Martin Arias Yaniz
Analyst · BTG Pactual
Thank you, Jose Antonio. Good morning, everyone. Let me begin by discussing our consolidated results for the third quarter of 2025. During the quarter, we delivered total revenue growth of 9.1% despite a still challenging but improving environment in Mexico, impacting both Proximity and Coca-Cola FEMSA, which was offset by solid top line trends outside Mexico. Some currency tailwinds, particularly in Europe and the consolidation of the OXXO USA operation. Operating income increased by 4.3% year-over-year, reflecting inflationary effects on our costs and expenses, partially offset by expense efficiency efforts across multiple operations, especially at OXXO Mexico, Coca-Cola FEMSA Mexico, Health and Europe. Net consolidated income decreased by 36.8% to MXN 5.8 billion, driven mainly by a noncash foreign exchange loss of MXN 1.3 billion, compared to a gain of MXN 4.3 billion last year, a swing of more than MXN 5.5 billion. Related defense U.S. dollar-denominated cash position, which was negatively impacted by the sequential appreciation of the Mexican peso during the period. Two, higher interest expense of MXN 5.5 billion, compared to MXN 4.8 billion the previous year, reflecting higher debt at Coca-Cola FEMSA and higher lease obligations across our retail network. And three, lower interest income of MXN 1.9 billion compared to MXN 2.6 billion the previous year, reflecting lower interest rates and lower cash balances. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 29.3%, showing a sequential improvement. We understand that the spike in the first half of the year in our effective tax rate 42.2% in the first quarter, and 40% in second quarter raised certain concerns. In that regard, I want to make several comments. The quarterly movement of our tax rate can be volatile and difficult to project on a quarterly basis, since it can be impacted in any given quarter by any of the following things. Extraordinary settlement of fiscal contingencies from the past in 1 quarter, reflecting issues from several years in the past. As the year progresses, we also make adjustments to provisions for tax payments given the performance of the business. Foreign currency gains and losses on our foreign currency cash balances and debt can cause important swings. We are requiring our tax rules to include or write-off deferred tax assets relating to NOLs based on adjustments to internal projections. Movements of accumulated cash, excess cash from our subsidiaries to Mexico, reflecting several years of profits can cause an increase in taxes. There are certainly structural reasons why our tax rate is higher than the 30% corporate income tax rate in Mexico, including nondeductibility of certain expenses, losses relating to Spin, and higher [ tax ] rates in countries outside of Mexico. We have guided investors towards a tax rate in the mid-30s range, and we continue to believe that this is the right number under current legislation. Turning to our operating results and beginning with the Proximity Americas division. Same-store sales increased modestly by 1.7%, once again reflecting a combination of a solid average ticket growing 4.9%, offset by a traffic decline of 3.1%. This is an improvement over the previous several quarters. And as Jose Antonio just said, it includes some encouraging information regarding the effectiveness of our tactical initiatives, and an incipient recovery in our competitive position in key categories. Total revenues for Proximity Americas grew 9.2%, or 4.8% on an organic and currency-neutral basis, mainly driven by the expansion of our network 1,370 stores year-on-year, a strong performance in our LatAm markets, which continue to grow at very attractive rates. The consolidation of OXXO USA, as well as favorable exchange rate effect in several of our operating currencies. Gross margin expanded by 80 basis points to 45%, reflecting a continued expansion in Mexico and LatAm, despite undertaking the affordability efforts mentioned previously in Mexico, and the consolidation of the U.S. operations which have a significant component of lower margin fuel. Operating income increased by 7.1%, while [indiscernible] 20 basis points to 8.8%, mainly due to the consolidation of the U.S. operations, which are slightly above breakeven. And despite the fact that Mexico's margin was flat, and OXXO LatAm continued to reduce its operating income losses relative to its revenues. The combined selling and administrative expenses grew at 12%, reflecting continued pressure on wages in Mexico, continued expansion-related expenses in LatAm and consolidation of the U.S. operating expenses. There were some reclassification of administrative expenses to selling expenses in LatAm, which makes comparison more difficult on a disaggregated line item basis. We expect, over the next few quarters, you should be able to see the effects on SG&A as we streamline corporate overhead through our fit-for-purpose initiatives. On the store expansion front, Proximity Americas added 198 new stores in the quarter, in line with our plan