Dan Sullivan
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead
Thank you, Rod, and good morning, everyone. I hope you’re all healthy and safe as we navigate this global crisis together. And I’d like to add my personal gratitude to our teams around the world for their dedication, commitment and resiliency in ensuring that our business remains fully operational during the most challenging of times. I’ll start my remarks by spending a few minutes reviewing our quarterly results, then I’ll discuss the steps we’ve taken to ensure ample liquidity for the business given this environment of uncertainty, before concluding with some thoughts on the second half of the year. As Rod said, overall, the quarter played out largely as we had expected in terms of both top and bottom line performance, although the path there was fluid and challenging. Through February, we were well positioned to organically outpace our own internal revenue and profit forecast for the second quarter, with evidence of stable to improving top line performance across most categories and geographies. At that time, we anticipated another solid quarterly result, reaffirming our expectation that we would deliver on our full year guidance for fiscal 2020. In the last month of the quarter, we saw COVID-19 related disruption build across our international markets, muting demand; while later in the month, in North America, we began to see the benefits of retailer stock building and consumer pantry loading, mostly in our fem care and Wet Ones businesses. In the quarter, our underlying top line results demonstrated the further stabilization of the business that we’ve seen now for four consecutive quarters. Adjusting for the demand surge related to COVID-19, our underlying organic sales performance was flat, consistent with recent trends and our previous outlook. Gross margin, excluding currency, the Infant and Pet Care divestiture and the increased supply chain headwinds related to COVID-19 increased about 50 basis points. Adjusted operating income increased $3.1 million, excluding the nearly $6 million impact from the Infant and Pet Care divestiture. We remain disciplined in our Project Fuel efforts to drive cost savings and increase efficiency across all areas of the business. And in the quarter, we realized over $18 million in gross savings. And cash from operations through half one was nearly $50 million higher than over the same period a year ago, largely driven by improved working capital performance. So while the path forward contains clear uncertainties, especially in the near-term, the underlying fundamentals of our business continue to strengthen and our efforts to become a stronger, more agile operator continue to gain traction. Now I’ll turn to the detailed results. Organic net sales in the quarter increased 2.4%. Excluding estimated increases due to COVID-19, as mentioned, sales were essentially flat. Organic net sales in North America grew 5%, driven by strong performance in Wet Ones, fem care and men’s grooming. Sun Care sales increased modestly, while Wet Shave declined just over 3%. On an underlying basis, excluding COVID-19 tailwinds, we estimate that organic sales in North America were flat. International organic net sales declined 2% in the quarter, largely driven by COVID-19-related headwinds across our broader Asian markets, but was up 1% on an underlying basis. Europe and Latin American markets both delivered increased sales in the quarter on a reported and run rate basis. E-commerce sales grew 63% in the quarter, reaching about 6% of total net sales with growth on the Amazon platform of 80%. As we continue to build our capabilities and focus in this channel, we obviously also benefited from the consumers’ efforts to pantry-load as part of COVID-19 responses. Looking at performance by segment. Wet Shave organic net sales declined 3.5% in the quarter, driven by volume declines in men’s systems and unfavorable price/mix in disposables. Partly offset by volume growth in women’s systems and disposables. For Wet Shave, COVID-19 was a slight negative to overall organic sales, although more impactful internationally, with declines in Asia, partly offset by consumer stock up in North America. Volume growth in women’s was driven by our new Skintimate disposables offering as well as Private Label. In fact, Private Label in aggregate grew high single digits in the quarter. From a geographic perspective, North American Wet Shave declined 3.4% and continued to face competitive pressure, with share losses in the quarter, largely a result of distribution losses at Sam’s Club and a decreased overall promotional level year-over-year. International Wet Shave declined 3.6%, although was flat on an underlying basis. Europe remained resilient and continued its recent trend of stabilized Wet Shave performance growing just over 1% on an underlying basis. Our market-leading shave preps business performed well and gained over 1 point of market share, and our Disposables and Private Label businesses broadly held share in the quarter. Sun and Skin Care organic sales increased almost 9%, driven by strong demand for Wet Ones, which was up $11 million or 80% over the prior year period, and up over 30% on a run rate basis. In terms of consumption, Wet