Tyler Sloat
Analyst · JMP Securities
Thanks, Dennis. Looking back on our Q4 and full-year 2022 performance, I'm pleased with our ability to drive operational efficiencies in the business. Starting last year, we knew that 2022 would be a big investment year, building out our go-to-market teams, investing in product development and taking on a full year of G&A public company costs. What we didn't know was how the macro economy would play out and how that would impact the overall market for our products. During the year of a slowing demand environment, negative FX movements and pressure on small businesses, we still beat the high end of our 2022 estimates for revenue that we laid out one year ago by $3 million. More significantly, we effectively managed our costs throughout the year to beat the high end of our 2022 estimates for non-GAAP operating income by over $26 million. We believe we have a durable business model and we're improving our operational efficiency as we drive business growth. In Q4, we had another quarter of increased efficiency, with revenue beating expectations, non-GAAP operating loss outperformed expectations by $6.5 million in the quarter. We improved our non-GAAP operating margin year-over-year, and our business inflected to generate positive free cash flow of $4 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.01 in the quarter. As I normally do, I'll review our Q4 financial results, provide background on key metrics and close with our expectations for the first quarter and full year 2023. I will also include constant currency comparisons to provide a better view of our business fundamentals. Most of our discussion will be focused on non-GAAP financial results, which exclude the impact of stock-based compensation expenses, payroll taxes on employee stock transactions, amortization of acquired intangibles and other adjustments. Starting with the income statement. Revenue grew 30%, adjusting for constant currency, or 26% as reported, to $133.2 million. Although the FX trend for the dollar against the euro and pound reversed in Q4, we continued to see the trailing negative impact to revenue resulting from FX movements earlier in the year. As Dennis mentioned, we had a strong quarter of new business driven by Freshservice, while expansion continued to see pressure from the effects of the broader economic slowdown. Smaller customers continue to feel the pressure as churn rates increased slightly for the SMB segment, leading to slower growth. Overall, churn for the company remained relatively stable, ticking up less than 100 basis points in the quarter. As a whole, we have made good improvements to our gross churn rates over the past several years. In Q3 and Q4, we were able to keep gross churn relatively stable, but do see potential risk of churn increasing slightly, going into 2023. Moving to margins. Our non-GAAP gross margins were roughly similar to Q3, rounding up to 83% for the quarter. We continued to achieve strong non-GAAP gross margins with over 82% for the full year as we scale the business. In Q4, non-GAAP operating margins improved 8 percentage points year-over-year to negative 2%, driven mostly by lower R&D and G&A costs as a percentage of revenue. Specifically for G&A, expenses in the prior year included nonrecurring litigation settlement costs that were not included in the most recent quarter. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, we had a very small improvement to non-GAAP operating margins as we largely maintained our run rate cost base in matching the business growth. Similar to Q3, we had a onetime type benefit of approximately $4 million related to the reversal of accrued expenses from earlier in the year. Our revenue outperformance, combined with an improving cost base, led to a non-GAAP operating loss of $2.8 million in Q4. I'm pleased with our ability to control costs in the current market environment and expect to drive more operating leverage as we go forward. Turning to our operating metrics. Net dollar retention was 110% on a constant currency basis or 108% as reported and was largely in line with our commentary from the prior quarter. As expected, we saw expansion slow down in the quarter, reflective of the overall mac economic trend. Looking ahead, as we expect the broader trend to continue, we estimate Q1 2023 constant currency net dollar retention to be 107% and holding FX rates constant, reported net dollar retention to be 105%. In terms of our customer metrics, customers contributing more than $5,000 in ARR grew 20% to 17,722 customers in the quarter and now represents 87% of our ARR. On a constant currency basis, this customer cohort grew 21% year-over-year. For larger customers contributing more than $50,000 in ARR, this customer count grew 35% to 1,908 and ticked up to represent 44% of our ARR. Adjusting for constant currency, this customer cohort grew at 38%. Lastly, we ended the quarter with a total customer count of more than 63,400, and our average revenue per account continued to increase. Moving to our