for the year. At OXXO USA, the conversion of DK stores into the OXXO banner continue to pace, reaching 50 converted stores in Midland-Odessa and Lubbock. We are making progress in food service with revamped hot food menus and offerings in the 50 OXXO stores, adding new partnerships aimed at driving consumer frequency and strengthening the overall food service value proposition, including clip-ins from our [indiscernible] and [indiscernible]. We are also initiating the conversion process in El Paso, as well as testing stand-alone nonfuel OXXO stores in certain locations. At Bara, during the quarter, we continued our accelerated store expansion opening with 40 new stores, and we remain on track to achieve or surpass a 30% growth rate in 2025. We continue optimizing our discount value proposition by scaling our private label strategy. Bara same-store sales grew 10.8%. In Europe, Valora delivered solid results as total revenues increased by 10.1% in pesos, or 3.3% on a currency-neutral basis, driven by higher Swiss retail sales, coupled with positive trends in Swiss B2C food service, partially offset by softer sales in B2B food service, particularly in the U.S. Gross profit grew 10.1% in pesos, or 3.4% currency neutral, in line with revenues and representing a stable margin compared with last year. Total operating expenses grew below revenues. However, selling expenses grew at almost the same rate as sales, reflecting wage pressures and inflation, but were offset by nearly flat administrative expenses. This reflects broad efforts to reduce corporate overhead expenses. Valora reported a 29.1% increase in operating income, 20.7% on a currency-neutral basis, representing a 70 basis point improvement in operating margin, and reflecting strong growth in Swiss retail, positive contribution from Swift B2C food service, and effective corporate overhead cost management offset by our B2B food service business. Now let me walk you through the performance of our Health division. Total revenues increased 2.9% in pesos with same-store sales growing 0.8%, mostly explained by strong top line performance in Chile and Colombia, offset by Mexico. On a currency neutral basis, total revenues grew 4.5%, evidencing currency headwinds relative to the U.S. dollar in Ecuador and the Chilean peso. Growth in revenues occurred despite the continued challenging environment in Mexico, which saw same-store sales declines and the closure of 423 underperforming stores versus the same quarter in 2024. Operating income declined 4%, and 1.3% on a currency-neutral basis, resulting in an operating margin dilution of 30 basis points to 4%. This reflects operating deleverage in Mexico and higher labor expenses in South America, particularly driven by the rapid expansion in Colombia. [indiscernible], same-station sales increased by 8.3%, and total revenues grew by 5%, reflecting growth in retail volume, offset by a decline in the wholesale business. Gross margin stood at 11.8% and operating margin at 4.6%. It is worth highlighting that during the quarter, selling expenses decreased 1.7% underscoring our continued effort to look for efficiencies and savings to support profitability in such areas as labor costs. Now moving to Coca-Cola FEMSA. During the third quarter, they delivered gradual sequential improvement amid a challenging environment. Total volume declined slightly, driven mainly by Mexico, or a softer macro environment continued to weigh on consumption. On the other hand, South America delivered a resilient performance with volume growth across most territories, demonstrating the adaptability of the business across regions. In terms of profitability, cost protected its margins, mainly through the implementation of mitigation actions, controlling expenses and generating efficiencies, recognizing a more difficult 2025 than expected. You can dive deeper into the results by listening to the webcast of their earnings call held last Friday. Finally, regarding capital returns to shareholders in the context of our capital allocation framework. During the quarter, we distributed a total of [ MXN 11.8 million ] in a combination of ordinary and extraordinary dividends. In terms of share buybacks, we were not active during the third quarter, so we are a bit behind schedule. As you know, whenever we become active, we will make the required filings and you will be able to follow. As we look ahead to the coming year, we are cautiously optimistic. As we mentioned before, we are beginning to see signs of improvement in the October data in Mexico. In terms of the levers and variables under our control, we are confident we are making the right adjustments and achieving the desired results across our platform. From the consumption side, we will have the additional tailwind from the FIFA World Cup to be held in our continent, with matches being played at the right time of day. And hopefully, we will also get a slightly better environment in which to operate in Mexico. We will provide a more detailed update in our next call. And with that, we are ready to open the call for questions.