Ward M. Klein
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thank you, Dan. I think one of the most noteworthy observations from this past quarter is that in the Personal Care categories in which we compete, category dollars declined 2.3% in the quarter versus category growth of 6% in the prior year quarter and growth of 1.6% in the December quarter. The decline in the current year quarter accelerated in the most recent 4-week data. For example, the total U.S. razor and blade market declined 0.2% this past 12 weeks versus an increase of 6.3% in the year ago quarter and a 52-week growth trend of 1.7%. This significant slowdown in the razor and blade category growth was most pronounced in men's systems, where category value was actually down 3.6% in the most recent quarter. This deflation of the U.S. razor and blade category seems in part due to hyper levels of promotional spending by our leading competitor. For example, according to measured market data, their percent of units on -- sold on promotions this past quarter rose over 500 basis points on men's systems and rose 470 basis points on women's systems. In contrast, Schick's percent of volume on deal actually declined for the quarter. Despite these trends, we held our men's system market share behind continued growth in Hydro. In addition, by our estimation, our competitor's total A&P spend rate against razors and blades during the last 9 months has increased measurably, with no material benefit to category growth or relative market share positions. We remain confident that we will continue to benefit from our focus on introducing innovation, as noted with the recent expansion of the Hydro franchise in the men's and women's disposables, as well as the AXE Schick co-branded Wet Shave launch. Turning to Shave Preps, the category is down 2.5 points, and Personal Care share was also down 1 point. Competitive pressures in this category also remained intense. Competitive spending spilled over from razor and blades as evident in the significant increase in promotional spending in preps seem to also be putting some deflationary pressure on this category. The unusually cold wet weather in the United States negatively impacted the Sun Care category, which was down 18% for the quarter. Personal Care showed a modest share gain, driven by Banana Boat. Currently, 7 of our new products are in the top 20 new item ranking report, with 3 of them making the top 10. International Sun Care continues to be a strong growth story for us, growing double digits in Asia and Europe this quarter and contributing to overall Sun Care net sales growth of 9%. Finally, Litter Genie continues to gain traction behind advertising and strong consumer acceptance. This product has had an extremely positive response, resulting in improved shelf presence. Repeat rates continue to exceed our goals for refills-to-pail ratios. We still have an opportunity to gain additional distribution and accelerate pail trial, and we'll continue to support this exciting new innovation with ongoing media and promotional campaigns. Turning to Household Products. Global consumption trends remain consistent, with volume down 2% and value down 1%. Value trends have tracked above volume trends this past year, driven by the retail price increase in the United States last year and by inflation in Latin America. The U.S. began to comp the retail price increase in the March quarter. And as a result, the value trends are expected to more closely align with volume trends going forward. Given these category dynamics, competitive activity has escalated, and as a result, we have experienced both gains and losses in distribution. While we have regained shelf space at a major retailer, we were recently notified of distribution losses elsewhere. In the near term, we project a net loss of market share and a decline in net sales in fourth quarter of fiscal 2013. We will look to offset these losses through distribution and market share gains driven by our 2 strong brands and our full product portfolio. These shelf space shifts are an indicator of the challenging competitive environment in the battery category, and we expect that such activity will continue, resulting in increased volatility in sales of market share for battery manufacturers in rising cost of doing business. We entered fiscal 2013 with a focus on the rationalization and streamlining of our cost structure to improve our competitiveness given this environment. The escalating competitive environment underscores the importance of our restructuring efforts. I will cover the progress of the restructuring project in a few minutes, but I did want to cover a few recent category and market share trends to provide more context to the quarterly results. North American battery sales declined in the low single digits, consistent with expected trends, driven by lower volume, largely offset by favorable price mix, mostly due to the February 2012 price increase. In Asia-Pacific, we grew net sales by mid-single digits and grew share by 4 points to 65%, based on incremental shipments and consumption as we significantly increased distribution in a key retailer. Overall, the category volume remains flat to slightly negative while category value is down 3%. And in Europe, Middle East, Africa, sales declined in the mid-single digits due to timing of distributor shipments mostly in the Middle East and Africa, as well as category declines in Western Europe. Within Europe, the category was down approximately 2.6% in value but our market share remains relatively stable. Finally in Latin America, our sales increased low single-digits on higher volumes across several markets. Category value increased by 9% while volumes were essentially flat. Our market share was up slightly to 43%. Now turning to the update of our 2013 restructuring program. Significant progress has been made with our restructuring efforts. The organization has embraced the changes, and we are building positive momentum across all the savings initiatives. Implementation of these plans is ahead of our original assumptions and savings have started to be realized. As a result, we have revised our fiscal year 2013 gross savings estimates to $50 million to $60 million from the original estimates of $25 million to $35 million. We've also revised the total gross savings estimated for the restructuring project to $225 million, an increase of an additional $25 million of growth savings, as a result, identification of additional opportunities. As previously noted, we plan to reinvest a portion of our savings to provide the operating flexibility needed to invest in our businesses, grow our brands and help accelerate innovation efforts, which we believe are critical to ensuring long-term sustainable growth. The increased savings opportunities will provide additional flexibility to meet our goals as we continue to estimate that $150 million of the $225 million estimated gross savings will be used to improve profitability. Thus far, over 700 positions or nearly 1/2 of our targeted headcount reductions have been eliminated. We initially focused on organization realignment in non-plant locations across North America. The timing of manufacturing footprint changes remains on schedule, with facility closures expected through the balance of this calendar year. In addition, changes within our international markets are planned to be implemented against -- throughout the balance of the calendar year. In addition, procurement initiatives are progressing well. We continue to work with our suppliers to identify and eliminate non-value added waste and cost in targeted areas. We are successfully implementing our announced restructuring plans and will continue to challenge the organization to search for additional opportunities. In addition to the progress being made on our restructuring activities, as Dan mentioned, we continue to make substantial progress on our working capital initiative, with working capital as a percent of sales down 270 basis points versus the 2011 base level. As noted in the release, we are reaffirming our financial outlook of $6.75 to $7 for fiscal 2013. Before making my concluding comments and opening the call up to questions, we believe it is appropriate to provide further insight into our outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2013 so you can better understand how we see the remainder of the year playing out.