Paul Pittman
Analyst · Raymond James
Thank you, Luca. So this will be a slightly longer presentation than I normally give. I'm going to discuss around six separate topics, starting with general comments on the ag economy, the USDA land value survey that came out yesterday and specific performance metrics, asset sales, share repurchases and Rota Fortunae litigation related matters. So let me jump right into it. The general ag economy continues to have fundamental headwinds, but I am frankly quite optimistic about what is going on in our company and what that effect will be for the ultimate long-term shareholder value. So turning to really the key things going on in the ag economy, generally. Let me start by saying this is what a down cycle looks like for a Farmland investor. And that's not to suggest this is a great time. But what it proves is the fundamental resilience of the asset class. The ag economy is quite stable because it's based fundamentally on land scarcity and growing food demand. That even with the trade war and other significant issues affecting agriculture, we're still seeing modest appreciation in Farmland values and while challenging we're seeing our tenants perform reasonably well. So the trade war specifically is not good for the farmer profits. It is affecting us to some degree particularly through our crop shares. Surprisingly, some of the negative effect is showing up significantly in nut crops, almonds, pistachios and walnuts. They are viewed somewhat as luxury goods in China, so less likely to be imported in the trade war environment. The recent announcement of no more ag products to China from the United States is certainly not good news. But fundamentally, U.S. production agriculture will weather that storm, some of the pain will be felt by landowners. But it -- but as I said, this is what a down cycle looks like. And when we talk later about asset sales, there would be few industries where you could be at this place in the market cycle and still be able to sell assets at substantial premiums to purchase price. This year's -- the other thing that's in the news a great deal about the ag economy is of course the floods, excess rain and now to some degree drought and the weather related impacts on the U.S. crop of corn and soybeans in particular. I have traveled this summer and seen virtually every one of our farms in the last 60 days. And these -- and what the situation is out there in my opinion is that this is going to be a very short crop compared to what the expectations would have been when the crop was about to be planted back in say late April. However, it is incredibly difficult because the crop is so uneven even within any given field to get a true understanding of how bad things will turn out to be. Now, when I say bad, I'm talking about the yield on the farm. Most of these farmers and certainly most of our tenants have good crop insurance. So financially they will be okay. But I think we're going to end up with a relatively short crop of both corn and soybeans and probably see commodities prices appreciate. What we're seeing in the commodities markets on the Chicago Board of Trade today though is a recognition of the difficulty of judging the size of this crop balanced against the demand destruction occurring from the trade war and the demand destruction occurring because of increased crop prices. I think in the end the supply side shortage will dominate the markets and it will be bullish for corn and soybeans. But there is certainly no certainty. The reason I walk through this is that the farmers frankly need to see some price increase on their way. They have had multiple years of surplus which is depressed prices. I think while painful for individual farmers, a short crop year will for the industry as a whole turn out to be a reasonably positive thing. If in fact we could get the trade war settled, it would be certainly positive for agriculture. The trade war is about way more than just agriculture, which of course makes it so complicated to solve. Moving forward to the land values, USDA land value survey that just came out yesterday. Let me give you a couple of key statistics. For those of you listening who own the preferred security, the preferred B security, there was a press release issued yesterday with the exact mechanics of how that instrument will be paid out related to this USDA land value survey. But talking about the survey, overall, looking at farm real estate, which is the metric we pay attention to, the USDA report said that Farmland values have increased 1.94% from June of 2018 to June of 2019. Looking only at this -- the 17 states that FPI owns Farmland in, we have seen it go up 2.66%. Looking at individual regions where we own quite a bit of farmland, the Southeast is up slightly with a range of negative 1.1% in Georgia to positive 2.7% in South Carolina. The delta, which is Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi is up anywhere from 2.2% to 5.1%. Illinois was flat, meaning no change from the prior year. Nebraska was up 3.6%, Colorado up 0.6% and California up 7%. Now don't necessarily expect those appreciation factors to come through directly into our portfolio, but that is certainly a powerful indicator that as an inflation hedge even in tough economic times in agriculture land values hold up and continue to gradually appreciate. If you would, moving on then to performance metrics about our company specifically. There's sort of a, as I said, there are headwinds in the industry -- in the industry generally and in our P&L. But I want to give you a simple way and it's really an oversimplification of a way to think about our operating P&L for the quarter, because there are clearly quite a bit of changes in that P&L. And of course a negative $0.5 a share AFFO. Again, I want to emphasize this is an oversimplification, but it's I think important particularly for the equity analysts to think about, at least start by thinking about it this way and then add the detail as you study the results we reported. So we've made asset sales around 5.5 percent of the portfolio. Revenues have gone down about 4.1%, which makes sense. We have sold a significant piece of the portfolio. Revenues are therefore going to decline. And they have declined slightly less than the amount of assets we've sold, which is because we have on average sold assets at the lower end of our cap rate structure within the company. So operating income, if you adjust out for the about $1 million of excess legal costs related to the Rota Fortunae litigation, operating income came down about 4.5%, more or less in line with the decline in revenues. And AFFO would have been about $0.3 higher. Now that's clearly, as I said, an oversimplification, but I think it's important to separate sort of the onetime events from the underlying performance of the farms and the asset. And it just starts with sort of that methodology when thinking about the company performance. I do want to make one additional cautionary note because I already read something early this morning on the Internet that our net income jump from $981,000 to $6.5 million is really driven of course by asset sales. I read something this morning about significant increase in net income and, yes, we did in a technical sense, but again that's a onetime event. Moving on to a couple of other topics on general operating metrics. I want to talk just a