Juan Fonseca
Analyst · Stifel Financial.
Yes. Hi Mark, this is Juan. No, I just wanted to make the point, when we talk about cautiousness or caution as we head into the fourth quarter and beyond, part of what's on our minds is that the fourth quarter of last year, same-store sales had also grown 8.6%. So, we have a really tough comp in the fourth quarter. And if you just look at the kind of full year, this will - if everything continues as it's going right now, 2017 will have been the third year in a row where OXXO same-store sales will have grown something close to 7%. So here you will have grown almost - more than 20% in the aggregate of those 2 years. And at the same time, we've seen inflation very linked to the price of gasoline, but it certainly has put a little bit of a damper on the consumer. So, as we are building our budgets, or we have built our budgets in the last couple of months, some of the assumptions for next year are even more conservative is generally in terms of what we expect Mexico to perform. There are - in terms of the minds of the consumer, there's a little bit more uncertainty. I mean obviously the whole NAFTA thing is again kind of rearing its ugly head in terms of will it be blown up or not. We will have elections, presidential elections during the - in the summer in July and there's already noise around that, and so that might make consumers a little bit more cautious in the short term, but to Eduardo's point, the number of stores that we open in a given year almost never changes based on short-term expectations of what the consumer may or may not do. I mean we're building stores for the next 10 years, for the next 20 years. In the 15 years that I've been at the company, we - I haven't really seen a bad year from OXXO. So, you should expect us to continue to increase the number of stores. I mean we're running at 1,300 as you said. The efforts will be put in place to keep that up and perhaps accelerate. I think there's a chance that we accelerate a little bit on the other formats as well, Eduardo was touching on gas and this will have been a year where we slowdown, this meaning 2017 will be a year where we slow down the opening of our gas stations, but next year, I think there's a high probability that we will accelerate again. So, I think we're talking about 2 somewhat separate things. We do think the consumer is gradually slowing down a little bit and that's what we're putting into our 2018 budget. So that really doesn't mean we're going to slow down rolling out new stores and really getting ready for whatever comes up in 2018 year.