Ones experienced triple-digit growth across all channels, drove 11 points of share gains in the consumer hand sanitizing wipes category and now accounts for the top seven SKUs in the category. Here, our commercial focus on the drug channel and efforts to drive expanded distribution and strong secondary displays were further augmented by the tailwinds associated with COVID-19. Men’s grooming increased 10% with solid growth in both Bulldog and Jack Black. Sun Care organic net sales were essentially flat or up 2% on an underlying basis as favorable pricing was offset by lower volumes. And in terms of consumption, both our Banana Boat and Hawaiian Tropic brands held share in the quarter. Feminine Care organic sales increased nearly 14%, largely driven by stock-up related to COVID-19. Excluding those increases, sales were down about 1% in the quarter, which was slightly better than our expectations. In terms of consumption, fem care was up 16% and held share in measured channels, while gaining a point of share on Amazon. Gross margin increased 60 basis points year-over-year to 46.5%, excluding the impact of the Infant and Pet Care divestiture, currency and onetime costs associated with COVID-19, underlying gross margins increased 50 basis points, which was slightly stronger than our expectations. In the quarter, gross margin benefited from stronger pricing in Sun and continued Project Fuel savings, partly offset by unfavorable product mix. A&P expense this quarter was 9% of net sales as compared to 8.8% of net sales in the prior year period. Excluding the impact from the Infant and Pet Care divestiture, A&P spending increased about 4% compared to the prior year period. However, spending was well below our internal forecast in the month of March as we began to meaningfully shift spend in reaction to COVID-19. SG&A, including amortization expense, was $121.5 million or 23.2% of net sales as compared to 18% of net sales in the prior year period. Excluding the impact of restructuring related charges, Harry’s transaction-related costs and other non-recurring charges, SG&A as a percent of net sales decreased 10 basis points, driven by lower compensation and equity expense and Project Fuel savings, which were mostly offset by higher bad debt expense. Other expense net was $10.9 million of expense during the quarter compared to $2.7 million of income in the prior year period. The increase in expense was largely COVID-19-related as we saw a significant devaluation of local currencies in several key countries in Latin America, Asia and Central Europe against the U.S. dollar, resulting in a revaluation of local balance sheet exposures. Some of the key exposures driving loss were devaluations against the dollar from the Mexican peso, Czech koruna, Australian dollar, Chilean peso and Colombian peso. GAAP diluted net earnings per share were $0.36 compared to $0.89 in the second quarter of fiscal 2019 and adjusted earnings per share were $0.92 compared to $1.13 in the prior year period. Constant currency organic EPS grew 12% year-over-year. Net cash from operating activities was $17 million in the quarter as compared to a use of cash of $32 million during the prior year, reflecting improved working capital performance particularly in inventory management, and was partly aided by the increased demand associated with COVID-19. The company’s net debt leverage ratio is about 1.9 times, reflecting the business’ strong free cash flow profile, which brings me to the topic of liquidity. As you know, our business model is defined by strong operating cash flow generation and extremely efficient free cash flow conversion. As such, our liquidity position is very strong. To ensure that this remains the case, in light of the business uncertainty that’s in front of us, we’ve taken a number of important steps. We’ve accelerated our Project Fuel efforts to further enhance our focus on driving costs out of the business and reshaping our organization’s productivity, efficiency and agility. In the quarter, we realized about $18 million in gross savings and this is likely a good proxy for the remaining quarters of fiscal 2020. Additionally, we continue to assess all aspects of our business and investments in the near-term, and non-critical spend is being eliminated or deferred. This includes anticipated pullback across discretionary spend areas of the business and a reprioritized approach to addressing open positions based on greatest business impact. A&P investment is also being further refined with our focus being to find the appropriate balance of pausing on spend where market conditions likely impact overall effectiveness, while continuing to invest in our brands and with our trade partners, where execution can be expected to be reasonably high. We also continue to shift from more traditional brand spend to more digitally focused advertising and brand activation spend in an effort to drive greater productivity and efficiency. We’ve also evaluated our CapEx spend for the balance of year, prioritizing only those investments that are business critical. And as a result, we anticipate CapEx will be well below the historical levels of about 3% of net sales. As a reminder, maintenance capital expense is typically about 1/3 of our