moment about operating expenses within the company. We have dropped the run rate costs of the company's administration by over $1 million in the past year. This is largely driven by changes and reduction in personnel. We have lost a lot of good people. I hated to see them go. We were able to replace with also very good people. But this is what happens to a company like ours when a stock manipulator Rota Fortunae and his coconspirators attack the company. And then you get the piling on of the class action lawyers and their own scrupulous shareholder clients. And it is truly a difficult challenge inside the company. The senior management of this company, the section 16 officers are very committed to what we're doing and we're going to see it through, but I don't -- the key message there is that we have continued to substantially reduce the overheads of this company through the recent timeframe. Moving on, we finally are starting to see interest rates move in our favor. As you all know, we are a reasonably levered company. Seeing interest rate cycle start to turn back downward will be beneficial to the P&L of the company over time, of course hard to predict how quickly that shows up, but it will. The final operating statistic or financial statistic that I want to touch on is that we always talk about the net asset value analysis of the company looking at the valuation of our portfolio from three different metrics. If you do that today what you will see is that looking at a cap rate based analysis you would see evaluation for the portfolio that is equivalent to approximately $15.60 a share. Looking at the USDA evaluation methodology, and this is the methodology I believe to be the most accurate reflection, it would be $14.07 a share. And looking at book value, you would be at $9.90 a share. So all three of those metrics have increased in the last quarter substantially. They're increasing because of the continued stock buyback we do and because of the general asset value appreciation. I still think that something around $12 a share is a good place to think about the NAV per share, although the continued buybacks have probably moved that up somewhat through the last year or so. So it may in fact be slightly higher than the $12 a share. Turning then specifically to asset sales. We have been quite successful and very active in our asset sales efforts. Let me give you a couple of statistics on those assets sales. So we at this point have now sold about $67 million of assets at a gain of approximately 20% above what we paid for those farms. None of these assets were assets of the original predecessor, meaning none of them are assets that I and my family contributed to the company at the time of the IPO. These are all assets where we are measuring off valuations that have occurred since the IPO and in many -- which was in 2014, which -- and in many cases much more recently. The lowest return sale was an 8% gain. The highest return sale was a 56% gain. Smallest sale was about $300,000, the largest was almost $19 million. This is about a 5% to 6% of the total portfolio has been sold. The levered IRRs on these assets during the holding period was over 25%. The narrative promoted by Rota Fortunae a year ago that we cannot achieve values in our asset sales of above purchase price was false when he made it. I believe he knows it was false when he made it. And the asset sales we have done and will probably continue to do will continue to prove that point. Turning to share repurchases. We have at this point bought back about 15% of the company, approximately 5.7 million shares. Our share count is now slightly under 32 million shares. The stock buybacks that have been done on average in the mid $6s per share probably created about $30 million to $35 million of equity value for the remaining shareholders. That would equate to slightly more than $1 per share, which is back to the point I made a few minutes ago, why I think our NAV per share is probably climbing substantially. Now turning to litigation-related matters. I would generally never mention a repayment of a modest-size loan by one of our tenant farmers. But since the company has been sued over this by unscrupulous lawyers and unscrupulous shareholders trying to take advantage of the rest of you, I am going to discuss it in somewhat detail. Jesse Huff which is the Huff loan has been repaid in full. That we as a company have made a substantial gain from the repayment of that loan, the principle of the loan was $5.25 million. Mr. Huff repaid all interest and all bonus interest and all principle for a total return of slightly more than 8.5%. This loan was made to Mr. Huff as acquisition financing. It was re-financed by him at rates much better than the rates we had given him with a traditional lender. This was a good loan for FPI and for the FPI shareholders. Mr. Huff was not a related party at the time this loan was made. This is a very good piece of business. At this point those unscrupulous lawyers that I keep referring to and those shareholders walking along behind them should drop this frivolous attack on the company, but I doubt that they will. RF in my opinion, Rota Fortunae, knew that this was a good loan when it was made since it was secured by real estate. He knew as he said that Jesse Huff was not a related party. He wrote that article so he could exit and these clients that [indiscernible] is paid to write those articles for could exit from that stock at substantial gains and the losses were pushed upon all of the rest of us as shareholders. Today we have a great difficulty continuing to make loans because no tenant wants to be pulled through the mud as Mr. Huff and Mr. Nieber [ph] have been, related to the loans that we make. This is very good business for Farmland Partners in the past. I wish we would continue and could continue to make loans. But frankly it's very difficult and we're unlikely to make any loans at least in the near future because of the reputational damage to our company created by our Rota Fortunae and his coconspirators. Turning to just a couple other matters related to the RF litigation. If you recall that article, the headline said that we were at risk of insolvency. Well, I guess we know now a year plus later that that wasn't true then and isn't true now. The best proof that Rota Fortunae is nothing but a short and distort fraudster is the following. He and his clients exited their stock positions immediately into the panic created by his fake news article. I am not someone opposed to legitimate shorting of a stock. In fact I think it is important piece of market activity. But the way you tell the difference between a legitimate short and a short and distort fraudster is you see if they hold their position to see their point of view come out or do, they just exit into the panic created by the fake news that they published in this case on Seeking Alpha. Well, what we now know is that they exited those positions on the day or the day after the article in the Maine and they did it because they knew the article, they wrote was untrue. RF and his coconspirators engaged in a scheme to profit from fraud, and unfortunately it worked. We continue to be optimistic that we will eventually get financial redress for our shareholders. I'm going to turn it back over to Luca to go through some key financial statistics and operating statistics related to the company.