Mohammad Abu-Ghazaleh
Management
Itâs been very erratic in the last few months, especially with Ecuador. Ecuador went, I mean, really is in a very big turmoil in terms of consistency of production. Yes, they have production, but the quality and the condition of the fruit that is in the market right now, on the side of Ecuador is not consistent because, like I said a few minutes earlier, the application of fertilizers and other chemicals to control the diseases and pests is not being applied as normal as it should be, and that has affected production in terms of yield and quality. And thatâs â we have seen as well as the disruption into the supply chain, the disruption and shipping, enough equipment and containers to move the fruit from one â from source to markets. Small, medium-sized growers are really having a lot of difficulties securing financing to continue operations. All these factors together, in my opinion, will drive the banana sector to a point where the production will come down, in my opinion, significantly in the future. And I cannot decide 1 year or 2 years. But I believe that the banana industry, in general, will not be able to be â to sustain the way it has been going for the last 10 years. I mean they were living on a lifeline. Money was easy. Interest was almost 0. Chemicals, fertilizers, inputs, transportation, you name it, everything was quite competitive, cheap. The picture has stand around completely now as you â everybody knows. So you add up everything, and it will not work. I mean I wouldnât be surprised to wake up one morning and see a banana box costing $20 and Iâm not â this is not something that I speculate. I believe in this, and I have believed that for many years. And I think, there would come a time when everybody wakes up and there will be not enough bananas to feed the markets.