billings, balance sheet and cash, in Q4, calculated billings grew 21% to $147.8 million and holding constant currency over the past year, calculated billings grew 25%. The other factor impacting the growth rate was billings duration mix of negative 4%. Adjusting for this, the normalized calculated billings growth was approximately 29% in Q4. Looking ahead to Q1 of 2023, our preliminary estimate for calculated billings growth is 20% on a constant currency basis or 17% as reported basis on current FX rates. For the full year 2023, we expect calculated billings growth to be similar to our expected revenue growth for the year, of approximately 17%. Turning to our balance sheet and cash items. We maintained a steady cash balance as we ended the quarter with cash and marketable securities of approximately $1.1 billion. In Q4, we generated $4 million of free cash flow, coming in ahead of our estimates. Looking back on the full year, we outperformed our initial free cash flow estimate of negative $25 million by more than $10 million in 2022, despite a tougher economic environment, further demonstrating our ability to drive efficiencies in the business. We continue to net settle vested equity amounts and used at nearly $16 million under financing activities for Q4. For the full year, we used approximately $167 million for the net settlement of nearly 9.8 million shares. As a reminder, this financing activity is excluded from free cash flow. We plan to continue net settle invested equity amounts, resulting in quarterly cash usage of approximately $17 million at current stock price levels. As we look forward to 2023, we expect to generate approximately $10 million of free cash flow for the year, with approximately $3 million in Q1. We have some seasonality in spend throughout the year, so we anticipate Q2 and Q3 will be near breakeven and the remainder of the free cash flow expected in Q4. With positive free cash flow now coming from the business, no debt and a strong balance sheet, we believe we are well positioned to drive sustained growth into the future. Turning to our share count for Q4. We had approximately 324 million shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as of December 31, 2022. The fully diluted calculation consists of 289 million shares outstanding, approximately 32 million related to RSU and PRCs and 3 million shares related to outstanding options. Let me now talk about our forward-looking estimates. I'll go through the numbers first and then provide background commentary afterwards. For the first quarter of 2023, we expect revenue to be in the range of $133 million to $135 million, growing 16% to 18% year-over-year. Adjusting for constant currency, this reflects growth of 19% to 21% year-over-year. Non-GAAP loss from operations to be in the range of negative $9 million to negative $7 million, and non-GAAP net loss per share to be in the range of negative $0.03 to negative $0.01, assuming weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 290.2 million shares. For the full year 2023, we expect revenue to be in the range of $575 million to $590 million, growing 15% to 18% year-over-year. Adjusting for constant currency, this reflects growth of 16% to 19% year-over-year. Non-GAAP loss from operations to be in a range of negative $14 million to negative $6 million and non-GAAP net income or loss per share to be in the range of negative $0.01 to positive $0.03, assuming weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 293.8 million. We want to provide our best views of the business as we see it today. And in a changing market environment, it can be tough. So a couple of areas and assumptions to call out. First, on FX. The weaker dollar trend in Q4 created a slight benefit to revenue and billings metrics compared to the prior quarter. But on a year-over-year comparison, we still saw a negative impact. These estimates are based on FX rates as of February 3, 2023. So any future FX moves are not factored in. We started to hedge a small portion of our INR-based expenses in January 2023 and expect the impact of the hedging program to increase throughout the year, which will improve the predictability for operating expenses, moving forward. Second, on profitability. I'm pleased that we delivered on our commitment to reach positive free cash flow by Q4 last year. Now as we head into 2023, we're driving additional efficiencies to show quarter-over-quarter improvement throughout the year. As such, we expect non-GAAP operating loss to improve to negative $6 million in Q2, near breakeven in Q3, and then turn positive by Q4. And we plan to maintain sustained profitability in the years ahead. Let me close by saying I'm pleased with our execution in the quarter. Our ability to operate efficiently over the past year highlighted the durability and resiliency of our business. Our view is that we're well positioned to execute through a changing market environment in the near term, and we remain bullish on our long-term opportunities. And with that, let us take your questions. Operator?