Trent Mell
Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Please go ahead
Thanks for that, Craig. Okay. Back to -- now let’s move on to exploration, actually. Normally, I would have Dan Pace, our principal geologists give this part of the presentation. He actually is in the DRC right now visiting, inspecting some of the mines that we are looking to buy from with our VP, Sustainability, Renata Cardoso, and that’s part of our responsible minerals initiative, the transparency process with Glencore is taking us on a tour of their operations. Some of that -- I would say some of the best run mines in the country. So they will be back next week. However, I guess, the point here on slide -- what are we 21 here is that -- yeah, and I say, this to investors frequently, we have got a great asset in the State of Idaho and it often gets overlooked, because when you are allocating capital, you have got to make tough decisions and the refinery being the one that’s closest to cash flow. It has to get the priority. Having said that, it doesn’t negate the excitement we have around this asset. It has a very, very rare source of primary cobalt in North America. So slide 22, I am going to walk you through this map a little bit. But I would highlight, as we move to onshore the supply chain into North America, finding cobalt is really hard and the DRC becomes -- is going to remain for years to come a huge source of cobalt. We do have a new mine that’s on stream in the Idaho Cobalt Belt and our Iron Creek, I think, could be next in queue. But what -- I would highlight from this summer’s exploration is, some drilling we did of a nearby target called Ruby. We have known about it for some time. There’s some surface expressions of mineralization. It looks the mineral type and the setting very similar to Iron Creek and we did some geophysics and outlined what you see there in pink on the right-hand side, outline of what we think is a target area and you will note that it’s of equal size to our Iron Creek deposit, which is sitting at just under 5 million tons of high-grade cobalt with some copper byproducts. And I would say, we only did three holes, because this was kind of a test program and so the biggest highlight you got some grades there. These are high grade, good intercepts for a cobalt target. But what was interesting to me is that all three holes hit two zones of mineralization, precisely where the model predicted it would. And geophysics is not an easy -- not an exact science, but it tells me that our team has got the right technique and it gives me confidence that this target you see there is worth additional exploration activities into the new year. So, we do need to follow up. I have got to be mindful of allocation of capital, of course. I would say, maybe anecdotally that we do have some downstream interest. Again, this is part of the IRA and the onshoring supply chain participants looking to try to onshore cobalt primary feed. And so this is an asset that will take a little longer to bring on stream and say the refinery, but I do expect and predict that it will become higher profile in the years to come. Just contextually, now on to slide 23, where is the asset situated. It’s in an area known by the U.S. geological survey and the industry of the Idaho Cobalt Belt and so you can see it there, near Sam and Idaho, and you have got a legacy asset Blackbird, Ram/ICP, just went into operation and you can see our Iron Creek asset down to the south there. It is recognized as America’s best cobalt endowment hands down. Nothing comes close. And I would argue even across North America, this is our best opportunity to be able to onshore the cobalt supply chain or at least parts of it here on our continent. Historically, Blackbird did produce quite a lot of copper and cobalt. The 14 million pounds of cobalt, 53 million pounds of copper, and so there is a healthy history of mining high grade and high tonnage. All right, so let’s flip over to page 24 and basically transition here to outlook in some of our near-term milestones, which are outlined on slide 25. I think hard to -- for me hard to understate the importance and the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act. And this $400 billion of money earmarked towards climate and energy programs and initiatives. But the one that hits home most for us and for our investors has to be the $7,500 vehicle credit. And there’s two parts to that. One is the requirement that the supply chain be within sort of free trade countries. So that would be obviously in the U.S. and Canada and any other country that has a free trade agreement with the U.S. But the other part that’s even more important for the part of the supply chain that we sit in is the requirement that no critical minerals be produced in China. In China today, if I were to sort of aggregate cathode refining, that’s about 80% of the global market. And so if you are an automaker looking to get access to that 7,500 vehicle credit, you can’t have a single pound of material being processed in China. Otherwise, that drops to zero. And that’s huge because it is going to propel a -- I think, a significant investment cycle into this part of the supply chain, namely that we are at the first step, right, that chemical conversion of minerals into a usable form for the battery sector, us and then the precursors and the cathode active material. So let’s not lose sight of that. We are waiting for the rules and regs to see how it’s going to be impacted or how it’s going to be implemented, I guess. But I do see that as a huge tailwind for all of our initiatives that we are chasing. Commodity side, yeah, cobalt and nickel were down this quarter. Look, we are a margin operation that we are buying at market, selling at market, so that doesn’t impact us, frankly, too much. But the outlook is positive for the sector and it aligns with what we see in annual EV sales growth expectations. Bernstein projecting 27 million vehicles by 2023 on a compound annual growth basis. You are looking at 23% to 27% depending on what you look at -- look to for a forecast over the next several years. I mean, that’s a huge growth. And I would say, with the adoption of the IRA and really the uptick of vehicle sales in North America, the inbound interest from downstream partners, potential clients that continues to strengthen and intensify. And then, I guess, lastly, customer demand. I talked about this, the downstream. I do think that by the end of the year, if we can finalize some agreements, we will be 100% sold. And that basically would support in terms of future sales, either an expansion of the refinery in Ontario, which we are envisioning or our expansion into Quebec at the Bécancour facility, the problems in Quebec, where we are seeing tremendous support from the federal and provincial government. All right, now slide 26, just to kind of wrap up. This is the last slide outlining some of our near-term milestones as busy as Q3 was -- Q4 is and will remain just as active. Recycling put that up there first, because that, to me, is the most exciting one, stay tuned. You will see a series of, I guess, news releases and information on that as we get going in earnest. Importantly, Mark and the team have commissioned most of the equipment you see here before you. This is the legacy refinery plant that we are building around and expanding. Most of the equipment there that you see has been restarted, tested and some of this is going to be redeployed for the black mass. So you can -- by that on that basis, you can take it that -- we are already in the commissioning process for the black mass. We are waiting for material to show up, I think, next week and then we will have some news in the coming weeks as we start to put it through our plant. Sustainability report, for the industry we are in, this is huge and that’s part of the DRC trip that Renata and Dan are on, so we will have our very first sustainability report. I am expecting that just before Christmas. So it’s a year-end deliverable. So you can stay tuned for that. Very proud of our carbon footprint. We believe we will have the lowest carbon footprint in the world of any cobalt producer and it’s a trait that we can extend to all of our operations by virtue of having hydroelectric power in Ontario and in Quebec. And then as we look forward to the spring, of course, the big milestone we are all working towards is the commissioning of the refinery, and then, thereafter, obviously, the cash flow finally coming in the door and changing the stature of our company. Exploration at Ruby, let’s wait and see -- wait and see how the markets are and how the treasury is. We do have to keep that going, how aggressive or lightly go will be a function probably a partner interest and we are looking for other people to help us fund that just, again, given our focus on the refining operation. And then lastly, the Bécancour pre-feasibility study. So this would be a second cobalt plant in that battery park, some call it, Battery Valley in the province at Quebec, where you have already got POSCO working with GM, you have got BASF, the Vale, all looking at building out installations in an integrated park and we have been asked by the government to be the cobalt producer for that part. So more to come. That’s a few years out. But being the only cobalt refinery sort of built ex-China in about 30 years, it just puts us in a really good position to execute on that and become a part of that bigger club. So I think that’s probably a good summary of where we are. Operator, at this point, maybe we will just put it open to questions, if there are any.