Robert Bauer
Analyst · B. Riley
Thanks, Jim. I wanted to start by pointing out that we've put a lot of information in the exhibits we furnished with the press release to help investors understand how our business has been uniquely affected by the environment over the last few quarters. Unlike most challenging environments, this year was incredibly unique in that certain areas of our businesses were impacted more significantly than others. There have been pockets of resiliency. We have a strong backlog, up significantly in some areas, although some of the increase is due to pandemic-related issues that have delayed converting the backlog into sales revenue. We have to take significant actions this year in businesses that serve energy customers, including exiting the upstream Test and Inspection Services business, which, in our view, had no path to acceptable returns. The severe decline in travel earlier this year and the subsequent impact it had on the energy sector was well documented. However, it's a bit more challenging to predict exactly how the various transportation modes will recover. During 2020, our primary concerns centered around the severe decline in transit rail ridership as well as declining freight rail traffic volume, which was more short-lived. As the year came to a close, it turns out both rail sectors have been among the more resilient areas as projects kept moving forward all the way through the fourth quarter, with the exception of certain on-site service work and weakness in solutions that are coupled to traffic volume. Before I get into more specifics on that though, I want to cover the organization changes we made that have also resulted in a change in how we're reporting results in two segments now. So on February 16, we announced a new reporting segment structure that's aligned with an organization structure intended to provide a clear line of sight around the opportunities for growth and asset leverage. During the past year, we focused on ways to reduce cost and streamline operations. And our goal was to emerge stronger, leaner and more focused on the actions that will create value for our shareholders. After we took steps in 2020 to restructure certain businesses and exit another, we identified greater benefits by consolidating our non-Rail segment assets under one leader, that's Bill Tracy, and name that segment Infrastructure Solutions. Among our businesses in the Infrastructure Solutions segment are products and services with some common markets, customers, support functions and facility capabilities. We see opportunities to share more tools and assets and expose untapped leverage opportunities with customers and back-office support that should result in lower costs and improved return on capital. These businesses serve design, build and contractor customers that manage the turnkey projects, and they need partners that can provide custom engineered solutions with make-to-order business models and experience dealing with large complex infrastructure projects. Our businesses in this segment manage projects that span a wide range of transportation, energy, heavy civil, agricultural, commercial and residential infrastructure needs. And they have several things in common, such as engineered solutions to address tailored customer specifications, unique design and application engineering skills, rich project management capabilities and expertise in bid proposals that comply with government-funded projects. This change is an ideal way to create scale around the most attractive markets and products that will maximize returns on these assets in this segment. The same can be said for our Rail Technologies and Services segment. Although the businesses in this segment have not changed, what is different is that all of the operations report to a single business line executive, Greg Lippard, that can focus on opportunities around integration and technology-based business development across our global footprint. In fact, 3 of our initiatives, one, integrating new technologies to address long-standing industry problems; two, making our track products more resilient; and three, starting up new services, are at the center of our strategy for growth in this segment. So I'll turn now to talk a bit about the results for 2020. And the headline in our press release that, for me, best describes the year and the most recent quarter is that resiliency in rail and general infrastructure as projects continue while energy markets remain a significant challenge. And some of the best evidence of this is seen in our backlog growth, which highlights the resiliency from a broad range of businesses in rail and general infrastructure projects. But it also includes pockets of difficulty converting the backlog to sales as pandemic-related disruption on job sites and engineering departments and from government-ordered safety measures, including lockdowns, is causing delays and, therefore, keeping our sales volume somewhat depressed. I'll provide some data that supports our assessment of resiliency in this rail and general infrastructure projects area. So our fiscal year consolidated orders fell 16%. But if you exclude our Coatings and Measurement businesses that largely serve energy customers, orders were down only 6%. Our consolidated backlog increased 8.4%. But if you exclude the decline in backlog from the Coatings and Measurement divisions, the consolidated backlog increased 24%. And more specifically, what you'll see behind the change is that the Infrastructure Solutions segment backlog, which finished the year at $127 million, increasing 1.3% was a combination of our Coatings and Measurement businesses declining by almost $28 million and the balance of the segment increasing by $29 million. That's a 32% increase in backlog from the nonenergy-related divisions in this segment from projects such as bridge decking, civil and commercial construction and transportation projects, both railway and highway, some using our precast concrete solutions as well. The order of magnitude of some of these increases is what gives us confidence in the current resiliency in the Infrastructure segment. Turning to the Rail segment. Orders finished below prior year, down 11%, while backlog rose by 17%. Orders were fairly steady through the first 3 quarters, ranging between $69 million and $75 million per quarter. And then it peaked at $81 million in the fourth quarter. But backlog has remained at elevated levels since around April when the early shutdowns took place and pandemic protocols were enacted, and it peaked in the fourth quarter at $121 million. The peak at year-end was driven by new orders for transit projects and increased service work in the U.S. but also by our inability to convert backlog to sales in Europe, where strict lockdowns have disrupted shipments and service work, and in North America, where various customer issues caused pockets of delays. These lingering issues and some headwinds we're dealing with is what has caused us to describe the environment as resilient rather than recovering, which we expect to use once we start to convert more backlog to sales and see an improving market environment in rail traffic and in energy pipeline projects. Another data point that'll help you quantify the delays in shipping is the $13 million rise in backlog in the fourth quarter. We have far greater capacity than our sales of $115 million in the quarter. And under more normal circumstances, I would have expected additional sales volume in the quarter by at least the amount of the backlog increase. So let me turn now to a little bit