annual CapEx spend. And finally, as we disclosed earlier in the quarter, we successfully refinanced our $425 million revolver, leveraging strong relationship banks and securing additional liquidity for the business. With the revolver now in place and over $300 million of cash on hand, we are very well positioned to weather the potential near-term challenges associated with COVID-19, while also ensuring that we take the appropriate steps in becoming a stronger competitor moving forward. We have $600 million in debt coming due in May 2021 and $500 million in May 2022. And given our strong liquidity position as well as the emergence of a more structured and productive debt market, I feel good about our ability to proactively address these notes and further reinforce our liquidity position should we decide to do so. And finally, I wanted to provide some brief perspective on the near to medium-term outlook for the business. We will continue to operate with a balanced perspective on both top and bottom line as we consider both risk and opportunity. And as Rod stated earlier, we have also been focused on ensuring overall business continuity with the development and execution of robust contingency plans. To date, all of our manufacturing facilities and distribution centers are essentially fully operational. However, the lack of visibility and continued uncertainty in terms of the magnitude and duration of the pandemic has led us to suspend our forward-looking guidance. This uncertainty spans consumer demand, the potential impact on our global supply chain as well as the likely increased volatility in the currency and commodity markets. And I’d like to touch on each of these briefly. As we assess consumer demand in this COVID-19 environment, we anticipate growing headwinds in our North American Sun Care business, particularly in the event of a prolonged impact the summer travel and holiday season. To date, we have seen strong execution in the category across channels and no initial indications of any changes in retailer focus or prioritization, which is very encouraging. As we discussed last quarter, after successfully executing a price increase on both our core brands, we were pleased with the final shelf sets with key retail partners, and we remain well positioned in terms of shelf presence and availability, but the initial portion of the Sun Care season is highly uncertain. In Wet Shave, while there is some belief that this work-from-home environment could potentially lead to short-term changes in men’s shave regimen, we see this as short-term. And we also know that our Disposables and private brands businesses have us positioned well across quality and value price tiers, which have historically been key assets for us in challenging economic environments. We are also very encouraged by the growth we’ve seen across both our fem care and Wet Ones businesses, and we’re well positioned to capitalize on the consumers’ ongoing focus on health and personal hygiene. And both of these categories likely offer some offsets to the potentially challenging Sun Care environment, I described earlier. More specifically on Wet Ones, we’ve taken the appropriate steps to meaningfully increase manufacturing capacity, which will come online in mid-summer. We also believe our focus on enhancing our e-commerce capabilities and the consumers likely increased preference for established and dependable brands they trust will serve us well moving forward. We’re navigating this environment with the health and safety of our team members as our number one priority, and this is reflected in the actions we’ve taken company-wide. As a result, across the supply chain, we expect to see some further cost pressure, which is only partially offset by our Project Fuel work and other tailwinds. Given the evolving nature of the pandemic, there is also the potential for further supply chain disruption and the shifting revenue mix dynamics that I discussed earlier may have margin implications. All of these factors likely create some gross margin headwinds in the near-term environment. Finally, we’ve seen extreme foreign exchange and commodity cost volatility, and we expect this environment to continue. In the quarter, FX moved against us by approximately $0.22 per share. And while we do anticipate some mid-term benefit in commodity costs, largely as a result of the decline in oil prices, it’s unlikely we’ll be able to fully offset further FX headwinds with lower commodity costs in this fiscal year as it takes about four to six months for such movement to run through the P&L. During this environment of uncertainty, we’re taking the appropriate steps to reduce costs while supporting our strategic priorities, with both the right level and optimal mix of brand investments to deliver increased online activation and support. I’m confident we are making the right decisions as we balance liquidity and financial flexibility considerations for the near-term with appropriate prioritization of investment to support our strategic growth initiatives for the long-term, all to ensure we emerge from this challenging time as a stronger and more viable competitor. And with that, I’d like to turn the call back over to Rod for final comments before we begin the Q&A.