Paul Pittman
Analyst · B Riley, FBR. Please go ahead
No. We know where the harm was. The only remain - probably - the most significant remaining harm where we I mean, we talked about in the past, but we haven't seen it really flow through the P&L is the avocado property suffered a substantial amount of heat, excess heat last year, and therefore will have had a somewhat lower yield potential this year. That's one farm out of the 120 or 125 farms that we own. Not a company-wide big negative event, but that's the one that we don't think we'll have quite as good a result this year as we would have otherwise had. Everything else, what kind of back in action. I think we mentioned, we had, and we lost almost every. I think we lost every single pivot on the pretty substantial farm in the Florida, Panhandle and a little bit of that farm I think is over the - over into Georgia. Those pivots have now been replaced, insurance covered most of it. Farmers back in action planting not, not really a long-term impact. I mean that's why we had insurance. The pre-corn property was that when we talked about, we lost a lot of the pre-corn, which hurt the crop share on the farm. Last year, but we didn't lose very many trees in the grand scheme of things, I mean you hate to see any big old tree with lot of corns on it fall over, but in the property-wide basis, not a not a big asset quality diminution. It was really the loss of the nuts themselves and this is a new, this is a new season. So last year's hurricane is the relevant. The bigger thing going on and it's at least temporarily completely lost in the commodities markets due to the trade dispute. But there is a real set of challenges in terms of getting this crop of corn, soybean into the ground, there is also some real challenges on the wheat crop in terms of the quality of the V wheat crop and the planting pace of the spring wheat crop due to that the sort of excessively cold spring temperatures and excess moisture in the plains in the Midwest. That - those two problems exacerbated each other, because if it wet and high it dries out. If it's wet and cold then it just doesn't seem to dry out and let the farmers get back the planting. On the planting progress report that came out from the USDA on Monday, we are around half of historical average levels. This will end up having an impact on yield per acre that's probably going to be substantial. There is probably another 7 to 10 days, most people say that if you get a corn is a nationwide average, so it's different in every state, but roughly you need to have 80% or 85% of the corn crop planted by May 20th or you will start to experience meaningful yield loss. I don't think there's any way you have this 80% or 85% of the crop planted by that date. And so you're going to start to have a significant yield loss. From an industry profitability perspective, I'm not sure that's a bad thing. You're going to see price recovery in the commodities particularly corn, if they don't get the crop on the ground and that on balance for the farmers. They may be better off with less total volume at a higher price. Then they are in the alternative, but like I said, that news - it was not for the Trump tweets rollout regarding the trade war last Sunday that would be the news that would have been traded this week. Because it's - you guys, I'm sure none of you read the Ag press as religiously as I do. But that's the big story and it's out there, but it's completely smothered by the trade war dispute right now.