more of the performance-oriented numbers. The order decline in 2020 drove the decline in sales of $119 million, as Jim stated. And in light of the volume decline, I thought we did a pretty good job holding on to margins with only a 50 basis point decline in gross margins, particularly in light of the decline in some of our Rail Technologies products and services, which typically have higher margins. The loss of friction management, consumable sales and certain field service work that stopped created a significant profit headwind for the Rail segment as well. At the same time, this team did a great job holding expenses down and reducing costs that helped minimize the segment profit decline to approximately 20 basis points for the full year and finished very strong in the fourth quarter. The second part of the margin story is the decline that took place in the Infrastructure segment as a result of a significant decline in demand from energy customers. The pandemic created a substantial decline in demand for oil, which translated into significant cutbacks in capital programs for companies serving upstream and midstream markets. Often, midstream reductions lag the market changes and are not as severe as upstream volatility, but this was not a typical year. The severe reduction in travel resulted in approximately a 20 million barrel per day dislocation in supply and demand for a period that has had longer-lasting impact on all suppliers to the industry as operators proceeded to shut down projects. The Infrastructure Solutions segment loss in Q4 is entirely associated with the 2 divisions within the Coatings and Measurement business that serve the midstream pipeline market. This is now the only energy exposure we have after selling the Test and Inspection business in September. Sales for these 2 divisions was $6 million in the fourth quarter. This compares to $19.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. And orders were only $4 million in the fourth quarter for these 2 divisions. Our orders were relatively flat for Protective Coatings for the last 3 quarters of the year. And orders for measurement systems for pipelines hit a significant low point in the fourth quarter. Given the severity of the decline, both divisions are expected to see a modest improvement in orders in the first half of 2021. In the meantime, we'll be dealing with extraordinarily low volume that presents a headwind for profit margins near term. And I'll expand on that more in a moment. Wanted to turn to a couple of comments on cash flow and debt, following what Jim told you. Capital spending increased in 2020 as we finalized the factory move previously planned in 2019 and replaced a rail delivery train that was retired. These were significant investments in very long-lived assets that don't occur very often. We're one of the unique companies in North America that has the capability to deliver 1,400-foot strings of continuously welded rail. And these two capital investments represented more than half of the CapEx in 2020. I expect the 2021 capital spending to be lower as we don't have very large projects like this planned. We completed the heavy restructuring actions that required capital, and we have manufacturing capacity well above current volume levels at all but a few locations where demand is strong. We plan on putting some capital toward our SAP rollout as we aim to turn off old legacy ERP systems in the near term. We have some working capital pressure right now as we bring in inventory to deal with the growing backlog. I expect this to be a short-term issue in most operations. I'm most concerned about our inability to finish projects in the U.K., where the current lockdown is creating several issues with closing out projects and eventually getting paid. We're also wrestling with shifting program priorities on the part of local governments making changes due to getting access to otherwise very congested transportation arteries. But we're very pleased that we were able to reduce debt in 2020, bringing our net debt to $37.5 million at year-end. I think further debt reduction is another attainable goal for 2021, assuming we see a reasonable recovery throughout 2021 with continued spending on transit programs and a stop to the pandemic lockdowns. From where we sit today, I think it's unlikely that we'll have an acquisition this year, unless it's at the very end of the year. We want to feel more assured of the future business climate before we take on any new businesses. So I'm going to move to kind of my last section of remarks here and talk a little bit about market outlook and some of the risks and opportunities we see in 2021. Of course, a continuing pandemic presents a risk, particularly if it results in continued disruption on site services and a depressed market for transportation projects that we have exposure to. But today, we're optimistic that this risk is showing signs of subsiding. But we expect profitability in Q1 for Infrastructure Solutions to remain low at approximately fourth quarter levels as a result of low sales volume from the energy pipeline-focused divisions. These 2 divisions are operating near breakeven levels at the current volume. But as volume improves, we expect to leverage our overhead and selling costs, and therefore, profit margin should rise at a much faster rate than sales rise. Transit rail funding for U.S. operators needs increased federal government support beyond what has already been approved. If the gap between what's been requested and what's approved is anywhere near $30 billion to $40 billion in the U.S., that could create added pressure on spending. We expect upside to our outlook if an infrastructure program is approved in the U.S. We typically see an uplift from such programs as they often are directed toward transportation and general infrastructure projects that we serve. And finally, turning to how we anticipate 2021 unfolding. We expect first quarter sales volume to reflect continuing pandemic disruption, especially in the United Kingdom. And we haven't identified a lot of opportunity to ship more backlog to boost sales. The first quarter will likely also include very low volume from the divisions that serve energy customers, putting pressure on profit margins as these businesses operate at close to breakeven profit levels. We expect a significant change in this environment as we move into the second quarter. Our current forecast calls for a significant sequential increase in sales from Q1 to Q2. Specific projects in our backlog are expected to remain on track for second quarter delivery, many of which are not struggling with pandemic-related issues on site. The second quarter increase in sales volume is expected to be broad-based and lift profit margins significantly from fourth - first quarter levels. And as we approach midyear, we are expecting the elevated backlog to provide support for an even stronger second half. So hopefully, that gives you some insight on how 2021 is going to start to unfold. I'm going to wrap up here. And before I wrap up, I want to conclude by thanking our teams across the world for everything they continue to do to keep us operating safely. We continue to face extraordinary circumstances. It's taken some extraordinary measures to deal with it, and I have a great deal of confidence that we'll keep operations running efficiently as we prepare for a return to normalcy sometime this year. And hopefully, it's sooner rather than later. So I'm going to stop there. And with that, we'd be happy to take any questions that anyone has. So I'll return it back to the operator.