Tony Guzzi
Analyst · BB&T Capital Markets
Yeah, thanks Mark. I am going to be on Page 10 and 11 and I am going to talk about backlog. Right now backlog is essentially flat versus the year ago period and it’s slightly down from quarter one, which I guess we would expect with 6.4% organic revenue growth in the quarter. I think it’s indicative of strong performance and strong end markets that we were able to maintain backlog relatively flat. I think when you look at this page and I am on Page 10, I can give you some commentary about what’s going on in the markets and it’s over a number of quarters and number of years. What you seeing is the commercial market has come back strong and we’re at record levels at for commercial and we’re up again year-over-year. The commercial market is strong for a number of reasons. One, we are well positioned in the commercial markets and some markets that are doing well. Secondly, there is a good occupancy rates and there is a desire upgrade buildings and we will take advantage of that. As you move up the page, a hospitality, it is what it is, we worth a high end of hospitality, I’ve to have a right properties in the right place. And what we see something build there again sure and where we participate absolutely. Our hospitality when it was very strong if you had this extended back to 2007, it was gaming driven and was primarily Las Vegas driven. You mean what the Industrial, Industrial for us is a lot of things. Industrial we do in the shops, I’ll take about that more on the next page, but it’s also things like power plant, solar plants, manufacturing plants, food processing plants, it’s all those things. We think the industrial market will still be strong for us mainly centered on a couple of areas. It’s going to centered around food processing and power work, we’ll continue to flow through EMCOR. But as year-end, we would expect industrial outside just the shop work, it potentially grow in commercial and maintain its own. Institutional, what you see there is really for the exit of those two large operating agreements over the last couple of year. And you know Mark when we get to the question-and-answer he will spend some time hopefully for somebody going back through a backlog is for us. The backlog for us is committed work, it’s fixed price work on the construction side and service agreements one year of it and that’s about it. And we don’t take any time and material work and guess what is going to be. We don’t take the add-on effects of a government contract. We don’t took the five year value of a government contract to put in. The other thing folks might not realize is, as a contract expires before through signed, it goes out of backlog and as it reaches expiration as it goes from 12 months to 11 months to 10 months and 9 months, we’ve reduced the backlogs out now to a guest explanation renewed. And for those the one and all, our renewal rates on our contracts unless there’s been a major see of the property of closer of the property or sell or something like that are about 90%. So we do pretty well there. Moving up the Page, Transportation is going to continue to be a strong market for us and that’s all forms the Transportation from bus depots to tunnels to bridges to airports. We’re going to play in transportation and for EMCOR, it’s a little bit of a mechanical play, it’s primarily an electrical play. And Water and Waste Water that 90 million or so jog we announced in South Florida it’s not in backlog yet, it was signed I think around July 1st, so in the May this report for the year-end period. So what do we see, we see a relatively strong non-res market for us. We do expect backlog to be in a pretty good shape as the year progresses. But you know we’d like to see the strong organic growth too, so it’ll be a balancing act. But the non-res market in the sectors we play and are pretty good. I think it’s led by commercial then go to industrial and then to transportation. And we could book a couple of these in healthcare jobs by the end of the year. They will be nowhere strong it was in 2009 and 2910, well people still work through the effects of the affordable care acts and they might be doing that for quite some time. And as you go to Page 11, let’s talk about what’s our backlog driven business in EMCOR and what’s not. The most backlog driven businesses we have at EMCOR are Electrical and Mechanical Construction segments. They are backlog driven businesses. You would expect that because 80% of their work is fixed price. And we continue to see modest growth there and we expect growth to continue there. Industrial for us is a least backlog driven business. And most of that work is in the field or it’s in the shops for repair. We do have a portion of that business that’s the new OEM heat exchanger build. That part of the business is the part that we think right now is most effected by what’s going on in the oil and gas sector with the major integrated oil companies and others as they look to trim capital expenditures. We still have opportunities, there are still the replacements, these repaired refiners are operating flat out, but it may be more quite turn and some of that stuff will never make its way from a reporting period to another in backlog. We have opportunities with LNG export terminals and we have opportunities with midstream processing. But we think right now the most part of our business is most affected for backlog with the oil and gas is that on this page in industrial, it’s down about 16 million year-over-year, it’s a portion of what we do in that business and that’s where we’re seeing the most defects right now.