDA was 911 million in the fourth quarter of 2015, down by 27% when compared to the fourth quarter of ‘14. If we look at the bridged chart on the upper part of the slide on page 7, we’ll see that the reduction of adjusted EBITDA was caused by the drop in shipments partially offset by higher net sales per ton. In the bridged chart on the lower of the slide, we notice that even from an adjusted net income of 95 million in the fourth quarter of ‘14 to a negative adjusted income of 41 million in the fourth quarter of ‘15, due to lower EBITDA and higher depreciation partially offset by positive amounts in income taxes and others and also the schedule stoppages in the fourth quarter. In terms of dividends in 2015, and even with the very challenging landscape in the steel industry Gerdau S.A. paid out R$253 million of the equivalent to $0.50 per share in payments in interest on equity for the profit that came in the first half of 2015 and also reserves from preexisting profits. These dividends that were paid out in the first nine months of 2015 were above the 30% established in the company by laws. Now going to Page 8, I’ll talk about debt level and liquidity of the company. Closed at –on December 31, 2015 was R$26.5 billion, lower when compared to September 2015 due to amortizations carried out in the fourth quarter of ‘15 in addition to exchange rate variations in the period. The weighted cost after debt was 6.8% a year with an average amortization standard of 6.5 years. On December 31, 2015, only 9% of the gross debt was short-term, mostly represented by working capital claims that were renewed. I would also like to highlight that most part of the EBITDA in the last 12 months were generated BOs abroad, particularly denominated in US dollars and more than 80% of the consolidated net debt by December 31, 2015 was also denominated in US dollars and the net debt over EBITDA was 3.6 times. I would also like to say that some recent evaluation by rating agencies or companies in our industry have restructured a few crisis in the low and the impact from global surplus install capacity, the slowing down of the economy in China, the decline in demand from emerging countries and the deceleration of the economic situation in Brazil that also saw the reevaluation of these securities. The spiral debt is also important to highlight that the reaffirmation of Gerdau investment grade by some rating agencies about the company just demonstrated that the company has some liquidity by means of its strong cash position, access to consolidated credit lines from banks in Brazil and in the US with no continence and it has generated positive free cash flow in the last few years. In addition the company’s debt structure has long-term amortization and therefore reiterates that its cost effect should remain unchanged. Now moving to Page 9, we will talk about working capital. In December 2015, the cash conversation cycle was down by two days, when compared to September of the same year, due to a reduction of 14.8% of working capital compared to a reduction 12.4% inland sales. It’s also good to mention that this working capital reduction of R$1.7 billion from September to December, 2015 contemplates the exchange rate variation over working capital of companies abroad. Not considering this variation, the cash effect was a reduction of R$1.4 billion from September to December of 2015, which demonstrate all the efforts of the company to optimize working capital. From December, ‘14 to December, 2015, the cash has still reductions, the effect of cash in the reduction of working capital was R$2.4 billion. Now moving on to Page 10, I would like to highlight the strong cash generation of the company, both in the fourth quarter and year-to-date. As we can see it in the higher part of the chart, in the fourth quarter of 2015, we had R$1.2 billion with strong contributions coming from the release of working capital in the period. In the lower chart, we notice that in 2015 the company generated R$3 billion of free cash flow. This is due to EBITDA generation of R$4.5 billion which was up by 593 million in relation to what the company had to pay. CapEx, income tax and interest in addition to the benefit working capital release of 2.4 billion. This free cash flow - notice keeping with the strategy of the company of maintaining financial sustainability as it has happened 2013 and ‘14, despite of the very challenging landscape for the steel market. For 2016, we’ll still continue to release working capital and one of the main drivers will be a restriction of out lay of CapEx. And this will impact an important reduction of 33% as Andre already mentioned in 2016. On Page 11, we refer to the extraordinary events during the period. Gerdau presented financial statements, income clients with IFRS and this standard required that a goodwill, another long-term assets recoverability tax be conducted to re-determine the recoverable amount of its business segment. To that end the company uses the method of discounted cash flow using economic financial projections for each segment as of day. The company carried out the goodwill and long-term asset recoverability tax in 2015 due to the following events. Number one, higher deterioration of the market coupled with the excess capacity in the sector. Two, drop in demand from two consuming countries, especially automotive and construction. Three, lower activity in certain industrial plants and finally or the fourth point, changes in the composition of Gerdau’s business segments which has already been mentioned in the third quarter of 2015. The staffs were able to identify the impairment of assets and the write off of differed tax assets because of a low possibility of change in the short-term. The totaled amount of these extraordinary items was 5.3 billion in 2015, non-cash. In the fourth quarter of 2015, the total impairment of assets was 3.1 billion due to non-recoverability of assets, means 1.2 billion was posted as goodwill at North America and 1.1 billion as goodwill at the Specialty field steel and 835 million posted as Brazil BO, at property, plant and equipment. This was due to lower demand and production stoppages in some units of the company throughout 2015, which aimed at readjusting production to the current cement level and productivity of our operation. I would like to highlight again that these extraordinary events affected the overall result of Gerfau, however they did not produce any cash effect. Slide 12 just concludes my presentation. I would like to say that Metalurgica Gerdau S.A did a public offering in November of 2015. The transaction involved 500 million shares, recapitalization of R$900 million used to amortize debt and also to improve the company’s liquidity position. With this transaction the net debt of Gerdau went from R$2.1 billion to 1.2 billion on December 31, 2015. The management used the proceed to settle the debt with higher cost and short maturity and as a consequence the cost of the debt went from 110% of CDI to 105 [ph] % of the CDI. In addition the liquidity of the shares of the company has a significant increase, margin doubling with share outstanding and increasing the number of securities traded daily from 5.3 million shares to 13.5 million on average. According to what was mentioned by management during the offering the existing debt and low liquidity where the factors responsible for a housing discount much higher than historical figures, closed to 48% after the offering the holding company discount begin to decline gradually being now close or below 20%. And now I’ll give the floor again to Andre for his final comments.